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CTRINE

CTRINE

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๋ธ”๋กœ๊ทธ/ํŠธ์œ„ํ„ฐ https://blog.naver.com/teamctrine https://x.com/mongbit ์ฐจํŠธ๋ถ„์„ https://t.me/tactrine https://open.kakao.com/o/gkpoE0oe (์†Œํ†ต๋ฐฉ/์ฝ”๋“œ 8000) ๋ฌธ์˜ : @ctrine_mong (๋ ˆํผ๋Ÿด ๋ฌธ์˜๋Š” ๋ฐ›์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.) (๊ฐœ์ธ์ ์ธ ๊ฒฌํ•ด, ๋ถ„์„์ด ๋“ค์–ด๊ฐ€๋Š” ๊ธ€์€ ์ถœ์ฒ˜๋ฅผ ์˜ฌ๋ฆฝ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.)

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CTRINE
์ง€๋‚œ์ฃผ, ํŽ€๋“œ ๋งค๋‹ˆ์ €๋“ค์ด ์ตœ๊ทผ ๊ธ‰๋“ฑ์„ธ์— ํž˜์ž…์–ด ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ฃผ(ํŠนํžˆ ๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด) ๋น„์ค‘์„ ๋Œ€ํญ ๋Š˜๋ฆฐ ์ƒํƒœ์—์„œ ๋ถ„๊ธฐ๋ง ๋ฆฌ๋ฐธ๋Ÿฐ์‹ฑ์— ๋‚˜์„œ๋Š” ๋ชจ์Šต์„ ๋ณด์˜€์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
์ง€๋‚œ์ฃผ, ํŽ€๋“œ ๋งค๋‹ˆ์ €๋“ค์ด ์ตœ๊ทผ ๊ธ‰๋“ฑ์„ธ์— ํž˜์ž…์–ด ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ฃผ(ํŠนํžˆ ๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด) ๋น„์ค‘์„ ๋Œ€ํญ ๋Š˜๋ฆฐ ์ƒํƒœ์—์„œ ๋ถ„๊ธฐ๋ง ๋ฆฌ๋ฐธ๋Ÿฐ์‹ฑ์— ๋‚˜์„œ๋Š” ๋ชจ์Šต์„ ๋ณด์˜€์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

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์‚ฌ์ƒ ์ฒ˜์Œ์œผ๋กœ ์‹ ์ถ• ์ฃผํƒ์ด ๊ธฐ์กด ์ฃผํƒ๋ณด๋‹ค ํ• ์ธ๋œ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์œผ๋กœ ํŒ๋งค
์‚ฌ์ƒ ์ฒ˜์Œ์œผ๋กœ ์‹ ์ถ• ์ฃผํƒ์ด ๊ธฐ์กด ์ฃผํƒ๋ณด๋‹ค ํ• ์ธ๋œ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์œผ๋กœ ํŒ๋งค
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๋จธ์Šคํฌ์˜ ์žฌ์‚ฐ์€ ์•„์‹œ์•„ 20๋Œ€ ๋ถ€ํ˜ธ์˜ ์žฌ์‚ฐ์„ ํ•ฉ์นœ ๊ฒƒ๋ณด๋‹ค ๋งŽ๋‹ค.
๋จธ์Šคํฌ์˜ ์žฌ์‚ฐ์€ ์•„์‹œ์•„ 20๋Œ€ ๋ถ€ํ˜ธ์˜ ์žฌ์‚ฐ์„ ํ•ฉ์นœ ๊ฒƒ๋ณด๋‹ค ๋งŽ๋‹ค.
