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AU Trading Journal 🩵😈
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Contact and collabs： @auxbt X：https://x.com/au_xbt This channel documents AU’s trades, ideas, and research. Every trade includes the logic. Do not blindly copy, only follow if you understand and agree. Content is still being refined NFA DYOR
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频道帖子
By the way, the onchain options gamma wall for HYPE sits around 80. That means if the FOMC does not deliver any bullish surprise and U.S. equities remain range bound, then 80 is probably a good level to take profit. Also, I would not view the HYPE chart as a double top. It's better viewed as a cup and handle pattern
| 2 | Based on the OTS valuation framework from that article, taking profits around $85 on HYPE might be a reasonable move. It suggests HYPE’s fair value is probably somewhere in the $65 to $90 range at the moment
https://x.com/i/status/2066506931649355959 | 724 |
| 3 | TRUMP: STOCK MARKET WILL CONTINUE TO RISE ... | 724 |
| 4 | Originally, I thought Trump would have Kevin Warsh send a dovish signal to the market. But after reading that article, I changed my view. The most important thing is preserving the Fed's independence. Because of that, I didn't buy the dip at the opening lows as I had originally planned. Instead, I decided to wait for the FOMC before making a move. My base case was that the FOMC would not deliver any bullish surprise, and that Thursday and next Monday would offer better opportunities to continue buying the dip | 805 |
| 5 |  I sold my semicap stocks way too early🥀 $amat klac | 997 |
| 6 | All the targets have been reached. For every ticker, it was only a matter of time | 1 018 |
| 7 |  $xpl from 0.75→0.11 tp | 1 021 |
| 8 |  hedge: optics stocks down, copper interconnect stocks up | 1 027 |
| 9 | Kevin Warsh seems determined to prove the Fed's independence to the market. Personally, I'd rather wait until the FOMC is out before buying. If the market doesn't see a sharp selloff at the open, I won't be buying. The FOMC is unlikely to be dovish, so it may be better to wait until tomorrow's quad witching options expiration is behind us before entering. If the Fed does turn dovish, there will still be enough time to chase U.S. equities afterward
https://x.com/i/status/2066335615776374921 | 1 057 |
| 10 |  +1Looks like BTC will continue to move lower after the market opens. STRC has already reached 91. It looks like the impact still hasn't been fully reflected in the BTC chart | 1 531 |
| 11 | My prediction was right. The market went into risk off mode and sold off after Tuesday's open, but I didn't sell at the open. Now I'm planning to go all in before the FOMC. June 18 is when I'm deploying full size | 1 531 |
| 12 |  Additionally, $HYPE is now closely tracking US stock market moves. Its revenue and attention are heavily tied to US equities and pre-IPO deals. Meaning: as long as those semiconductor/memory stocks keep running without pulling back, $HYPE can keep climbing too | 1 495 |
| 13 | $MU ath | 1 397 |
| 14 |  🟢 #HYPE Short Liquidation
🔴 #ETH Long Liquidation
fc hype/eth 1d | 1 419 |
| 15 |  HYPE's fair value should be higher than ETH's market cap
ETF Flows: 15 Jun 2026
🔴 Bitcoin ETFs: -$64.8M net outflows
🟢 Ethereum ETFs: $22.5M net inflows
🟢 Solana ETFs: $2.7M net inflows
🟢 Hyperliquid ETFs: $17.2M net inflows | 1 452 |
| 16 | i bought some sats, the thesis comes down to SATS' true NAV and potential short covering
https://x.com/i/status/2066741137159946533 | 1 289 |
| 17 | I was about to bet on a few favorites and subscribe to some paid picks. Then I remembered CT has massively piled into World Cup betting this year. This tournament is probably going to produce more upsets than any World Cup in history. So I scrapped the plan. | 1 241 |
| 18 |  CT told me to go all in on Spain🥀
“free money bet” | 1 269 |
| 19 |  +1Looks like my bias on $SPCX still caused me to underestimate the first month's price range.🥀
The month with the smallest float combined with index buying pressure is also the month where passive inflows account for the largest percentage of market cap | 1 306 |
| 20 | CFTC Chair on Hyperliquid
https://x.com/i/status/2066521630000685221 | 1 325 |
