Coin Post – Money, Investments, Bitcoin

The current BTC correction is nerve-wracking, but let's zoom out and look at the markets 🕯 Crypto over the last 3 months:

🩷 BTC +40% 🩷 ETH +66% 🩷 Altcoins +44% 🩷 Crypto market cap +35%

Other markets over the last 3 months:

🖤 Silver +9% 🖤 Gold +6% 🖤 Copper +13% 🖤 Russell 2000 +8% 🖤 S&P 500 +3.26% 🖤 Nasdaq +2.2% 💙 KOSPI -14%

🩵 8 months ago, all markets were in the green except for crypto. Now, the crypto market is outperforming, shrugging off Fed rate hikes, geopolitics, and the scrapped Clarity Act. Still worried about a BTC pullback to $84k?

BTC is hitting $86k. If this is indeed the return of the bull market, right now is the time to identify which altcoins will join the run 🤑 Coins worth watching:

NEAR – the chart displays a massive double bottom, with the price currently testing key resistance at $4. A breakout and hold above this level opens the path toward $8, with a peak target of $20

CAKE – de facto the #2 DEX behind Uniswap, which has rebounded (+111% over the last 30 days) amid the tokenized asset trading narrative. CAKE is trailing right behind, if it breaks through the $3 resistance block (note: assuming $3 was intended rather than $3k), the next targets sit at $5 and $10

Arbitrum – a nearly stagnant project given a second lease on life thanks to the traction of Robinhood Chain, where ARB serves as the base layer. Targets stand at $0.50, $1.20, and a sky-high move beyond $5. For this to materialize, momentum on Robinhood Chain must persist, alongside the rollout of additional chains built on Arbitrum stack

Stellar – Now in its ninth year forming an ascending triangle with breakout potential toward $4 from current levels around $0.20. Beyond the chart setup itself, the network routinely surfaces in sovereign CBDC pilots, the question is whether that finally translates into market valuation

Smells like a peace deal and an altseason. Seriously, Brent crude is falling, and Glassnode analysts signaled the start of an altseason 👀

Oil is dropping following the restoration of an oil pipeline in Saudi Arabia and rumors of Iran's readiness to open the Strait of Hormuz in 7 days if the US lifts its naval blockade.

Everyone is already tired of the story about the strait, but right now the President of Iran is in the US for the UN General Assembly, and Xi Jinping is flying there soon as well. For the first time since the start of the Iranian war, the US and China are simultaneously interested in falling oil prices, and if they reach an agreement, they could present a united front for opening the Strait of Hormuz.

Ahead of the Congressional elections, Trump doesn't need another victory in Iran; it will be enough to announce a new peace deal and declare the upcoming opening of the Middle East's oil tap. This will be enough to push oil down to $80, hit a new high for the S&P 500, and fuel the growth of altcoins, which have become interesting again after BTC's transition into an early bull market.

A Trump-pump of risk assets is the main chance for Republicans to keep their majority in Congress after the November 3rd elections. And right now, Donald holds the cards to make this scenario happen 🤒

China's UBTECH Robotics has launched a factory where robots assemble other robots 🤨

A new robot rolls off the assembly line every 10 minutes.

Is humanity done for, or do we still have some time left?..

BTC closed the week above the 50 WMA ($78,800), signaling the end of the shortest bear market in the history of the original cryptocurrency 👊

To solidify the bullish scenario, we need to see the price break above $83k to print a higher high.

While all BTC cycle models point to a bottom in November–December, history might take a different path this time, with geopolitics acting as the catalyst 🤒 Trump can't end another war ahead of schedule or even bring down oil prices, so they will pump crypto and equities to boost Republican popularity ahead of the fall elections. 💬 This creates the risk that the crypto market could see a major correction in November–December to stress-test this early bull run.

If you had been buying assets instead of morning coffee since 2016, this is how much you could have earned 🕠

By the way, those who chose BTC would have $279k or a 20x gain today, and all of that instead of one morning cup of coffee.