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๋งˆ์ดํฌ๋กœ์†Œํ”„ํŠธ, 2000๋…„ ์ดํ›„ ์ตœ์•…์˜ ์›”๊ฐ„ ์‹ค์ ์„ ๊ธฐ๋กํ•  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
๋งˆ์ดํฌ๋กœ์†Œํ”„ํŠธ, 2000๋…„ ์ดํ›„ ์ตœ์•…์˜ ์›”๊ฐ„ ์‹ค์ ์„ ๊ธฐ๋กํ•  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
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์ด๋ฒˆ ๋น„ํŠธ์ฝ”์ธ โ€‹โ€‹ํญ๋ฝ์€ ์—ญ์‚ฌ์ƒ ๊ฐ€์žฅ ์•ฝํ•œ ํญ๋ฝ 2011๋…„์— ๋น„ํŠธ์ฝ”์ธ์„ ๋ณด์œ ํ–ˆ๋˜ ์‚ฌ๋žŒ๋“ค์€ 93% ์†์‹ค์„ ๋ดค์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ง€๊ธˆ์€ 53% ์†์‹ค์„ ๋ณด๊ณ  ์žˆ๋Š” ์ƒํ™ฉ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
์ด๋ฒˆ ๋น„ํŠธ์ฝ”์ธ โ€‹โ€‹ํญ๋ฝ์€ ์—ญ์‚ฌ์ƒ ๊ฐ€์žฅ ์•ฝํ•œ ํญ๋ฝ 2011๋…„์— ๋น„ํŠธ์ฝ”์ธ์„ ๋ณด์œ ํ–ˆ๋˜ ์‚ฌ๋žŒ๋“ค์€ 93% ์†์‹ค์„ ๋ดค์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ง€๊ธˆ์€ 53% ์†์‹ค์„ ๋ณด๊ณ  ์žˆ๋Š” ์ƒํ™ฉ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
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์—”๋น„๋””์•„ ๋‚ด๋ถ€์ž ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ 2008๋…„๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ์—”๋น„๋””์•„์˜ ๋‘ ๋ฒˆ์งธ๋กœ ํฐ ์ฃผ์ฃผ์ด์ž ์ด์‚ฌํšŒ ๋ฉค๋ฒ„์˜€๋˜ ๋งˆํฌ ์Šคํ‹ฐ๋ธ์Šค๊ฐ€ 1์–ต 8600๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ์ƒ๋‹น์˜ ์ฃผ์‹์„ ๋งค๋„ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
์—”๋น„๋””์•„ ๋‚ด๋ถ€์ž ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ 2008๋…„๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ์—”๋น„๋””์•„์˜ ๋‘ ๋ฒˆ์งธ๋กœ ํฐ ์ฃผ์ฃผ์ด์ž ์ด์‚ฌํšŒ ๋ฉค๋ฒ„์˜€๋˜ ๋งˆํฌ ์Šคํ‹ฐ๋ธ์Šค๊ฐ€ 1์–ต 8600๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ์ƒ๋‹น์˜ ์ฃผ์‹์„ ๋งค๋„ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
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์ฑ„ํŒ…๋ฐฉ https://open.kakao.com/o/gkpoE0oe (์ฝ”๋“œ 8000) ๋“ค์–ด์˜ค์‹œ๋ฉด ๊ณต์ง€๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ๋ด์ฃผ์„ธ์š”^^ ์•„๋‹ˆ๋ฉด ๋ฐ”๋กœ ๊ฐ•ํ‡ด์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ฐ•ํ‡ด๋‹นํ•˜์‹ ๋ถ„๋“ค ํ•ญ์†Œ๋Š” ๋Œ“๊ธ€๋กœํ•˜์„ธ์š”~ Ta๋ฐฉ https://t.me/tactrine ์ฃผ์ธ์žฅ ํŠธ์œ„ํ„ฐ https://x.com/ctrine96
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์ด๊ฒŒ ๋ญ๊ณ ...ใ…ใ…Š??? ์ค„๊ฑฐ๋ฆฌ: ์ฃผ์‹ ์‹คํŒจ๋กœ ๊ฑฐ์•ก์˜ ๋นš์„ ๋– ์•ˆ๊ณ  ์ ˆ๋งํ•˜๋˜ ์ฃผ์ธ๊ณต '๋‚˜๋ˆ”'์ด ์ธ์ƒ์„ ํฌ๊ธฐํ•˜๋ ค๋˜ ์ˆœ๊ฐ„, '๊ณต์‚ฐ๋‹น'์ด๋ผ๋Š” ์ˆ˜์ƒํ•œ ์…ฐ์–ดํ•˜์šฐ์Šค๋กœ ์ดˆ๋Œ€์žฅ์„ ๋ฐ›์œผ๋ฉฐ ๋ฒŒ์–ด์ง€๋Š” ์ด์•ผ๊ธฐ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์‚ฌ์œ ์žฌ์‚ฐ ์ฒ ํ์™€ ๊ณต๋™ ๋ถ„๋ฐฐ๋ฅผ ๋ชจ
