Hudson War Mapping - Reporting on the Ukraine War

We could see the next combined Russian missile and drone attack take place on Ukraine tonight. Currently, Russia has concentrated 5 Tu-95MS strategic bombers at Olenya Airbase which are equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles. Additionally, 2-3 Tu-160M strategic bombers are equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles at Ukrainka Airbase in the far east. 2 Admiral Makarov/Essen frigates are equipped with up to 16 Kalibr cruise missiles in total at Novorossiysk Naval Base, Krasnodar Krai. Iskander-M ballistic missiles have been delivered to OTRK installations in Crimea, Rostov Oblast, Voronezh Oblast, Kursk Oblast, and Bryansk Oblast. Iskander-K cruise missiles have been delivered to OTRK installations in Kursk Oblast. Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles have also likely been deployed to ground-based launchers near Manurovo, Kursk Oblast. Up to 6 MiG-31K fighters remain equipped with Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles at Savasleika Airbase, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast. I put the chances of an attack taking place tomorrow at approximately 50%. It was initially delayed due to training missions in the far east. I’ll write more about the regions with the highest threats of being targeted later.

The battle for Slavyansk will begin quicker than expected. Keep an eye out for this sector.

Russian KAB glide-bombs struck Slovyansk, Donetsk Oblast, this morning. Strong explosions were heard in the city.

Like clockwork

The U.S. informed Ukraine of the threat of Russia launching an Oreshnik IRBM at Ukraine, prompting the Ukrainian Air Force to issue a statement saying that there is a “high probability” of an Oreshnik strike taking place today.

I can’t believe India V Pakistan was over 1 year ago. That conflict escalated so quickly even into nuclear threats and died down even quicker. What are your memories of that?

🇺🇸🇮🇷 - According to Israel Hayom: - Iran has agreed to hand over its enriched uranium. - Give up long-term enrichment. - The U.S. to release $15 billion of Iranian assets (in Qatar) for humanitarian needs. - Iran must commit to avoid obtaining nuclear weapons. - The Strait of Hormuz will be opened without restrictions. - Both sides pledge to take no further military actions against each other. The Lebanon file remains a gap between the U.S. and Iran. The MoU is expected to be signed in Geneva on Sunday, while Trump is in France for the G7 summit.

Shit that’s funny

The so-called "Pro-Ukrainian" David D hasn't made a SINGLE post about Kostyantynivka out of his 137,000 posts on Twitter. Do you need more evidence that these people don't support Ukraine, and only care about how many Russians they get to see in FPV kill cam videos?

Following this withdrawal, it is highly likely that a withdrawal from the remaining southeastern sector of Kostantinovka will occur shortly.

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Russian forces have captured the village of Illinivka, Kostyantynivka direction, Donetsk Oblast. Pre-war population: ~1,120. Total land area: ~2.14 km². The fighting for Illinivka lasted approximately 5 months, 5 days.

In far more positive news for the RuAF, Russian forces successfully induced a collapse of Southwestern Kostyantinivka. The main part of the city should fall within a week or two. A major victory for Russia in a relatively tough time for them. This demonstrates the effects of attrition are still working.

In other news, NASA FIRMS data shows heavy Russian shelling on Lyman, seemingly to increase pressure on Ukrainian strongholds in the city.

Ukrainian forces have re-established control over the village of Karpivka, Borova direction, Donetsk Oblast (Kramatorsk District). Pre-war population: ~396. Total land area: ~4.82 km². The fighting for Karpivka lasted almost exactly 1 year.

Donetsk oblast, Lyman direction: Ukrainian forces managed to concentrate forces and launch a strong counterattack to put further pressure on Novoselovka and Shandryholove. Russian forces in this area are being routed due to poor command choices and supply. Whilst significant mechanised losses occured in the first stage of these counterattacks, Ukrainian forces have now comfortably pushed Russia out of Karpovka, most of Ridkodub and into Zelena Dolyna and Serednye. A disaster for Russian forces in this area.

— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: President Trump has agreed to let Iran dilute its uranium stockpile inside Iran, instead of transporting it outside the country – Axios @Middle_East_Spectator

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Dnepropetrovsk oblast, Mezhova direction: Russian forces expanded their zone of infiltration north of Pidhorodnye, entering the fields 2km north of the settlement and approaching Raypole from the east.

According to ISW and a large amount of individuals, politicians & media claimed Ukraine made net territorial advancements last month. Interesting to see none of them now believe in linear warfare anymore?