AU Trading Journal 🩵😈
Open in Telegram
Contact and collabs： @auxbt X：https://x.com/au_xbt This channel documents AU’s trades, ideas, and research. Every trade includes the logic. Do not blindly copy, only follow if you understand and agree. Content is still being refined NFA DYOR
Show moreThe country is not specifiedEconomy & Finance12 246
9 412
Subscribers
+324 hours
-17 days
-5330 days
Data loading in progress...
Similar Channels
No data
Any problems? Please refresh the page or contact our support manager.
Tags Cloud
Incoming and Outgoing Mentions
---
---
---
---
---
---
Attracting Subscribers
September '26
September '26
+56
in 2 channels
August '26
+56
in 2 channels
Get PRO
July '26
+124
in 4 channels
Get PRO
June '26
+468
in 21 channels
Get PRO
May '26
+359
in 18 channels
Get PRO
April '26
+398
in 21 channels
Get PRO
March '26
+319
in 10 channels
Get PRO
February '26
+267
in 5 channels
Get PRO
January '26
+805
in 25 channels
Get PRO
December '25
+766
in 16 channels
Get PRO
November '25
+355
in 17 channels
Get PRO
October '25
+2 404
in 29 channels
Get PRO
September '25
+2 431
in 13 channels
Get PRO
August '25
+2 348
in 1 channels
| Date | Subscriber Growth | Mentions | Channels | |
| 10 September | +1 | |||
| 09 September | +6 | |||
| 08 September | +30 | |||
| 07 September | +6 | |||
| 06 September | +6 | |||
| 05 September | +2 | |||
| 04 September | 0 | |||
| 03 September | +4 | |||
| 02 September | 0 | |||
| 01 September | +1 |
Channel Posts
The news of Biden’s son launching a meme coin has drained liquidity from the entire market and caused the whole market to sell off. Meanwhile, semiconductors will most likely continue to rise tomorrow, and crypto capital has started flowing back into semiconductors, which is why BTC is falling. GPT 6 Astra makes it hard for capital not to flow back into tech and semiconductors.
Waiting until Biden’s son finishes launching the meme coin could be a relatively good opportunity to buy the dip. MEME and INDEX both have a chance to be listed on Robinhood, so buying the dip on these two when that happens may be a good move. The timing for the listings should be better after Solana and BSC have played all their cards, semiconductors start consolidating at higher levels again, and crypto capital flows back in.
Altcoins will also fall with BTC, but HYPE is following the US stock market instead. Holding HYPE while semiconductors are rising should be the better choice. HYPE will most likely reach 90 in September
| 2 | The second half was a top tier prediction. Almost no one on X probably predicted that $BE would be added to the S&P 500. It just happened to cross my mind that day. Next up is the opportunity around $INTC’s lockup expiration on the 10th. $MU should of course return to 1200 in September | 1 671 |
| 3 |  +2$MU, $INTC, and $BE should hit new highs soon. MU should probably move to 1200 first, consolidate for a while, then continue higher. My current strengths are basically SPX 0DTE > swing trading hot US stocks > crypto altcoins > memecoins. In July and August, I also studied trading in detail with institutional traders, from TPO charts to DOM, basically from Market Profile to order flow. The book on options volatility and pricing was also read five times.
That period was mainly spent studying SPX 0DTE and trading US stocks. Time is limited, so there simply isn’t enough time to follow everything in crypto. The personal growth path went from crypto memecoins to altcoins and then US stocks. With limited time now, you can probably pay more attention to my views on US stocks, followed by altcoins | 1 670 |
| 4 |  tao 250→270→300→ath Also, perhaps TAO whales could pump its paired meme coin to attract more attention, which could in turn push TAO even higher | 1 708 |
| 5 | Bought some $TAO. Compared with ZEC and NEAR, TAO still looks undervalued. Also bought a meme paired with it | 1 822 |
| 6 | As everyone knows, getting listed on Binance is usually a top signal. But Hakimi is different. It has been washed out for long enough to be comparable to Cashcat, just like Marscoin compared to AI.
Also, when Binance lists perps for two meme coins at the same time, it is usually the lower market cap one, or the unexpected one, that pumps. In other words, Binance could dump Pons and pump Hakimi. | 1 957 |
| 7 | So what I mean here is that semiconductors will start the third stage of the move higher starting from the day OpenAI releases GPT 6 Astra. Then maybe MU will return to its previous high before the FOMC, or after the FOMC if no rate hike is announced.