The meme coin frenzy is back on Robinhood Chain. Here is a curated list of the top picks with 10x to 1,000x potential, based on an analysis by YouTube influencer Joe Parys Crypto (488k subscribers) 🕟 1000x

Robin Hood (ROBIN) • Market Cap: $2M • Narrative: The chain's main mascot, ultra-low cap, aggressive influencer marketing, and strong price retention during market dips • Link

Meme Character Universe (MCU) • Market Cap: $755k • Narrative: Ultra-low cap with a built-in passive income mechanism • Link

100x

The Juggernaut (JUGGERNAUT) • Market Cap: $8M • Narrative: The officially acknowledged favorite meme of - Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev, as confirmed in his personal posts on X • Link

50x

Cash Cat (CASHCAT) • Market Cap: $201M • Narrative: The flagship cat meme coin on the Robinhood network • Link

Boner Coin (BONER) • Market Cap: $201M • Narrative: An edgy, humorous meme tied to the HIMS stock narrative • Link

10x

Pons (PONS) • Market Cap: $454M • Narrative: The Robinhood ecosystem's premier launchpad with major holders • Link

Artificial Inu (AI) • Market Cap: $285M • Narrative: An AI-focused token tied to Nvidia stock • Link

A Meme Coin (MEME) • Market Cap: $32M • Narrative: A meme token pegged to AMC stock • Link

Save this watchlist so you don't miss the meme boom on Robinhood Chain 🧚

BTC at $78k, and ETH at $2,500. The crypto market didn't crash after the Clarity Act vote failed and the Fed hiked rates 💸 What's holding crypto up:

❤️ Whales are accumulating BTC at current prices ❤️ ETH balances on exchanges hit a record low ❤️ Stablecoin inflows to Binance remain steady at $1.2B ❤️ The UTXO in Loss indicator shows the momentum of the latest drop is sufficient to form a cycle bottom

Zcash is up +2 288% over the past 12 months, with price targets reaching $8 100 by late 2030 🟠 Grayscale is betting on surging demand for privacy. If ZEC captures 2% of Bitcoin’s market cap, its price would climb to $1,600 (currently at $1,200). If this momentum holds, Grayscale analysts project ZEC capturing 10% of BTC's market cap, reaching a price of $8,100 by 2030. Demand drivers:

🟢 Rapid AI adoption is stripping away financial privacy, driving renewed interest in confidential transactions and private wealth storage 🟢 ZEC’s development continues to advance, with quantum resistance currently top of mind 🟢 Zcash mining remains profitable despite the broader crypto winter

Technical setup:

▶️ ZEC is sustaining its macro uptrend, though a bearish divergence is forming, similar to what played out this past May ▶️ A final push before a pullback could drive prices above $1,400 ▶️ If the broader crypto market enters a correction, key support sits at $750–$860 and $500–$660, prime accumulation zones ahead of the 2027 bull run

💬 Zcash is establishing itself as a core narrative for the next market cycle, making it a high-conviction candidate for dip-buying. Other privacy coins could easily follow its lead

For the first time since 2006, the Fed, the ECB, and the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates simultaneously. The ECB already hiked on September 10, the Fed is 86% likely to follow suit on September 16, and the Bank of Japan is set to do the same on September 18. ⚠️ The driver behind this hawkish monetary policy is accelerating inflation, fueled by oil sitting above $100 and surging demand for AI chips and memory.

Japan is the largest holder of US Treasuries ($1.1T) and a prime provider of global market liquidity thanks to its ultra-low rates. However, Japan's era of negative rates is definitively over; more capital is staying onshore rather than flowing into global markets.

It’s premature to call this a rerun of the 2008 crisis, a true collapse requires a catalyst, and markets today are far better equipped to handle shocks than they were two decades ago. 💬 The primary risk remains protracted global inflation, which could force the Fed, the ECB, and the BoJ to kick off a fresh cycle of coordinated rate hikes. If that happens, the bull market will likely have to be put on hold until at least 2027.

