🇬🇧 SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
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Independent market research using in-depth fundamental & sentiment analysis for active traders. Fully transparent. Educational content - not personalised financial advice; Past performance is not a guarantee https://t.me/smarttrader_results
Show more📈 Analytical overview of Telegram channel 🇬🇧 SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
Channel 🇬🇧 SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis (@trial_smarttrader) in the English language segment is an active participant. Currently, the community unites 12 452 subscribers, ranking 9 557 in the Economy & Finance category and 896 in the Germany region.
📊 Audience metrics and dynamics
Since its creation on невідомо, the project has demonstrated rapid growth, gathering an audience of 12 452 subscribers.
According to the latest data from 06 September, 2026, the channel demonstrates stable activity. Although there has been a change in the number of participants by 135 over the last 30 days and by 4 over the last 24 hours, overall reach remains high.
- Verification status: Not verified
- Engagement rate (ER): The average audience engagement rate is 2.24%. Within the first 24 hours after publication, content typically collects 1.51% reactions from the total number of subscribers.
- Post reach: On average, each post receives 279 views. Within the first day, a publication typically gains 188 views.
- Reactions and interaction: The audience actively supports content: the average number of reactions per post is 17.
- Thematic interests: Content is focused on key topics such as us30, smarttrader, nas100, transparency, accuracy.
📝 Description and content policy
The author describes the resource as a platform for expressing subjective opinions:
“Independent market research using in-depth fundamental & sentiment analysis for active traders. Fully transparent.
Educational content - not personalised financial advice; Past performance is not a guarantee
https://t.me/smarttrader_results”
Thanks to the high frequency of updates (latest data received on 07 September, 2026), the channel maintains relevance and a high level of publication reach. Analytics show that the audience actively interacts with content, making it an important point of influence in the Economy & Finance category.
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| Date | Subscriber Growth | Mentions | Channels | |
| 07 September | 0 | |||
| 06 September | +4 | |||
| 05 September | +3 | |||
| 04 September | +14 | |||
| 03 September | +17 | |||
| 02 September | +1 | |||
| 01 September | +1 |
Channel Posts
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
LONG (BUY) 🔼 Gold (XAU/USD) 🟡
⚠️ Elevated volatility; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)
Recommended Entry Range ✅4390 - 4400
► At the start of the week and following Friday’s very strong NFP data, which increased expectations for higher interest rates, we initially see Gold trading temporarily weaker. We are trading against the market here and buying the current weakness at the start of the week.
► Friday’s data showed, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, that US employment growth accelerated significantly in August and that the previously reported job losses in July were completely revised away.
► Gold initially attempted a rebound after the sharp losses, but is facing renewed headwinds today - including higher oil prices. Brent rose above $97 per barrel after the largest exchange of tanker attacks yet between Iran and the US. Reports of strikes on Saudi oil infrastructure also supported oil prices at the start of the week. On the other hand, a potential agreement between Iran and Oman to manage shipping through the Strait of Hormuz - although opposed by the US - has increased hopes that shipping traffic could rise again. The reality, however, is that the differences between the US and Iran are unlikely to be resolved - particularly ahead of the US Midterm Elections, as Trump continues trying to maintain the image that the US is in control and has been able to secure some form of victory.
► We are building a LONG position here and generally see the $4400 level as key - as already explained last week. The key focus this week will be the inflation data, with US PPI on Thursday and the more important US CPI on Friday.
We have not lost a single Gold/Silver trade since the trade on June 18 - most recently closing 43 consecutive Gold/Silver trades with significant profits (+3 with mini profits) - potentially a world record. We are once again trading against the market here.
Gold (XAU/USD): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 0.09-0.12x (9%-12%) - 2/3 position size.position code / 100% Transparency - 26090701A ⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by 1️⃣5️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️ ⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel —————————————— ❌🟡❌ NEVER MISS A GOLD / SILVER TRADE ❌⚪️❌ Our Gold and Silver trades are the strongest sources of fast, profitable trading opportunities. In more than 20 years as a trader, investor, and advisor, I have never seen a trading setup deliver this level of consistency. The only trades that come close, are our other Index and NYSE Opening trades. It is almost guaranteed (>95%) that you will make a significant profit. IMPORTANT: NEVER, NEVER, NEVER ‼️‼️‼️ trust Gold or other signal “providers” on social media or Telegram who do not combine fundamental analysis with market sentiment. And be extremely skeptical of anyone presenting unverifiable or obviously manipulated “results.” Gold and Silver cannot ‼️ be traded professionally by looking at a chart alone. You need to understand what is driving the move - rates, USD, inflation expectations, central-bank policy, positioning, risk sentiment, geopolitics, and liquidity. You also need to understand what has been priced in already.
