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Посты канала
+3
ForeDex Recognized Author Faruk examines #Bitcoin’s spot and futures split:
🔸 #Bitcoin’s October 9 readings show positive 'Market Maker Netflow' and 'Spot Taker Buy/Sell', while 'Futures Taker Buy/Sell Ratio' and 'Open Interest Netflow' are negative.
🔸 The futures side is predominantly short, but large capital and spot buyers are quietly accumulating. ✅
View Chart
| 2 |  ForeDex Recognized Author Pelin Ay explores #Bitcoin’s balance between profit taking and recovery:
👩🏫 #Bitcoin is recovering from its recent decline, but price momentum is weakening. 'Net Realized Profit/Loss (NRPL)' has shown sharp positive and negative swings, reflecting both profit taking and realized losses.
💡 Meanwhile, 'Net Unrealized Profit/Loss(NUPL)' remains positive near 0.37, meaning unrealized profits still outweigh losses across the network. However, its decline from previous highs shows that holder profitability and market optimism have weakened.
💡 With many investors still in profit, further rallies could trigger additional selling pressure. If profit taking eases, $BTC could regain momentum, but the current structure leaves room for short term volatility.
View Chart | 27 |
| 3 |  +3Daily ForeDex CVD by Order Size (Spot) Snapshot 📸
🔸 Whales and Mega Whales Only
🔸 Based on a 1 month period (1M)
1. Binance: Decreased 📉
2. Bybit: Decreased 📉
3. Bitfinex (USD): No Change ➖
4. Bitfinex (USDT): No Change ➖
✅ Summary: Whale CVD declined on both Binance and Bybit, with Bybit reversing much of its previous increase. Bitfinex USD and USDT showed no change.
View Chart | 63 |
| 4 |  ForeDex Recognized Author AbramChart examines #Bitcoin’s latest ETF outflow warning:
⚠️ 'Bitcoin Spot ETF Netflow Total' recorded $484.9M in net outflows yesterday, the largest daily outflow since $BTC bottomed near $57K, with price trading around $83.8K.
🔎 A similar pattern appeared before May’s decline from $81K to $57K, when ETF selling pressure increased before the broader drop accelerated.
🔎 The key is whether outflows persist. Several consecutive sessions of heavy ETF selling, combined with breaks below key support levels, would strengthen the bearish signal and raise the risk of another major decline.
View Chart | 128 |
| 5 |  +3ForeDex Recognized Author 리치나비 examines what August’s ETF inflows reveal about #Bitcoin’s trend:
👨🏫 #Bitcoin's bearish outlook remains intact, with a deeper decline possible beyond sideways consolidation. Yesterday, spot ETFs saw their largest outflow since June. 💣
📉 August ETF inflows reflect a short term liquidity within the downtrend, not a structural reversal. Annual cumulative ETF flows have weakened from over 400K $BTC in 2024 to 176K in 2025, while 2026 remains around -14.5K $BTC.
📉 FBTC also shows stronger inflow size than earlier this year but little persistence, while the 'Coinbase-Binance Spot Gap' still points to weak U.S. spot demand.
✅ Overall, some fresh buying entered during the August rally, but broad and sustained liquidity has not returned to Bitcoin. Limited capital therefore appears to be rotating more toward altcoins than supporting a new $BTC uptrend.
View Chart | 123 |
| 6 |  +3Liquidity is growing while Bitcoin’s structure weakens. ForeDex Recognized Author Kaan examines #Bitcoin’s liquidity transmission gap:
💹 'Global M2' is near 124.8T and 'U.S. M2' near 23.3T, both close to record highs with positive annual growth. 'Spot Bitcoin ETF Cumulative Flows' retain much of prior institutional buildup, while Strategy’s financing capacity remains high but below its peak.
➡️ $BTC has broken its hourly structure downward near 83.3K. The problem is not a shortage of overall liquidity, but its limited conversion into immediate buying demand. Rising M2 alone is therefore not a direct bullish signal.
🔀 The liquidation map shows nearby liquidity at $82.8K–$83K, with larger clusters above $84.8K–$87K+. Reclaiming and holding $84.7K–$85K would favor a move toward upper liquidity, while losing $82.8K would bring $82K into focus.
