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Equiti Group Ltd is the parent company of some of the most progressive FX and CFD brands and prime brokerage providers in the industry. support@equiti.com https://linktr.ee/EquitiGlobal
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Kanal postlari
Yields Jump, Dollar Hits Session Highs on Warsh Comments
Short-term Treasury yields and the dollar jump as Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh says inflation data donât suggest the trend has meaningfully improved, the 2% PCE objective is firm and thereâs work to do if inflation not moving fast enough to 2%.
*WARSH: INFLATION DATA DONâT SUGGEST TREND MEANINGFULLY IMPROVED
*WARSH: FEDâS 2% PCE OBJECTIVE IS A FIRM, FIXED TARGET
*WARSH: HAVE WORK TO DO IF INFLATION NOT MOVING TO 2% WITH SPEED
| 2 | With inflation still sticky and Treasury yields elevated, next weekâs U.S. jobs data could determine whether the Fed keeps tightening or gets room to wait.
The key question: strong jobs or weaker labor data?
Read the full analysis:
https://www.equiti.com/sc-en/news/trade-reviews/week-ahead-bond-markets-took-control-now-jobs-data-gets-the-final-say/?utm_source=Telegram&utm_medium=Article&utm_content=en&utm_lpurl=weekahead | 177 |
| 3 | Equiti Securities Currencies Brokers LLC Letterhead English.pdf | 178 |
| 4 | Gold at $4,600 is back under the microscope.
With markets focused on Kevin Warshâs Jackson Hole speech, the Fedâs rate outlook could be key for goldâs next move.
Will the Fed give gold another boost or bring renewed selling pressure?
Read the full analysis:
http://equiti.com/sc-en/news/market-insights/gold-price-4600-warsh-jackson-hole-fed-rates/%20?utm_source=Telegram&utm_medium=Article&utm_content=en&utm_lpurl=gold | 142 |
| 5 | With lending returning and economic activity improving, the ECB faces a delicate balance between supporting growth and keeping inflation risks under control.
The key question: Does the recovery give the ECB more room to wait before its next policy move?
Read the full analysis:
https://www.equiti.com/sc-en/news/market-insights/the-ecb-is-buying-time-as-lending-returns-and-inf%E2%80%A6%20?utm_source=Telegram&utm_medium=Article&utm_content=en&utm_lpurl=ECb | 127 |
| 6 | Equiti Securities Currencies Brokers LLC Letterhead English.pdf | 194 |
| 7 | Silver Analysis â 28/08/2026
đOverview: Silver is trading above the 67.50 support zone but continues to face strong resistance at 70.00, keeping price action largely range-bound as markets await Kevin Warshâs speech today at Jackson Hole.
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đ˘Daily Outlook: If silver manages to hold above 67.50, positive momentum could remain intact, with the potential for another attempt to break above 70.00. However, a close below 67.50 could signal renewed selling pressure and extend the correction toward 66.00, followed by 65.00.
Â
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đKey Economic Event Today:
Kevin Warshâs speech at Jackson Hole
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đ¨Risks: War-related developments and geopolitical tensions, along with Kevin Warshâs comments and changes in interest-rate expectations, could have a significant impact on silver and the U.S. dollar.
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Support: 67.50 â 66.00
Resistance: 70.00 â 70.50 | 207 |
| 8 | Gold Analysis â 28/08/2026
đOverview: Gold is trading near the 4,580 support zone as investors await Kevin Warshâs speech today at Jackson Hole, which could influence interest-rate expectations and gold prices.
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đ˘Daily Outlook: A close below 4,580 could signal continued selling pressure and push gold toward 4,550, followed by 4,520. However, if gold manages to hold above the support zone, it could regain positive momentum and move toward 4,620 and then 4,640.
Â
-----------------------
đKey Economic Event Today:
Kevin Warshâs speech at Jackson Hole
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---------------------
đ¨Risks: War-related developments and geopolitical tensions, alongside Kevin Warshâs comments and shifts in monetary-policy expectations, remain the key risks for gold.
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Support: 4,580 â 4,550
Resistance: 4,620 â 4,640 | 164 |
| 9 | Things to know 28-08-2026
U.S. â IranđŽđˇđşđ¸
Trump said that Strait of Hormuz is open with 24 boats taken through last night, adding that Russia has behaved quiet well to do with the Strait, and he added that he doesnât want to meet donât want to meet, they do. In fact, they are begging to make a deal.
