Axis of Ordinary
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Memetic and cognitive hazards. Substack: https://axisofordinary.substack.com/
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پستهای کانال
Some links:
• Aristotle autonomously solved and Lean-verified eight open Kourovka Notebook problems in group theory, including new proofs, constructions, and counterexamples. https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.17477
• Sam Altman will brief the Trump administration and Congress next week on OpenAI’s GPT-6 model family, capabilities, and job impact. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-07-21/openai-s-altman-to-brief-us-officials-on-next-wave-of-ai-models
• Google says training has begun on Gemini 4, its “most ambitious pre-training run yet.” https://x.com/OfficialLoganK/status/2079594867161022817
• Language model harnesses are compositional generalizers. https://alexzhang13.github.io/blog/2026/harness/
• Better language agents by teaching them to model their environment. https://cameronrwolfe.substack.com/p/agentic-world-models
• A Tokenizer for Living Cell State. https://www.precigenetics.com/cellcinema
• People use fast, flat simulation to reason about new games. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-026-10722-1
• Formal logical reasoning suggests the language of thought is not natural language. https://joshrule.com/files/kean2025evidence.pdf
• How LLMs switch between low-, medium-, and high-effort reasoning. https://magazine.sebastianraschka.com/p/controlling-reasoning-effort-in-llms
• Diffusing Blame: task-dependent credit assignment in biologically plausible dual-stream networks. https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.31700
• Better pretraining not only raises the RL starting point, but appears to make later RL more productive. https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.16097
• Cursor agents rebuilt SQLite from its 835-page manual in Rust and passed 100% of a held-out test suite; cost varied 15× by model mix. https://cursor.com/de/blog/agent-swarm-model-economics
• Z.AI completed a giant data center using Chinese chips to train AI. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-07-20/z-ai-completes-giant-data-center-with-chinese-chips-to-train-ai [no paywall: https://archive.is/nqFsz]
• Sol solved a conjecture every previous model failed on; a paper is planned before the end of August. https://aiforintegrability.substack.com/p/i-havent-seen-the-move-37-yet
• Fugu-Cyber: a new orchestration model with state-of-the-art results on real-world cybersecurity benchmarks. https://sakana.ai/fugu-cyber-release/
• Lanyon autonomously implemented and formally verified an electrodynamics simulation of an electromagnetic pulse in a metal box. https://lanyon.ai/research/maxwell-equations/
• Tau Ceti: a new Lean library of AI-formalized mathematics with human-curated roadmaps and adversarial review. https://github.com/TauCetiProject/TauCeti
• GPT-5.5, Claude Opus 4.7/4.8, Gemini 3.5 Flash, and Kimi K2.6 designed, fine-tuned, and obeyed their own AI leader: a calm manager focused on delegation, evidence, consensus, and reversible decisions. https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/3FKugjAiEzLeWHuug/ais-finetune-their-own-leader-a-barking-simpleton
• A new 3D thermal cloak hides objects from heat in any direction. https://cee.illinois.edu/news/new-3D-thermal-cloak-hides-objects-from-heat-in-any-direction
• Learning shapes neural geometry in the primate prefrontal cortex. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41593-026-02333-w
| 2 | Last year, the best models was an unreleased Gemini Deep Think and a experimental OpenAI model which both did 35/42.
This year, 3 models that are open for public use, including a (soon) open weight one, did it for $10-50!
Thread: https://x.com/deedydas/status/2079409461874332066
Lean (from Axiom): https://github.com/AxiomMath/IMO2026
Fable: https://github.com/deedy/imo-2026/blob/main/solutions/claude-fable-5.pdf
Sol: https://github.com/deedy/imo-2026/blob/main/solutions/gpt-5.6-sol-xhigh.pdf
Kimi K3: https://github.com/deedy/imo-2026/blob/main/solutions/kimi-k3.pdf
Repo: https://github.com/deedy/imo-2026/blob/main/REPORT.md | 305 |
| 3 | Russia’s Finance Ministry has suspended auctions of new federal government bonds (OFZ) for an unspecified period, officially “to help stabilize the market.”
Russia normally finances part of its budget deficit by selling OFZ bonds.
The announcement comes shortly after reporting that Russia’s 2026 deficit is likely to be revised upward by more than ₽1 trillion. The first-half federal deficit had already reached about ₽5.73 trillion, while projected annual spending was raised to ₽45.11 trillion.
Source: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/8830803 | 451 |
| 4 | I think it’s going to make being a mathematician not a profession anymore. I don’t think mathematics is unique in that.
– Jacob Tsimerman, who next week will be crowned a Fields Medalist
He also says that there's a good chance AI will lead to human extinction.
Source: https://www.ams.org/journals/notices/202607/noti3372/noti3372.html | 461 |
| 5 | Update: https://aaronlou.com/jacobian_counterexample_derivation.pdf
OpenAI's internal version of Codex *also* finds a similar counterexample.
It's been confirmed that this was fully autonomous work by the model, done in one shot, and without use of any harness. The prompt has also been publicly released!
