🇬🇧 SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis
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Independent market research using in-depth fundamental & sentiment analysis for active traders. Fully transparent. Educational content - not personalised financial advice; Past performance is not a guarantee https://t.me/smarttrader_results
显示更多📈 Telegram 频道 🇬🇧 SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis 的分析概览
频道 🇬🇧 SmartTrader TRIAL - Fundamental Market Research & Analysis (@trial_smarttrader) 英语 语言赛道中的 是活跃参与者。目前社区聚集了 12 462 名订阅者，在 经济与金融 类别中位列第 9 572，并在 德国 地区排名第 896 位。
📊 受众指标与增长动态
自 невідомо 创建以来，项目保持高速增长，吸引了 12 462 名订阅者。
根据 05 九月, 2026 的最新数据，频道保持稳定运转。过去 30 天订阅人数变化为 154，过去 24 小时变化为 0，整体触达仍然可观。
- 认证状态： 未认证
- 互动率 (ER)： 平均受众互动率为 2.23%。内容发布后 24 小时内通常能获得 1.54% 的反应，占订阅者总量。
- 帖子覆盖： 每篇帖子平均可获得 278 次浏览，首日通常累积 192 次浏览。
- 互动与反馈： 受众积极参与，单帖平均反应数为 17。
- 主题关注点： 内容集中在 us30, smarttrader, nas100, transparency, accuracy 等核心主题上。
📝 描述与内容策略
作者将该频道定位为表达主观观点的平台：
“Independent market research using in-depth fundamental & sentiment analysis for active traders. Fully transparent.
Educational content - not personalised financial advice; Past performance is not a guarantee
https://t.me/smarttrader_results”
凭借高频更新（最新数据采集于 06 九月, 2026），频道始终保持新鲜度与高覆盖。分析显示受众积极互动，使其成为 经济与金融 类别中的关键影响点。
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| 日期 | 订阅者增长 | 提及 | 频道 | |
| 06 九月 | +4 | |||
| 05 九月 | +3 | |||
| 04 九月 | +14 | |||
| 03 九月 | +17 | |||
| 02 九月 | +1 | |||
| 01 九月 | +1 |
频道帖子
⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
USD/JPY
CLOSE NOW/SOON ✅ @: near/above 156.235
OR
TP ✅ @: 156.244
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️📸
EUR/USD
TP ✅ @: 1.15987
Marvell (MRVL) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 221.11
Occidental (OXY) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: 60.90
⚠️ NYSE ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️
We are updating most of our positions here. MRVL ends the session at its daily high, even as investors positioned themselves somewhat more cautiously ahead of the weekend and oil prices moved back into positive territory - with Brent up 0.5%. Nevertheless, we would have preferred to close the position intraday. In OXY, however, we can remain LONG for now.
We are closing our USD/JPY position. Although we see further upside potential, we do not want to have double exposure to the USD. Instead, we could trade the current JPY “strength” against other currencies next week, such as the AUD, EUR or CHF.
EUR/USD was surprisingly stable today, showing that the market itself remains uncertain about how to position and what lies ahead - particularly the upcoming US inflation data and what it could mean for the Fed’s interest-rate decision later this month.
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by 4️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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⚠️ NYSE ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️
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| 2 |  Intel (INTC) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 95.06
TP ✅ @: 94.16
⚠️ TP TRIGGERED ⚠️📸 | 191 |
| 3 |  ⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Intel (INTC) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 95.06
TP ✅ @: 94.16
⚠️ TP TRIGGERED ⚠️📸
Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 29513.60
TP ✅ @: 29418.60
⚠️ IN-PROFIT SL TRIGGERED ⚠️
We secure profits with INTC and our Nasdaq as we increase our bet for more profit taking in the strongly outperforming chip sector.
Congratulations - this is spectacular trading against the market.
Enjoy the additional profits at the end of yet another very good week.
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| 4 | +1 ⚡️ RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Intel (INTC) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 95.06
TP ✅ @: 94.16
ALREADY TRIGGERED 📸
Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 29513.60
TP ✅ @: 29418.60
Wir sichern 🔑 Gewinne mit INTC und unserem Nasdaq, während wir unsere Positionierung für weitere Gewinnmitnahmen im stark outperformenden Chip-Sektor verstärken.
