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Показати більше7 627
Підписники
-224 години
-247 днів
-10630 день
Архів дописів
Final Verdict
FIIs heavily net short Index Futures.
Massive fresh call writing at 23500-24000.
PCR below 1.
Gift Nifty indicating a large gap-down.
The most important battlefield today is 23000.
If 23000 breaks decisively, sellers may push toward 22800-22650 quickly. If 23000 survives and short covering begins, expect a recovery toward 23250-23350 before fresh resistance appears.
Probability
Scenario Probability
Gap Down Open 90%
Bearish Opening 80%
Recovery Rally 60%
Trend Down Day 40%
Sideways Day 35%
Strong Bullish Day 25%
Bull Put Spread
If Nifty holds above 23000 after first 30 minutes:
Sell:
22900 PE
Buy Hedge:
22700 PE
Bear Call Spread
If Nifty remains below 23300:
Sell:
23500 CE
Buy Hedge:
23700 CE
This aligns with heavy call writing visible in the NSE data.
BEARISH
5-min candle closes below: 23000
22900/22800/22650
23070 Above Not Worth
BULLISH
5-min candle closes above: 23250
23350/23450/23500
Below 23170 Not Worth
Institutional Levels
Level Importance
23000 Major Support
23080 Opening Support
23150 Pivot
23250 Resistance
23300 Strong Resistance
23500 Massive Resistance
Market Structure
Friday Close:
23366.70
Gift Nifty:
~23095
Expected Gap Down:
-270 Points
This means:
Weak opening
FII short positions in profit
Call writers dominant
Weekly expiry tomorrow
PCR Analysis
Using major strikes:
Approximate PCR ≈ 0.85
PCR below 1 = Slightly Bearish
Highest PE OI (Support)
Strike PE OI
22500 10.20 Million
23000 9.25 Million
23300 7.39 Million
22000 6.75 Million
21100 6.69 Million
Key Support Zone
23000 PE
Strong support created.
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