IT Tech Crypto
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Bitcoin, on-chain analysis, alerts, sentiment, and technical analysis. ๐ง Free of charge. โ ๐จ Opinions are my own and do not constitute financial advice.
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+530 kunlar
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2 511
$BTC pumped to 64K on perp buying - spot never confirmed it.
Throughout the entire move:
- Perp CVD: positive and rising - futures traders drove the push
- Spot CVD: negative the whole way - real buyers didn't show up
Current readings:
- Spot CVD: -152M (left chart)
- Perp CVD: -777M
- Funding rate: +0.0025% - longs still paying
- Order book depth: ask-heavy on both venues
- Coinbase Premium: -0.13% - US buyers absent
Perp-driven moves without spot confirmation don't hold. When futures longs unwind, there's no organic demand underneath to catch the price.
One catalyst away from a fast flush.
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2065397239212904652
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2 511
$BTC Coinbase Premium Gap hit -76.2. US buyers aren't showing up.
- Last 7 days average: -46. Today: -71. Getting worse, not better.
- Last time US spot was consistently buying: 7 weeks ago
- Every bounce since April 27 has been sold by US market participants
Price is trying to recover. The data says otherwise. โ ๏ธ
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2065158772344209718
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2 511
$BTC reclaimed 63K on the 15m - but structure is still printing lower highs.
โข SuperTrend: 4 sell flips (S) from 64.2K โ 61K - consistent downtrend
โข Buy flips (B): each recovery capped below prior high - no reversal
โข Swing low: 60.7K - key level for bulls
โข Current: 62.9K - short-term momentum back
โข Volume profile: heaviest node 62.5K-63K - high-resistance cluster
Takeaway:
Recovery off 60.7K is real, but every B flip got sold within hours.
Structure stays bearish until price prints a higher high above 63.5K with volume. This is a bear-flag bounce within a downtrend.
Watch 63K-63.5K - sellers have shown up here repeatedly.
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2065066014417858802
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2 511
$BTC squeezed to 62K on CPI. The Cumulative Volume Delta tells the real story.
- Funding Rate: 0.0018 - neutral, no overheating
- Aggregated OI: 20.95B - recovered from 20.4B lows post-CPI squeeze
- CVD Spot: -396M - spot sellers active for 3 days straight
- CVD Futures: -1.178B - leveraged positioning overwhelmingly bearish
Price squeezed shorts into CPI, but spot CVD never turned positive. Buyers didn't show up - shorts got flushed mechanically. MA cross (10/30) is still bearish on the daily structure.
Futures CVD at -1.17B with price at 62K means leveraged traders are not buying this move. They're waiting to reload short.
Short squeeze on soft Core CPI, not demand-driven. CVD divergence confirms no real accumulation. 60.8K support is the key level into FOMC June 17.
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2064720952248967473
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2 511
$BTC SuperTrend flipped bearish 3 times in 36 hours. Price back at session lows.
- Buy at 61K -> rallied to 64K -> 3 consecutive Sell flips (63,800 / 63,200 / 62,400)
- Each flip triggered a bounce. None held.
- Final Sell at 62,400 dumped straight to 61,549
- Liq map: dense 64K-64.8K overhead (short liqs)
- Below: thin until ~60K
Three recovery attempts. Sellers killed all of them.
Current price: 400 points above June 8 low (61,150). Only support visible.
โ ๏ธ Three Sell flips, no clean reclaim. Bears own the 15m.
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2064357156158427488
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2 511
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2 511
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Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2064025737494225259
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2 511
Bitcoin's worst week of 2026. -17% and multiple on-chain thresholds crossed simultaneously.
One specific indicator just triggered for the first time this entire bear phase.
In every prior cycle, when it did - the floor was still weeks away.
Full breakdown in this week's issue ๐
https://ittechpl.substack.com/p/bitcoin-and-crypto-market-report-180
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2 511
GM.
Top 300 Coins - 1d Heatmap ๐
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2063592063116153295
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2 511
Repost from IT Tech Crypto
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I walk through what on-chain data are really signaling for Bitcoin next.
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2 511
Repost from IT Tech Crypto
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2 511
$BTC realized losses just went 3.4x in 10 days.
- Realized Loss (7DMA): $1.23B, up from $363M on May 25
- Net Realized P/L: -$1.06B - worst since Feb 2026 capitulation
Feb 2026 peaked at -$1.9B before finding a floor. We're not there yet - and this is a lagged 7DMA, still catching up.
Raw data is worse than what you're seeing here. โ ๏ธ
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2062956879329058876
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