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Publicaciones del Canal
+1
⚠️ ForeDex Data Update - Binance Security Incident
Following today's reported Binance security incident, ForeDex has excluded the related abnormal transactions and outflow volumes from today's data calculations to prevent significant data distortion.
📊 Affected Indicators:
• Bitcoin Exchange Outflow
• Bitcoin Exchange Netflow
• Bitcoin Exchange Whale Outflow
• Bitcoin Exchange Whale Netflow
• Bitcoin Whale Outflow Transactions
✅ These adjustments have been applied to maintain the accuracy and reliability of our on-chain data.
ForeDex remains committed to providing accurate data, and we hope the situation at Binance is resolved safely and promptly.
Thank you for your understanding! 🙏
| 2 |  🦄 A familiar reading returns, but price still has to prove the move. ForeDex Recognized Author welinkBTC examines the setup:
🤩 #Bitcoin’s 'Adjusted Unrealized Profit Stress Ratio (UPSR)' has recovered to 84% after falling near 20%, remaining well below the 220% euphoria threshold. Similar recoveries above 84% in 2016, 2020, and 2023 preceded major multi-month rallies. 📈
✨ With $BTC up 37% from its low, MVRV stands at 1.54, NUPL at 0.38, and SOPR near 1.00. The Fear & Greed Index is neutral at 50, while Spot ETFs recorded $137M in net inflows on October 28, led by IBIT.
✨ The current structure reflects reduced unrealized profit pressure and returning ETF demand, but price confirmation remains essential. A sustained break above $86,600 would open the path toward $96,900, while losing $79,700 would invalidate the recovery setup. ✅
View Chart | 90 |
| 3 |  ForeDex Recognized Author Pedro examines the buying flow appearing in spot markets:
✅ 'Bitcoin’s Spot Taker Buy/Sell Ratio' recorded one of its strongest positive readings in recent weeks, showing a sharp increase in aggressive spot buying. 📈
✅ Similar buying pressure has preceded sustained price advances, raising the possibility of a local $BTC bottom. However, isolated spikes can still be absorbed without a lasting recovery.
View Chart | 80 |
| 4 |  ForeDex Recognized Author Abramchart compares current ETF selling with the wider flow picture:
➡️ 'U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETF Netflow Total' are seeing net selling, but the 30-day, 50-day, and 100-day moving averages of net flows remain positive, with the 100-day average barely above zero. 🏋️
➡️ $BTC continues holding near $81K, suggesting ETF investors have not entered widespread panic selling. However, sustained outflows that push these moving averages below zero would indicate a broader shift from temporary profit-taking toward persistent ETF selling pressure.
View Chart | 86 |
| 5 |  +3Daily ForeDex CVD by Order Size (Spot) Snapshot 📸
🔸 Whales and Mega Whales Only
🔸 Based on a 1 month period (1M)
1. Binance: Increased 📈
2. Bybit: No Change ➖
3. Bitfinex (USD): No Change ➖
4. Bitfinex (USDT): Increased 📈
✅ Summary: Binance whale CVD increased slightly, while Bitfinex USDT also moved higher. Bybit and Bitfinex USD showed no change from yesterday.
View Chart | 99 |
| 6 |  +1ForeDex Recognized Author Kaan examines #Bitcoin's liquidity balance after a rejected rebound:
👨🏫 $BTC is trading near $80.7K after a rebound toward $81.5K was rejected. 'Stablecoin Reserves' remain near $55.73B, providing potential buying liquidity, while 'Bitcoin Exchange Reserves' have risen to 2.85M $BTC, increasing the supply available for trading.
➡️ The liquidation heatmap shows liquidity below $80K, with larger clusters above $81.5K–$82K. Both buying capacity and sellable $BTC supply remain elevated, making actual capital flows more important than liquidity levels alone.
📊 Reclaiming $81.5K and then $82K would strengthen the bullish scenario, while losing $80K would shift attention toward lower liquidity zones. ✅
View Chart | 295 |
| 7 |  ForeDex Recognized Author Rei Researcher examines where Korean exchange activity is returning:
⭐️ Korean exchange volume has recovered, but activity remains concentrated in altcoins rather than $BTC. After briefly reaching 2.6T on August 22, daily volume has ranged around 0.6T–1.1T through September and October, while $BTC volume remains near its lows.
⭐️ With $BTC trading near $80.1K, the current pattern reflects speculative rotation into altcoins rather than broad $BTC demand. A recovery in $BTC’s share of trading volume would signal stronger market participation.