Glückwunsch - das ist spektakuläres Trading gegen den Markt.
Genießt die zusätzlichen Gewinne in Richtung Ende einer weiteren außerordentlich starken Woche.
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⚠️ NO MORE MISSING OUT ON TRADES / UPDATES ⚠️
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| 5 | 🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SHORT (SELL) 🔽 Marvell (MRVL) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)
Recommended Entry Range ✅221.50 - 222.00 🔄
► We are making more trades against the market and also expect profit taking in MRVL from here - particularly during the final two and a half hours of trading ahead of the weekend.
► MRVL is generally benefiting from the continued very positive sentiment around NVDA, which I fully share, following Nvidia’s mega earnings report.
► Additional positive sentiment in the AI space came from Nvidia’s planned acquisition of open-source AI platform Hugging Face for $12.9 billion, as the chipmaker moves beyond hardware and further into the broader AI value chain. The acquisition of Hugging Face - including the acquisition price - reinforced expectations that the AI boom remains fully intact. Nvidia is showing that it is investing across the entire AI ecosystem and does not see itself as “just” an AI chipmaker.
► I also see room for a short-term SHORT in MU and expect Micron to face profit taking that could push the memory giant below the key 📉 $1000.00 level, around which the stock is currently trading.
Marvell (MRVL): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. ~60–70x (6,000%–7,000%) – 1/2 position size
position code / 100% Transparency - 26071601A
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| 7 | 🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SHORT (SELL) 🔽 Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)
Recommended Entry Range ✅29535 - 29570
📌 Nasdaq future (Sep'26) ~25 points higher
Sep'26 futures contract!
► We are seeing a mixed Wall Street, with Tech stocks and especially chip stocks continuing to provide support. The Nasdaq is up around 0.2%, while NVDA remains around 1.3% higher. Gains in memory stocks are particularly strong: MU is up almost 5%, while SNDK, STX, and WDC are also gaining more than 5% - SNDK even more than 11%.
► We continue to expect more cautious positioning and some rotation into more defensive sectors ahead of the end of the session.
► During the final three hours of regular US trading and ahead of the extended weekend, we also expect to see some profit taking - including in chip stocks. US markets will remain closed on Monday for Labor Day, which should additionally lead to more cautious positioning.
► We found a strong entry in INTC against the market, but the chipmaker is now trading back around 95.50. We continue to expect profit taking.
► Today’s hot labor market report - while also being a strong sign that the US economy remains very robust - further increases the importance of next week’s inflation report, which will be released on Friday, September 11.
► We see Fed rate hike expectations (for a 25bp hike) now back near 60% after remarks from Fed Governor Waller reduced that to slightly below 50% yesterday. FedWatch Tool
Nasdaq (NAS100): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approximately 2.5-3x (250%-300%).
position code / 100% Transparency - 26090405A
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We found a beautiful entry again for another Nasdaq 100 SHORT (against the market).
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| 8 |  Intel (INTC) 🇺🇸
Here it’s us against the rest of the world.
This is the purest definition of "against the market".
May the force be with you 🔰
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⚡️ Get instant signals & updates in the VIP channel | 122 |
| 9 | 🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SHORT (SELL) 🔽 Intel (INTC) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH Volatility; 1/2 trade size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)
Recommended Entry ✅near/above 95.50
► I do not share the enthusiasm about the strong labor market data - including Trump’s reaction, which is really over the top and can only be described as ridiculous 🤡. Trump wrote on Truth Social: “A great jobs number was just announced, beating all estimates - except mine - by double and triple. And you haven’t seen anything yet! (...) Lower interest rates, because the USA is a much stronger credit than it was just a short time ago! (...) We should have the LOWEST RATE of any country in the world, like in the ‘old days.’ (...) LOWER THE RATE OR I’LL STOP TRADING WITH COUNTRIES WITH WHICH WE HAVE A DEFICIT.”
► In reality, the hot labor market data increase the probability of further Fed rate hikes. At the same time, labor market data have become extremely volatile over the past month - almost to a point where they are becoming difficult to follow or use as tradable fundamental data.
