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Посты канала
Sergey Lavrov wrote a lengthy op-ed for Politico, filled with historical facts, logic, reason and diplomatic language, with a conclusion so subtle that it orbited over the heads of midwits in Brussels.
Not being a diplomat, or Russian, I don't operate under such restraints, so allow me to translate for the Kajas, Ursulas and the crowd in the back: The West has torched any credibility it had with Russia and needs to do specific things to restore it; there can’t be any talks until then.
| 2 | The Iran War is over, at least formally, with both Trump and Iranian president Pezeshkian signing the Memorandum of Understanding previously leaked to the press. Instead of the ceremony scheduled for Friday in Switzerland, there will be a meeting of negotiating teams to start hammering out the unresolved issues.
That's not to say there wasn't symbolism and pageantry on display. Trump chose to sign the paper after dinner with the Macrons at Versailles, while Pezeshkian signed his copy in a nondescript bunker somewhere.
I see a lot of people jumping to conclusions as to who "won" based on what's in the document. Yes, Iran gets the lifting of all sanctions, unfreezing of all assets and US withdrawal from the region, as well as the possibility of charging some tolls for passage through Hormuz. However, just about all of this is contingent on giving up the uranium enrichment program.
If they don't want an A-bomb, as they've maintained, then all the tangible gains from this deal far outweigh the uranium. It's an offer they cannot refuse. But if their objective is to get nukes for destroying the "great and lesser Satan", then the deal is off. I'm not even convinced they would scrap the deal over Lebanon, for all that they claim they would — again, the material benefits to Iran itself are too tempting.
The one clear loser in this is Israel, because Trump's deal delivered on their stated preference (nukes) while exposing their revealed preference: regime change in Tehran.
The key takeaway, I would say, is that Iran won this settlement not just by being good at taking punches, but by punching back, hard. | 443 |
| 3 | The Rape Gang Inquiry Report conducted by Rupert Lowe (Restore Britain) is one of the most horrifying testimonies I've ever read.
The report suggests that more than 250,000 women and girls may have been sexually abused by rape gangs, overwhelmingly (85%+) Pakistani Muslim, since 1950 or so.
If 10% of its contents are true, it delegitimizes the Yookay government entirely.
The establishment's reaction was telling: first ignoring it, then attacking Lowe ad hominem, and now they're trying to quibble about his methodology and numbers.
But the pattern here is clear: gangs of hostile foreigners repeatedly brutalized native women and girls, then cried racism/bigotry to avoid scrutiny or punishment. And the regime went along with it.
To paraphrase Thomas Jefferson: "Indeed I tremble for [the Yookay] when I reflect that God is just and that his justice cannot sleep forever.". | 730 |
| 4 | Trump’s peace deal with Iran hasn’t been made public yet, and it’s still unclear if it will get signed, when, or where.
That said, both sides are claiming total victory (ha!), suggesting they both need this deal and fast.
Only Israel is totally against it, and for obvious reasons - it doesn’t achieve any of its revealed objectives (Iran’s nuclear program was the stated objective, which has now proven to be but a pretext). Guess we will find out soon enough who’s the tail and who’s the dog in the US-Israel relationship.
Now back to our regularly scheduled season 5 of “SMO: The Series.” | 582 |
| 5 | Credit where credit is due: Russia has reacted quite swiftly to the latest Ukrainian narrative attack.
The MOD issued a statement that no Russian missile was responsible for the roof fire at the Kiev-Pechersk Lavra, but probably a malfunctioning "Patriot", and MFA spokeswoman Maria Zakharova added that such expressions of concern from the West were utterly lacking when the Ukrops destroyed the Sevastopol panorama or massacred students in Starobelsk.
Defending from propaganda is like defending from drones — it can only mitigate damage, never prevent it entirely. In the narrative space, as in kinetic war, the best defense is a good offense. | 589 |
| 6 | Starmer’s little piracy stunt is clearly aimed at bolstering his standing at home and changing the subject from rapey, head-chopping invaders. That’s his problem. Doesn’t mean Russia shouldn’t punish such behavior - swiftly, unmistakably, clearly.
