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Mostrar más📈 Análisis del canal de Telegram A1 TRADING | Indices, Commodities, Forex, Futures
El canal A1 TRADING | Indices, Commodities, Forex, Futures (@a1tradingfxanalysis) en el segmento lingüístico de Inglés es un actor destacado. Actualmente la comunidad reúne a 42 674 suscriptores, ocupando la posición 2 771 en la categoría Economía y Finanzas y el puesto 763 en la región EEUU.
📊 Métricas de audiencia y dinámica
Desde su creación el невідомо, el proyecto ha mostrado un crecimiento acelerado, reuniendo a 42 674 suscriptores.
Según los últimos datos del 15 junio, 2026, el canal mantiene una actividad estable. En los últimos 30 días la variación de miembros fue de -23, y en las últimas 24 horas de -6, conservando un alto alcance.
- Estado de verificación: No verificado
- Tasa de interacción (ER): El promedio de interacción de la audiencia es 7.16%. Durante las primeras 24 horas tras publicar, el contenido suele obtener 4.55% de reacciones respecto al total de suscriptores.
- Alcance de las publicaciones: Cada publicación recibe en promedio 3 054 visualizaciones. En el primer día suele acumular 1 938 visualizaciones.
- Reacciones e interacción: La audiencia responde de forma activa: el promedio de reacciones por publicación es 22.
- Intereses temáticos: El contenido se centra en temas clave como inflation, alan, edgefinder, fed, ceasefire.
📝 Descripción y política de contenido
El autor describe el recurso como un espacio para expresar opiniones subjetivas:
“Learn to trade forex, indices, & commodities using simple, transparent fundamental strategies & realistic market approaches in our 100% free channel.”
Gracias a la alta frecuencia de actualizaciones (últimos datos recibidos el 16 junio, 2026), el canal mantiene la vigencia y un amplio alcance. La analítica demuestra que la audiencia interactúa activamente con el contenido, lo que lo convierte en un punto de referencia dentro de la categoría Economía y Finanzas.
42 674
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| Fecha | Crecimiento de Suscriptores | Menciones | Canales | |
| 17 junio | +5 | |||
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| 02 junio | +19 | |||
| 01 junio | +7 |
Publicaciones del Canal
🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day
When a central bank raises interest rates, what is the intended effect on the economy?
| 2 |  AUD/USD Analysis: Tightening Bias Is Now Mostly Priced In
AUD/USD is recovering from recent lows near 0.7000 after the RBA held rates at 4.35% and reaffirmed it stood ready to hike again if needed.
The RBA's tone was hawkish in language but cautious in practice. The board acknowledged the economy and consumer demand have slowed, the housing market has cooled, but inflation remains too high to declare victory. Markets responded by lowering August hike odds to roughly 30% and assigning 60% probability to one final hike to 4.60%.
Inflation risks look well and truly priced. Australian 10-year yields at 4.85% reflect a tightening cycle that has been substantially priced in.
The structural question remains the rate spread. AUD-US 10Y differential has compressed throughout May and June. Without a fresh widening: either RBA delivers the final hike or the Fed shifts dovish — the Aussie lacks a sustained tailwind beyond near-term range trading.
read the full article here.
— Alan | 1 682 |
| 3 |  US 10Y Now Easing as Iran Deal Crushes Hike Odds
The US 10-year yield is easing to a three-week low as the US-Iran peace agreement removes some of the inflation pressure that drove yields from 3.95% at war start to 4.65% recent highs.
The chart frames the policy regime cleanly. Above the trendline, yields signal restrictive policy expectations. A confirmed break below would signal the market believes the Fed's tightening cycle has peaked and easing is approaching. Until that break occurs, the structurally hawkish framework remains in place.
Warsh's press conference and updated projections will set the tone. CME FedWatch data shows December hike odds dropped to 56% from approximately 70% a week ago, but the broader curve still prices continued normalization toward higher rates.
The Iran deal removed the energy-driven inflation catalyst. What it did not do is reverse the underlying inflation that built up over three and a half months of elevated oil.
read the full article here.
