现已上线！2025 年 Telegram 研究 — 年度关键洞察 
Thuletide
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Nationalist, Classical Liberal, moderate centrist (circa 1900). You can plagiarize any of my writing & content. Follow: t.me/racerealismchannel
显示更多📈 Telegram 频道 Thuletide 的分析概览
频道 Thuletide (@thuletide) 英语 语言赛道中的 是活跃参与者。目前社区聚集了 22 606 名订阅者，在 政治 类别中位列第 2 626，并在 美国 地区排名第 1 774 位。
📊 受众指标与增长动态
自 невідомо 创建以来，项目保持高速增长，吸引了 22 606 名订阅者。
根据 30 六月, 2026 的最新数据，频道保持稳定运转。过去 30 天订阅人数变化为 96，过去 24 小时变化为 -4，整体触达仍然可观。
- 认证状态： 未认证
- 互动率 (ER)： 平均受众互动率为 32.69%。内容发布后 24 小时内通常能获得 18.15% 的反应，占订阅者总量。
- 帖子覆盖： 每篇帖子平均可获得 7 386 次浏览，首日通常累积 4 100 次浏览。
- 互动与反馈： 受众积极参与，单帖平均反应数为 0。
- 主题关注点： 内容集中在 tattoo, retard, wing, act, birth 等核心主题上。
📝 描述与内容策略
作者将该频道定位为表达主观观点的平台：
“Nationalist, Classical Liberal, moderate centrist (circa 1900). You can plagiarize any of my writing & content. Follow: t.me/racerealismchannel”
凭借高频更新（最新数据采集于 01 七月, 2026），频道始终保持新鲜度与高覆盖。分析显示受众积极互动，使其成为 政治 类别中的关键影响点。
22 606
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-424 小时
+17 天
+9630 天
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| 日期 | 订阅者增长 | 提及 | 频道 | |
| 01 七月 | +11 |
频道帖子
| 2 | "X likely wants device fingerprints so they can track/deanonymize users" — turns out it was even worse than I imagined, they want your biometric data: face and actual fingerprints. https://t.me/thuletide/8200 | 871 |
| 3 | Looks like 2022 Thuletide was correct about the first part. I hope I'm not vindicated on the second.
https://t.me/thuletide/2688 | 1 217 |
| 4 |  New deanonymization feature on X/Twitter:
Mobile-based accounts are locked then forced to download the app and provide biometric data.
Web-based accounts are forced to "confirm they are human" by scanning a QR code with their mobile phones (leaking privacy-compromising device information), which begins the same biometric data harvesting process. | 3 822 |
| 5 |  Digital Panopticon Update: The KIDS Act passed within the House and only 32 Republicans voted against it.
It includes almost a dozen bills (e.g. the Kids Online Safety Act) aimed at throttling online freedom.
- Age verification for using websites that host porn or other sexual content (this includes every social media platform)
- Age verification to send private messages
- Age verification to use in-game chats
- Most web/app features disabled by default unless age verified
- Restrictions on encrypted messaging
- Restrictions on AI chatbots
- Government-directed moderation / restriction of lawful speech
- etc.
As I said, while the digital ID agenda has bipartisan support in America, it is primarily pushed by myopic GOP tradcuck retards who either don't understand or don't care that they are playing directly in the hands of the left. These people are a plague. | 3 462 |
| 6 | Sex bias in hiring does exist! Women are favored while men are discriminated against.
A meta analysis of real-world experiments spanning over four decades (1976-2020) found that all hiring bias against women has disappeared in the studied countries (mostly the West + China).
Since the 2000s, women have been favored for "female-type" and "gender-balanced" jobs, and since the 2010s, even "male-type" jobs have reached sex parity, meaning women are favored for "all jobs." [An odds ratio above 1 = male bias, below 1 = female bias].
The paper also surveyed US laymen and academics, who both overestimated sex bias in hiring practices to a significant degree — i.e. they hallucinated nonexistent discrimination against women.
Source: On the trajectory of discrimination: A meta-analysis and forecasting survey capturing 44 years of field experiments on gender and hiring decisions (2023) | 5 519 |
| 7 | The most absurd aspect of this cuckservative push to "protect children" online is that the entirety of modern Western civilization is riddled with filth from top to bottom.
The shit kids see in the average city, the shit they see on TV, the shit they're taught in school, etc. can hardly be more harmful than the shit they see online.
To truly protect children, you'd have to take them off grid and live in the wilderness. Even then, you're likely to drive past a degenerate billboard or two.