► We see most sectors in the red, while Tech is trading higher thanks to strong gains in chip stocks. Normally, chip stocks are Growth stocks, but since the AI boom we have seen chip stocks remain relatively immune to concerns about higher rates or rates staying higher for longer.
► We are selling INTC here and expect profit taking toward the end of today’s session after the strong gains.
► INTC is currently trading around 95.50 - its highest level since August 19.
► Longer term, I do see significant upside potential in the chip sector and AI infrastructure stocks. In the short term, however, it will be difficult for Intel & Co. to completely avoid profit taking given the increased expectations for rate hikes. I also see a high risk of profit taking today in Micron and memory stocks, as well as AMD. Longer term, memory stocks remain one of the most attractive sectors for investment.
► We are trading here maximum against the market.
Intel (INTC): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 180–200x (18,000%–20,000%) – 1/2 position size.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26090404A
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| 10 |  ⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Broadcom (AVGO) 🇺🇸
CLOSE NOW / SOON ✅ @: 356.10 - 357.00 (in-profit)
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️📸
OR
TP ✅ @: 356.29
We are closing our Broadcom position with a small profit (don't close off-profit). We saw dip buying, particularly supported by retail investors, but we see the broader stock market as generally weaker. Only gains in the chip sector are currently keeping the Nasdaq 100 near the flat line. Even though it does not look like it at all right now, we expect profit taking in the chip sector very soon as well.
From here, we expect an overall decline in investors’ willingness to open new positions ahead of the weekend, additional uncertainty over the weekend - particularly geopolitical uncertainty - as well as more cautious positioning due to the fact that US markets will remain closed on Monday for Labor Day.
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by 4️⃣0️⃣+ minutes! ⚠️
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| 11 | 🔹 NYSE OPENING UPDATE 🔹
🔰 VIP SIGNAL 🕯
LONG EARLY NYSE TRADING 🔼 Broadcom (AVGO) 🇺🇸
⚠️ HIGH volatility; 1/2 position size
TP ✅ @: 362.43
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️📸
Recommended Entry Range ✅354.50 - 356.50
🔹 Nasdaq (+0.1%) - is trading near flat after an initially strong pre-market. The NFP data came in above even the highest expectations from any analyst or investment bank - a mega surprise. Hiring was so strong that, at least initially, we are not even seeing a pronounced Good News = Bad News reaction. We close, or have closed, near 29500 ✅ if you have not already done so. NVDA in particular (+1.3% pre-market) is keeping the Nasdaq 100 slightly in positive territory, while both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones are in the red. We could initially see further gains - under no circumstances close via SL / out of profit!
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️
🔹 Occidental (-0.7%) - opens lower near 60.20 after oil prices cooled. We expect energy prices to find some support during the second half of US trading or ahead of the weekend but may first see a bit of additional cooling (also for OXY). We are setting a tighter TP ✅ here. OXY remains attractive in the medium term. In the short term, however, swings in oil prices will play a major role.
👉 TP ✅ @: 60.97
► I do not see the chip industry being heavily impacted by slightly higher rates, even given the massive investment requirements - higher rates do, of course, make debt financing more expensive. What matters much more for the chip sector is whether demand remains at the current extreme levels and whether chipmakers can continue scaling capacity without hurting their margins. That is why we could initially see chip stocks outperform, not just NVDA.
► The market panic-sold AVGO yesterday - we did exactly the opposite and bought the sharp dip. We could hardly have been more right - a mega trade. We see AVGO opening around 0.5% higher today and remain LONG in the chip sector for now. AVGO staged an impressive rebound yesterday but still closed 2.74% lower after earnings - the second-worst performer of ALL Nasdaq 100 stocks.
► We see further upside and are entering here. AVGO is likely to remain volatile in early trading. We initially expect some profit taking and can therefore enter below the opening price. AVGO opens near 360.00 - we enter significantly below that level.
