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إظهار المزيد📈 نظرة تحليلية على قناة تيليجرام A1 TRADING | Indices, Commodities, Forex, Futures
تُعد قناة A1 TRADING | Indices, Commodities, Forex, Futures (@a1tradingfxanalysis) في القطاع اللغوي الإنكليزية لاعباً نشطاً. يضم المجتمع حالياً 43 814 مشتركاً، محتلاً المرتبة 2 626 في فئة الاقتصاد والمالية والمرتبة 682 في منطقة الولايات المتحدة.
📊 مؤشرات الجمهور والحراك
منذ تأسيسه في невідомо، حقق المشروع نمواً سريعاً وجمع 43 814 مشتركاً.
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- حالة التحقق: غير موثّقة
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بفضل وتيرة التحديث المرتفعة (أحدث البيانات بتاريخ 02 سبتمبر, 2026) تحافظ القناة على حداثتها ومستوى وصول مرتفع. وتُظهر التحليلات تفاعلاً نشطاً من الجمهور، ما يجعلها نقطة تأثير مهمة ضمن فئة الاقتصاد والمالية.
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| التاريخ | نمو المشتركين | الإشارات | القنوات | |
| 02 سبتمبر | +16 | |||
| 01 سبتمبر | +9 |
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| 2 |  USDCAD Daily Chart
USD/CAD is looking quite nice here, as it's respecting the 38.2% fib and level of resistance.
And from a macro prospective: Bank of Canada came out with hawkish commentary following their rate decision this morning, which could fuel the downside move.
One must not ignore NFP this Friday. NFP could either refuel the trend lower or crush the idea. Nonetheless, I'm bearish on the pair for now.
I am taking trades / sharing updates in our VIP group. Our 40% off sale ends Friday!
If you have any questions about the group, would like to explore it, etc, please chat here
— Alan | 1 170 |
| 3 |  USDJPY Flirts With the 200-Day After Suspected Intervention
We can't ignore the elephant in the room today. The Japanese yen is again making headlines as it strengthens across the board.
Some are saying it was a rate check while others say intervention. It could also be a bond transfer. No one really knows, and it likely won't get confirmed until next business day when FX activity reports get published. But there was an oddly large candle on the M1 timeframe, and that usually coincides with some kind of artificial market manipulation.
What's interesting is USDJPY is flirting with the 200-day, which has been strong support. If you somehow overcome it to the downside, you likely see continued weakness toward 156, 157, 155, and lower.
I am really receptive to dollar yen getting a deep discount, because I want to be a long-term buyer and start accumulating. But right now is not a good place to build as the cost basis would be too high.
read the full article here.
— Alan | 1 145 |
| 4 |  Gold Daily Chart:
Price showing a bit of resilience here at the 50% retracement zone.
Macro wise, I still think the bull case holds. Weaker economic data than forecasts had expected, jobs data soft this week ahead of NFP, and an administration committed to trying to keep long term bond yields down are a solid bull case in my view.
I am taking trades / sharing updates in our VIP group. Our 40% off sale ends Friday!
If you have any questions about the group, would like to explore it, etc, please chat here
- Nick | 1 390 |
| 5 | 🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day
A trader loses 25% of account equity. Why does this create a disproportionately larger challenge for recovery compared to the size of the original loss? | 2 395 |
| 6 |  My gold gameplan:
Watching as price pulls back here. I generally am a believer that the gold rally can broadly continue.
Weak jobs data recently, softer than expected economic growth, and a mixed inflation read support a interest rate hold in my view.
I will be taking trades / sharing updates in our VIP service.
If you're interested in joining but have questions or would like some details on our payment plan option, please feel free to chat here
- Nick | 2 547 |
| 7 |  Gold Daily Chart
Gold is bleeding today... But the big question is: Is this a buyable dip or is something bigger happening here?
The flare up in global bond yields, oil prices, and Kevin Warsh's surprisingly hawkish comments from Jackson Hole really brought some questions surrounding the integrity of Gold's upward trend.
There's a couple of things I'm looking for that'll give me the confidence in buying this monster drop. Specifically the follow through in global yields, oil prices, and sentiment indicators.
Ideally, I want to be a buyer into peak fear, but I must also not ignore fundamental changes that could complicate the trend.
If you want to get notified when a take my next trade, join here (https://a1trading.com/vip/tgvip/). (40% off ends soon)
Need a payment plan? Chat with support (https://bit.ly/4ufx8VG)
— Alan | 2 394 |
| 8 |  Japanese Bond Yields Are Now Making Some Noise
The JGB story is something I knew was brewing in the background, but it seems like the market and I have put it to the side until today. The Japanese 10-year just crossed 3% for the first time since 1996.
Here is why this is tricky and vulnerable for the market. Japan's central bankers are trying to raise rates, and it seems like they are succeeding. So imagine you are a Japanese bank or pension fund holding a lot of foreign debt. Suddenly your own domestic bonds give you an attractive yield. What do you do? You pull money out of foreign assets, foreign bonds, foreign equities, and bring it home. To do that, you buy Japanese yen.
That creates an unwind effect in global markets. Money flows out of global assets and into yen and Japanese bonds. That could ruffle some feathers, especially with the US bond market already getting crushed and US yields moving higher.
Now the whole Japanese curve is exploding higher at once.
read the full article here.
— Alan | 2 172 |
| 9 | 🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day
Using a fixed dollar risk amount per trade regardless of the asset's volatility results in consistent risk exposure across all positions. | 2 665 |
| 10 |  Ready to see what the hype is about? 😊
Try EdgeFinder FREE, this week only!