์ด๊ฒŒ ๋ญ๊ณ ...ใ…ใ…Š??? ์ค„๊ฑฐ๋ฆฌ: ์ฃผ์‹ ์‹คํŒจ๋กœ ๊ฑฐ์•ก์˜ ๋นš์„ ๋– ์•ˆ๊ณ  ์ ˆ๋งํ•˜๋˜ ์ฃผ์ธ๊ณต '๋‚˜๋ˆ”'์ด ์ธ์ƒ์„ ํฌ๊ธฐํ•˜๋ ค๋˜ ์ˆœ๊ฐ„, '๊ณต์‚ฐ๋‹น'์ด๋ผ๋Š” ์ˆ˜์ƒํ•œ ์…ฐ์–ดํ•˜์šฐ์Šค๋กœ ์ดˆ๋Œ€์žฅ์„ ๋ฐ›์œผ๋ฉฐ ๋ฒŒ์–ด์ง€๋Š” ์ด์•ผ๊ธฐ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์‚ฌ์œ ์žฌ์‚ฐ ์ฒ ํ์™€ ๊ณต๋™ ๋ถ„๋ฐฐ๋ฅผ ๋ชจํ† ๋กœ ํ•˜๋Š” ์ด ๊ธฐ๋ฌ˜ํ•œ ๊ณต๋™์ฒด์—์„œ, ๋ˆ์— ์ƒ์ฒ˜๋ฐ›์€ ์‚ฌ๋žŒ๋“ค์ด ์„œ๋กœ์˜ ๊ฒฐํ•์„ ์ฑ„์šฐ๋ฉฐ ์‚ด์•„๊ฐ€๋Š” ๊ณผ์ •์„ ์†๋„๊ฐ ์žˆ๊ฒŒ ๊ทธ๋ ค๋ƒˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
1 554
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SK์™€ ์‚ผ์„ฑ์˜ ํ–ฅํ›„ 10๋…„๊ฐ„ ํˆฌ์ž์•ก์€ 1์กฐ 3์ฒœ์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์— ๋‹ฌํ•  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋˜๋ฉฐ, ์ด๋Š” ์ง€๋‚œ์ฃผ ๋ณด๋„๋œ 1,000์กฐ ์›(6,500์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ)์˜ ๋‘ ๋ฐฐ์— ํ•ด๋‹นํ•˜๋Š” ์ˆ˜์น˜์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
SK์™€ ์‚ผ์„ฑ์˜ ํ–ฅํ›„ 10๋…„๊ฐ„ ํˆฌ์ž์•ก์€ 1์กฐ 3์ฒœ์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์— ๋‹ฌํ•  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋˜๋ฉฐ, ์ด๋Š” ์ง€๋‚œ์ฃผ ๋ณด๋„๋œ 1,000์กฐ ์›(6,500์–ต ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ)์˜ ๋‘ ๋ฐฐ์— ํ•ด๋‹นํ•˜๋Š” ์ˆ˜์น˜์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
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์ธ๋ฅ˜์˜ 72%๋Š” ์ธ๊ณต์ง€๋Šฅ์„ ์ ‘ํ•ด๋ณธ ์ ์ด ์—†์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค
์ธ๋ฅ˜์˜ 72%๋Š” ์ธ๊ณต์ง€๋Šฅ์„ ์ ‘ํ•ด๋ณธ ์ ์ด ์—†์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค
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ํญ์Šค๋ฐ”๊ฒ, ์ตœ๋Œ€ 10๋งŒ ๋ช… ๊ฐ์› ๊ณ„ํš
ํญ์Šค๋ฐ”๊ฒ, ์ตœ๋Œ€ 10๋งŒ ๋ช… ๊ฐ์› ๊ณ„ํš
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AI๋Š” ๋‹ท์ปด ๋ฒ„๋ธ”, '๊ด‘๋ž€์˜ 20๋…„๋Œ€', ๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  19์„ธ๊ธฐ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ์˜ ์ฒ ๋„ ๊ฑด์„ค ๋ถ์„ ํฌํ•จํ•œ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ์˜ ํ˜ธํ™ฉ๊ณผ ๋ถˆํ™ฉ ์‚ฌ์ดํด๋ณด๋‹ค ํ›จ์”ฌ ์•ž์„œ ๋‚˜๊ฐ€๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
AI๋Š” ๋‹ท์ปด ๋ฒ„๋ธ”, '๊ด‘๋ž€์˜ 20๋…„๋Œ€', ๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  19์„ธ๊ธฐ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ์˜ ์ฒ ๋„ ๊ฑด์„ค ๋ถ์„ ํฌํ•จํ•œ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ์˜ ํ˜ธํ™ฉ๊ณผ ๋ถˆํ™ฉ ์‚ฌ์ดํด๋ณด๋‹ค ํ›จ์”ฌ ์•ž์„œ ๋‚˜๊ฐ€๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