| 2 |  🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹
❌✅ 2.9 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️(TP-156.403|+re-entry in profit)🔄📸
✅ 2.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 29164.40)
✅ 2.9 - DELL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 459.88)
✅ 2.9 - UKOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 93.87 | or 94.276 me)
✅ 2.9 - AMD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 457.49)
4/5 = 80% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)
✅ 3.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 29278.90)
✴️ 3.9 - OXY - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 60.90 🔄
✅ 3.9 - AVGO - LONG ↗️ (TP - 354.43)
(✅🟡 3.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 29498.60 me or similar) 📸) *
✅ 3.9 - AUD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 112.528 me | or 112.398) 🔄📸
3/4 - (1 open position)
*excluding NAS100 with only "mini-profit"
🔹FRIDAY'S TRADES 🔹
✅ 4.9 - USD/JPY- LONG ↗️ (TP - 156.244 | +re-entry) 📸
✴️ 4.9 - EUR/USD - SHORT ↘️ (open - near break-even)
👉 TP ✅ @: 1.15987
✅ 4.9 - AVGO - LONG ↗️ (TP - 356.29) 📸
✅ 4.9 - INTC - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 94.16) 📸
✅ 4.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (SL - 29513.60) 📸
✴️ 4.9 - MRVL - SHORT ↘️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 221.11
4/6 - (2 open positions)
——————————————
Friday was another strong session 👏 - above all because we read the market very well and had already reduced our exposure almost ideally ahead of the NFP data.
Both before and after the NFP release, the market was very difficult to trade. The highly surprising labor market data caused significant losses for most traders. Traders suffered then even more losses because they bought risk assets in reaction to the strong data without understanding the immediate monetary policy implications: With rate hike expectations rising, the short-term dynamic was Good News = Bad News.
With our original USD/JPY position 📸, we ran into intervention measures from Japan’s Ministry of Finance / the BoJ. Afterward, however, we very successfully sold the excessive JPY gains - including with AUD/JPY 📸, which I closed a bit higher.
Getting caught by the intervention and the subsequent overreaction is something that cannot really be avoided. In hindsight, however, we could have closed the original position earlier or worked with a tighter SL. If you are still LONG in USD/JPY, we expect some renewed JPY weakness over the coming sessions. For USD/JPY, the key factor will be how Friday’s US CPI data come in.
On Friday, and throughout the entire past week, we mostly executed contrarian trades - with great success. These included INTC 📸, our Nasdaq 100 swing trades 📸, as well as our trades on a correction of the excessive JPY move.
With US markets closed today, we will mostly stay out of the market.
Enjoy your Monday,
Rob 🌤 | 230 |
| 3 |  🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹
🗓 July 27 - September 04
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)
——————————————
📊 5 - Week -Performance: July 27 - August 28
(= 25 full trading days)
🔹 Number of Trades/Signals: 135 (1 open positions)
🔹 Number of Trades Won: 123
🔹 Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 91.1%🔼 🏆
Dropped from statistics: 3/4 - 75% Signal Accuracy (July 24)
Added to statistics: 5/6 - 83.3% Signal Accuracy (August 28)
——————————————
🔹 The last 5 trading days: August 31 - September 04 🔹
✅ 31.8 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 159.797 or 159.790)
✅ 31.8 - JPN225 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 65756.60)
✅ 31.8 - META - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 570.67)
✅ 31.8 - AMD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 466.63 + gap)
✅ 31.8 - INTC - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 89.11)
5/5 = 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)
❌ 1.9 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 89.13 |+re-entry in profit)
✅ 1.9 - MU - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 933.17)
✅ 1.9 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 355.23)
✅ 1.9 - SPX500 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 7635.20)
✅ 1.9 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.35068)
✅ 1.9 - MU - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 928.66 | or 930.06)
✅ 1.9 - PFE - LONG ↗️ (TP - 29.03)
6/7 = 85.7% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)
——————————————
Good Morning ☀️
Our 🔼 Signal Accuracy / Success Rate over the five-week period has increased even further to 91.1%. A 3/4 session (SA/SR = 75%) dropped out of the statistics and was replaced by the stronger 5/6 session from August 28 (SA/SR = 83.3%).
