TheNebulator
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Takes on news, politics and the universe. Don't call me a journalist.
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پستهای کانال
Repost from Slavyangrad
🇵🇱🇺🇦A Polish defense company employee was killed in an attack on an arms exhibition near Kiev.
He just happened to be at the wrong exhibition.
And in the wrong country.
@Slavyangrad
| 2 | First Odessa, now this.
Are the Russians actually trying to win?! :) | 339 |
| 3 | Apparently all shipping to Ukraine has now been halted, because shipowners don't want their vessels blown up. Sensible. My very cautious assessment is that Russia might actually getting around to doing what needs doing. One can tell that by both the volume and the subject of squeals from 404. | 428 |
| 4 | Russia has been demolishing Ukrainian ports — not just Odessa but Izmail, Chernomorsk and Yuzhny too — for two weeks now, and has already managed to scare off commercial shipping, degrade NATO weapons and ammo deliveries, and stop the export of Ukrainian grain that financed Kiev's war effort.
While it's tempting to conclude that Stavka finally put into effect the strangulation part of the "Anaconda" strategy (which has been discussed here before), it's also possible this is just a limited "reprisal" for 404's drone piracy in the Black Sea. With every day the bombing continues, the odds of the latter decrease. | 476 |
| 5 | 404 has just fired its top general, under pressure of the Palantir-linked cult of drones and its prophet, Mikhail Fedorov.
Syrsky was replaced by war criminal Drapaty.
So obviously now would be a good time to hit them hard and put them off balance, right?
“Nah, we wait to see what happens. Slow and steady wins the race,” probably, instead.
Would love to be proven wrong. I would rather win than be right. | 1 278 |
| 6 | Trump and Putin actually have the same problem: They're letting their enemies catch a breath. This is never a good idea (unless the enemy is clearly in the middle of making a mistake, obviously), but when you're up against a globalist hydra it raises the odds of failure exponentially.
As I've noted here before, a war of attrition in Ukraine is fine on paper, but it assumed the technology would remain frozen in 2022. Instead, 404 and its sponsors had space and time to develop drones and missiles that have struck deep into Russia. They may have done minimal material damage, but they have blown up Russia's deterrence, which is a far bigger problem.
Now look at Trump. Not with regard to Iran (a mistake from the get-go, difficult to salvage now), but when dealing with the domestic opposition. For the first few months, the liberals were on the back foot, defeated and deflated. Then they shot Charlie Kirk. They also successfully pressured the DHS into backing off on deportations. The Recucklican Old Guard in Congress reasserted their love of losing and refused to pass Trump's agenda into law. The SCOTUS felt it had moral permission to adopt the most insane interpretation of birthright citizenship imaginable. Democrats are openly proclaiming themselves to be communists. Hollywood is doubling down on woke.
All because they're not afraid. Because they were given room to breathe. In these kinds of existential conflicts, he who hesitates is lost. | 585 |
| 7 | Russia is too nice. I've been saying it for years, but here's another example: the Soyuz flight to the ISS yesterday.
So you're getting targeted by a proxy war openly intended to bleed you dry, there has been no relief from sanctions, the Anchorage talks were a sham, the US is giving your enemy intelligence and guidance data to bomb your refineries and kill your children, but hey, space is cool and let's be friends?
When you've been wronged (especially as wronged as this!), you don't shrug and keep working with the man who wronged you — you fight. You confront him. You resolve things, one way or another. Otherwise you're just consenting to abuse.
You may not see it this way, but let me assure you, Americans do. | 1 529 |
| 8 | Trump reinstating the Iran blockade is the expected response to Tehran's closing of the Hormuz. The twist? Him declaring America will be the "Guardian Angel of Hormuz" and charge 20% on all passage.
Now, you might say, didn't America just argue that Hormuz is an international sea route and can't be taxed under international law? Precisely. So now all the people who said Iran had the right to charge passage will howl that Trump doesn't! At which point they lose all grounds to make moral or legal objections...
That's the play.
This is most likely going to end without ANYONE charging for passage, which Trump will present as a great compromise and a major victory. Just watch. | 872 |
| 9 | Lindsey Graham's death appears to have been due to a heart condition. No chance he got Iskandered in Kiev, much as some people might like to have seen such cosmic justice (given his involvement with 404 from the Maidan onward). I'll just say he's now reunited with his best buddy John McCain, and leave it at that. | 850 |
| 10 | Engraved custom revolvers that Erdogan gifted to NATO leaders at the Ankara summit may have backfired, if you'll pardon the pun. First of all, "here's a pistol with your name on it and some bullets" definitely has a last-days-in-the-bunker vibe to it, but what really did the damage was the utterly hysterical reaction of said leaders — of a military bloc, mind you — to being handed a firearm.
Almost all of them (metaphorically) shrieked in horror and either left the gifts behind, or turned them in to police or museums. And this is an alliance that's supposed to go to war against Russia? LOL. LMAO, even.
You have to hand it to the watermelon-selling sultan, few could have dreamed of a more perfect ritual of humiliation and revelation, disguised as a good will gesture. What's Turkish for "Well done?" | 1 222 |
| 11 | Valery Zaluzhny is right.
I never thought I would say these words, and I have to qualify them: his article here is all about demanding more money and life support for 404.
And yet... he's right. This is a war of attrition, where taking villages along the frontline is secondary (though this is partly his cope for losing Konstantinovka). And if you read it carefully, you will notice that NOWHERE does it say that the math has changed. Russia is still winning this "on points", the only unknown is how much pain can 404 inflict before the inevitable end.