Historical data shows that the SPX tends to see a sharp pullback on the first trading day after U.S. Labor Day. Not sure if this year will be different, but it is not a big problem. These few stocks should not drop much.
Also, some of the memecoins paired with MU as the liquidity pool, such as MOO and SHROOM, should also make new highs. | 1 896 |
| 8 |  By the way, as mentioned before the open, $BE was highly likely to be added to the S&P 500. $BE is being added to the S&P 500. Called this one. | 1 810 |
| 9 |  Holding these three stocks for now should be fine. They have also been very strong while QQQ was falling. Looking at the charts I drew, NQ and QQQ should also rebound from here. This is what my daily ES and NQ, SPX 0DTE intraday trading looks like. The profits are not that large, but it is still relatively consistent | 1 790 |
| 10 |  The losses on gold have been made back with these three stocks. AI hardware still moved higher at the open as expected. Not selling these three for now. I think all three have potential, and holding them avoids selling too early if the timing is not right. TSLA and META bought last week were also sold too early. The timing on stock exits has not been great lately.
At this point, the trades that do not lose money for me are meme trades and intraday ES or SPX 0DTE trading. ES intraday and SPX 0DTE do not make much, but they are relatively stable. For asymmetric upside and the chance to make a big return, memes are still the way to go.
Every period has its own bull market. First came the storage bull market, then software and MAG7, followed by biotech, and then crypto and memes. For now, the focus will remain on memes and asymmetric upside. For US stocks, these positions can be held for now and sold before the FOMC | 1 702 |
| 11 |  Predicting market data is fucking hard. I’m breaking down.😢 Let’s just go back to crypto and buy some memes. | 1 758 |
| 12 | Didn’t expect LULU to keep falling after being in this position for so long. Saw several U.S. consumer stocks rally hard after earnings and positioned for LULU as well. Fuck, got caught in a brutal selloff and stopped out at -10%.
Bullish on NFP tonight, expecting it to come in line with expectations. Semiconductors will most likely rip at the open tonight. The S&P 500 is heading for new highs and everything is being bid, so semiconductors should catch up and rally hard as well. Gold back to 4,600 within a few weeks.
Yesterday’s news about power shortages and strikes at U.S. AI data centers is bullish for BE. The S&P 500 additions and deletions will be announced tonight. BE is very likely to be announced as an addition to the S&P 500, especially with Pelosi buying it as well. INTC’s lockup expiration on the 10th is another opportunity and could potentially replicate the SPCX setup. | 1 839 |
| 13 |  +1Fully out of U.S. tech stocks for now. Kept a few biotech and consumer names that are still trading at relatively low levels to sit on as longer term setups, names like ZTS and LULU. Yesterday, followed the plan and trimmed semis premarket. After seeing semis sell off hard at the open, everything was closed and rotated into TSLA and a few software names. TSLA and the software names also moved higher.
Just now, SPX hit the major call wall and suddenly saw heavy put flow coming in. This is very clear from real time options delta, with a sudden large negative bar. Gamma, or GEX, is used to identify resistance levels, while delta, or DEX, is used to track real time options net flow and divergences.
There were also large dark pool prints. ES and NQ showed the same thing on the heatmap, with a large resting order getting completely consumed. This is exactly the kind of area where a reversal can happen. With multiple signals showing up at the same time, exposure was reduced again. Since I also trade ES and NQ intraday, I took short positions in both
Then there was no need to listen to Warsh speak. Just watch the 10Y Treasury yield. When it suddenly spiked higher, that was enough to know Warsh was speaking hawkishly, so everything was closed. For next week, the plan for now is to watch for the right opportunity to buy the dip in gold.
There will definitely be another major selloff in September or October before the midterms. U.S. tech stocks also have very few positive catalysts left going forward. That should be the time to buy the dip in U.S. tech again. Going forward, while continuing to trade ES and NQ intraday, crypto will probably need to be traded much more actively as well | 2 638 |
| 14 |  Big move higher. The 980 target for MU and 260 target for MRVL mentioned above were based on large bullish options trades seen late in the session two days ago. QQQ also did in fact bottom around 709. Too easy. The CPO names in the portfolio, such as LITE, are absolutely ripping. Those who were too afraid to buy semiconductors at the highs and are still buying crypto and gold really are idiots. With NVIDIA’s earnings coming in strong, CPO was obviously the first group to be bullish on, followed by semiconductors. The GLW position mentioned here was screened based on IV. Anyone who understands IV can take a look and will know why it was bought.
