Sonar21

🔴ترامپ یک سیکل را مرتباً تکرار می‌کند: «بمباران ایران، اعلام قبول کردن شرایط آمریکا توسط ایران، و بمباران مجدد». در این میان، با ایجاد موج در قیمت نفت و ارزش سهام نفتی، خودش و اطرافیانش سود سرشاری از خرید و فروش سهام و شرط‌بندی روی آن می‌برند. 🔹این کار او بدون همکاری و هماهنگی عده‌ای از مقامات ایرانی عملی نیست. قاعدتاً طرف ایرانی در مذاکرات هم سهم خوبی از این معاملات دارد؛ و در هر سیکل صدها میلیون دلار به جیب می‌زنند. شرط‌بندی چند صد میلیون دلاری روی ارزش سهام، درست ۲۰ دقیقه قبل از توئیت عراقچی، نشان از هماهنگی امثال او دارد. توئیت‌های قالیباف، و توصیه‌های تجاری او به دلالان نفتی، نشان از این دارد که او در معاملات نفتی کاملاً فعال است. 🔹به قول ترامپ «دنیا تبدیل به یک کازینوی بزرگ شده»؛ و مقامات سیاسی، بجای پیگیری منافع ملی، دنبال پر کردن جیب خود هستند.

Key points from Vladimir Putin's statements: ▪️ Russian Armed Forces are advancing in all directions of the special military operation; the enemy cannot hold back this onslaught and is resorting to terrorist methods. ▪️ Russian troops maintain a strategic advantage in the special military operation, confidently moving forward. ▪️ No strikes by the AFU on Russia will help the enemy. ▪️ The regions of Donbass and Novorossiya must reach the all-Russian level in key quality-of-life indicators by 2030. ▪️ It is necessary not only to rebuild what was destroyed in Donbass and Novorossiya, but also to lay a new foundation for development. ▪️ Much has been done for the development of Donbass and Novorossiya, but there are still more unresolved issues. @Slavyangrad

— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 Iranian MP & Deputy National Security Committee Head, Mahmoud Nabavian: ‘In the MoU, it is stated that American military forces must withdraw from our region within 30 days of signing the final agreement (not the MoU). However, the details and extent of this withdrawal have not been specified. In my opinion it should be specified.’ @Middle_East_Spectator

— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 The MoU and negotiations will consist of two parts: Within 30 days of signing the MoU, the U.S. naval blockade will be lifted and the Strait of Hormuz will be opened (under Iranian management). Immediately upon signing, a ceasefire is announced in the region, including Lebanon, half of Iran’s frozen assets (held in Qatar) will be released, and the U.S. will issue sanctions waivers for Iranian oil and petrochemicals. After these 30 days, if all conditions have been met, talks will begin for a duration of 60 days to reach a final agreement, including on nuclear matters, sanctions relief, and American withdrawal from the region. @Middle_East_Spectator

🇮🇷🇺🇸| Nabavian: My core objection is that too many major benefits for Iran are pushed to the vague “final agreement,” whose date is unclear and extendable. The $300 billion mechanism, ending US sanctions, the nuclear issue, and US troop withdrawal all depend on that final agreement. But until then [in the meantime], Iran itself is proposing to freeze 3 things: • Our current nuclear status, meaning no enrichment • The damaged nuclear facilities staying as they are instead of being rebuilt • US sanctions remaining in place. Even worse, U.S. forces would also remain in the region until the final agreement. So my question is: Is this really America’s proposal, or ours? Because if the final agreement can keep getting extended, Iran gives up leverage during the waiting period while America keeps sanctions and troops in place. @FotrosResistancee

