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#META #stockmarket #MarketNews #MarketUpdates Meta Analysis: Price Attempts to Hold Above the Pattern Amid Mixed Volume Signals On 26 August, Meta announced an agreement with a bipartisan group of 52 state and territorial attorneys general and the Attorney General of the District of Columbia. Under the agreement, the company will pay around $18 billion over ten years and introduce additional restrictions for underage Facebook and Instagram users, including a two-hour daily usage limit and an overnight app block from midnight to 6:00 am. Around $5.3 billion of this amount will only be payable if TikTok and YouTube implement similar measures and each pay a corresponding amount. Meta also expects to recognise around $10 billion in legal expenses in Q3 2026 in connection with the agreement. Technical Analysis of Meta On the four-hour META chart, the medium-term picture remains range-bound, with the price continuing to move within a broad range between the 690 and 540 areas. Within this range, a short-term decline occurred between 15 and 30 July, during which a pattern resembling a converging triangle formed near the lower end of the move. The pattern’s boundaries progressively narrowed the amplitude of price fluctuations. However, the vertical volume profile throughout the pattern’s formation does not appear typical of this type of consolidation, raising questions about the technical integrity of the structure. After breaking above the pattern’s upper boundary, the price remains within the current market profile and is now squeezed between the Point of Control (POC) at $587.00 and the upper boundary of the profile at $600.00, attempting to establish itself above the pattern. Red resistance is located around $612.00 and is relatively close to the profile. If the price returns to the pattern’s range and establishes itself below the lower boundary of the profile at $564.00, a green support level around $550.00 could come into play. This level is also relatively close to the profile. The RSI + MAs indicator is showing readings of 62, 54 and 49. The oscillator is above the neutral zone, while the moving averages remain within the zone, meaning that it is still too early to speak of a confirmed breakout. Key Takeaways The atypical volume pattern within the formation, combined with the incomplete RSI + MAs signal, leaves open the question of how sustainable the price’s move above the established structure will prove to be. An additional source of uncertainty is that part of the litigation settlement remains conditional on decisions by Meta’s competitors across the industry.

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​#marketanalysis #GBPUSD #forex GBP/USD GBP/USD continues to play out the bearish “tower” pattern described earlier. A sustained move below the important 1.3500 support level keeps the risk of further declines towards the 1.3400–1.3440 area. A rebound from this zone could trigger a corrective recovery, while the bearish scenario could be considered invalidated after a sustained move above 1.3560. Key events for GBP/USD: ▪️today at 11:30 (GMT+3): UK Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI); ▪️today at 17:00 (GMT+3): US ISM Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index; ▪️tomorrow at 11:50 (GMT+3): speech by Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey. Overall, EUR/USD and GBP/USD remain in a downtrend near important support levels, although their further direction will depend on incoming macroeconomic data. Following the weak ADP report, tomorrow’s US employment report will be the key reference point. Further signs of cooling in the labour market could increase pressure on the dollar, while stronger figures could support further dollar gains and lead to continued declines in both currency pairs.
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​#EURUSD #GBPUSD #forextrading #tradingtips #marketanalysis EUR/USD and GBP/USD at Key Support Levels Ahead of US Labour Market Data The euro and pound continue to decline, approaching important support levels amid a stronger US dollar. Further moves in EUR/USD and GBP/USD will depend on incoming macroeconomic data, particularly developments in the US labour market. Today, market attention will focus on economic data from Europe and the US. In the eurozone, services-sector business activity indices will be released, with weaker readings potentially keeping pressure on the euro. In the US, weekly labour-market data will be published, while additional attention will be paid to comments from Federal Reserve representative Christopher Waller. However, tomorrow’s employment report will be the key market reference point. Following the weak ADP reading, further signs of a cooling labour market could strengthen expectations of a more accommodative Fed policy and put pressure on the dollar, while stronger figures could support further dollar gains. For the pound, domestic data and signals from the Bank of England will provide an additional point of reference. Services-sector business activity figures will be in focus, along with a speech by Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey, whose comments could influence expectations for the central bank’s future policy. EUR/USD As expected, EUR/USD has tested the important 1.1580–1.1620 support area. The decline has so far slowed near the upper boundary of the 1.1520–1.1560 range formed in August. Weak eurozone data could push EUR/USD further into this range. A return above 1.1620, followed by a sustained move above this level, would weaken the current bearish scenario and create conditions for a corrective recovery. Key events for EUR/USD: ▪️today at 10:15 (GMT+3): Spain Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI); ▪️today at 10:55 (GMT+3): Germany Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI); ▪️today at 15:30 (GMT+3): US initial jobless claims.