Ahead of NVIDIA’s earnings, IV, unusual options activity, and Gamma were also used to roughly gauge the direction of the move. At the same time, crypto and gold are indeed pulling back as expected, as mentioned before, while U.S. tech stocks are surging. All in all, a complete victory. The overall plan remains largely unchanged. Some TSLA may be added today. Perhaps it is better to wait for CPO and semiconductors to run a bit further before rotating into the MAG7. Fun fact: TSLA has historically rallied significantly in Q4 every year.
TRUMP, which was called earlier, also rallied to 3.6. Unfortunately, the momentum was hit by the Binance black swan event, which dragged TRUMP down. It later rallied to $3, only to get dragged down again by another BTC downside wick. In this situation, the only option is to buy altcoins with actual revenue and value. The earlier call on the stock market bottom, along with the bullish view on cloud companies and gold, was never posted here. The upside and conviction were even greater, which makes it even more satisfying, just without posting it here. Time to think carefully about what to buy next | 2 214 |
| 15 |  +4QQQ has 709 as the intraday floor for now. If it dips again tomorrow, add more and bet directly on Nvidia earnings being a positive catalyst for semis and CPO. And MRVL, almost forgot to mention it. It could run toward 260 into earnings. Saw several large options trades yesterday. I wasn’t in front of the computer at the open, so I missed that NQ hit the Call Wall and then pulled back.
QQQ also saw heavy dark pool activity around 709, making it a very good support level. I mapped out a few charts. You can see NQ swept liquidity in that area, absorbed the large orders, then reversed, leaving a long wick that pushed into the lower 1 standard deviation band of the daily VWAP. On the TPO chart, the support was taken from the 8/24 composite TPO as the value area, and that value area provided almost perfect support for the rebound.
Overall, 709 is the temporary bottom for QQQ for now. The expectation is for Nvidia earnings to drive a strong rally across the market tomorrow. The main focus now is intraday NQ and ES, weekly swing trades in individual US equities, and selective value investments. Crypto is more opportunistic. The goal now is stability and consistency.
Teach people how to fish rather than just give them the fish. More educational articles will be posted on Substack. The framework combines TPO, VWAP and key options levels, with Footprint or Heatmap used for entry confirmation. This is broadly the framework used by most institutional intraday traders today. Yesterday, the original plan was to wait for another dip and buy the bottom. Then Bessent released a positive policy update, which was unexpected and meant the dip never reached the level I was waiting for.
So the plan shifted to buying the open today, then betting on Nvidia earnings to drive semis and CPO sharply higher. There was also a notable amount of MU 980 calls going through late yesterday. On Thursday, the plan is to reduce semis and CPO exposure and rotate into META and TSLA. Semis are still momentum trades and are extremely vulnerable to sell the news. When a sector has already rallied into a positive catalyst, taking profits and de risking makes sense.
Then there’s Warsh’s speech on Friday. The expectation is that it will probably be positive. Historical data shows that when a newly appointed Fed Chair gives their first speech at Jackson Hole, equities have tended to rally. If that happens, stocks could move higher while gold pulls back. After the gold pullback, the plan would be to look for another entry next Monday. That’s roughly the setup for now. I’ll write a more detailed analysis later. | 2 435 |
| 16 | Unfortunately, every time $TRUMP starts to move higher, BTC gets hit with another downside wick, which has held TRUMP back from rallying much further.
At the open, I’m planning to buy hardware and tech stocks, including $MU, $INTC, $BE, $NBIS, and $GLW. If you want a more conservative approach, $QQQ is also a good option. For now, it looks like the temporary negative catalysts have largely been priced in. $NVDA earnings are also likely to be bullish for the stock.
Meanwhile, gold and crypto are likely to pull back. For gold, I’ll wait until after Friday and look for a dip buying opportunity after Warsh finishes his speech. Warsh speaking on Friday is also likely to be bullish for equities. | 2 154 |
| 17 | That flash crash definitely caught me off guard, but fortunately price still hasn’t reached my cost basis. Bull markets come with plenty of flash crashes. The dump isn’t the problem. Just added to the positions and picked up $HYPE and $ZEC as well. The slow bleed is what hurts. Cost basis still hasn’t been reached. After a violent wick and selloff, fewer profitable holders are left in the market, clearing the way for another move higher. Then a large number of traders start shorting, only to get squeezed and liquidated.
That’s how an imbalanced market works. If you can’t handle violent wicks and sharp selloffs, and manage risk properly, there is no way to capture excess returns in an imbalanced market. And remember, it’s the weekend. This is completely normal. Look at DOGE’s historical price action, then look at TRUMP’s. Trump has replaced Musk as the new king of crypto, and their meme coins reflect that shift as well. Miss the bull market and you may have to wait another year. Right now, this is the bull market of Trump, the king of crypto.
