Axis of Ordinary
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Memetic and cognitive hazards. Substack: https://axisofordinary.substack.com/
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Дописи каналу
Havana Syndrome is real: a documented Russian attack on US intel and security officials. Yet pseudoscience arguments doubting the tech persist. All you need to know is that the microwave oven exists and pulsed electromagnetic radiation can demonstrably be used to deliver energy into human tissue.
Read more: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2026/oct/10/havana-syndrome-mystery-cia-russia
| 2 | Jacob Tsimerman, who won the Fields Medal this year:
Pretty soon we're going to have proofs that no one understands... and based on that mathematics, other things are going to work. Does a train run, even if no one understands the mechanics by which it runs? Yes, it does.
Watch the full interview (>2 months old): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6uIJdXmB4vE | 346 |
| 3 | Немає тексту... | 1 226 |
| 4 | Total moral bankruptcy. | 522 |
| 5 | Any nascent AI aspirations Russia might have had will be rather difficult to pursue if your data centers get bombed.
Putin remains the master strategist. | 529 |
| 6 | This piece of shit doesn't dare to criticize China. All he can do is to punch down against small democracies like Canada or countries literally fighting for the freedom and independence of their people.
Remember, Musk voted for Obama and Hillary Clinton when that was still the overwhelming mood amongst powerful people and only dared to move against woke insanity when it was already retreating. When Musk bought Twitter, the frequency of terms associated with racism, sexism, discrimination, and social justice in major American news outlets had already begun declining.
Just check his latest interview in which he praises Xi as a great leader and China as a majestic country. He's a weak and servile sycophant.
P.S. Also remember how the treated the British diver who criticized him. He's always been an insecure school bully. Someone who feels the need to lie about being good at video games is the epitome of insecurity. | 586 |
| 7 | by https://x.com/badiucao/status/1890201056040395017 | 592 |
| 8 | The most important lesson to learn from France's Mistral is that most reasons cited for Europe not having its own frontier AI models are wrong.
Mistral Large 4 scores 38 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index versus 53 for GPT‑6 Astra, trained on a cluster roughly 26× smaller. And the model hasn't even finished post-training.
This shows that Europe's problem is predominantly a lack of funding:
- It isn't regulation in general: Commiefornia, and the San Francisco Bay Area in particular, are some of the most heavily regulated places in the West.
- It isn't expensive energy: There are places in Europe, such as Finland, with cheap energy and that are pro-nuclear. If AI labs based in the San Francisco Bay Area can build data centers in Texas, European AI labs based in Paris or Berlin could do the same and build their data centers in other European countries with cheaper energy.
- It isn't crime, immigrants, or radical wokeness: Several of OpenAI's top researchers, including Jakub Pachocki, Wojciech Zaremba, and Szymon Sidor, are Polish. Poland is exactly the country many on the right hold up as the European model: safe, conservative, few migrants. And yet they left for San Francisco, a left-wing hellhole with homeless encampments and shops locking up toothpaste.
- It isn't free speech: China has far less free speech than any European country, yet Hangzhou produced DeepSeek and Qwen, and Beijing has Moonshot and Zhipu.
Talent clearly isn't the constraint in Europe. If Mistral had enough funding to build larger data centers, there is little reason to believe that they wouldn't be capable of training a model close to the frontier.
Europe's main problem, above all else, is that not enough of Europe's wealth flows into high-risk, high-upside technology bets. Europe is much weaker at turning the resources it has into large, risk-taking, well-capitalized companies that can pay world-class salaries.
London-based DeepMind is another example showing that a frontier lab can thrive in Europe, as long as an American tech giant pays for the compute. Europe has the talent and the ecosystem. What it lacks is the money.
We in Europe need to stop focusing on politically convenient, yet fake, explanations and start spending bigly. | 739 |
| 9 | Donald Trump, having driven diesel prices to record highs by launching a failed war against Iran, now announces the U.S. will be buying diesel fuel from Russia, directly funding their war against Ukraine.
The idea of this is not to bring diesel prices down. The idea is to stop Ukraine from striking Russian refineries and safe Russian energy sector.
As if depleting interceptors to leave Ukraine defenseless during winter wasn't already bad enough.
He's Russia's best asset. | 674 |
| 10 | A live tracker for the community effort for optimizing the "Integer multiplication below n log n" mathematical problem: https://beyond-n-log-n.netlify.app/
Code: https://github.com/Paureel/beyond-n-log-n
Comment by Christian Szegedy (who predicted this years ago): Up until last year, all these results would be papers separated by years, waiting for peer review for months, communicated in arxiv papers first, published after a year in some journal.
Now, all that research using AI and formal tools can be compressed into hours. | 667 |
| 11 | Немає тексту... | 668 |
| 12 | https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/117406176604364910 | 830 |
| 13 | obligation | 1 |
| 14 | A blast from the past. Nov 30, 2022.
Links:
1. https://x.com/MichaelTrazzi/status/1597755209324711936
2. https://research.google/blog/minerva-solving-quantitative-reasoning-problems-with-language-models/
3. https://arxiv.org/pdf/1705.08807#page=16 | 635 |
| 15 | Interview with Firepoint CEO Iryna Terekh: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9GbJwjV9sL0&t=1s
...if one private company can bring the whole country to, let's say, a VIP league of an operators of their own independent ballistic missiles with no kill switch—we don't have to ask now anybody if we want to conduct self-defense. And this is another big step for Ukraine. If one private company were able to do this, we also have multiple private companies that did this in other domains with different type of weapons by themselves. When the full-scale invasion started, I think we have—we had round about like, probably 10 to 20 different private companies in the market. Right now, there is more than 3,000 companies.