Not “we reserve the right to respond in due course.” Not making complaints to impotent international bodies. No, pick a target, hit it, film it, publish the video, say “thus always to those who cross us.”
Send. A. Message.
Not doing so all these years is how you got here. | 663 |
| 7 | Putin's meeting with SMO stormtroopers proves that the Kremlin knows precisely what the problems on the frontline are. He is also entirely aware of the strategic situation. Which makes it even more baffling as to why he's still operating within the constraints of "wedontdothatism".
He wants to send a message to the West: Don't wage war on Russia, you will regret it. Fine, but he hasn't made them regret it yet.
Economic pain doesn't get through to the blobalist elite ruling with minimal consent of the governed masses. Striking Kiev or Lvov doesn't hurt Berlin or London.
Maybe telling Elon Musk's dad — who was at SPIEF — that continued use of Starlink by OSU would be met with kesslerization. I like Musk, but from this perspective he's an enemy.
If application of violence against a problem hasn't solved it yet... apply more violence.
Happy Russia Day! | 657 |
| 8 |  Trump first announced he would bomb Iran and seize Kharg island, now he's saying he is calling it off because Iran agreed to some kind of discussions.
A lot of you will scoff, even insist that this isn't how things work in the real world.
Except... this is precisely how Narratives work, and Trump is far more versed in narratives than most.
"But we don't do that!" Yes, and that is why you fail.
Perhaps we could learn something from all this, rather than keep getting caught off-guard and looking foolish? | 704 |
| 9 | Russia's strategy in Ukraine most resembles Grant's approach to crushing the Confederacy in 1864/65: Pin down Lee's army and strangle the South slowly, while Sherman guts it from behind.
Now imagine if the Confederacy had a land connection to a coalition of European powers funding it and supplying it with ammunition and weapons. Clearly, this strategy wouldn't work.
Not to mention that with 404 there's no Sherman, no March to the Sea, no Vicksburg or Farragut's capture of New Orleans.
I saw an interesting comment today:
Those who truly understand violence will be the last to agree to it, and will do what’s necessary to bring it to a quick and efficient end.
The first part is literally what Putin has said a million times about the reasons for the SMO, and it's tru and it fits. I'm just curious when do we get to the "do what's necessary to bring it to a quick and efficient end" part. | 701 |
| 10 | The only thing that happened was a new string of Ukrainian terror-bombings, from medium-range slaughter of civilians in Novorossiya to this morning's long-range attacks on Cheboksary and the torching of the Sevastopol museum housing the famous panorama of the Crimean War.
The biggest downside to the take-it-slow approach to war of attrition is that the enemy gets time to innovate, improvise and adapt. Especially if they are bankrolled by infinity funny money from untouchable allies (remember Afghanistan?).
"But that doesn't help them on the battlefield!" My brother in Christ, the battlefield isn't just the frontline. Act accordingly. | 649 |
| 11 | Today is the 82nd anniversary of Operation Overlord, the Anglo-American landings on the beaches of Normandy in WW2. SecWar Pete Hegseth went to Normandy for the commemoration ceremonies and took his wife and children along (to the pearl-clutching horror of blobalist media).
Hegseth’s speech was like a peculiar lasagna: a layer of rah-rah patriotism, a layer of thinly veiled “you are bad allies now, Europe” and a layer of “why are you not defending your own beaches (from migrant invaders)” that – while based – seemed oddly inappropriate in the context.
It seemed like was trying to say “America invading beaches to single-handedly defeat tyranny and bring about democracy good, but others invading beaches bad!”
What bothered me more, though, is the tendency of Americans in particular to spout “Spielberg history” in which the USA fought WW2 for “freedom and democracy” and won single-handedly, while the USSR either never existed or triumphed only because of American military aid.