$TRUMP could be the last great meme of this cycle. Once Trump leaves office, there is no way to know whether crypto will have another bull market. Regardless of whether the next president is crypto friendly or crypto hostile, crypto will continue to become more institutionalized and regulated. At that point, the market will become more balanced. A balanced market will behave more like equities, with less excess return. If violent wicks and sharp selloffs cannot be tolerated and risk is not managed properly, excess returns cannot be captured in an imbalanced market. | 2 845 |
| 18 | Twitter is full of talk that Trump could launch a new coin. What if $TRUMP runs another 5x from here?This crypto bull market started with Trump’s comments, and the meme coin bull market may start with $TRUMP.
$TRUMP has had a very clean washout. Despite already being up 2x from the bottom, the circulating price still looks very cheap. I think it should be able to run above $5.
Great memes are born in bull markets. Look at DOGE and PEPE. Great memes often seem to have a second and third major leg higher. And this BTC rally is not over yet. The breakout has not had enough time for acceptance. | 2 539 |
| 19 | This is the article covering yesterday’s market. While writing it, I realized that my overall workflow is still not fully optimized, so I wasn’t able to include everything. There were quite a few things I left out, including today’s pre-market thesis.
It takes up too much time, so going forward, I think the daily market recap needs to be much more concise overall. I’ll use separate articles to go into more detail on the individual topics and ideas covered in the recap.
Alright, we’ll keep improving the process together. If there’s anything you think should be added or revised, please let me know in the comments. Thank you.
https://auxbt.substack.com/p/aug-1920-trade-review?r=8yeeca&utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web | 2 671 |
| 20 |  +3Starting tomorrow, I will begin writing on Substack to document my trades and market views. Of course, the content will be completely free. It will mainly include my premarket hypotheses and post market reviews for ES and NQ, gamma and dark pool activity for individual stocks, unusual options activity, broader market sector rotation, congressional trading activity, corporate insider transactions, and the major news of the day. Sometimes there may simply be too much information to cover, so some posts may be more brief and less detailed.
For example, I may cover some of the individual stocks I am trading, such as SNDK shown above. In this case, SNDK opened by touching the resistance level around the Gamma Call Wall, where there was heavy dark pool activity. Combined with the direction of the options flow, the activity should have been interpreted as selling, establishing a bearish tone for the stock. Over the next 10 minutes, a large amount of Calls were sold and the stock continued lower. After breaking below the 16.50 negative gamma level, the decline accelerated. Then, within the support zone around the 15.50 negative gamma wall, I found heavy dark pool activity around 15.43, creating a confluence of signals, after which the price moved higher.
I also trade ES, so ES will actually be the main market I analyze. Before the session, I will provide my premarket hypothesis based on Market Profile. After the session, I will review my trades using Market Profile and VWAP, along with the microstructure signals I observe from the heatmap and footprint charts.
For example, as shown in the chart, I use daily and 1 hour Market Profiles to identify the major resistance and support levels. I also incorporate the previous day's 0DTE options positioning to identify additional support and resistance levels, mainly the Call Wall, Put Wall, and HVL. After the market opens, I combine the Market Profile's static value area with VWAP and its standard deviation bands, which represent a dynamic value area. When price reaches these levels, I then look for CVD divergences, absorption on the footprint chart, and lifting or pulling of orders on the heatmap.
I will also cover the major news of the day, potential sector rotation, unusual options activity, congressional trading activity, government contracts, notable points from certain research reports, and updates on corporate insider buying and selling.
Since I cannot publish information in real time, most of the trading activity after the open will only be documented in the following day's post market review. This is mainly intended to force myself to conduct a proper review of my trades. The most useful information before the open will therefore be the premarket hypothesis, major news, and premarket dark pool activity. If I have a particularly high conviction trade during the session, I may post it in this TG channel.
The articles will be completely free. They are completely free because I believe everyone should have a chance. Half of the purpose is to serve as my daily trading journal and review. Of course, you can also use my analysis process as a reference to develop your own trading system. The other half is to provide readers with useful information before the market opens, including my premarket hypotheses, premarket news, and other relevant information.
The content above will be posted on Substack or Twitter. I will also start updating the TG channel with my real time trades again, including crypto. If there are no updates, it means that I am either busy with other things, traveling, or studying and working on improving and optimizing my trading system. | 2 630 |