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Brent Oilđ˘ď¸
Brent crude slipped toward $88, Goldman Sachs said oil exports from the Persian Gulf have recovered to around two-thirds of pre-war levels amid increased flows through Hormuz. Total crude exports from the region have reportedly risen to 15-16 million barrels per day, still around 7-8 million barrels below pre-conflict levels but well above a trough of 5-6 million barrels in March. Iran and Oman also reached a revenue-sharing agreement over the strategic waterway.
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JapanđŻđľ
Japan's unemployment rate edged down to 2.4% in July 2026 from 2.5%, coming in below market expectations of the same level. It was the lowest reading since July 2025. The number of unemployed fell by 80 thousand to a one-year low of 1.67 million, while employment declined by 150 thousand to a four-month low of 68.31 million.
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Russia â UkraineđˇđşđşđŚ
Vladimir Putin said talks with Ukraine had yielded no results and that Russia was preparing to intensify the war. Ongoing Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries and ports are disrupting the countryâs energy infrastructure and could constrain its ability to export crude and refined products. Still, oil prices are on track to end the week lower as markets weighed signs of diplomatic progress in the Middle East and improving supply prospects through the Strait of Hormuz.
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Europe đŞđş
All ECB policymakers agreed to leave rates unchanged at the July meeting, following the first-rate hike since 2023 in June, citing elevated uncertainty and the fact that the full inflationary impact of the energy shock had yet to emerge, according to the latest minutes. However, some said they would not have opposed another hike, noting that the likelihood of further tightening becoming unnecessary remained low. Policymakers saw upside risks to inflation and downside risks to growth from geopolitical developments in the Middle East and the Russia-Ukraine war, while stressing that communication should remain clear to avoiding any pre-commitment to a September move. | 178 |
| 10 | Bitcoinâs $80,000 test is getting stronger support from ETF inflows.
With institutional demand returning, the key question is whether ETF flows can provide enough momentum for Bitcoin to reclaim and hold the $80,000 level.
Read the full analysis:
https://www.equiti.com/sc-en/news/crypto-hub/bitcoin-80000-test-is-getting-stronger-support-from-etf-inflow/?utm_source=Telegram&utm_medium=Article&utm_content=en&utm_lpurl=bitcoin | 200 |
| 11 | Equiti Securities Currencies Brokers LLC Letterhead English.pdf | 194 |
| 12 | The U.S. economy is slowing, but inflation remains sticky leaving Kevin Warsh with a difficult balancing act.
The key question: will Jackson Hole bring clarity on the Fedâs next move?
Read the Full analysis:
https://www.equiti.com/sc-en/news/market-insights/yesterday-data-raised-the-stakes-for-jackson-hole/?utm_source=Telegram&utm_medium=Article&utm_content=en&utm_lpurl=warsh | 204 |
| 13 | Equiti Securities Currencies Brokers LLC Letterhead English.pdf | 203 |
| 14 | Silver Analysis â 27/08/2026
đOverview: Silver continues to trade above the 67.00 support zone and has rebounded toward 69.00, bringing the metal back near the key 70.00 resistance level, with buying momentum gradually returning.
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đ˘Daily Outlook: If silver manages to hold above 67.00, the bullish momentum could continue, with another attempt to retest and break above 70.00. A successful breakout could open the door to higher levels. However, a close below 67.00 could signal renewed bearish momentum and extend the correction toward 65.00â64.00.
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------------------------
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đKey Economic Data Today:
U.S. Initial Jobless Claims
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------------------------
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đ¨Risks: War-related developments and economic sanctions remain key risks, alongside Kevin Warshâs speech at Jackson Hole tomorrow, which could influence interest-rate expectations and the U.S. dollar, and consequently impact silver prices.
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------------------------
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Support: 67.00 â 66.00
Resistance: 70.00 â 70.50 | 205 |
| 15 | Gold Analysis â 27/08/2026
đOverview: Gold declined toward the 4,590 support zone following the release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index, but managed to hold above the support level, keeping the potential for renewed positive momentum intact.
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đ˘Daily Outlook: If gold manages to trade above the 4,590 support zone and records positive closes near the previous highs at 4,650â4,680, bullish momentum could continue toward 4,700â4,750. However, a close below the daily low at 4,590 could signal a continuation of the downside correction toward 4,550â4,520.