Broadcom (AVGO): Multiply your “standard (EUR/USD)” position size by approx. 55–60x (5,500% – 6,000%) – 1/2 position size.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26090403A
⏱️ Signal / Update is DELAYED ⚠️ by 1️⃣4️⃣0️⃣ minutes! ⚠️
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| 12 |  +1✅ 03.09 - AVGO - LONG ↗️
Average movement in our favor: +2.45% 📈
❗️You could have increased your capital by: +3.82% 📈❗️
Example:
↗️ Initial Capital: $5,000 —> +$190.80 Profit with just this Trade (+3.82% 📈❗️🚀)
📊 Last 5 closed Stocks trades
✅ 01.09 - MU - SHORT ↘️
✅ 01.09 - PFE - LONG ↗️
✅ 02.09 - DELL - LONG ↗️
✅ 02.09 - AMD - LONG ↗️
✅ 03.09 - AVGO - LONG ↗️
🖥 Calculate your appropriate trade size using the SmartTrader Lot Size Calculator
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| 13 | 🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
LONG (BUY) 🔼 USD/JPY
⚠️ HIGH volatility; BoJ interventions happening; 2/3 position size
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)
Recommended Entry Range ✅near/below 155.800
🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
SHORT (SELL) 🔽 EUR/USD
⚠️ Elevated volatility
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)
Recommended Entry Range ✅1.16110 - 1.16160 🔄
► USD/JPY has already hit our tightened TP. The extreme surprise and the overall very strong employment growth in September certainly make a Fed rate hike later this month more likely.
► We initially saw the USD rising sharply.
► We buy USD/JPY and take advantage of the short-term correction after the initial strong gains.
► We see EUR/USD back above 1.16000 now - also because Tokyo intervened again, causing USD/JPY to fall, or rather the JPY to spike. The USD comes out stronger following the NFP data.
► We can additionally SHORT EUR/USD here.
► The very strong NFP data strengthen the case for a Fed rate hike in September and show a US economy that continues to outperform.
position code / 100% Transparency - 26090401B
position code / 100% Transparency - 26090402A
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📱 Join the SmartTrader Discord Community 🔗👈👈 | 157 |
| 14 |  ⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
CLOSE ✅ @: below 29500.00
⚠️ ALREADY CLOSED ⚠️📸
OR
SL 🔑 @: 29623.60
TP ✅ @: 29482.10
📌 Nasdaq future (Sep'26) ~25 points higher
We are now setting a tighter TP, or even better, simply closing with a small profit or, at worst, around break-even.
Rate hike expectations are now higher, but at the same time the NFP data show very strong hiring in the US - a sign of a “strong” economy.
The focus will now shift to the inflation data - these will be more important. We therefore prefer to close NOW or very soon.
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| 15 | 🤩 The NFP report delivered a massive upside surprise at +162,000 jobs - roughly three times the consensus estimate (around 55K).
The report was even stronger beneath the surface, with prior months revised higher by a combined +55,000 jobs.
As expected, the initial reaction is a good news = bad news dynamic, as the much stronger labor data pushes Fed rate expectations higher. At the same time, the report is so fundamentally strong that parts of the market are trying to interpret it positively as confirmation that the US economy remains highly resilient. I can understand that. Nevertheless, the most important immediate implication is clear: Expectations for further Fed tightening have risen sharply.
Based on this data alone (inflation data will be more important), I would also say a cautious 25bp rate hike could send the right signal to markets without risking to de-rail the economy at all.
We are not buying here stocks for now even with in particular retail investors now wanting to jump into stocks.
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| 16 | ⚡️ LIGHTNING-RAPID UPDATE 🕯
Nasdaq 100 (US100) 🇺🇸
SL 🔑 @: 29701.60
TP ✅ @: 29451.30
The NFP data are extremely strong - an absolute mega surprise.
The data are so far above expectations and even more so compared with the previous month. I can hardly remember such a huge surprise in recent history - apart from the COVID period. This is a massive surprise.
+162K new jobs vs. +56K expected. Also the previous reading (July) was corrected to the upside to now +21K vs. previously -23K. Also June was upwardly corrected (for both June & July - a net extra 55K jobs)
We widen our TP.