Why don't they campaign to bring back modesty laws or something? | 7 247 |
| 8 | Digital ID in America is primarily pushed by cuckservative organizations and GOP lawmakers.
After Roe v. Wade was overturned, these bible-thumping busybodies needed a new flagship "save the kids" cause to virtue signal about: The total abolition of online anonymity.
They are playing directly into the hands of the left by further throttling the only relatively free source of information available today, while laying the foundations of European-style digital tyranny and a Chinese-style social credit system.
The Digital Childhood Alliance is funded by Meta btw. | 8 376 |
| 9 | Digital Panopticon Update: People who create a new Apple account in Texas will be asked to verify that they're over 18
"Apple will introduce age verification in the App Store for users in Texas starting on Thursday, June 4th. The move, as spotted by MacRumors, comes just days after a federal appeals court allowed Texas’ App Store Accountability Act to go into effect while a lawsuit against it proceeds."
"People in Texas who are creating a new Apple account will need to verify they’re over 18 using a credit card or government ID."
Source: Apple is bringing age verification to Texas this week | 3 580 |
| 10 | Early Medieval 'Slavic Period' (~600-900 AD) samples from southern Poland and northern Ukraine had variable levels of Germanic, Balkan, and Greco-Roman ancestry, as per the recent study on Slavic migrations (Gretzinger 2025). I think these early Slavs also had Scythian and minor Uralic ancestry.
It's currently unknown whether or not these samples represent the Proto-Slavic population, but I suspect that they don't.
They were found in close geographic proximity to the theorized Proto-Slavic homeland, but the Czechia_EarlySlav sample (also from the early Slavic Period) has significantly less Balkan, Germanic, and Scythian ancestry. I suspect that the Proto-Slavs were more similar to this sample — i.e. more Baltic-like — than those from Grodek and NW Ukraine. | 5 828 |
| 11 |  Nonsuicidal self-harm is 37% heritable for men and 59% heritable for women. | 4 532 |
| 12 | Rebel News uploaded the Montreal shooter's 104 page manifesto to their website. They claimed it was riddled with virulent anti-semitism, but Jews were only mentioned briefly in one footnote.
The shooter said that the "Zionist elites" are bad, but the problem in the West is "capitalism, not the Jewish race."
He then went on to praise Jews for being "some of the most renowned and effective combatants against the western bourgeois class."
https://www.rebelnews.com/manifesto_reveals_alleged_montreal_gunman_s_antisemitic_far_left_and_incel_ideology | 15 190 |
| 13 | Clown world failed mass shooting in Canada:
An incel communist tried to shoot up the HQ of a company in Montreal that operates multiple prominent pornography websites, including Pornhub.
The shooter killed a male muslim cop called Mohamed, then a female cop accidentally killed a fleeing civilian named Moshe Mizrahi, who happened to be a rabbi. The female cop was wounded, the shooter was killed (not by the female cop, obviously), and nobody else was harmed. | 9 319 |
| 14 | Cash transfers and fertility (2024):
In 2016, Poland began to give households a cash benefit of $130 USD per month per child under 18.
All families with 2+ children qualified regardless of income, as did low-income 1 child families.
The results of this policy were:
- Increased birth probability among women aged 31-35 (+1.8 percentage points) and 36-40 (+0.7 pp)
- Decreased birth probability among women aged 21-25 (-2.2 pp) and 26-30 (-2.6 pp).
- Negative effect among higher-income women (-1.1 pp).
- No significant effects for women under 21 or over 40.
Source: Cash transfers and fertility: Evidence from Poland’s Family 500+ Policy (n=87,006)
https://demographic-research.org/volumes/vol51/28/51-28.pdf
#fertility | 4 361 |
| 15 | If you give women UBI, they have less children. If you give their husbands UBI, they have more children.
Caveats: Study focused on low-income women and the experiment lasted two years; possible (but unlikely) that long-term fertility effects could differ from these results.
Source: How Changes in Cash Transfers Can Affect Childbearing Among Low‑Income Women: Evidence from the Finnish Basic Income Experiment (2025)
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10680-025-09735-9
#fertility | 9 213 |
| 16 | Housing and Fertility:
A recent study used Brazilian housing credit lotteries to investigate the relationship between home ownership and fertility.
20-25 year olds randomly obtaining housing increased their probability of having children by 32% and more children by 33%.
The lifetime fertility boost for 20 year old winners was double that of 30 year old winners.
The effect was stronger for men than women (other studies have found that financial/economic incentives increase male but not female TFR, see: https://t.me/thuletide/8097, https://t.me/thuletide/7921, https://t.me/thuletide/8102)
The housing lottery had effect on the fertility of winners over 40.