— Alan | 1 584 |
| 4 | 🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day
A market maker’s primary role is to: | 2 322 |
| 5 | 🚨 WARNING: Nick just took a new gold trade!
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Have questions? Need to explore a payment plan option? Chat with us here | 2 526 |
| 6 |  Gold Forecast: Gold Now Has To Overcome the 200-Day
Gold has bounced more than 8% from last week's $4,000 lows to $4,340, possibly to overcome the 200-day SMA. The rally is driven by a single mechanism that defines gold's macro relationship: yields lower equals gold higher. Yields higher equals gold lower.
The Iran deal has reversed the entire driver chain. Oil dropped to $80 on the Strait reopening framework. Inflation expectations moderated. Fed hike odds collapsed from 70% a week ago to under 41% for December. The 10-year and 2-year yields are retreating.
The technical setup demands patience. Price is sitting directly below the 200-day SMA. The $4,200–$4,400 zone is the level that previously acted as support and now must be reclaimed as support again. Until Gold closes above both the 200-day SMA and the upper boundary of this zone, it remains technically vulnerable.
The Fed's June 16–17 meeting is especially important for the outlook of rates and inflation.
read the full article here.
— Alan | 2 479 |
| 7 |  USD/CHF Analysis: 200-Day Test Defines What's Next
USD/CHF is pulling back from the 0.8000 resistance zone and is now set to test the 200 Day SMA below.
The CHF strength is primarily a USD weakness story rather than a Swiss catalyst. The interim deal — to be signed in Switzerland on Friday — lifts the US blockade and reopens the Strait of Hormuz. The cascade is direct: oil dropped sharply, inflation expectations moderated, Fed hike pricing eased, and the dollar's safe-haven premium evaporated.
The Swiss side is mixed. May PPI fell 0.4% versus the 0.4% increase expected — a deflationary reading that would typically weigh on the franc. But consumer sentiment improved and the SNB is expected to hold rates through year-end. Switzerland's role as deal host adds prestige but limited direct fundamental impact.
The franc's strength here is the dollar's weakness. If the deal stalls, expect dollar strength to override this trend.
read the full article here.
— Alan | 2 364 |
| 8 |  All out on silver shorts 🤝
- Nick | 2 575 |
| 9 | 🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day
After price breaks above resistance, traders often wait for a "retest" before entering. Why? | 3 519 |
| 10 |  US OIL Update: I hope this is the last Oil markup I do for a while.
WTI broke below $85 today — a break below a structural floor since that has held during the conflict. The decline of more than 3% has pushed price to an 8-week low and confirms what I have been watching for weeks: a break below $85 signals the market believes the war is ending.
Iran's Foreign Minister Araghchi stated the US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding has "never been closer." Officials report both sides are moving toward a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, potentially in time for the upcoming G7 meeting. President Trump introduced some doubt by saying the published draft terms did not reflect the agreement discussed, but the directional momentum remains toward resolution.
Let's see if this time is actually different.
read the full article here.
— Alan | 3 376 |
| 11 |  Nasdaq Analysis: SpaceX Euphoria May Spark Major Rally Now
The Nasdaq is up nearly 1% today and breaking out of the descending trendline that has capped price action on the 4-hour chart since the early-June peak at 30,800. Two catalysts are driving the bid: SpaceX's IPO and reports of a breakthrough in US-Iran talks.
SpaceX listed on Nasdaq today at $135 per share and popped nearly 30% out of the gate. The euphoria is real, and risk appetite has broadened across tech. Trump called off latest threats to strike Iran citing a "breakthrough" in negotiations.
The fundamental drag has not gone away. CPI ran hot this week, PPI surged to 6.5% headline, and last Friday's NFP at 172K gave the Fed clear cover to hike if inflation persists.
The decisive variable is whether the Iran breakthrough is real. A confirmed ceasefire sends oil lower, yields lower, and the dollar softens — that combo is genuinely bullish for equities. Without it, today's bounce is risk-on could get faded.
read the full article here.