P.S. OpenAI had to pause internal deployment of the unreleased model that disproved the Erdős unit distance conjecture after it repeatedly used novel ways to escape containment. https://openai.com/index/safety-alignment-long-horizon-models/ | 1 203 |
| 6 | Fields Medalist Timothy Gowers believes the 2030 Fields Medal in mathematics could be the last awarded to a human.
Link to tweet: https://x.com/wtgowers/status/2078751785951400138
Also check his comment on the Jacobian conjecture: https://x.com/wtgowers/status/2079176971322302956 | 482 |
| 7 | Regarding the Jacobian conjecture that was just solved with the help of AI:
The problem of Jacobian Conjecture is very hard. Perhaps it will take human being another 100 years to solve it.
– T. T. Moh is Tzuong-Tsieng Moh, in 2006
Paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/math/0604049
He isn't just some random guy. When he wrote this, he had already spent decades working on the problem and had seen repeated false proofs. | 1 011 |
| 8 | Yet another historic example of AI functioning as a mathematical research instrument: https://x.com/jdlichtman/status/2079066717762863249
AI helped disprove the famous Jacobian conjecture, an open math problem dating back to 1939.
The remarkable part is that the result comes as an explicit counterexample: a concrete formula that can be checked directly and appears to satisfy the conjecture’s assumptions while still failing its conclusion. | 516 |
| 9 | Finally, a good robotics demonstration from Unitree! This is far more impressive than dancing or running. It's like the difference between the cerebellum and the prefrontal–parietal cortex.
Quote: Unitree UnifoLM-OminiA-0.3 — a single model handling diverse home-care and wellness tasks, with omni-modal interactive understanding, fully autonomous, stable and disturbance-resistant execution.
Still not SOTA. Compare:
- https://www.sunday.ai/blog/act-2-preview
- https://www.figure.ai/news/helix-02-bedroom-tidy
- https://www.genesis.ai/blog/gene-26-5-advancing-robotic-manipulation-to-human-level | 549 |
| 10 | If Ukraine manages to deploy the FP-9 ballistic missile before winter, we may witness a coordinated attack involving drones, cruise missiles, and ballistic missiles on Moscow.
Does anyone know what stage of the demilitarization of Ukraine this will mark? And will Putin be satisfied with this, or will he demand further militarization? | 530 |
| 11 | At its peak, today at 5 am local time, the cloud created by the explosion of the Wildberry object east of Moscow due to Ukrainian drone attacks crossed Ukraine's border and reached Shostka, Konotop, and even Romny. | 542 |
| 12 | An interactive map that tracks Russian gas station fuel availability based on Russian banking apps that track transactions at gas stations: https://maps.tochnyi.info/regionsmap.html | 547 |
| 13 | 2019: “It can count to five. Astonishing.”
2026: “It merely solved a problem Erdős couldn’t. Button-pushing.”
2033: “Yes, but mathematics doesn’t really require reasoning.” | 519 |
| 14 | I've started making calendar entries for such bets and predictions. Recommend you do that as well to get a better grasp of how reliable AI predictions are. If you connect ChatGPT to Google Calendar, you can upload a screenshot and ask it to make a fitting entry.
https://x.com/ChrSzegedy/status/2078636777305428225 | 516 |
| 15 | Today's attack on Kyiv again demonstrates that Russia is good at propaganda. They know how retarded their audience is. Spending weeks of missiles production on a single location looks impressive.
This doesn't change the fact that Ukraine has hit many more critical targets over the past weeks than Russia. And with much cheaper means.
July attacks:
- 176 Russian vessels
- 11 refineries
- 6 oil depots
- 96 energy nodes connected to Crimea
- Destruction of a Tu-95MS at Engels-2
- One of Russia's largest logistics complexes
And this is just a small selection that ignores many hundreds of mid-range strikes.
Remember that Russia has much more to lose than to gain. The best-case scenario is a destroyed Donbas, which won't improve the lives of ordinary Russians. On the other hand, Ukraine has everything to lose: their freedom and their children. This huge asymmetry favors Ukraine. | 507 |
| 16 | I'm still not convinced that Ukraine should devote so many resources to ballistic missile defense. Defense is extremely unreliable and favors the attacker (hitting a bullet with a bullet).
Ukraine needs inexpensive ballistic missiles that can reach Moscow in order to immediately mirror any attack. They don't even need to be accurate. Russians just need to know that Moscow will burn each time they attack Ukraine. | 513 |
| 17 | The Geometry of Integration by Parts. | 519 |
| 18 | Kimi-K3 (max) scores only 39% on FrontierMath Tier 4.
7% lower than the best US models from 7 months ago.
https://epoch.ai/benchmarks/frontiermath-tier-4-v2
[I wouldn't read too much into this. Remember when Anthropic was bad at math, and then suddenly it wasn't? I expect the Chinese to be fully capable of achieving state-of-the-art performance in math. Given compute constraints and time pressure (Xi's speech), they focused on coding.] | 612 |
| 19 | In Bruges (2008) | 555 |
| 20 | 6 belts are anchored on the outside to a fixed frame and on the inside to a spinning cube. Although the cube spins continuously in one direction the belts never become tangled. The belts return to their original configuration when the cube has rotated 720 degrees.
Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Belt_Trick.ogv | 572 |