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| 17 | Key events in today's economic calendar:
(times in UTC+0; one hour before British Summer Time)
🔸 🇩🇪 Factory Orders MoM JUL – 06:00 (reported: 🟢)
🔸 🇮🇹 Retail Sales MoM JUL – 08:00 (reported: 🔴)
🔸 🇬🇧 S&P Global Construction PMI AUG – 08:30 (reported: 🔴)
🔸 🇬🇧 BoE Gov Bailey Speech – 08:50
🔸 🇪🇺 Retail Sales MoM JUL – 09:00 (reported: 🔴)
♦️ 🇨🇦 Unemployment Rate AUG – 12:30
🔸 🇨🇦 Employment Change AUG – 12:30
🔸 🇨🇦 Full-Time Employment Change AUG – 12:30
🔸 🇨🇦 Part-Time Employment Change AUG – 12:30
🔸 🇨🇦 Participation Rate AUG – 12:30
♦️ 🇺🇸 Nonfarm Payrolls AUG – 12:30
♦️ 🇺🇸 Unemployment Rate AUG – 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Average Hourly Earnings AUG (MoM/YoY) – 12:30
🔸 🇺🇸 Participation Rate AUG – 12:30
🔸 🇨🇦 Ivey PMI s.a. AUG – 14:00
🔸 = Event of medium/high importance
♦️= Event of very high importance
🔴 = Data worse than analysts' expectations
🟡 = Data in-line with analysts' expectations
🟢 = Data better than analysts' expectations
---
Key Earnings Reports:
(ordered by market capitalization)
No major earnings reports today
---
SmartTrader™ Analyst team & Robert Lindner | 236 |
| 18 |  🔹 OVERVIEW: Last 3 trading days 🔹
❌ 1.9 - USOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 89.13 |+re-entry in profit)
✅ 1.9 - MU - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 933.17)
✅ 1.9 - TSLA - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 355.23)
✅ 1.9 - SPX500 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 7635.20)
✅ 1.9 - GBP/USD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 1.35068)
✅ 1.9 - MU - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 928.66 | or 930.06)
✅ 1.9 - PFE - LONG ↗️ (TP - 29.03) 🔄📸
6/7 = 85.7% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)
✴️ 2.9 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit |+re-entry)
👉 TP ✅ @: 156.403 🔄
✅ 2.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 29164.40)
✅ 2.9 - DELL - LONG ↗️ (TP - 459.88)
✅ 2.9 - UKOIL - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 93.87 | or 94.276 me)
✅ 2.9 - AMD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 457.49) 🔄📸
4/5 - (1 open position)
🔹TODAY'S TRADES (THURSDAY) 🔹
✅ 3.9 - NAS100 - LONG ↗️ (TP - 29278.90) 📸
✴️ 3.9 - OXY - LONG ↗️ (open - off-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 61.31
✅ 3.9 - AVGO - LONG ↗️ (TP - 354.43) 📸
✴️ 3.9 - NAS100 - SHORT ↘️ (open - slightly in-profit)
👉 TP ✅ @: 29441.60 (29461.60 future) 🔄
✴️ 3.9 - AUD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (open - near break-even)
👉 SL 🔑 @: 111.491 | TP ✅ @: 112.398 🔄
2/5 - (1 open position)
——————————————
Another very good session and once again very strong positioning from us beforehand.
Waller’s unexpectedly dovish comments actually supported our portfolio overall. However, we could also have closed our BTC position 📸 well in profit. Only the strength of the JPY weighed on our USD/JPY position and likely resulted in some SL closes as well. We are now working with a tighter TP ✅ here.
We then deliberately used the temporary strong gains in the JPY for our AUD/JPY position, which has just moved back out of profit. We slightly update our TP ✅.
Today, we also closed three stock positions in profit: AMD 📸 and, in particular, PFE 📸 and AVGO 📸 with very strong gains.