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​#XAUUSD #goldprice #commodities #MarketNews XAU/USD Analysis: Gold's Rally Meets Reality as Fed Hike Odds Surge Gold has hit a wall this week, sliding to two-week lows near $4,320 and posting an 8.7% drop from last week's three-month highs near $4,700. The catalyst is unmistakable: Fed Chair Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole remarks, warning the Fed still has "work to do" without clearer evidence inflation is returning to target, sent September hike odds surging from roughly 36% before his speech to over 66% today. Rising Treasury yields and renewed Middle East tensions, following fresh US strikes and Iranian retaliation against the UAE and Jordan, have only added to the pressure. Despite this sharp pullback, the broader picture remains genuinely constructive: gold still gained around 10% in August alone after the US Treasury's surprise move to double its long-dated bond buyback programme reignited fears over fiscal credibility, the so-called debasement trade that has underpinned much of this year's rally. All eyes now turn to Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls report, the week's decisive catalyst. A weak print could quickly reverse this hawkish repricing and revive gold's momentum, while a strong one would likely deepen the current correction heading into the Fed's September 15–16 meeting. Technical Analysis of XAU/USD As the XAU/USD chart shows, gold has pulled back sharply from the 4,698.73 highs and is now trading between two key confluences: above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement near 4,265, which aligns with the ascending trendline off the late-July lows, and below the 0.5 retracement near 4,348, which coincides with the 200-period EMA at 4,367. Bullish Scenario Should buyers defend the 0.618-trendline confluence, the broader recovery structure remains intact. A push back above the 0.5 retracement and the 200-period EMA would open the path towards reclaiming the descending trendline, with scope to challenge the 0.382 level near 4,431. Bearish Scenario Conversely, a decisive break below the 0.618 retracement and the ascending trendline would signal that the correction has real legs, exposing the 0.786 level near 4,147, with a deeper slide risking a full retest of the 3,997 low that anchored the entire August rally. With price squeezed between a defended trendline-Fibonacci confluence below and a stubborn EMA-Fibonacci resistance above, gold's next move looks set to determine whether Friday's jobs report tips the balance towards renewed strength, or confirms this correction has further to run.
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​#USDCAD #forextrading #forex #marketanalysis USD/CAD USD/CAD has been consolidating within a narrow 1.3840–1.3910 range over recent trading sessions. A breakout and sustained move above 1.3910 could pave the way for further gains towards 1.3960–1.4000. Conversely, a break below the lower boundary of the range could lead to another test of the recent lows around 1.3730–1.3780. Key events for USD/CAD: ▪️today at 16:45 (GMT+3): Bank of Canada interest-rate decision; ▪️today at 17:30 (GMT+3): US crude oil inventories; ▪️today at 17:30 (GMT+3): Bank of Canada press conference. The dollar is maintaining its upward momentum, although today's events could significantly influence the next direction of the market. For USD/JPY, the main drivers will be the ADP employment figures and any subsequent repricing of expectations for Federal Reserve policy. USD/CAD will additionally be influenced by the Bank of Canada's decision and developments in the oil market. Stronger-than-expected US data combined with a dovish BoC tone could support further gains in both pairs, while weaker US figures or more hawkish signals from the Canadian central bank could limit the dollar's recovery.