We were all waiting for a decision on the Clarity Act, but the Democrats rejected the version proposed by the Republicans. Clearly, the Democrats smell Republican "blood" ahead of the elections, and right now they are simply going to ignore anything coming from the opposing aisle. It’s completely unclear what Trump and his Republican circle are thinking ahead of the elections. Trump was supposed to create an investor's "paradise", markets rallying across the board, rate cuts, and clear skies ahead. Yet because of Iran and the resulting surge in oil prices, that plan is stalling. To me, it feels odd to think they will hike rates, considering Kevin Warsh (at the Fed) is clearly Trump’s appointee and someone who, judging by indirect signs, intends to flood the economy with liquidity. However, oil prices remain high and bond yields are climbing, leaving them with little other choice 🤔 When the rate-cut cycle reverses direction, markets often face a short-term shock, but they adapt and continue upward over the long run. That said, one must realize that a 25 bps hike followed by a solid liquidity injection will still have a net positive effect on crypto and the broader markets. Whatever the rate happens to be in that specific moment won't really matter.

Just a reminder: rates were elevated prior to 2025, and that didn't stop both traditional markets and crypto from outperforming to the upside.

The smartest move right now is to wait until Wednesday, evaluate the final Fed numbers and rhetoric, and only build a trading plan once the market shows its hand.

💡 Investment Idea: Cadence Design Systems (CDNS) is a core, foundational "supercompany" serving as irreplaceable infrastructure for the entire global semiconductor industry. Together with its primary rival, Synopsys (SNPS), Cadence forms a global duopoly in Electronic Design Automation (EDA) software. 🤖 Without Cadence software, tech giants like Nvidia, Apple, Qualcomm, AMD, Broadcom, and Amazon physically cannot design modern microchips. It is a vital "silent monopolist", without which the semiconductor industry would simply grind to a halt.

Business Overview & Competition The company develops EDA software, hardware emulation systems, and pre-designed semiconductor IP blocks. Cadence software translates engineers' high-level architectural designs into physical transistor layouts for AI, automotive, and data centers. The market is effectively split between two giants, Cadence and Synopsys, with Siemens EDA standing as the third notable player. Cadence commands roughly 28–30% of the global EDA market. While not a pure monopoly, its duopoly with Synopsys controls over 60% of the entire industry. Breaking into this space is virtually impossible for a newcomer; developing comparable software demands decades of work by thousands of specialized engineers. Long-Term Contracts The business model relies on multi-year (typically 3-year) renewable subscriptions and licenses, boasting renewal rates exceeding 90–95%. Strategic multi-year agreements are locked in with leading tech clients (Apple, NVIDIA, Qualcomm) as well as U.S. government entities, including DARPA and defense contractors like Lockheed Martin. Pros & Cons Pros: Extremely high switching costs—engineers spend years mastering the Cadence ecosystem, making a platform shift a massive financial and operational risk for chipmakers; high ROI and strong pricing power against inflation. Cons: Geopolitical export controls and restrictions on selling cutting-edge EDA software to China.

🚨 The company’s core moat lies in its EDA software duopoly alongside its front-runner integration of AI tools for electronic and chip design. Cadence Design Systems is an ideal candidate for a core, foundational portfolio holding. Its valuation currently sits well below market levels, and it boasts substantially stronger financial metrics compared to Synopsys.

Bitcoin’s peak price in the next cycle will land between $170k and $190k 😎 The math: ⏺ BTC gains slow down by an average of 28% each cycle: 115x → 21.7x → 7.9x ⏺ The next bull market will yield a 2.2x to 3.9x multiple from the $58k bottom: a range of $128k to $229k ⏺ Averaging the data points gives a potential peak of up to $190k What’s your bull market prediction? 🐳 – $200k+ 👍 – $170k max 🕊 – No bull run coming

Wall Street top picks based on current market conditions 🐳 🛢 Trump is promising to end the war in Iran only after the midterm Congressional elections (November 3), while Iran intends to fight until 2029 and has seized control of a second maritime route out of the Middle East. The energy crisis is gaining momentum, and American oil producers are the ones profiting most from it:

⏺ Occidental Petroleum ⏺ EOG Resources 🔴 Marathon Petroleum – +137% YTD, makes sense to enter on a pullback 🟢 Chevron – recently closed a $7B deal with Venezuela ⏺ Enterprise Products

💊 On August 19, Moderna surged 134% in a single day. AI has significantly accelerated new drug development; according to Bank of America, the next pharma winners will be:

⏺ AstraZeneca – strong pipeline of new drugs and an attractive risk/reward profile ⏺ Genmab – high conviction in positive Phase 3 clinical trial results later this year

🕡 In late August, Nvidia set a new revenue record, confirming that AI demand remains robust.