View Chart | 93 |
| 8 |  Long term holders bring another view of the cycle. ForeDex Recognized Author 0xGummyBear tracks the profit floors:
🧸 Historically, 'LTH Supply in Profit' has bottomed near 50% during major bear markets. During subsequent recoveries, pullbacks brought the ratio to 58% in March 2020, 59% in March 2023, and 69% in October 2023, with successive lows generally rising as bull markets developed.
🟣 In the current cycle, 'LTH Supply in Profit' recovered from a 54% bear market low, with the latest pullback reaching only around 67%. Another deep correction could still occur, potentially creating a final major buying opportunity.
🟣 However, spot ETFs and more mature derivatives markets may have reduced #Bitcoin’s volatility, making such a pullback less certain. Overall, the indicator supports the view that #Bitcoin has already moved beyond its bear market bottom.
View Chart | 100 |
| 9 |  +3Daily ForeDex CVD by Order Size (Spot) Snapshot 📸
🔸 Whales and Mega Whales Only
🔸 Based on a 1 month period (1M)
1. Binance: Decreased 📉
2. Bybit: No Change ➖
3. Bitfinex (USD): No Change ➖
4. Bitfinex (USDT): No Change ➖
✅ Summary: Binance whale CVD decreased slightly from yesterday, while Bybit and both Bitfinex pairs showed no change.
View Chart | 130 |
| 10 | Daily ForeDex CVD by Order Size (Spot) Snapshot 📸
🔸 Whales and Mega Whales Only
🔸 Based on a 1 month period (1M)
1. Binance: Decreased 📉
2. Bybit: No Change ➖
3. Bitfinex (USD): No Change ➖
4. Bitfinex (USDT): No Change ➖
✅ Summary: Binance whale CVD decreased slightly from yesterday, while Bybit and both Bitfinex pairs showed no change. | 1 |
| 11 |  ⛓️💥Price is recovering, but liquidity is lagging. ForeDex Recognized Analyst Tom Tucker looks at the disconnection:
📊 $BTC is trading near $80K, but the recovery has yet to receive confirmation from underlying liquidity. ForeDex’s 'Market Liquidity Regime Index' previously flagged Distribution near several major Bitcoin tops.
❓ The indicator has not produced a new Accumulation signal during the current recovery. Price is attempting to move higher, but liquidity conditions have yet to confirm a broader bullish shift. 🤯
View Chart | 150 |
| 12 |  +3ForeDex Recognized Author 리치나비 examines fading futures momentum and weak spot liquidity:
👨🏫 The broader #Bitcoin outlook remains bearish, with new lows still expected. A technical rebound toward the midpoint or upper boundary of the descending channel remains possible, but the market lacks the structural strength for a sustained uptrend. 🐢
✅ The 'Coinbase-Binance Spot Gap' has fallen below -$100, reflecting weak U.S. spot demand. Meanwhile, Binance futures funding has continued rising during the October correction, resembling May's pattern as leveraged long positions build despite weakening momentum.
✅ $BTC could rebound again near $78K–$80K, but broader spot liquidity remains weak. Futures volume momentum, which supported the August–September rally, has also turned lower at long-term resistance, reinforcing the broader bearish outlook. 📉
View Chart | 130 |
| 13 |  💹 ForeDex Recognized Author Marcelo Pravatta examines whether a familiar support pattern can open another #Bitcoin cycle:
➡️ Bitcoin’s '200-week moving average (200WMA)' has repeatedly acted as major support during previous market cycles. When $BTC held this level and began recovering, it often marked the beginning of a new bull market phase.
➡️ The current price structure shows a similar pattern, suggesting #Bitcoin may be entering the early stages of another bull market. The key is whether $BTC can sustain its recovery and continue holding above the 200WMA.
View Chart | 84 |
| 14 |  +3Daily ForeDex CVD by Order Size (Spot) Snapshot 📸
🔸 Whales and Mega Whales Only
🔸 Based on a 1 month period (1M)
1. Binance: Increased 📈
2. Bybit: No Change ➖
3. Bitfinex (USD): No Change ➖
4. Bitfinex (USDT): No Change ➖
✅ Summary: Binance whale CVD increased slightly from yesterday, while Bybit and both Bitfinex pairs showed no change.