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​#USDJPY #USDCAD #forextrading #tradingtips #marketanalysis #MarketNews Dollar Continues to Strengthen: ADP and Bank of Canada Decision in Focus The US dollar continues to strengthen following its previous period of weakness, gradually recovering ground against the major currencies. Today, market attention will be focused on the preliminary ADP employment figures for the US. According to forecasts, the private sector is expected to have added 48K jobs, following an increase of 44K the previous month. A significant deviation from expectations could increase dollar volatility and prompt a reassessment of expectations for the Federal Reserve's future policy. The situation in the Middle East remains another important factor. Tensions surrounding Iran continue to support demand for safe-haven assets and increase volatility in the oil market. Stronger demand for safe havens could also support the yen and partially limit the upside potential of USD/JPY. For USD/CAD, the Bank of Canada's meeting will be the key event. The central bank is expected to keep its policy rate unchanged at 2.25%, meaning that attention will focus primarily on the accompanying statement and press conference. A more dovish tone could increase pressure on the Canadian dollar and support further gains in the pair. Oil will remain another important driver. EIA crude inventory data and geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran could have a significant impact on oil prices and, consequently, on the Canadian dollar. USD/JPY Following last week's recovery, USD/JPY has once again tested the important 159.40–159.80 support area. Yesterday, buyers managed to establish the pair above the psychological 160.00 level. If the US employment data comes in stronger than expected, the advance could continue towards 160.50–161.00. The bullish scenario would be invalidated by a firm move below 159.40. Key events for USD/JPY: ▪️today at 14:00 (GMT+3): US MBA Mortgage Applications; ▪️today at 15:15 (GMT+3): US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change; ▪️tomorrow at 03:30 (GMT+3): Japan Services PMI.
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​#EURGBP #forextrading #tradingtips #marketanalysis #MarketNews EUR/GBP: Two Weeks of Compression Reach Their Breaking Point The euro is closing out August with genuine momentum, having climbed to $1.1697 against the dollar, its strongest level in three months, on the back of ECB hike bets that keep gaining traction. French and Spanish inflation both surprised to the upside, with Spain's harmonised reading hitting 4.5%, its highest since 2023, reinforcing market expectations that the ECB deposit rate could climb to 2.80% by next March, from 2.25% currently. A September hike is now seen as roughly 60% likely. Sterling, meanwhile, is navigating a genuinely awkward domestic backdrop. The Bank of England's July decision, a 6–3 hold with three members pushing for a hike, initially read as hawkish, but Governor Bailey used his press conference to firmly close the door on near-term hike bets anyway. UK inflation eased to 2.9%, yet the labour market cooled more sharply than expected, with private-sector wage growth hitting its softest pace since 2020, leaving the BoE genuinely torn between growth resilience and a weakening jobs picture. The result: an ECB gaining real conviction towards further tightening, versus a Bank of England sending increasingly mixed signals just as political uncertainty around Downing Street's succession continues to simmer in the background. Technical Analysis of EUR/GBP As the EUR/GBP chart shows, the pair has been compressing into a tightening symmetrical triangle since mid-August, with a descending trendline from the 0.8587 highs converging with an ascending trendline off the 0.8480 lows, both meeting right around the current price near 0.8569, exactly where the 100-period EMA also sits. Bullish Scenario Should buyers break above the descending trendline, the path would open towards a retest of the 0.8587 highs, the 0 Fibonacci level marking the origin of the recent pullback. A confirmed breakout above that level would signal genuine bullish continuation for the euro. Bearish Scenario Conversely, a break below the ascending trendline and the 100-period EMA would expose the 0.382 retracement near 0.8536, with a deeper slide risking a retest of the 0.5 level around 0.8521. With price coiled right at the apex of this triangle, sitting exactly on the 100-period EMA, EUR/GBP looks primed for a decisive break. Will the ECB's hawkish momentum finally push the euro through resistance, or will sterling's political noise keep the pair capped?
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​#NFLX #stockmarket #MarketNews #marketanalysis Netflix Analysis: Trend Breakout and Price Move Beyond the Profile On 25 August, Wolfe Research analysts raised their price target for Netflix shares from $84.00 to $95.00. According to Wolfe Research, the company's weak second-quarter subscriber and engagement figures were driven by the timing of content releases rather than a decline in demand. Previous seasons of shows returning in the third quarter generated 1.3 billion hours viewed in the top 10, compared with 765 million hours for second-quarter releases. Based on this, Wolfe Research expects stronger results in the second half of the year and a solid outlook for 2027. Technical Analysis of Netflix The four-hour NFLX chart shows a short-term downtrend, within which a descending trendline had formed. On 17 July, the final bar of the trend was accompanied by a pronounced spike in vertical volume, prompting an upward reversal that was followed by a breakout above the trendline. The stock is now trading above the upper boundary of the current market profile at $80.00, potentially setting the stage for further tests of higher levels. The nearest significant resistance is around $83.50. If the market reverses or the price is rejected at the red resistance level, Netflix could move back into the market-profile range. Before attempting to break below the profile, however, the price would need to overcome a substantial cluster of levels, including the POC at $73.30 and the lower profile boundary at $71.00. Immediately below this cluster lies the green support level around $68.50. The RSI + MAs indicator currently shows readings of 58, 62 and 60. The oscillator and both moving averages remain above the neutral zone and continue to display bullish signals. Notably, RSI has not entered overbought territory at any point during the rebound. Key Takeaways The move above the market profile, combined with the bullish RSI + MAs readings, could indicate that the previous downtrend has come to an end. The surge in volume at the trend low also marked a potential structural reversal point. The stock's further performance may depend not only on the technical setup but also on whether upcoming content releases validate analysts' expectations for stronger results in the second half of the year.