Source: Housing and Fertility (July 15, 2025)
https://ssrn.com/abstract=5046571
http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5046571
#fertility | 5 385 |
| 17 | Murder rate vs. incarceration rate in El Salvador, 2000-2024 | 3 898 |
| 18 | The age gap "pedophilia" moral panic, spawned by feminism and kicked into overdrive during the #MeToo era that began circa 2017, is a potentially civilization-ruining phenomenon. I am, of course, not referring to very real problems, like grooming gangs in Britain, but the fact that 18-year-old boys are frequently accused of being an "Epstein diddy blud" merely for talking to 17-year-old girls. If you wanted to vaporize our already plummeting birth rates, stigmatizing any age gap larger than that between identical twins is a great way to do it.
Girls typically reach physical sexual maturity (adult secondary sexual characteristics) between the ages of 15 and 17, while boys mature a couple of years later. Yet, it is disturbingly common to conflate an 18-year-old dating a 16-year-old — a relationship between two biological adults, legal everywhere in the West aside from a handful of deranged US states — with a 40-year-old raping a 9-year-old. Apparently, the people who do this have no problem with trivializing actual pedophilia (the sexual abuse of prepubescents), which causes immense and long-lasting harm.
The crux of this issue is that healthy male heterosexuality — the preference for younger but sexually mature women — has effectively been criminalized. Meanwhile, older-female age gap relationships are constantly celebrated by the Gynocratic World Order (see e.g. the safe-horny "dommy mommy" phenomenon), to the extent that female teachers who sleep with their male students are routinely spared jail time and socially excused: "Where was she when I was a student?!"
For all of human history until very recently, older-male-age-gap relationships were regarded as normal and good; the average age gap in America from 1850 to 1950 was 4.5 years. Even today, in face of widespread moral hysteria, the average 23-year-old white man and woman in the West prefer partners who are 2 and 3 years older than themselves, respectively. The evolutionary theory is simple: Men prefer fertile women, women prefer men who can provide for offspring; women are most fertile when young, men accumulate resources with age.
Older-male age-gap relationships produce more children, with total lifetime fertility peaking at +7 years (although the variation from +3 to +13 years is very small). The negative fertility effect of older wives begins immediately at +1 year and declines linearly; at +3.5 years, couples produce 0.5 fewer children, on average. Obviously, this is due to women's limited fertility window, which is much smaller than commonly believed: by age 31, ~10% of women are sterile and ~50% are subfertile (they have difficulty conceiving, decreased egg quality, etc).
In case it were not immediately obvious, I will state explicitly that I do not endorse procreation between e.g. 16-year-old girls and 60-year-old grandpas with mutationally-loaded sperm. The risk of deleterious de novo mutations increases with age, and while the effects are small, they compound over generations, as the botched are no longer filtered out of the genepool via natural selection. Moreover, Joseph Bronski has provided evidence of a paternal age effect on leftism, whereby older fathers produce more hereditarily left-wing babies.
To increase birth rates and reduce dysgenics, early marriage should be encouraged, particularly among the intelligent. Ideally, both husband and wife should be in their late teens to very early 20s. Older-male relationships between young adults (~16-25) should also be destigmatized. Society should be restructured to ensure that intelligent couples can have as many children as possible before age 30-35; reduce time spent in education, prioritize youth for high-paying jobs, give intelligent young men huge lump sums per child (funded by e.g. abolishing welfare), and so on. | 5 174 |
| 19 |  +1The claim that younger age at marriage (late teens to early 20s) causally increases divorce risk was debunked by two relatively recent studies.
Older papers were confounded: the increased risk is caused by "unobserved factors" such as the innate traits of those who typically marry young today (impulsive, low IQ, low SES, etc.).
The 2021 paper found that young midnight marriages induced by the Vietnam war were actually slightly less likely to divorce. This is not necessarily a universal trend, just evidence that young marriage per se does not cause an increased risk of divorce.
Neither paper looked specifically at very young teen marriages, but I think we can conclude that normal* young people from age 18-25 can safely marry without increased risk of divorce.
* "Normal" defined vaguely as "not retarded, mentally unstable, impulsive, etc." | 4 323 |
| 20 | The Woke removed mildly erotic nymphs from art galleries. Perhaps their greatest crime to date.
https://www.theguardian.com/artanddesign/2018/jan/31/hylas-and-the-nymphs-jw--waterhouse-why-have-mildly-erotic-nymphs-been-removed-from-a-manchester-gallery-is-picasso-next | 5 763 |