For our Nasdaq SHORT, we are tightening the TP ✅ slightly. Ahead of tomorrow’s NFP data, we expect increasingly cautious positioning during Asian and European trading as well, with correspondingly more restrained risk appetite. | 271 |
| 19 |  🔹 FULL OVERVIEW: Last 30 trading days 🔹
🗓 July 24 - September 03
💯 Transparent Track Record (only at SmartTrader)
——————————————
📊 5 - Week -Performance: July 24 - August 27
(= 25 full trading days)
🔹 Number of Trades/Signals: 133 (1 open positions)
🔹 Number of Trades Won: 121
🔹 Overall REAL Signal Accuracy / Success Rate = 91%🔼 🏆
Dropped from statistics: 7/8 - 87.5% Signal Accuracy (July 23)
Added to statistics: 5/5 - 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy (August 27)
——————————————
🔹 The last 5 trading days: August 28 - September 03 🔹
❌ 28.8 - BTC/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 77997.30|+re-entry in profit) 🔄
✅ 28.8 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 159.933)
✅ 28.8 - AMZN - LONG ↗️ (TP - 260.23)
✅ 28.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4566.43 me | or clsd) 4️⃣1️⃣
✅ 28.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4475.57 me | or clsd) 4️⃣2️⃣
✅ 28.8 - XAU/USD - LONG ↗️ (TP - 4402.47|overall - in-profit|+re-entry deep in profit)4️⃣3️⃣ 🔄
5/6 = 83.3% Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)
✅ 31.8 - USD/JPY - LONG ↗️ (TP - 159.797 or 159.790)
✅ 31.8 - JPN225 - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 65756.60)
✅ 31.8 - META - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 570.67)
✅ 31.8 - AMD - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 466.63 + gap)
✅ 31.8 - INTC - SHORT ↘️ (TP - 89.11)
5/5 = 100% 💎 Signal Accuracy (Success Rate)
——————————————
A very strong 7/8 session (SA/SR = 87.5%) - and, for once, not a completely flawless one - dropped out of our five-week statistics and was replaced by last Thursday’s perfect performance (5/5; 💎 SA/SR = 100%).
That really highlights just how close to perfection we have been trading for weeks, even months. Our success rate actually improved when a 7/8 session drops out of the statistics. In other words, our longer-term hit rate is above 87.5% (= 7/8) - a level that would already be considered an exceptional and very rare daily performance for most professional traders.
Our 🔼 Signal Accuracy / Success Rate is at incredible 91% 🏆
Our BTC position reached its TP and was closed overall off-profit. BTC then continued higher into the profit zone. We were slightly too cautious here, but I deliberately wanted to find an exit.
Gold, on the other hand, was closed overnight with a very strong profit, although in hindsight we could have captured even more of the gains. The CAC 40 finished today’s session slightly higher at +0.1%.
The strong gains across many USD-denominated assets today were largely driven by unexpectedly dovish comments from Fed Governor and FOMC member Waller. | 214 |
| 20 | 🔰 FREE VIP SIGNAL 🕯
LONG (BUY) 🔼 AUD/JPY
SL 🔑 @: (ONLY VIP 💎)
TP ✅ @: (ONLY VIP 💎)
Recommended Entry Range ✅112.000 - 112.050
► JPY gains have gone quite far today as expectations increase that the Bank of Japan will remain on course for higher rates. A September rate hike is expected, while some analysts even expect a 50-basis-point hike - which is in reality extremely unlikely, as it would trigger a shock reaction, weigh on the Japanese economy, and sharply increase debt costs.
► We want to trade the upside potential in the AUD here. We could also trade it against a more neutral currency such as the CHF, but we generally see significant short-term correction potential in the JPY.
► We are seeing improved risk sentiment as expectations for rate hikes in the US have declined. At the same time, we saw significant gains in commodity prices, which is positive for the AUD - although I see further upside in oil prices as limited.
► In Australia, GDP in Q2 2026 increased by 0.4% QoQ and 2.1% YoY, beating expectations in both cases. At the same time, the RBA remains focused on tackling inflation.
► AUD/JPY is currently trading around 112.000. We see significant upside potential from here. We are also using an SL 🔑 in any case in case of further intervention measures from Tokyo.
AUD/JPY: Multiply your usual trade size by ~1.2–1.5x (120%–150%).
position code / 100% transparency - 26090306A
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SmartTrader_Onboarding 🇬🇧🇪🇸🇩🇪🔗 | 224 |