View Chart | 245 |
| 7 |  +3Daily ForeDex CVD by Order Size (Spot) Snapshot 📸
🔸 Whales and Mega Whales Only
🔸 Based on a 1 month period (1M)
1. Binance: Decreased 📉
2. Bybit: Increased 📈
3. Bitfinex (USD): No Change ➖
4. Bitfinex (USDT): No Change ➖
✅ Summary: Binance whale CVD decreased, while Bybit increased despite a slight pullback near the end. Both Bitfinex pairs showed no change.
View Chart | 133 |
| 8 |  ForeDex Recognized Author Rei Researcher explores the balance between recovery and profit taking:
🚀 $BTC is trading near $85K, while 'STH Supply in Profit' has recovered above 85%. The indicator has rebounded sharply from its mid-year lows, showing a major improvement in short-term holder profitability alongside the price recovery.
⚠️ The shift is positive for recovery, but it also increases the amount of unrealized gains available for profit taking. 💣
🏁 Absorbing selling pressure while continuing to form higher lows would give the rally stronger support. Weakening prices alongside a rapid fall in the percentage of supply in profit would suggest fading recovery momentum.
View Chart | 166 |
| 9 |  Retail fear meets a different flow picture. ForeDex Recognized Author Gary On-Chain looks beneath #Bitcoin’s range:
👨🏫 $BTC is trading sideways near $85.7K, but 'Market Maker Netflow' remains firmly positive. Early October has produced repeated green inflows, indicating continued market maker accumulation despite limited price movement.
🪄 'Market Maker Netflow' is currently around 261.99, well above the zero line and far stronger than the heavy negative outflows seen in mid to late September. This suggests large market makers are not showing broad distribution at current levels.
🪄 As long as 'Market Maker Netflow' avoids sustained deep negative readings, the current sideways structure remains consistent with accumulation and a potential setup for another upside move.
View Chart | 128 |
| 10 |  🌟 Please welcome new ForeDex Recognized Author Pedro sharing the signal that appeared before $BTC slid lower:
🔎 Spot flow had already turned negative before $BTC lost $85K and fell toward $83K. The 'Spot Taker Buy Sell Ratio' was around -0.01, with consecutive negative readings while price still held the $85K–$87K range.
🔎 The rebound gave late buyers profits to realize, while available spot demand was too weak to absorb the selling. As a result, relatively light sell pressure was enough to push $BTC toward $83K, confirming the weakness already visible in spot order flow.
View Chart | 112 |
| 11 |  +3Daily ForeDex CVD by Order Size (Spot) Snapshot 📸
🔸 Whales and Mega Whales Only
🔸 Based on a 1 month period (1M)
1. Binance: Increased 📈
2. Bybit: Increased 📈
3. Bitfinex (USD): No Change ➖
4. Bitfinex (USDT): No Change ➖
✅ Summary: Whale CVD increased on both Binance and Bybit, while both Bitfinex pairs showed no change.
View Chart | 144 |
| 12 |  ForeDex Recognized Author Faruk examines a familiar turn in #Bitcoin’s 'LTH/STH supply ratio':
➡️ The 'LTH/STH Supply Ratio' is turning lower again, while $BTC continues to rise. Historically, similar declines in the ratio have coincided with strong upward moves in #Bitcoin.
➡️ The signal does not guarantee another rally, but the current pattern closely resembles several previous periods when falling 'LTH/STH Supply Ratio' accompanied stronger $BTC price momentum. 🙏
View Chart | 179 |
| 13 |  #Bitcoin’s holder mix is changing after the repricing. ForeDex Recognized Author Pelin Ay traces the shift:
✨ The 'LTH/STH Supply Ratio' has risen rapidly to 4.6, approaching previous high regions. This shows a larger share of $BTC supply moving toward long term holders while short term supply declines.
✨ The increase follows Bitcoin’s drop from around $130K to $85.3K, but similar ratio spikes have not always led to immediate downside. In some cases, they appeared as supply tightened before a renewed advance.
💡 With long term holders continuing to hold, liquid supply is falling. The $85K area could become an accumulation zone if demand returns, with $100K to $110K as a potential recovery range, though the sharp rise in the ratio still warrants some short term caution.