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๊ฐ ๋น„ํŠธ์ฝ”์ธ ์•ฝ์„ธ์žฅ์€ ์ด์ „ ๊ฒƒ๋ณด๋‹ค ๋” ์™„๋งŒํ•ด์ง‘๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์™œ๋ƒํ•˜๋ฉด ๋†’์€ ํ™•์‹ ์„ ๊ฐ€์ง„ ๋งค์ˆ˜์ž๋“ค์˜ ๋ฌผ๊ฒฐ์ด ๋งค๋…„ ๋” ๊ฐ•ํ•ด์ง€๊ธฐ ๋•Œ๋ฌธ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
๊ฐ ๋น„ํŠธ์ฝ”์ธ ์•ฝ์„ธ์žฅ์€ ์ด์ „ ๊ฒƒ๋ณด๋‹ค ๋” ์™„๋งŒํ•ด์ง‘๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์™œ๋ƒํ•˜๋ฉด ๋†’์€ ํ™•์‹ ์„ ๊ฐ€์ง„ ๋งค์ˆ˜์ž๋“ค์˜ ๋ฌผ๊ฒฐ์ด ๋งค๋…„ ๋” ๊ฐ•ํ•ด์ง€๊ธฐ ๋•Œ๋ฌธ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
1 719
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๊ณจ๋“œ๋งŒ ์‚ญ์Šค ๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜๋Š” ํ–ฅํ›„ 12๊ฐœ์›” ๋™์•ˆ์˜ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์นจ์ฒด ์œ„ํ—˜ ์ถ”์ •์น˜๋ฅผ 25%์—์„œ ์žฅ๊ธฐ ํ‰๊ท ์ธ 15%๋กœ ๋‚ฎ์ท„์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด๋Š” ์ „์Ÿ ์ง์ „ ์šฐ๋ฆฌ ๊ฒฝ์ œํ•™์ž๋“ค์˜ 20% ์ถ”์ •์น˜๋ณด๋‹ค ๋‚ฎ์€ ์ˆ˜์ค€์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
๊ณจ๋“œ๋งŒ ์‚ญ์Šค ๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜๋Š” ํ–ฅํ›„ 12๊ฐœ์›” ๋™์•ˆ์˜ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ์นจ์ฒด ์œ„ํ—˜ ์ถ”์ •์น˜๋ฅผ 25%์—์„œ ์žฅ๊ธฐ ํ‰๊ท ์ธ 15%๋กœ ๋‚ฎ์ท„์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด๋Š” ์ „์Ÿ ์ง์ „ ์šฐ๋ฆฌ ๊ฒฝ์ œํ•™์ž๋“ค์˜ 20% ์ถ”์ •์น˜๋ณด๋‹ค ๋‚ฎ์€ ์ˆ˜์ค€์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
1 450
16
SpaceX $SPCX ์ฑ„๊ถŒ ์ˆ˜์ต๋ฅ ์ด ๊ธˆ์š”์ผ์— ๊ฑฐ์˜ 6%๊นŒ์ง€ ์ƒ์Šนํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ด๋Š” ํšŒ์‚ฌ์˜ ์ฑ„๊ถŒ์ด ํˆฌ์ž ๋“ฑ๊ธ‰์ด ์•„๋‹Œ ์ •ํฌ ๋“ฑ๊ธ‰ ์ฐจ์ž…์ž์™€ ์—ฐ๊ด€๋œ ์ˆ˜์ค€์— ๋” ๊ฐ€๊นŒ์ด ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Œ์„ ์˜๋ฏธํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค
SpaceX $SPCX ์ฑ„๊ถŒ ์ˆ˜์ต๋ฅ ์ด ๊ธˆ์š”์ผ์— ๊ฑฐ์˜ 6%๊นŒ์ง€ ์ƒ์Šนํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ด๋Š” ํšŒ์‚ฌ์˜ ์ฑ„๊ถŒ์ด ํˆฌ์ž ๋“ฑ๊ธ‰์ด ์•„๋‹Œ ์ •ํฌ ๋“ฑ๊ธ‰ ์ฐจ์ž…์ž์™€ ์—ฐ๊ด€๋œ ์ˆ˜์ค€์— ๋” ๊ฐ€๊นŒ์ด ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Œ์„ ์˜๋ฏธํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค
1 310
17
์ค‘์•™์€ํ–‰๋“ค์€ 1๋ถ„๊ธฐ์— ๊ณต์‹์ ์œผ๋กœ ์ธ์ •ํ–ˆ๋˜ ๊ฒƒ๋ณด๋‹ค 15๋ฐฐ ๋” ๋งŽ์€ ๊ธˆ์„ ๋ชฐ๋ž˜ ๋งค์ž…ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์„ธ๊ณ„๊ธˆํ˜‘ํšŒ๋Š” 244ํ†ค์ด ์ถ”๊ฐ€๋˜์—ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐํ˜”์œผ๋‚˜, ๊ณต์‹ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ๋Š” 16ํ†ค๋งŒ์„ ๋ณด์—ฌ์ค€๋‹ค.