— Alan | 3 002 |
| 12 |  New COT Data Dropping Soon - UNLOCK HERE | 2 724 |
| 13 |  ITS LIVE | 3 005 |
| 14 | 🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day
When positioning data shows an extreme consensus in one direction, why does this create risk even if the thesis is correct? | 3 402 |
| 15 |  AUD/USD Analysis: RBA Is Now Pivoting Away From Hikes
AUD/USD is now ~250 pips below the resistance zone that capped advances in May.
Why the fall? Well, RBA hike expectations have shifted. August probability fell from 80% a month ago to just 35% now. June 16 is essentially priced as a hold. Meanwhile, US futures have swung to fully price a Fed hike by December. The two trajectories have reversed: a month ago, AUD had a substantial rate advantage; today, that advantage has nearly disappeared.
The AU-US 3-year spread has compressed to just 32 basis points, the narrowest since November and down from above 80bps in April. This is the cleanest signal of the rate dynamic that has driven AUD/USD lower.
AUD's May 24 CPI release will be the next domestic catalyst. TD Securities noted the data needs to show firm evidence of energy pass-through to justify an August hike. April's surprise to the downside makes that increasingly unlikely (in my personal opinion)
read the full article here.
— Alan | 3 555 |
| 16 |  EUR/USD Analysis: Bulls Now Must Overcome Stagflation Risk
EUR/USD is hovering near its lowest level since early April after a textbook "buy the rumor, sell the fact" reaction to the ECB's 25bp hike this morning.
The market reaction tells the story. The hike was 95% priced going in, but the ECB's revised forecasts took away from any strength. Headline inflation projection raised to 3.0% for 2026 from 2.6%. Growth simultaneously cut to 0.8% from 0.9%. They're anticipating a stagflation environment, and tightening into it is a more difficult policy path than tightening into expansion.
For the US, headline PPI came in at 6.5% versus 6.4% expected and 6.0% prior. Core was softer but headline ran hot enough to reinforce the Fed's case. Initial jobless claims at 229K added a minor labor signal.
The rate differential is widening, not narrowing. The Fed is positioned to hike again while the ECB is hiking into contraction. EUR/USD reflects that asymmetry.
read the full article here.
— Alan | 3 108 |
| 17 | 🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day
An asset can show strong relative strength against its peers while still declining in absolute terms. Why does this distinction matter? | 3 202 |
| 18 |  Gold Analysis: Price Is Now Below The 200-Day
The gold pressure is really starting to shine through... Pun intended lol. Inflation trending away from the Fed's 2% target, good growth, and a solid labor market are all allowing the Fed to raise — and that's pressuring gold. With a December hike now fully priced and the 10-year back above 4.50%, the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding metal keeps climbing.
Paul Tudor Jones once said nothing good ever comes below the 200-day, and gold is definitively below it.
The next levels of value are $3,900 and $3,500. A short-term opportunity lies for the bears on precious metals, for as long as this regime stays intact. The second the war ends and central banks pivot into a more laxed stance, the story improves for Gold. Hopefully by then, we are at some good value points and shift our positioning.
Until then, don't fight the trend.
read the full article here.
— Alan | 3 312 |
| 19 |  DXY Analysis: CPI Tailwind Eyes Crucial 100.5 Zone Now
The dollar index eased slightly after May CPI landed largely in line. Headline inflation accelerated to 4.2% while core ticked up to 2.9% YoY. The lone soft spot was core MoM at 0.2%, below the 0.3% forecast, which trimmed some hike bets at the margin.
The inflation surge remains an energy story. Energy rose 23.5% annually with gasoline up 40.5%, while core commodities actually fell 0.1% on the month — evidence the pass-through beyond fuel stays contained for now. A December quarter-point hike remains fully priced.
Geopolitics continues to underwrite the dollar. The US and Iran exchanged fresh strikes, and Trump warned Tehran is taking "too long" and will "pay the price" — casting doubt on the fragile ceasefire.
Inflation at 3-year highs, the war grinding on, and the dollar holding its safe-haven bid — the path of least resistance for DXY points back to 100.5
read the full article here.
— Alan | 3 324 |
| 20 | Get trade updates here (40% OFF currently)
Have questions? Want to see examples of trade alerts, or access a payplan? Chat us here | 3 440 |