What remains particularly remarkable is that even during the recent highly mixed market conditions, we continue to win more than 9 out of 10 trades, while the majority of our sessions have remained flawless 💎 for more than three months.
All positions in this part of the performance overview had already been closed at the start of Friday’s session.
Our CAC 40 position remains open. The index ended Friday’s trading almost unchanged, but has upside potential in the coming week. | 203 |
| 4 |  ⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
USD/JPY
CLOSE NOW/SOON ✅ @: near/above 156.235
OR
TP ✅ @: 156.244
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️📸
EUR/USD
TP ✅ @: 1.15987
Marvell (MRVL) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 221.11
Occidental (OXY) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 60.90
⚠️ NYSE ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️
We are updating most of our positions here. MRVL ends the session at its daily high, even as investors positioned themselves somewhat more cautiously ahead of the weekend and oil prices moved back into positive territory - with Brent up 0.5%. Nevertheless, we would have preferred to close the position intraday. In OXY, however, we can remain LONG for now.
We are closing our USD/JPY position. Although we see further upside potential, we do not want to have double exposure to the USD. Instead, we could trade the current JPY “strength” against other currencies next week, such as the AUD, EUR or CHF.
EUR/USD was surprisingly stable today, showing that the market itself remains uncertain about how to position and what lies ahead - particularly the upcoming US inflation data and what it could mean for the Fed’s interest-rate decision later this month.
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by 4️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
⚠️ NYSE ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️
——————————————
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| 5 |  Intel (INTC) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 95.06
TP ✅ @: 94.16
⚠️ TP TRIGGERED ⚠️📸 | 293 |
| 6 |  ⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Intel (INTC) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 95.06
TP ✅ @: 94.16
⚠️ TP TRIGGERED ⚠️📸
Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 29513.60
TP ✅ @: 29418.60
⚠️ IN-PROFIT SL TRIGGERED ⚠️
We secure profits with INTC and our Nasdaq as we increase our bet for more profit taking in the strongly outperforming chip sector.
Congratulations - this is spectacular trading against the market.
Enjoy the additional profits at the end of yet another very good week.
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by 1️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel!
——————————————
⚠️ NO MORE MISSING OUT ON TRADES / UPDATES ⚠️
1️⃣ Get trade recommendation 📲
2️⃣ Place your trade 💻
3️⃣ Receive position update 📲
4️⃣ Congratulations 💰
WRITE US NOW 📨 - JOIN SMARTTRADER VIP 💎 | 275 |
| 7 | +1 ⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Intel (INTC) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 95.06
TP ✅ @: 94.16
ALREADY TRIGGERED 📸
Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 29513.60
TP ✅ @: 29418.60
Wir sichern 🔑 Gewinne mit INTC und unserem Nasdaq, während wir unsere Positionierung für weitere Gewinnmitnahmen im stark outperformenden Chip-Sektor verstärken.
Glückwunsch - das ist spektakuläres Trading gegen den Markt.
Genießt die zusätzlichen Gewinne in Richtung Ende einer weiteren außerordentlich starken Woche.
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by 1️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel!
——————————————
⚠️ NO MORE MISSING OUT ON TRADES / UPDATES ⚠️
1️⃣ Get trade recommendation 📲
2️⃣ Place your trade 💻
3️⃣ Receive position update 📲
4️⃣ Congratulations 💰
WRITE US NOW 📨 - JOIN SMARTTRADER VIP 💎 | 6 |
| 8 | 🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SHORT (SELL) 🔽 Marvell (MRVL) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)
Recommended Entry Range ✅221.50 - 222.00 🔄
► We are making more trades against the market and also expect profit taking in MRVL from here - particularly during the final two and a half hours of trading ahead of the weekend.
► MRVL is generally benefiting from the continued very positive sentiment around NVDA, which I fully share, following Nvidia’s mega earnings report.