Â
------------------------
đKey Economic Data Today:
U.S. Initial Jobless Claims
Â
------------------------
đ¨Risks: War-related developments and economic sanctions remain key risks, alongside tomorrowâs Kevin Warsh speech at Jackson Hole, which could influence monetary-policy expectations and gold prices.
------------------------
Â
Support: 4,590 â 4,580
Resistance: 4,650 â 4,680 | 164 |
| 16 | Things to know 27/08/2026
Japan đŻđľ
Deputy Governor Ryozo Himinostated that the central bank needs to carry out "timely" interest rate hikes to avoid a future spike in inflation that would require abrupt tightening.
U.S. shares đşđ¸
Nvidia delivered a bullish sales outlook, signaling that artificial intelligence-driven demand could remain strong through 2028. Nvidia shares surged more than 4% following better-than-expected Q2 results and strong revenue guidance, with its outlook providing fresh evidence that spending on AI infrastructure remains robust. Salesforce also jumped nearly 13% after reporting higher-than-expected Q2 revenue, while Okta soared 20% after topping estimates and citing booming demand for agentic AI.
Gold âď¸
Gold prices fell toward $4,600, as investors assessed fresh US economic data for clues on the Federal Reserveâs interest-rate path. The PCE price index rose 0.2% in July, above expectations for a 0.1% increase, Markets are now pricing around a 60% chance of the Fed leaving rates unchanged next month, down from 64% before the data.
Australia đŚđş
Australian dollar rose toward $0.72, extending its rally to a fresh three-month high amid growing expectations of an interest rate hike as early as next month. The shift in rate expectations followed hotter-than-expected July inflation print, which showed price pressures remained elevated and prompted several major banks to revise their RBA forecasts. National Australia Bank now expects the central bank to raise its cash rate to 4.6% at the September 28-29 meeting.
Crude Oil đ˘ď¸
Crude oil slipped below $81, amid signs of diplomatic progress in the Middle East. Iran and Oman reached an agreement over each countryâs share of the Strait of Hormuzâs waters and related revenues, although Tehran cautioned that reopening the crucial waterway would require more than an agreement with Oman. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump said 10 million barrels of oil had passed through Hormuz on Tuesday, while reiterating claims that mines in the waterway had been cleared. | 173 |
| 17 | â ď¸US CRUDE OIL INVENTORIES ROSE 95,000 BARRELS, EIA SAYS | 189 |
| 18 | Dollar Is Caught Between Growth and Credibility
Higher real yields are giving the dollar a temporary lift as firm US data flattens the curve, though the currency is caught between resilient nominal growth and a lingering risk premium.
Real yields moved higher across the curve after this morningâs data, led by the front end, with 2-year reals up roughly 4 bps. PCE was uncomfortable at the margin, while the broader activity picture remains firm enough to keep the growth side of the US exceptionalism argument alive.
A rise in real yields accompanied by curve flattening and stronger data carries a very different signal from one driven by concerns over policy credibility and inflation risk. The former reinforces the carry and growth appeal of the dollar. The latter raises questions around the policy mix and weighs on the currency even as nominal yields climb. The dollar is stuck in that game of yoyo, with political concerns limiting the scope for sustained strength while robust nominal growth keeps a meaningful floor underneath it.
Looking beyond the noise coming out of Treasury, real yields approaching 3% are exceptionally attractive for liability-driven participants, where the appeal of locking in long-duration real income is straightforward. For traders and bond vigilantes, the same yield can carry a very different message around term premium and inflation. That split helps explain why the long end can find demand even as the broader rates market questions where equilibrium really is. | 199 |
| 19 | Is the Hormuz risk premium finally fading?
Oil prices are pulling back as part of the geopolitical risk premium starts to unwind.
But the key question remains: has the Hormuz risk actually faded, or is the market getting ahead of itself?
Read the full analysis:
https://www.equiti.com/sc-en/news/trade-reviews/wti-oil-outlook-is-the-hormuz-risk-premium-finally-fading/?utm_source=Telegram&utm_medium=Article&utm_content=en&utm_lpurl=oil | 194 |
| 20 | Equiti Securities Currencies Brokers LLC Letterhead English.pdf | 203 |