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​#GOOGL #stockmarket #stocktrading #MarketNews #marketanalysis Alphabet: Five Months of Consolidation Reach Their Breaking Point Alphabet just had a genuinely turbulent month, and the whiplash tells its own story. Despite beating earnings expectations with profits of $9.11 per share, roughly triple what analysts had forecast, the stock actually sold off in the days following the report, weighed down by mounting concerns over AI spending. That mood shifted decisively on Monday, when shares jumped over 5% after Morgan Stanley reassured investors, highlighting Alphabet's still-robust $53.3 billion in free cash flow over the past twelve months, even as cloud capital expenditure could exceed $1.2 trillion in 2027. The underlying business remains genuinely strong: Google Cloud revenue surged 82% year-over-year to $24.8 billion in Q2, and the company has been actively defending its position, launching more budget-friendly AI pricing to compete directly with rivals. That said, not everything has gone smoothly. Alphabet agreed to pay £260 million to settle a UK class-action lawsuit this week, and a leadership shakeup within its AI division, including the departure of key figures, has added a layer of organizational uncertainty investors are still digesting. The result: a company delivering genuinely impressive growth, but one whose massive AI bet keeps testing investors' patience with every headline. Technical Analysis of Alphabet (GOOGL) As the GOOGL chart shows, the stock has been compressing into a symmetrical triangle since April, with a descending trendline from the 400 highs converging with an ascending trendline off the 269 low, both meeting right at the current price near 340–346, exactly where the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and the 200-period EMA also sit. Bullish Scenario Should buyers defend this trendline-EMA confluence and break decisively above the descending trendline, the path would open toward the 0.382 retracement near 356.79, with a stronger move potentially targeting the 0 level at 382.88, the origin of the entire pullback. Bearish Scenario Conversely, a break below the ascending trendline and the 0.618 retracement near 340.66 would expose the 0.786 level near 329.19, with a deeper slide risking a retest of the 314.57 low that anchored this five-month structure. With price coiled right at the apex of this triangle, sitting exactly on the 200-period EMA, Alphabet's next move looks set to be decisive. Will the AI spending story finally translate into a genuine breakout, or does the stock settle back into its earlier range?
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#GOOGL #stockmarket #stocktrading #MarketNews #marketanalysis Alphabet: Five Months of Consolidation Reach Their Breaking Point Alphabet just had a genuinely turbulent month, and the whiplash tells its own story. Despite beating earnings expectations with profits of $9.11 per share, roughly triple what analysts had forecast, the stock actually sold off in the days following the report, weighed down by mounting concerns over AI spending. That mood shifted decisively on Monday, when shares jumped over 5% after Morgan Stanley reassured investors, highlighting Alphabet's still-robust $53.3 billion in free cash flow over the past twelve months, even as cloud capital expenditure could exceed $1.2 trillion in 2027. The underlying business remains genuinely strong: Google Cloud revenue surged 82% year-over-year to $24.8 billion in Q2, and the company has been actively defending its position, launching more budget-friendly AI pricing to compete directly with rivals. That said, not everything has gone smoothly. Alphabet agreed to pay £260 million to settle a UK class-action lawsuit this week, and a leadership shakeup within its AI division, including the departure of key figures, has added a layer of organizational uncertainty investors are still digesting. The result: a company delivering genuinely impressive growth, but one whose massive AI bet keeps testing investors' patience with every headline. Technical Analysis of Alphabet (GOOGL) As the GOOGL chart shows, the stock has been compressing into a symmetrical triangle since April, with a descending trendline from the 400 highs converging with an ascending trendline off the 269 low, both meeting right at the current price near 340–346, exactly where the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and the 200-period EMA also sit. Bullish Scenario Should buyers defend this trendline-EMA confluence and break decisively above the descending trendline, the path would open toward the 0.382 retracement near 356.79, with a stronger move potentially targeting the 0 level at 382.88, the origin of the entire pullback. Bearish Scenario Conversely, a break below the ascending trendline and the 0.618 retracement near 340.66 would expose the 0.786 level near 329.19, with a deeper slide risking a retest of the 314.57 low that anchored this five-month structure. With price coiled right at the apex of this triangle, sitting exactly on the 200-period EMA, Alphabet's next move looks set to be decisive. Will the AI spending story finally translate into a genuine breakout, or does the stock settle back into its earlier range?