— 🇮🇷/🇺🇸/🇧🇭 The U.S. A-327 radar in Bahrain is gone @Middle_East_Spectator

🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 Ukraine cannot intercept Russian ballistic missiles due to air defense missile shortages and Russia's expanding production capacity, the New York Times reports, citing Ukrainian military officials and air defense officers. According to them, the shortage of air defense missiles for Western systems supplied to Ukraine is compounded by the country's sheer size — leaving many facilities impossible to cover. The number of missile strikes is also growing, during which there is sometimes simply nothing to shoot back with, and air defense systems sit empty. Any improvement in the situation is unlikely, given the high expenditure of surface-to-air missiles during the Iran-US war. "Ukrainians watched with frustration bordering on horror as footage showed Gulf states in some cases using multiple Patriot missiles to shoot down a single cheap, slow-moving drone," the NYT writes. The outlet also notes Ukraine's efforts to develop its own air defense system, though whether it can match the Patriot's effectiveness remains unknown. Russia's growing missile production is also taking its toll. According to data compiled by the NYT, Russia has increased the number of ballistic missiles launched from 74 in 2023 to nearly 600 in 2025. This year alone, Russia has already fired 410 ballistic missiles at Ukraine — a pace that projects to roughly 900 per year if Moscow maintains it. Meanwhile, Lockheed Martin, the manufacturer of the advanced PAC-3 interceptor, stated it delivered a total of 620 such munitions worldwide last year. Over the past three years since acquiring its first Patriot system, Ukraine has received more than 1,600 missiles for it, Colonel Ihnat stated — including both PAC-3 and the older-generation PAC-2 variants. But they cannot keep pace with the rising tempo of attacks. Experts note that regardless of the exact number of interceptors Ukraine holds, that figure does not match the sheer volume of ballistic missiles Russia is launching. "If you compare the number of ballistic missiles produced monthly in Russia with the number of interceptor missiles produced annually, the math simply doesn't add up," said Oleg Katkov, editor-in-chief of Defense Express. 🔴 @DDGeopolitics

— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: The New York Times claims that senior Iranian military officials, as well as the Supreme Leader, have reviewed the final MoU draft and are ‘comfortable’ with it @Middle_East_Spectator

🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️ — U.S. Central Command:

Iran launched multiple one-way attack drones in an attempt to strike commercial ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz. U.S. forces have downed all of them in recent hours as traffic flow through the strait continues unimpeded. The international trade corridor remains open for transit.

🇮🇷🇦🇪⚡- "The United Arab Emirates has categorically denied reports published by certain international media outlets alleging the transfer of funds from the UAE to the Islamic Republic of Iran, including allegations concerning USD 3 billion. In a statement, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs affirmed that these allegations are entirely false and unfounded, stressing that no frozen Iranian funds have been released, transferred, or facilitated through the UAE," - UAE's Ministry of Foreign Affairs

🇮🇷🇺🇸🇱🇧🇱🇧⚡️ — Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi:

We will never leave Hezbollah in Lebanon alone, and the MoU to end the war will also encompass Lebanon and all other fronts.

🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️- “Service fees will be collected in the Strait of Hormuz, this is confirmed.” - Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi.

🇮🇷🇱🇧📄🇺🇸🇮🇱Iran’s semi-official Mehr news agency has published a list of terms that are reportedly in the draft memorandum of understanding with the US. It cites a source close to the Iranian negotiating team, but the details have not been confirmed publicly by either Tehran or Washington. The report says the text is yet to be finalised by the Iranian leadership. According to the report, the draft includes 14 points: 🔸Permanent and immediate cessation of war on all fronts, including Lebanon. 🔸The US’s “commitment to non-interference in Iran’s internal affairs” and respect for its sovereignty. 🔸Lifting of US naval blockade within 30 days. 🔸Withdrawal of US forces from around Iran. 🔸Reopening the strait of Hormuz within 30 days “with Iranian arrangements”. 🔸Suspension of US sanctions on Iranian oil. 🔸US and allies to draw up reconstruction plans for Iran “worth at least $300bn”. 🔸Sixty days of negotiations to reach a final agreement “based on nuclear issues and the complete lifting of” sanctions. 🔸Reiterating Iran’s commitment not to produce nuclear weapons. 🔸During the negotiations, the US will not increase its forces in the region or impose new sanctions. 🔸Release $24bn in blocked Iranian funds. 🔸Establishing a monitoring mechanism to implement the agreement. 🔸Final agreement to be approved by a UN security council resolution. 🔸The final negotiations will not begin before the release of half of Iran’s frozen funds, the suspension of oil sanctions and the lifting of the naval blockade. “Discussions about Iran’s missile programme and support for resistance groups have been definitively removed from the agenda.” @DDGeopolitics

🇮🇩🛢 Mass protests erupt across Indonesia after gasoline prices jumped more than 30% overnight. Pertamax, the country's most popular fuel, rose from 12,300 to 16,250 rupiah per liter (+32%) on June 10, with subsidized Pertalite up 30% as well. Crowds have filled the streets of Jakarta, with motorcycle taxi drivers and students out in force. Fuel hikes have brought down governments here before. The 1998 price riots ended Suharto's 31-year rule. 🔴 @DDGeopolitics | Socials | Donate | Advertising

🇮🇷 Iran’s FM Araghchi: The difference this time compared to previous agreements is that we have not yet reached a final deal. This is the first step or first phase. If the agreements of the first phase are not implemented, we will not move to the second step. 🚩 ResistanceTrench | Boost