You will never hear Russians disparage Americans who fought in WW2. They are rightly considered heroic allies in the fight against the Third Reich. Yet the Americans constantly erase the USSR. Add to it the framing of the war against some abstract “tyranny” and an average ignorant observer who can’t tell the difference between Martin Luther and Martin Luther King may conclude the US and Germany fought together against the Soviets. Because they’re “allies” now, right? Right?
Because of this deliberate twisting of reality, it becomes possible for the disgraceful French defense minister to invoke Ukraine at the Normandy event, even though her ancestors (supposedly) fought against the same Nazis the Banderite Maidan regime now worships. Zut alors. | 870 |
| 12 | Putin's response (Work, brothers!) was pitch perfect.
Now let's see if anything actually happens. | 806 |
| 13 | Zelensky's letter is as snide as it is cynical.
Hides desperation.
The only answer should be "nuts."
(That is meant as a Bastogne reference, but it works just as well in Russian).
🐿 | 981 |
| 14 | Case in point: Some Westoid talking about 120 alleged acts of sabotage by Russia in Europe. Putin could've just said "ok fine, we're at war, we start bombing you tomorrow."
Can't be serious with un-serious people. | 1 002 |
| 15 | Sometimes I wish Putin would take a page from Trump's manual for dealing with journalists and, instead of offering hour-long treatises on economic and geopolitical issues, simply say "that was a stupid question, what are you, stupid? Shut up and let smart people talk", or something to that effect.
It's incredible how much time gets wasted in "press conferences" with maliciously frame gotcha questions from people who don't even deserve to be there.
Also, not every sentence uttered at SPIEF is breaking news, people, get a grip. | 969 |
| 16 | During the wars of the 1990s, the Serbs would repeatedly compromise on tactical objectives and even key national interests so the West would stop demonizing them. Yet the West kept demonizing them, because that's how it got the Serbs to give in every time.
This is not a post about the Serbs. | 1 329 |
| 17 | "If a war is worth fighting, it is worth ending. If it is not worth ending fast, it was not worth starting."
I dare say this is the American mindset when it comes to war. It comes from John A. Konrad (the fifth of his name), a highly respected mariner with Pentagon connections. His post is worth reading in its entirety.
Here's another bit:
Deterrence, the actual reason to spend this much on a military, only works when adversaries believe the response to attacking Americans will be fast, disproportionate, and final. Twenty years in Afghanistan taught every adversary on earth the opposite lesson: hit America slowly, wait us out, watch the lawyers do the rest.
The next time the Army is let off the leash, the world should be afraid.
He's talking about the misguided missions in GWOT, but you can't tell me the part about deterrence doesn't apply to Russia in 404. The GAE has literally used the slow ramp-up approach, counting on Russia to do nothing in retaliation (except beat up the Banderites, but the GAE doesn't feel pain from that).
I'm not saying the Russians should adopt the American mindset. I am, however, saying that they need to take it into consideration. Know the enemy, know thyself. Basic Sun Tzu. | 1 305 |
| 18 | To the surprise of precisely no one, 404 has doubled down on attacking LNR, Kherson and Crimea (guess they can't reach Donetsk?), demanding missiles from NATO, and playing the victim for the cheerleader Western media.
CNN declined the Russian invitation to visit Starobelsk because (as it appears) their crew had actually been embedded with the unit that launched the attack!
I know Russia is being methodical about this and looking at the actuarial tables of attrition. The biggest problem with this approach is that wars tend to incentivize development and use of new tech, such as drones. It's undeniable that they have significantly complicated battlefield advances.
The longer wars goes on, the more opportunities the enemy has to kill. This is why Americans always go for the jugular, by the way. I'm not saying be like them — I'm saying learn from it. | 1 022 |
| 19 | Oreshnik strike on a military factory. Massive ballistics on Kiev. So far so unremarkable. A note from the Russian Foreign Ministry that Moscow has had enough, warning diplomats and civilians to evacuate? Hm, they might just mean business this time.
Took long enough.
What’s Gagarin’s line again, поехали? | 1 160 |
| 20 |  "NO MERCY" is some pretty strong language here.
Let's see what happens. | 1 252 |