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Weekly Market Insights with Gary Thomson: US NFP, EU Inflation, and RBNZ Interest Rate Decision  In this video, Gary Thomson looks at three key events in the first week of September that could shape expectations for the euro, New Zealand dollar and US dollar: Eurozone inflation, the RBNZ interest rate decision and the latest US employment report. 👉 Key topics covered: 🔸Eurozone Inflation — 1 September — Annual inflation rose to 2.9% in July, remaining above the ECB’s 2% target. Could another strong reading strengthen expectations for further rate hikes and support the euro? 🔸RBNZ Interest Rate Decision — 2 September — Markets widely expect a 25-basis-point hike to 2.75%. With inflation above the RBNZ’s target range but unemployment at its highest level in more than a decade, what could the Bank’s guidance mean for the New Zealand dollar? 🔸US NFP & Unemployment Rate — 4 September — July’s jobs report surprised to the downside, with payrolls falling by 23,000 and previous figures revised lower. Will the latest data confirm a broader slowdown in the US labour market or show signs of stabilisation? With major central bank meetings approaching, markets could react not only to the headline data but also to what the figures mean for future monetary policy. 💬 Don’t forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more market insights every week.  https://cutt.ly/2yhm6PAW CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. You can find the full disclaimer here: www.fxopen.com. #marketnews #forex #EURUSD #NZDUSD #USD #EUR #NZD
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​#XAUUSD #goldprice #commodities #MarketNews #marketanalysis XAU/USD: Gold Tests Its Trendline After a Powerful August Rally Gold has staged a remarkable comeback, surging almost 14% in August alone and reclaiming levels not seen since May, a stark reversal from late July, when prices had dipped below $4,000. The rally has been driven by a genuinely unusual combination of forces: the US Treasury's surprise decision to double its long-dated bond buyback programme reignited fears over fiscal credibility and dollar debasement, while persistent Middle East tensions and steady Chinese buying have kept safe-haven demand firmly in place. All eyes now turn to Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, the week's pivotal event. A hawkish tone or a fresh rise in real yields could trigger meaningful profit-taking after such a sharp run-up, while continued dollar weakness would likely keep gold's momentum intact. Adding to the tension, this week's data slate, including preliminary Q2 GDP, jobless claims, and Michigan's inflation expectations, gives markets plenty of reasons to stay on edge. With gold already up nearly 96% over the past year and testing territory unseen in months, the metal finds itself balancing two powerful forces: genuine structural demand against a market that may finally be due for a pause. Technical Analysis of XAU/USD As the XAU/USD chart shows, gold has been trading within a well-respected ascending trendline since the 4,022 low in late July, having earlier broken decisively above the descending trendline that capped the May–July decline. Price recently touched a fresh high near 4,698, the 0 Fibonacci level, before pulling back and now testing the confluence of the ascending trendline and the 50-period EMA near 4,561. Bullish Scenario Should buyers defend this trendline-EMA confluence, the broader uptrend structure remains firmly intact. A renewed push higher would target a retest of the 4,698 high, with a confirmed break above that level opening the door toward the 4,760–4,800 resistance zone and fresh record territory beyond. Bearish Scenario Conversely, a decisive break below the ascending trendline and the 50-period EMA would signal that a deeper correction is underway, exposing the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement near 4,440 as the first real test, with a further slide risking a retest of the 0.5 level around 4,360. With price sitting right at the intersection of a multi-week trendline and the 50-period EMA, gold's next move looks set to determine whether this powerful August rally has more room to run or whether it's due for a deeper pause.