...Every component that you did not make yourself, this is a possible bottleneck that will stop you from doing whatever. We have in Fire Point ITAR-free policy and, as much as possible, China-free policy. We cannot avoid completely Chinese components, but we at least try to avoid electronic components from China, because the Chinese governance, unfortunately, makes all the manufacturers leave the back door for any electronic component, which could be used in any given time to in any unpredictable way. So, I'm extremely—I have a huge trust issues, and I'm localizing and verticalizing things as crazy at Fire Point. I'm very proud of the level how vertically integrated we are. Is it healthy from a business perspective? Probably not that much, there could be more optimal ways to do business. But this is definitely healthy from a national security interest... | 593 |
| 16 | After coming to power in eastern Germany, the first thing the Russian-flag-waving, fake patriots of the German Alternative for Germany (AfD) do, with the support of the far left, is try to throw white patriots under the bus.
Let's take a look at some of their disingenuous arguments for stopping Ukraine support:
1. Ukrainians are forced to fight and die.
First, the AfD officially supports conscription in Germany. This is obviously correct, since a country that depends on approval ratings during war would be seen as an easy victim by totalitarian states, which would increase the probability of war.
Second, withdrawing monetary support won't prevent more Ukrainians from dying. In fact, it will force them to rely more on human mobilization because the state won't be able to pay for drones to replace infantry.
Giving up simply isn't an option for them. As we saw at the beginning of the war, Russia's first action was to conduct a mass mobilization in occupied eastern Ukraine and use Ukrainians as cannon fodder against their own people. In other words, Ukrainians don't have the option of surrendering. They must either fight and die now or die later for Russia in its future wars.
In any case, the idea that Ukrainians are unwilling to fight has been in error since even before it started. Putin obviously thought that Ukraine would give up much faster. And the Russians and their useful idiots are still making the same mistake, believing that Ukraine solely relies on unwilling conscripts. This is starkly contradicted by the fact that Russia's advance is now the slowest it has been in years.
2. Ukraine is corrupt.
First, how do you imagine they can withstand a much bigger country when our support is going into the pockets of oligarchs instead of being used to fight Russia? In other words, why do you think Russia sucks so much at war?
In any case, even if Ukraine were corrupt... How does that justify throwing the Ukrainian people under the bus? Imagine if Germany was attacked. You're on the front lines, fighting the invaders for your nation's freedom. Now, imagine reading that our allies want to abandon you and everyone in your country because Friedrich Merz is corrupt. How would you feel about that?
3. Russia cannot be defeated. It's a nuclear power.
Imagine if Putin called tomorrow and demanded that East Germany join the Russian Federation. Or, Kim Jong Un calls and asks Germany for €500 billion. Otherwise, they will nuke Germany.
Would such threats become more or less likely if they knew that Germany was willing to give in?
The whole idea that one should not fight overwhelming forces is completely illusory. It's an ivory tower idea that would actually increase the probability of nuclear blackmail and wars.
Furthermore, supporting Ukraine has never been about winning. It's about deterring future wars of aggression by increasing the expected cost to aggressors. The more losses Russia suffers, the less likely it and other countries will be to take similar actions.
For example, imagine Iran had surrendered to Trump as quickly as Venezuela did. This would have massively encouraged Trump to take similar actions elsewhere.
If international order ceases to exist, everyone will pay the price. You will personally pay the price when shipping routes are no longer safe, pipelines are blown up, and every country raises its taxes to protect itself from rampant inter-state aggression. | 516 |
| 17 | Scott Aaronson's wife, Dana Moshkovitz, on OpenAI's Unique Games Conjecture (UGC) proof:
The UGC proof invents a completely new bizarre code with a noise test. It’s some crazy recursive construction.
It’s not the long code, not the short code – some alien craziness
I've seen a bunch of similar comments from experts now. There are some truly novel ("alien") things happening; real creativity. The idea of "stochastic parrots" is now pretty much dead.
Also:
I asked Astra for reasonable completeness and soundness claims of the noise gadget and it gave them by combining claims from all over the paper
I'm pretty sure that it would have been easy for OpenAI to spend additional compute on making the proofs more readable. They likely wanted to keep it as close to the ground truth as possible.
Source: https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=10169 | 594 |
| 18 | Cryptography is now under attack from both mathematical superintelligence and quantum computing research.
It is probably worth thinking about transferring a modest amount of assets into physical valuables that cannot be hacked. | 856 |
| 19 | Mistral Large 4 delivers performance within just 2 points of Claude Opus 4.8 (High) at a nearly 6× lower blended price: $3.47/M vs. $20/M tokens: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev
The cool thing here is that they achieved this with merely 4,000 Nvidia Grace Blackwell GPUs. For comparison, GPT-6 Astra was trained on 100,000 of them.
---
I really hope Mistral doesn't give up. Even if European AI stays uncompetitive, it's very important to at least have a fallback option to ease exposure to foreign blackmail based on withholding access. | 804 |
| 20 | OpenAI is releasing a broad range of new mathematical results produced by an internal frontier model.
The current catalogue contains 722 manuscripts organized into 372 families.
On average, each result used three hours of ChatGPT Pro thinking compute with that model. Over the course of the evaluation, the model was posed approximately 4,000 problems.
Read more: https://github.com/openai/math | 809 |
