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Показати більше📈 Аналітичний огляд Telegram-каналу A1 TRADING | Indices, Commodities, Forex, Futures
Канал A1 TRADING | Indices, Commodities, Forex, Futures (@a1tradingfxanalysis) у мовному сегменті Англійська є активним учасником. На даний момент спільнота об'єднує 42 680 підписників, посідаючи 2 772 місце в категорії Економіка та фінанси та 763 місце у регіоні США.
📊 Показники аудиторії та динаміка
З моменту свого створення невідомо, проект продемонстрував стрімке зростання, зібравши аудиторію у 42 680 підписників.
За останніми даними від 16 червня, 2026, канал демонструє стабільну активність. Хоча за останні 30 днів спостерігається зміна кількості учасників на 7, а за останні 24 години на 46, загальне охоплення залишається високим.
- Статус верифікації: Не верифікований
- Рівень залученості (ER): Середній показник залученості аудиторії становить 7.17%. Протягом перших 24 годин після публікації контент зазвичай збирає 4.54% реакцій від загальної кількості підписників.
- Охоплення публікацій: В середньому кожен допис отримує 3 059 переглядів. Протягом першої доби публікація в середньому набирає 1 938 переглядів.
- Реакції та взаємодія: Аудиторія активно підтримує контент: середня кількість реакцій на один пост – 22.
- Тематичні інтереси: Контент зосереджений навколо ключових тем, таких як inflation, alan, edgefinder, fed, ceasefire.
📝 Опис та контентна політика
Автор описує ресурс як майданчик для висловлення суб'єктивної думки:
“Learn to trade forex, indices, & commodities using simple, transparent fundamental strategies & realistic market approaches in our 100% free channel.”
Завдяки високій частоті оновлень (останні дані отримано 17 червня, 2026), канал підтримує актуальність та високий рівень охоплення публікацій. Аналітика показує, що аудиторія активно взаємодіє з контентом, що робить його важливою точкою впливу в категорії Економіка та фінанси.
42 680
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| Дата | Залучення підписників | Згадування | Канали | |
| 18 червня | +2 | |||
| 17 червня | +19 | |||
| 16 червня | +49 | |||
| 15 червня | +10 | |||
| 14 червня | +6 | |||
| 13 червня | +4 | |||
| 12 червня | +14 | |||
| 11 червня | +22 | |||
| 10 червня | +21 | |||
| 09 червня | +21 | |||
| 08 червня | +13 | |||
| 07 червня | +34 | |||
| 06 червня | +36 | |||
| 05 червня | +8 | |||
| 04 червня | +17 | |||
| 03 червня | +19 | |||
| 02 червня | +19 | |||
| 01 червня | +7 |
Дописи каналу
Initial thoughts on the new Fed Chair, Kevin Warsh:
| 2 |  FOMC Recap:
The Fed held at 3.75%, but the dot plot did the talking. Nine of 18 FOMC members now project a 2026 hike — six see two. 2026 PCE inflation revised up to 3.6% (from 2.7%), with the return to 2% target pushed out to 2028.
One of the biggest takeaways was Warsh dropping forward guidance entirely, calling it "not well suited for the current policy conjuncture." The statement shrunk from 300+ words to 130. He also announced five task forces to review Fed communications, the balance sheet, data sources, productivity & labor, and the inflation framework.
The dollar was the only beneficiary. Bonds, stocks, currencies, and gold all sold off.
Traders are now fully pricing in two Fed hikes by the end of Q1 2027.
Welcome to the new Fed era. Less guidance. More data dependence. And 5 specialized TASK FORCES | 824 |
| 3 |  Немає тексту... | 990 |
| 4 |  Gold worked out alright as well :)
- Nick | 1 097 |
| 5 | EUR/USD short signal worked out nicely.
Happy fed day!
Get access to our VIP signals for 40% OFF here
Have questions? Need a payment plan? Chat here | 1 072 |
| 6 |  US 10Y Now Tests Critical Level Before Warsh's FOMC - Will Update After FOMC
The US 10Y at 4.434%, drifting down to the 4.40–4.45% zone that acts as immediate support.
Two catalysts pulled yields lower into today's meeting. Oil broke below $85, removing the inflation pressure that drove yields from 3.95% at war start to 4.65% recent highs. The US-Iran framework — set to be signed possible TODAY — has further moderated hike expectations.
Markets still price at least one hike this year, but odds eased to 56% from 70% a week ago. Warsh's first FOMC is expected to hold at 3.50–3.75%. The substance comes from the dot plot — whether the median dot still implies hikes or has shifted toward neutral.
Yields are at the inflection. A break below the trendline confirms the bond market believes tightening has peaked. A bounce signals the inflation embedded from three months of elevated oil still demands Fed action regardless of how the war ends.
read the full article here.
— Alan | 1 306 |
| 7 | 🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day
When a central bank raises interest rates, what is the intended effect on the economy? | 2 104 |
| 8 |  AUD/USD Analysis: Tightening Bias Is Now Mostly Priced In
AUD/USD is recovering from recent lows near 0.7000 after the RBA held rates at 4.35% and reaffirmed it stood ready to hike again if needed.
The RBA's tone was hawkish in language but cautious in practice. The board acknowledged the economy and consumer demand have slowed, the housing market has cooled, but inflation remains too high to declare victory. Markets responded by lowering August hike odds to roughly 30% and assigning 60% probability to one final hike to 4.60%.