View Chart | 119 |
| 15 |  🗳 Day 8 of Voting - Back for Another Round! 🙌
🚀 ForeDex founder Mignolet has been nominated for the 2026 BINANCE THE BLOCKCHAIN 100 in the Content Creator – Best Longform Creator category!
We're cheering him on and hoping he makes it into the final Blockchain 100! 🎉
✅ The competition is getting tougher, and every vote counts!
🗳 It's Day 8 of voting! Voted yesterday? Awesome! But don't forget, there's a fresh vote waiting for you today! 😄
You can vote for Mignolet once every day, so let's keep the momentum going! 🙏
We're past the first week, but there's still work to do to reach the final 100!
Thanks to everyone who's been coming back to vote each day! ❤️
👉Vote Now | 128 |
| 16 |  🗓 Demand, oil and policy enter the same week. ForeDex Recognized Author Gary On-Chain connects the event sequence:
🌐 This week brings several major U.S. macro releases, with Wednesday(Thursday in Asia)’s FOMC decision and PCE inflation data expected to drive market volatility. Tuesday’s New Home Sales and Consumer Confidence will test economic resilience, followed by Wednesday’s API and EIA crude inventories, which could reinforce inflation concerns if oil supply tightens.🛢
🏦 The Fed is expected to hold rates at 3.75%–4.00%, with attention on policy guidance and the outlook for prolonged tightening. Thursday’s PCE, Q3 GDP, and Jobless Claims will provide further signals on inflation and economic strength. 💹
✅ Stronger inflation and GDP readings could delay easing expectations, lift Treasury yields, and increase pressure on crypto liquidity. 💣
View Chart | 128 |
| 17 |  +1#Bitcoin’s hourly structure remains under pressure as ForeDex Recognized Author Kaan separates a possible bounce from a bottom:
✅ #Bitcoin’s 'MVRV Ratio' stands at 1.49, well below historical overvaluation levels, while the 'Crypto YouTube Narrative Index' is at 47 and futures funding remains slightly positive at +0.005. However, the 'Market Liquidity Regime Index' has yet to confirm renewed accumulation, leaving the bottom unconfirmed despite lower valuations.
✅ $BTC’s hourly structure remains weak near $80.2K, with upper liquidity at $80.9K–$81.2K and lower liquidity around $79.2K–$78.7K. A brief rebound toward upper liquidity could precede another test of the lows if buyers fail to reclaim the price structure. The current liquidity environment remains too weak to confirm a sustained recovery.
View Chart | 104 |
| 18 |  🧸 Holder conviction meets a busy macro week. ForeDex Recognized Author 0xGummyBear tracks the conditions:
🍇 Bitcoin’s current pullback resembles a common early bull market pattern, where price returns toward the 'Short-Term Holder Realized Price (STH-RP)' to test support. Holding this level would reinforce market confidence and support the broader bullish trend. 📈
'Net Realized Profit/Loss (NRPL)' shows that realized loss pressure has been declining since early 2026. With much of the loss-making supply already changing hands at lower prices, remaining holders appear less willing to sell during the current pullback.
The key support is 'STH Realized Price' near $75,770. As long as it holds, the bullish structure remains intact, while this week’s major earnings releases and FOMC meeting will be important macro factors to watch. 👀
View Chart | 93 |
| 19 |  +3Daily ForeDex CVD by Order Size (Spot) Snapshot 📸
🔸 Whales and Mega Whales Only
🔸 Based on a 1 month period (1M)
1. Binance: No Change ➖
2. Bybit: No Change ➖
3. Bitfinex (USD): No Change ➖
4. Bitfinex (USDT): Decreased 📉
✅ Summary: Bitfinex USDT was the only tracked spot pair to record a decline in whale CVD. The other three remained at yesterday's levels.
View Chart | 131 |
| 20 | 🗳 Day 7 of Voting - One Week In, Let's go! 🙌
🚀 ForeDex founder Mignolet has been nominated for the 2026 BINANCE THE BLOCKCHAIN 100 in the Content Creator – Best Longform Creator category!
We're cheering him on and hoping he makes it into the final Blockchain 100! 🎉
✅ The competition is heating up, and every single vote counts!
🗳 It's Day 7 of voting! Already voted six times? Let's make it seven! 😄
Remember, you can vote for Mignolet once every day, so don't miss today's chance to support him! 🙏
One week down, and we're still aiming for the final 100!
A big thank you to everyone who's been voting and supporting us all week! ❤️
👉Vote Now | 135 |