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​#dowjones #stockmarket #stocktrading #marketanalysis #MarketNews Dow Jones Analysis: Attempted Trend Breakout Amid Fed Rate Expectations On 26 August, the US Commerce Department released July data on the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index. Core PCE rose 0.2% month-on-month and 3.3% year-on-year, in line with market expectations. Ellen Zentner, Chief Economic Strategist at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, noted that the modest upside surprise in inflation was not significant enough to shift the balance of expectations ahead of the Federal Reserve's September meeting. Earlier, on 19 August, minutes from the Fed's July meeting showed that policymakers remained open to further rate increases if inflationary pressures persisted, with three committee members having already voted in favour of a hike. Against this backdrop, Treasury yields remain close to multi-year highs, keeping rate expectations tilted towards the possibility of further tightening. Technical Analysis of Dow Jones The four-hour Dow Jones chart (WS30m on FXOpen) shows a short-term downtrend, with prices steadily declining from a local peak around 54,700 and establishing a descending trendline in the process. On 25 August, the index moved beyond the trendline and subsequently formed the current market profile. The index is now trading between the Point of Control (POC) at 53,490 and the upper boundary of the profile at 53,700. If the breakout develops into a sustained advance, the next significant level to watch is the red resistance area around 53,900. Conversely, if the trend breakout proves to be false and the decline resumes, the price would first need to move through the POC at 53,490 and then break below the lower profile boundary at 53,320. Only after clearing this area would the path towards the green support level around 53,150 become more open. The RSI + MAs indicator currently shows readings of 52, 55 and 51. The oscillator and both moving averages remain within the neutral zone, although the moving averages are still displaying a bullish signal. Key Takeaways The attempted break above the descending trendline is taking place within a dense market-profile area, providing no clear confirmation of a sustained move in either direction. The index's next move could depend on whether the current divide in expectations surrounding the Fed's September decision persists or whether incoming economic data shifts the balance decisively in one direction.
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​#EURUSD #GBPUSD #marketanalysis GBP/USD GBP/USD is showing signs of a potential reversal, with a "tower" pattern taking shape. If the formation is confirmed, the pair could decline towards 1.3530–1.3560. A sustained break below this zone could trigger a deeper correction towards 1.3440–1.3480. Conversely, renewed dollar weakness could allow GBP/USD to recover above 1.3600. Key events for GBP/USD: ▪️today at 15:30 (GMT+3): US initial jobless claims; ▪️today at 23:30 (GMT+3): US Federal Reserve balance sheet; ▪️tomorrow at 16:45 (GMT+3): Chicago PMI. EUR/USD and GBP/USD have retreated from their recent highs after stronger US economic data allowed the dollar to recover some of its recent losses. Whether the current correction develops further will depend on incoming economic data from the US and euro area, as well as signals from Federal Reserve officials. Resilient economic figures and a hawkish tone from Jackson Hole could support a further dollar recovery, while signs of a weakening labour market or more cautious Fed commentary could once again put pressure on the US currency.
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​#EURUSD #GBPUSD #marketanalysis #forextrading #MarketNews Euro and Pound Retreat from Highs After Strong US Data The euro and pound have pulled back from their recent highs as the US dollar regained ground following a batch of stronger-than-expected economic data. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index accelerated to 3.7% year-on-year, compared with expectations of 3.6%, while the quarterly core PCE reading came in at 3.6%, above the forecast of 3.4%. The dollar also received support from stronger consumer activity. Personal spending increased by 0.2%, versus expectations of 0.1%, while personal income rose by 0.4%, double the forecast of 0.2%. At the same time, revised US GDP growth for the second quarter came in at 1.5%, matching market expectations. Taken together, the figures point to continued resilience in the US economy and reduce the likelihood of the Federal Reserve shifting rapidly towards a more accommodative monetary-policy stance. Market attention is now turning to fresh US data and the Jackson Hole symposium. Initial jobless claims are expected to come in at 208,000, up slightly from 206,000 a week earlier, while the trade deficit is forecast to narrow modestly to $100.8 billion from $101.4 billion previously. Following the latest strong US figures, investors will also be paying close attention to comments from Fed officials on inflation and the outlook for interest rates. Resilient economic data combined with hawkish signals from Jackson Hole could provide further support for the dollar, while signs of a cooling labour market or a more cautious Fed tone could put renewed pressure on the US currency. EUR/USD EUR/USD has made several unsuccessful attempts to establish itself above 1.1700, resulting in the formation of a doji pattern. From a technical perspective, this could signal a corrective decline towards the 1.1620–1.1580 area. The bearish scenario would be invalidated by a firm move and close above 1.1700. Key events for EUR/USD: ▪️today at 09:00 (GMT+3): Germany's GfK Consumer Confidence; ▪️today at 13:00 (GMT+3): total number of unemployed people in France; ▪️today at 15:00 (GMT+3): Jackson Hole Symposium.