Bank of America echoes this strong demand and recommends Micron Technology, viewing the recent dip in memory chipmakers as a buying opportunity. Current price: $977; the bank's target price: $1,550.

P.S. On Bitcoin, Wall Street whales are split down the middle: half are looking for $100k by year-end, while the other half expects $50k.

Stop AI immediately! The narrative around the existential threat of AI to humanity is gaining serious momentum, with Sam Altman, Dario Amodei, and Elon Musk personally jumping into the fray. And this is where things get really interesting, casting doubt on their true motives. The AI threat stormed onto the current agenda following a viral resignation post by an Anthropic employee. Soon after, the company itself dropped a bombshell titled "A 10% chance that AGI will wipe out humanity," doubling down on the narrative with a report on biological weapons development. The heavyweights have entered the ring: ▶️ Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei publishes an essay on the necessity of restricting AI development ▶️ OpenAI CEO Sam Altman backs his primary rival, while OpenAI’s IPO gets pushed back to next year ▶️ Elon Musk chimes in to remind everyone he warned us all back in spring 2023:

"I have seen the development of many technologies, but none carried this level of risk. In my view, AGI poses a significantly greater risk than nuclear weapons."

When you put all the pieces together, what emerges isn't a genuine existential threat to humanity, because nobody actually intends to halt development. Instead, it looks like an orchestrated PR and marketing campaign where: 🟢 Anthropic aims for a record-breaking IPO, positioning itself as the only player capable of "protecting humanity" from AI 🟢 OpenAI lands the perfect pretext to delay its IPO until it can present financials strong enough to keep the bubble from bursting 💬 The AI boom marches on, markets will climb even higher, and any operational shortcomings or financial hiccups can simply be written off as "safety concerns."

Every generation makes the exact same mistake...

US government debt investors have just locked in their worst 10-year return in 223 years. Anyone who held Treasuries over the past decade lost money and that is before accounting for inflation 🩸 What happened:

▶️ In 2016, 10-year yields plunged to historic lows of 1.36%-1.5% ▶️ In 2020–2021, the Fed fired up the printing press to counter the economic fallout of the pandemic, creating nearly $5 trillion out of thin air ▶️ In 2022–2023, the Fed hiked interest rates from 0% to over 5% to combat inflation ▶️ The nominal price of long-term Treasuries collapsed on the secondary market as newly issued yields surged, leaving coupon payments incapable of offsetting the capital losses

As a result, while the rolling 10-year return on Treasuries had averaged 5.41% since 1793, by August 2026 it dropped to -1.85%. It is easy to see why the Treasury feels compelled to step into the bond market immediately, rolling out "diet QE" tomorrow by doubling its Treasury buyback program. What’s next:

If Bessent’s plan succeeds and yields decline, equities and crypto will gain fresh fuel to rally, convinced that the Treasury is ready to extinguish the fire with pure liquidity. If the Treasury's plan falters, the reverse will unfold, opening up prime discount-buying opportunities. In that scenario, the US would be left with only one viable playbook: financial repression. Rates would be artificially pinned below inflation so the national debt can be inflated away through dollar devaluation. Markets would be flooded with virtually limitless liquidity, but nominal asset gains would be eroded by that very currency depreciation. In the end, the only investors walking away with real wealth will be those whose assets can outpace inflation.

Over 10 clients pay $100k a month for a 1.5-2 second head start on Trump's Truth Social posts. And here's what they get 😵‍💫

Finally, an iPhone made for crypto bros... 😁

Btw, recently came across info that five years ago Nike set targets to bring the share of 'racial and ethnic minorities' to 35% in corporate roles and 30% among directors by 2025. Executive bonuses were tied to gender and racial diversity (DEI) metrics. I honestly don't even know what to say... Somewhere, a miscalculation was made, but where???