์ค‘์•™์€ํ–‰๋“ค์€ 1๋ถ„๊ธฐ์— ๊ณต์‹์ ์œผ๋กœ ์ธ์ •ํ–ˆ๋˜ ๊ฒƒ๋ณด๋‹ค 15๋ฐฐ ๋” ๋งŽ์€ ๊ธˆ์„ ๋ชฐ๋ž˜ ๋งค์ž…ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์„ธ๊ณ„๊ธˆํ˜‘ํšŒ๋Š” 244ํ†ค์ด ์ถ”๊ฐ€๋˜์—ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐํ˜”์œผ๋‚˜, ๊ณต์‹ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ๋Š” 16ํ†ค๋งŒ์„ ๋ณด์—ฌ์ค€๋‹ค.
1 657
18
์„ธ๊ณ„ 50๋Œ€ ์ž์‚ฐ์šด์šฉ์‚ฌ
์„ธ๊ณ„ 50๋Œ€ ์ž์‚ฐ์šด์šฉ์‚ฌ
3 251
19
์ข†๊ฐœ๋ฏธ๊ฐ€ ์ฝ”์ธ๋ฒ„๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด๋กœ๊ฐ„๋‹คโ€ฆ ๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด? ๊ทธ๋ž˜ ๊ฐ€์„œ ์ž ๊น ๋ฒŒ์ˆ˜์žˆ๊ฒ ์ง€โ€ฆ ๊ทธ๊ฒŒ ์˜ค๋ž˜์ง€์†๋ ๊นŒ? ๋‹ˆ๋“ค์ด ํƒ”๋Š”๋ฐ? ๋น„ํŠธ์ฝ”์ธโ€ฆ ๋‚ด๋…„๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ๋น…๋กฑ ์„ ์–ธํ•˜๊ฒ ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค
1 395
20
๋งˆ์ดํด ๋ฒ„๋ฆฌ(Michael Burry)๊ฐ€ ๋ฐฉ๊ธˆ ๋งˆ์ดํฌ๋กœ์†Œํ”„ํŠธ($MSFT)์— ๋Œ€๊ฑฐ ํˆฌ์žํ•˜๋ฉฐ 2028๋…„ 12์›” ๋งŒ๊ธฐ ํ–‰์‚ฌ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ 700๋Œ€ ์ดˆ๋ฐ˜ LEAP ์ฝœ ์˜ต์…˜์„ ๋งค์ˆ˜ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค
๋งˆ์ดํด ๋ฒ„๋ฆฌ(Michael Burry)๊ฐ€ ๋ฐฉ๊ธˆ ๋งˆ์ดํฌ๋กœ์†Œํ”„ํŠธ($MSFT)์— ๋Œ€๊ฑฐ ํˆฌ์žํ•˜๋ฉฐ 2028๋…„ 12์›” ๋งŒ๊ธฐ ํ–‰์‚ฌ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ 700๋Œ€ ์ดˆ๋ฐ˜ LEAP ์ฝœ ์˜ต์…˜์„ ๋งค์ˆ˜ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค
1 340
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