Click here to access EdgeFinder | 2 580 |
| 11 |  EURUSD Daily Chart:
I am looking for long setups. I'm watching closely to see how price acts following Friday's surprise hawkish tone from Warsh.
Bullish due to lower inflation and weakening labor data in the U.S. We can't forget Friday's negative NFP yearly revisions.
The Fed wants to cut, but the macro data says otherwise.
I'm also seeing the short end of the curve (US 02Y) which tracks Fed policy, trading lower today, which tells me the market doesn't think the Fed will hike too much. CME Fedwatch also projects this.
I'd like to see the 38.2 fib level hold and for price to hold above the 200 Day SMA.
If you want to get notified when a take my next trade, join here. (40% off ends soon)
Need a payment plan? Chat with support
— Alan | 2 479 |
| 12 |  Gold Now Tests the 0.382 as Yields and Oil Climb
Gold is under pressure today for three main reasons. One, it is carrying Friday's surprisingly hawkish Warsh speech at Jackson Hole. Two, oil is higher today, which spooks inflation fears. Three, that feeds higher yields.
Gold, the non-yielding asset, does not like rising yields. Investors can rotate out of gold, which yields nothing, and park in safer assets like US bonds for the yield. So you have a rotation from gold into bonds right now.
But these are all fresh. In my personal opinion, the market is likely to fade what Warsh said, and gold gets bid back up.
What needs to happen is for the dust to settle. Gold is at the 0.382 retracement. A recovery here, with oil and yields lower, would make sense for gold higher. If oil and yields do not settle, gold falls further. As of now, oil and yields are bid which makes me hesitate.
Honestly, I'm receptive to deeper pullbacks. I am bullish on gold, and so is the EdgeFinder.
read the full article here.
— Alan | 2 285 |
| 13 |  US Oil Now Tests a Pivotal Level as US-Iran Strikes Resume
US oil is up 2.62% today, creeping into that level of resistance and the bearish trendline as fresh strikes in the US-Iran war escalate.
The US struck Iranian targets near Hormuz after detecting mine preparations, and Iran hit back at US facilities in Jordan. The US says it will retaliate on any aggression, so oil stays bid.
This is very consequential for markets across the board. If oil breaks above this trendline and resistance, and you see it back in the mid-90s for an extended period, that spooks the market on higher inflation and potentially higher rates.
So I'm watching oil at this very pivotal level. If it keeps chopping downward, that is good for the risk-on story. If it breaks out higher, it gets problematic. You could see a stronger dollar, gold under pressure, and equities under pressure too.
read the full article here.
— Alan | 2 191 |
| 14 | If you have questions about the service, would like to see examples, or are interested in pricing options, please chat with us here | 2 342 |
| 15 |  Alan's Trade Alerts are now becoming a VIP member perk!
Now VIP members get to see trades from our veteran trades: Nick, Alan, Marko, Eivind, and Chris!
Because of this new addition, we are going to extend our VIP 40% off sale by 1 week, before prices go back to normal.
Sign up now to see all trade alerts, 40% off (limited time) | 2 547 |
| 16 | 🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day
A central bank raising rates when inflation runs above target is acting to slow aggregate demand, not to directly lower the prices already reflected in the CPI basket. | 3 519 |
| 17 |  Gold 4H:
Huge pullback (just when everyone was saying it wouldnt! funny how that goes...)
I am sizing up trades to the long side.
Updates currently being shared with VIP members here. (40% off still for a bit longer)
Come trade with us and get in on the action!
All trades come with entries, exits, and full breakdowns. If you have any questions or need a payment plan, feel free to chat here
- Nick | 3 929 |
| 18 |  EdgeFinder improvement! Data that has new data coming soon will now highlight in red 😎
This is useful because it allows traders to see impending new information that could potentially change scores.
If you see several red text items, that could indicate a significant score change may be pending!
This has been requested by several dedicated EdgeFinder users, and I great appreciate the suggestions.
Have a wonderful weekend traders!
- Nick | 3 478 |
| 19 |  US 10-Year Yield Is Now Testing a Ceiling from 2023
The US 10-year yield is at 4.684, creeping higher as traders wait on Warsh at Jackson Hole this morning.
Yields broke out of the war-start zone near 3.80 to 4.00 and climbed the trendline the entire way, right into the resistance that has capped them since 2023. We are testing that level now.
Yields rose after the July meeting because Warsh was seen as not offering enough concrete steps on inflation. He is running a divided Fed. He has said 2% is his firm target, no question about it, and several officials share the inflation concern.
As for today, Warsh prefers less forward guidance, so this may not deliver much volatility. He is not going to foreshadow September. And as long as oil prices remain tamed, there's really no urgency to hike.
Hike odds are 35% for September, 75% by December. PCE held at 3.7%, above target for the 65th straight month.
read the full article here.
— Alan | 3 243 |
| 20 |  VIX Now Sits Low as Retail Turns Sharply Bearish
Are we in a bubble? Most likely. Will it pop? I have no idea. But one chart to be mindful of is the VIX.
Is it low? Yes. It is at 14.43, sitting near the lows and well below the 200-day. A low VIX means markets grind higher, and that is exactly what they have done. But we all know what can happen if the VIX decides to wake up. Look at the March spike to 35 on this same chart.
Retail is not calm at all. The latest AAII survey has bearish sentiment at 44.4%, unusually high and above its average for 29 straight weeks. The bull-bear spread fell to negative 11.5%.
So you have very fearful investors, a very calm VIX, and indexes near record highs. Those three things do not usually sit together for long.
read the full article here.
— Alan | 3 274 |