Inflation risks look well and truly priced. Australian 10-year yields at 4.85% reflect a tightening cycle that has been substantially priced in.
The structural question remains the rate spread. AUD-US 10Y differential has compressed throughout May and June. Without a fresh widening: either RBA delivers the final hike or the Fed shifts dovish — the Aussie lacks a sustained tailwind beyond near-term range trading.
read the full article here.
— Alan | 2 247 |
| 9 |  US 10Y Now Easing as Iran Deal Crushes Hike Odds
The US 10-year yield is easing to a three-week low as the US-Iran peace agreement removes some of the inflation pressure that drove yields from 3.95% at war start to 4.65% recent highs.
The chart frames the policy regime cleanly. Above the trendline, yields signal restrictive policy expectations. A confirmed break below would signal the market believes the Fed's tightening cycle has peaked and easing is approaching. Until that break occurs, the structurally hawkish framework remains in place.
Warsh's press conference and updated projections will set the tone. CME FedWatch data shows December hike odds dropped to 56% from approximately 70% a week ago, but the broader curve still prices continued normalization toward higher rates.
The Iran deal removed the energy-driven inflation catalyst. What it did not do is reverse the underlying inflation that built up over three and a half months of elevated oil.
read the full article here.
— Alan | 2 147 |
| 10 | 🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day
A market maker’s primary role is to: | 2 591 |
| 11 | 🚨 WARNING: Nick just took a new gold trade!
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Have questions? Need to explore a payment plan option? Chat with us here | 2 619 |
| 12 |  Gold Forecast: Gold Now Has To Overcome the 200-Day
Gold has bounced more than 8% from last week's $4,000 lows to $4,340, possibly to overcome the 200-day SMA. The rally is driven by a single mechanism that defines gold's macro relationship: yields lower equals gold higher. Yields higher equals gold lower.
The Iran deal has reversed the entire driver chain. Oil dropped to $80 on the Strait reopening framework. Inflation expectations moderated. Fed hike odds collapsed from 70% a week ago to under 41% for December. The 10-year and 2-year yields are retreating.
The technical setup demands patience. Price is sitting directly below the 200-day SMA. The $4,200–$4,400 zone is the level that previously acted as support and now must be reclaimed as support again. Until Gold closes above both the 200-day SMA and the upper boundary of this zone, it remains technically vulnerable.
The Fed's June 16–17 meeting is especially important for the outlook of rates and inflation.
read the full article here.
— Alan | 2 572 |
| 13 |  USD/CHF Analysis: 200-Day Test Defines What's Next
USD/CHF is pulling back from the 0.8000 resistance zone and is now set to test the 200 Day SMA below.
The CHF strength is primarily a USD weakness story rather than a Swiss catalyst. The interim deal — to be signed in Switzerland on Friday — lifts the US blockade and reopens the Strait of Hormuz. The cascade is direct: oil dropped sharply, inflation expectations moderated, Fed hike pricing eased, and the dollar's safe-haven premium evaporated.
The Swiss side is mixed. May PPI fell 0.4% versus the 0.4% increase expected — a deflationary reading that would typically weigh on the franc. But consumer sentiment improved and the SNB is expected to hold rates through year-end. Switzerland's role as deal host adds prestige but limited direct fundamental impact.
The franc's strength here is the dollar's weakness. If the deal stalls, expect dollar strength to override this trend.
read the full article here.
— Alan | 2 455 |
| 14 |  All out on silver shorts 🤝
- Nick | 2 726 |
| 15 | 🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day
After price breaks above resistance, traders often wait for a "retest" before entering. Why? | 3 744 |
| 16 |  US OIL Update: I hope this is the last Oil markup I do for a while.
WTI broke below $85 today — a break below a structural floor since that has held during the conflict. The decline of more than 3% has pushed price to an 8-week low and confirms what I have been watching for weeks: a break below $85 signals the market believes the war is ending.
Iran's Foreign Minister Araghchi stated the US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding has "never been closer." Officials report both sides are moving toward a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, potentially in time for the upcoming G7 meeting. President Trump introduced some doubt by saying the published draft terms did not reflect the agreement discussed, but the directional momentum remains toward resolution.
Let's see if this time is actually different.
read the full article here.
— Alan | 3 513 |
| 17 |  Nasdaq Analysis: SpaceX Euphoria May Spark Major Rally Now
The Nasdaq is up nearly 1% today and breaking out of the descending trendline that has capped price action on the 4-hour chart since the early-June peak at 30,800. Two catalysts are driving the bid: SpaceX's IPO and reports of a breakthrough in US-Iran talks.
SpaceX listed on Nasdaq today at $135 per share and popped nearly 30% out of the gate. The euphoria is real, and risk appetite has broadened across tech. Trump called off latest threats to strike Iran citing a "breakthrough" in negotiations.
The fundamental drag has not gone away. CPI ran hot this week, PPI surged to 6.5% headline, and last Friday's NFP at 172K gave the Fed clear cover to hike if inflation persists.
The decisive variable is whether the Iran breakthrough is real. A confirmed ceasefire sends oil lower, yields lower, and the dollar softens — that combo is genuinely bullish for equities. Without it, today's bounce is risk-on could get faded.
read the full article here.
— Alan | 3 112 |
| 18 |  New COT Data Dropping Soon - UNLOCK HERE | 2 826 |
| 19 |  ITS LIVE | 3 276 |
| 20 | 🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day
When positioning data shows an extreme consensus in one direction, why does this create risk even if the thesis is correct? | 3 575 |