► Additional positive sentiment in the AI space came from Nvidia’s planned acquisition of open-source AI platform Hugging Face for $12.9 billion, as the chipmaker moves beyond hardware and further into the broader AI value chain. The acquisition of Hugging Face - including the acquisition price - reinforced expectations that the AI boom remains fully intact. Nvidia is showing that it is investing across the entire AI ecosystem and does not see itself as “just” an AI chipmaker.
► I also see room for a short-term SHORT in MU and expect Micron to face profit taking that could push the memory giant below the key 📉 $1000.00 level, around which the stock is currently trading.
Marvell (MRVL): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. ~60–70x (6,000%–7,000%) – 1/2 position size
position code / 100% Transparency - 26071601A
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by 6️⃣0️⃣ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel!
——————————————
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| 9 |  How to get started with SmartTrader 👇
Getting started takes less than 5 minutes.
1️⃣ Message us to connect with the team 💬
We walk you through everything personally.
2️⃣ Set up your broker account 📊
No experience needed. We guide you step by step.
3️⃣ Receive our trading signals in real time ✔️
Entries, analysis, and support from day one.
No guesswork. No confusion. Just a clear path forward.
⬇️ Click below to start ⬇️ | 185 |
| 10 | 🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SHORT (SELL) 🔽 Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)
Recommended Entry Range ✅29535 - 29570
📌 Nasdaq future (Sep'26) ~25 points higher
Sep'26 futures contract!
► We are seeing a mixed Wall Street, with Tech stocks and especially chip stocks continuing to provide support. The Nasdaq is up around 0.2%, while NVDA remains around 1.3% higher. Gains in memory stocks are particularly strong: MU is up almost 5%, while SNDK, STX, and WDC are also gaining more than 5% - SNDK even more than 11%.
► We continue to expect more cautious positioning and some rotation into more defensive sectors ahead of the end of the session.
► During the final three hours of regular US trading and ahead of the extended weekend, we also expect to see some profit taking - including in chip stocks. US markets will remain closed on Monday for Labor Day, which should additionally lead to more cautious positioning.
► We found a strong entry in INTC against the market, but the chipmaker is now trading back around 95.50. We continue to expect profit taking.
► Today’s hot labor market report - while also being a strong sign that the US economy remains very robust - further increases the importance of next week’s inflation report, which will be released on Friday, September 11.
► We see Fed rate hike expectations (for a 25bp hike) now back near 60% after remarks from Fed Governor Waller reduced that to slightly below 50% yesterday. FedWatch Tool
Nasdaq (NAS100): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 2.5-3x (250%-300%).
position code / 100% Transparency - 26090405A
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by 6️⃣0️⃣ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
——————————————
We found a beautiful entry again for another Nasdaq 100 SHORT (against the market).
⚠️ NO MORE MISSING OUT ON TRADES / UPDATES ⚠️
1️⃣ Get trade recommendation 📲
2️⃣ Place your trade 💻
3️⃣ Receive position update 📲
4️⃣ Congratulations 💰
WRITE US NOW 📨 - JOIN SMARTTRADER VIP 💎 | 171 |
| 11 |  Intel (INTC) 🇺🇸
Here it’s us against the rest of the world.
This is the purest definition of "against the market".
May the force be with you 🔰
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by 1️⃣4️⃣5️⃣ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel | 160 |
| 12 | 🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SHORT (SELL) 🔽 Intel (INTC) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH Volatility; 1/2 trade size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)
Recommended Entry ✅near/above 95.50
► I do not share the enthusiasm about the strong labor market data - including Trump’s reaction, which is really over the top and can only be described as ridiculous 🤡. Trump wrote on Truth Social: “A great jobs number was just announced, beating all estimates - except mine - by double and triple. And you haven’t seen anything yet! (...) Lower interest rates, because the USA is a much stronger credit than it was just a short time ago! (...) We should have the LOWEST RATE of any country in the world, like in the ‘old days.’ (...) LOWER THE RATE OR I’LL STOP TRADING WITH COUNTRIES WITH WHICH WE HAVE A DEFICIT.”
► In reality, the hot labor market data increase the probability of further Fed rate hikes. At the same time, labor market data have become extremely volatile over the past month - almost to a point where they are becoming difficult to follow or use as tradable fundamental data.
► We see most sectors in the red, while Tech is trading higher thanks to strong gains in chip stocks. Normally, chip stocks are Growth stocks, but since the AI boom we have seen chip stocks remain relatively immune to concerns about higher rates or rates staying higher for longer.