You will also notice that Zaluzhny is questioning both the willingness and the ability of NATO and the collective West to counter this (while paying lip service to alleged Ukrainian successes). Again, he's right — they are not ready, willing, or able to do much beyond what they're doing now.
My bet is that he's trying to shame NATO into committing to Ukrainian "victory", since shaming is the default method of emotional manipulation that works on Western boomers.
Conversely, the worst possible takeaway from this would be "ok, the Plan is working, we don't need to change anything, just carry on." Whatever Moscow does, I really hope they don't do that. | 960 |
| 12 | There is a reason Friday night is called "take out the trash day" in Washington. You save that slot for BAD news, not triumphs, because whatever you say then will be entirely forgotten over the weekend.
So of course Russia just now announced the liberation of Konstantinovka!
<facepalm> | 1 019 |
| 13 | A Russian warship stopped the German coast guard from seizing a tanker in the Baltic! But did we find out about this from Russian media, or the Ministry of Defense? Oh bless your heart...
From a pro-Russian X account:
On Tuesday, the oil tanker Kira K, which is under sanctions, was passing through the Fehmarn Sound in the Baltic Sea. A German coast guard ship, Bayreuth, began approaching it.
But from the east, the Russian corvette "Sobrazitelny" approached at high speed and announced: "This is the Russian military ship 531, stay away from Kira K."
After this, the German sailors retreated, and the tanker continued its journey towards the Danish Straits, according to the Finnish publication Iltalehti.
Why are we finding out about this from FINNISH media? This happened 48 hours ago. That's plenty of time to issue even a badly-worded statement, let alone a fully formed narrative with a pointed message: Stay away from our ships, NATO pirates!
But no. Instead we get videos about some village in the middle of nowhere. Sure explains the golden hand. | 1 643 |
| 14 | I wasn’t joking when I said “wake me up when you’re serious.”
This goes for both Russia and the USA, by the way - the Supreme Court just ruled (based on feelings, not law) that children born to tourists and illegal aliens are automatically citizens. Not a serious country.
Serbia has a long list of issues, but dear Lord it’s a paragon of sanity in comparison. | 1 137 |
| 15 |  Shooting down this spy plane would be an easy way for Russia to tell NATO to back off and re-establish deterrence.
Pity it won't happen, because "we don't do that," etc.
"We've tried nothing and we're fresh out of ideas." | 1 841 |
| 16 | Starmer's resignation won't change a thing, sadly. The next cabinet will remain Russophobic and globalist. The Yookay has lost all legitimacy and may soon go the way of Yugoslavia.
Who cares, it's June 22, let's do something more productive and patriotic, like watching "Fortress Brest", for example. | 1 892 |
| 17 | Right after 404 has gone berserk and repeatedly droned Moscow, Crimea and everywhere else it can hit, civilians and military logistics alike, here comes the Kremlin with another "we are ready to negotiate" statement.
Who is this that even aimed at? Calculated inaction is one thing, counter-signaling yourself is just... why?
It's all so tiresome. Get back to me when you're feeling serious about this. Until then, I don't even want to know you. | 1 111 |
| 18 | Sergey Lavrov wrote a lengthy op-ed for Politico, filled with historical facts, logic, reason and diplomatic language, with a conclusion so subtle that it orbited over the heads of midwits in Brussels.
Not being a diplomat, or Russian, I don't operate under such restraints, so allow me to translate for the Kajas, Ursulas and the crowd in the back: The West has torched any credibility it had with Russia and needs to do specific things to restore it; there can’t be any talks until then. | 1 596 |
| 19 | The Iran War is over, at least formally, with both Trump and Iranian president Pezeshkian signing the Memorandum of Understanding previously leaked to the press. Instead of the ceremony scheduled for Friday in Switzerland, there will be a meeting of negotiating teams to start hammering out the unresolved issues.
That's not to say there wasn't symbolism and pageantry on display. Trump chose to sign the paper after dinner with the Macrons at Versailles, while Pezeshkian signed his copy in a nondescript bunker somewhere.
I see a lot of people jumping to conclusions as to who "won" based on what's in the document. Yes, Iran gets the lifting of all sanctions, unfreezing of all assets and US withdrawal from the region, as well as the possibility of charging some tolls for passage through Hormuz. However, just about all of this is contingent on giving up the uranium enrichment program.
If they don't want an A-bomb, as they've maintained, then all the tangible gains from this deal far outweigh the uranium. It's an offer they cannot refuse. But if their objective is to get nukes for destroying the "great and lesser Satan", then the deal is off. I'm not even convinced they would scrap the deal over Lebanon, for all that they claim they would — again, the material benefits to Iran itself are too tempting.
The one clear loser in this is Israel, because Trump's deal delivered on their stated preference (nukes) while exposing their revealed preference: regime change in Tehran.
The key takeaway, I would say, is that Iran won this settlement not just by being good at taking punches, but by punching back, hard. | 1 097 |
| 20 | The Rape Gang Inquiry Report conducted by Rupert Lowe (Restore Britain) is one of the most horrifying testimonies I've ever read.
The report suggests that more than 250,000 women and girls may have been sexually abused by rape gangs, overwhelmingly (85%+) Pakistani Muslim, since 1950 or so.
If 10% of its contents are true, it delegitimizes the Yookay government entirely.
The establishment's reaction was telling: first ignoring it, then attacking Lowe ad hominem, and now they're trying to quibble about his methodology and numbers.
But the pattern here is clear: gangs of hostile foreigners repeatedly brutalized native women and girls, then cried racism/bigotry to avoid scrutiny or punishment. And the regime went along with it.
To paraphrase Thomas Jefferson: "Indeed I tremble for [the Yookay] when I reflect that God is just and that his justice cannot sleep forever.". | 1 525 |