View Chart | 154 |
| 14 |  +3Daily ForeDex CVD by Order Size (Spot) Snapshot 📸
🔸 Whales and Mega Whales Only
🔸 Based on a 1 month period (1M)
1. Binance: Increased 📈
2. Bybit: No Change ➖
3. Bitfinex (USD): No Change ➖
4. Bitfinex (USDT): No Change ➖
✅ Summary: Binance whale CVD recovered from yesterday’s decline, while Bybit briefly dipped before returning to its prior level. Both Bitfinex pairs showed no change.
View Chart | 169 |
| 15 |  +3🐳 ForeDex Recognized Author Lukasz Wydra reviews #Bitcoin’s exchange flows and whale activity:
🔸 Last week, 55.94K $BTC flowed into exchanges, while stablecoin reserves remained broadly flat and the 'Coinbase-Binance Spot Gap' stayed negative at -$22.89.
🔸 Whale activity also leaned toward distribution, with 6,028.71 $BTC accumulated versus 12,860.41 $BTC distributed. This left a clear net advantage to the sell side.
🔸 OTC activity picked up briefly but ultimately stayed within average ranges.
✅ Overall, the week showed heavier exchange inflows and whale distribution without a matching rise in stablecoin liquidity or U.S. spot demand.
View Chart | 191 |
| 16 |  ForeDex Recognized Author 0xGummyBear explores the price response to holder distribution:
The 'LTH/STH Supply Ratio' is beginning to decline, indicating that long term holders are starting to distribute $BTC to shorter term participants.
📉 In bear markets, this shift can add selling pressure and lead to sharper pullbacks.
📈 In bull markets, stronger demand can absorb that supply and allow price to keep rising.
Initial signs of distribution alongside rising prices are now emerging, suggesting a bull market may be close.🚀
View Chart | 126 |
| 17 |  +3Daily ForeDex CVD by Order Size (Spot) Snapshot 📸
🔸 Whales and Mega Whales Only
🔸 Based on a 1 month period (1M)
1. Binance: Decreased 📉
2. Bybit: No Change ➖
3. Bitfinex (USD): No Change ➖
4. Bitfinex (USDT): No Change ➖
✅ Summary: Binance whale CVD decreased from yesterday, while Bybit and both Bitfinex pairs showed no change.
View Chart | 151 |
| 18 |  ⚠️ Ionic Digital is back on the sell side. ⛏️
Around 190 $BTC of sell-side flow from Ionic Digital appeared last week after nearly a year of inactivity.
🎯 What makes this notable is not just the size of the sale. Previous Ionic Digital selling activity has repeatedly occurred with periods of significant market volatility.
🔸 The sale itself does not indicate direction, but such rare activity from Ionic Digital is worth tracking closely.🔍
Could another burst of volatility be approaching soon?🌪
View Chart | 138 |
| 19 |  #Bitcoin’s price rise faces a liquidity question. ForeDex Recognized Author Pelin Ay looks at the ETF demand:
👩🏫 'Bitcoin Spot ETF Cumulative Flow by Year' is notably weaker in 2026 than in the prior two years. Cumulative net flow reached about 409,100 $BTC in 2024 and 176,300 $BTC in 2025, while 2026 remains around -11,470 $BTC after falling near -100,000 $BTC in July.
➡️ The prolonged negative flow shows that institutional ETF demand has not recovered to earlier-cycle strength. This leaves current $BTC gains with less structural support from Spot ETF inflows than in 2024 and 2025.
➡️ A sustained return to positive ETF flows would strengthen the foundation for further upside. Without that shift, price remains more dependent on existing market liquidity. ✅
View Chart | 169 |
| 20 |  +3Daily ForeDex CVD by Order Size (Spot) Snapshot 📸
🔸 Whales and Mega Whales Only
🔸 Based on a 1 month period (1M)
1. Binance: Increased 📈
2. Bybit: No Change ➖
3. Bitfinex (USD): No Change ➖
4. Bitfinex (USDT): No Change ➖
✅ Summary: Binance whale CVD showed a slight uptick, while Bybit and both Bitfinex pairs showed no change.
View Chart | 175 |