► We are selling INTC here and expect profit taking toward the end of today’s session after the strong gains.
► INTC is currently trading around 95.50 - its highest level since August 19.
► Longer term, I do see significant upside potential in the chip sector and AI infrastructure stocks. In the short term, however, it will be difficult for Intel & Co. to completely avoid profit taking given the increased expectations for rate hikes. I also see a high risk of profit taking today in Micron and memory stocks, as well as AMD. Longer term, memory stocks remain one of the most attractive sectors for investment.
► We are trading here maximum against the market.
Intel (INTC): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 180–200x (18,000%–20,000%) – 1/2 position size.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26090404A
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by 1️⃣3️⃣0️⃣ minutes! ⚠️
⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel
——————————————
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🔗👉 Book a free intro call meeting 👈👈
📱 Join the SmartTrader Discord Community 🔗👈👈 | 148 |
| 13 |  ⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Broadcom (AVGO) 🇺🇸
CLOSE NOW / SOON ✅ @: 356.10 - 357.00 (in-profit)
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️📸
OR
TP ✅ @: 356.29
We are closing our Broadcom position with a small profit (don't close off-profit). We saw dip buying, particularly supported by retail investors, but we see the broader stock market as generally weaker. Only gains in the chip sector are currently keeping the Nasdaq 100 near the flat line. Even though it does not look like it at all right now, we expect profit taking in the chip sector very soon as well.
From here, we expect an overall decline in investors’ willingness to open new positions ahead of the weekend, additional uncertainty over the weekend - particularly geopolitical uncertainty - as well as more cautious positioning due to the fact that US markets will remain closed on Monday for Labor Day.
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| 14 | 🔹 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🔹
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LONG EARLY NYSE TRADING 🔼 Broadcom (AVGO) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
TP ✅ @: 362.43
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️📸
Recommended Entry Range ✅354.50 - 356.50
🔹 Nasdaq (+0.1%) - is trading near flat after an initially strong pre-market. The NFP data came in above even the highest expectations from any analyst or investment bank - a mega surprise. Hiring was so strong that, at least initially, we are not even seeing a pronounced Good News = Bad News reaction. We close, or have closed, near 29500 ✅ if you have not already done so. NVDA in particular (+1.3% pre-market) is keeping the Nasdaq 100 slightly in positive territory, while both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones are in the red. We could initially see further gains - under no circumstances close via SL / out of profit!
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️
🔹 Occidental (-0.7%) - opens lower near 60.20 after oil prices cooled. We expect energy prices to find some support during the second half of US trading or ahead of the weekend but may first see a bit of additional cooling (also for OXY). We are setting a tighter TP ✅ here. OXY remains attractive in the medium term. In the short term, however, swings in oil prices will play a major role.
👉 TP ✅ @: 60.97
► I do not see the chip industry being heavily impacted by slightly higher rates, even given the massive investment requirements - higher rates do, of course, make debt financing more expensive. What matters much more for the chip sector is whether demand remains at the current extreme levels and whether chipmakers can continue scaling capacity without hurting their margins. That is why we could initially see chip stocks outperform, not just NVDA.
► The market panic-sold AVGO yesterday - we did exactly the opposite and bought the sharp dip. We could hardly have been more right - a mega trade. We see AVGO opening around 0.5% higher today and remain LONG in the chip sector for now. AVGO staged an impressive rebound yesterday but still closed 2.74% lower after earnings - the second-worst performer of ALL Nasdaq 100 stocks.
► We see further upside and are entering here. AVGO is likely to remain volatile in early trading. We initially expect some profit taking and can therefore enter below the opening price. AVGO opens near 360.00 - we enter significantly below that level.
Broadcom (AVGO): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 55–60x (5,500% – 6,000%) – 1/2 position size.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26090403A
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| 15 |  +1✅ 03.09 - AVGO - LONG ↗️
Average movement in our favor: +2.45% 📈
❗️You could have increased your capital by: +3.82% 📈❗️
Example:
↗️ Initial Capital: $5,000 —> +$190.80 Profit with just this Trade (+3.82% 📈❗️🚀)
📊 Last 5 closed Stocks trades
✅ 01.09 - MU - SHORT ↘️
✅ 01.09 - PFE - LONG ↗️
✅ 02.09 - DELL - LONG ↗️
✅ 02.09 - AMD - LONG ↗️
✅ 03.09 - AVGO - LONG ↗️
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| 16 | 🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
LONG (BUY) 🔼 USD/JPY
⚠️ HIGH volatility; BoJ interventions happening; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)
Recommended Entry Range ✅near/below 155.800
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SHORT (SELL) 🔽 EUR/USD
⚠️ Elevated volatility
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)
Recommended Entry Range ✅1.16110 - 1.16160 🔄
► USD/JPY has already hit our tightened TP. The extreme surprise and the overall very strong employment growth in September certainly make a Fed rate hike later this month more likely.
► We initially saw the USD rising sharply.
► We buy USD/JPY and take advantage of the short-term correction after the initial strong gains.
► We see EUR/USD back above 1.16000 now - also because Tokyo intervened again, causing USD/JPY to fall, or rather the JPY to spike. The USD comes out stronger following the NFP data.
► We can additionally SHORT EUR/USD here.
► The very strong NFP data strengthen the case for a Fed rate hike in September and show a US economy that continues to outperform.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26090401B
position code / 100% Transparency - 26090402A
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| 17 |  ⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
CLOSE ✅ @: below 29500.00
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️📸
OR
SL 🔑 @: 29623.60
TP ✅ @: 29482.10
📌 Nasdaq future (Sep'26) ~25 points higher
We are now setting a tighter TP, or even better, simply closing with a small profit or, at worst, around break-even.
Rate hike expectations are now higher, but at the same time the NFP data show very strong hiring in the US - a sign of a “strong” economy.
The focus will now shift to the inflation data - these will be more important. We therefore prefer to close NOW or very soon.
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| 18 | 🤩 The NFP report delivered a massive upside surprise at +162,000 jobs - roughly three times the consensus estimate (around 55K).
The report was even stronger beneath the surface, with prior months revised higher by a combined +55,000 jobs.
As expected, the initial reaction is a good news = bad news dynamic, as the much stronger labor data pushes Fed rate expectations higher. At the same time, the report is so fundamentally strong that parts of the market are trying to interpret it positively as confirmation that the US economy remains highly resilient. I can understand that. Nevertheless, the most important immediate implication is clear: Expectations for further Fed tightening have risen sharply.
Based on this data alone (inflation data will be more important), I would also say a cautious 25bp rate hike could send the right signal to markets without risking to de-rail the economy at all.
We are not buying here stocks for now even with in particular retail investors now wanting to jump into stocks.
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| 19 | ⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 29701.60
TP ✅ @: 29451.30
The NFP data are extremely strong - an absolute mega surprise.
The data are so far above expectations and even more so compared with the previous month. I can hardly remember such a huge surprise in recent history - apart from the COVID period. This is a massive surprise.
+162K new jobs vs. +56K expected. Also the previous reading (July) was corrected to the upside to now +21K vs. previously -23K. Also June was upwardly corrected (for both June & July - a net extra 55K jobs)
We widen our TP.
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| 20 | Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0; one hour before British Summer Time)
🔸 🇩🇪 Factory Orders MoM JUL – 06:00 (reported: 🟢)
🔸 🇮🇹 Retail Sales MoM JUL – 08:00 (reported: 🔴)
🔸 🇬🇧 S&P Global Construction PMI AUG – 08:30 (reported: 🔴)
🔸 🇬🇧 BoE Gov Bailey Speech – 08:50
🔸 🇪🇺 Retail Sales MoM JUL – 09:00 (reported: 🔴)
♦️ 🇨🇦 Unemployment Rate AUG – 12:30
🔸 🇨🇦 Employment Change AUG – 12:30
🔸 🇨🇦 Full-Time Employment Change AUG – 12:30
🔸 🇨🇦 Part-Time Employment Change AUG – 12:30
🔸 🇨🇦 Participation Rate AUG – 12:30
♦️ 🇺🇸 Nonfarm Payrolls AUG – 12:30
♦️ 🇺🇸 Unemployment Rate AUG – 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Average Hourly Earnings AUG (MoM/YoY) – 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Participation Rate AUG – 12:30
🔸 🇨🇦 Ivey PMI s.a. AUG – 14:00
🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️= Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations
---
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
No major earnings reports today
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SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner | 255 |