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​#Alibaba #stockmarket #marketanalysis #MarketNews Alibaba Analysis: Uptrend Break Attempt Amid Rising AI Investment Alibaba reported its first-quarter results on 20 August, revealing a mixed picture for investors. Revenue increased by 9%, driven by accelerating growth in its cloud computing and AI businesses, but net profit fell by nearly three-quarters as capital expenditure on AI infrastructure surged. Management said it expects these investments to reach break-even within the next three years. Meanwhile, free cash flow turned negative as spending on computing capacity continued to rise. To finance the further development of its full-stack AI ecosystem, Alibaba also completed a new share offering on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange this week, raising approximately $10.2 billion. Investors responded cautiously to the combination of weaker earnings and equity dilution. Technical Analysis of Alibaba The four-hour chart shows a clear short-term uptrend that began in late July, with the share price climbing from around $92.00 to the $133.00 resistance area. The stock is now attempting to break below its ascending trendline after buyers failed to maintain momentum following the test of the recent highs. On 21 August, the price moved beneath the lower boundary of the current market profile at $121.50 on exceptionally high trading volume. If sellers extend the decline, the next significant support lies near $113.00. Should the move prove to be a false breakout, attention will shift to a cluster of key resistance levels within the market profile. The Point of Control (POC) at $128.50 and the upper profile boundary at $129.50 sit very close together, creating a potentially strong resistance zone. Above this area, the major resistance remains at $133.00. The RSI + MAs indicator currently stands at 41, 48 and 51. RSI has slipped below the neutral zone, while both moving averages remain near the middle of their range, suggesting that bearish momentum has yet to receive full confirmation. Key Takeaways Alibaba's disappointing profit performance and sizeable share issuance have weighed on sentiment following its failed attempt to establish itself above $130.00. The stock's next move is likely to depend on whether investors continue to focus on near-term earnings pressure or place greater value on the company's long-term AI growth strategy.
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​#NVDA #nvidia #marketanalysis #stockmarket #stocks Nvidia Earnings: Beating Isn't Enough — The Chart Wants More All eyes turn to Wednesday, when Nvidia reports fiscal Q2 2027 earnings in what may be the single most consequential release of the quarter for the entire tech sector. Wall Street expects revenue of between $93–95 billion, implying year-over-year growth of as much as 67–100%, driven largely by demand for the company's Blackwell architecture and the early ramp-up of its next-generation Vera Rubin chips. With Nvidia commanding an estimated 80–81% share of the AI accelerator market, the report functions less like a single-company event and more like a health check for the entire AI infrastructure trade, historically moving shares of AMD, Broadcom, and Marvell in sympathy. The stakes are amplified by timing: earnings land squarely alongside the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, where Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's remarks could reshape rate expectations just as investors digest Nvidia's guidance. That combination matters because Nvidia's premium valuation, trading well above the broader semiconductor sector on a forward basis, leaves the stock unusually sensitive to shifts in the discount rate. With shares up nearly 18% year-to-date but price targets still implying meaningful upside, the market has already priced in near-perfection. The real question isn't whether Nvidia beats, but whether beating is enough. Technical Analysis of Nvidia As the Nvidia chart shows, the stock has been compressing into a symmetrical triangle since April, with a descending trendline from the 236.31 high converging with an ascending trendline off the 164.45 low, both meeting right around the current price near 205–209, exactly where the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement sits at 208.86. Bullish Scenario Should buyers defend the ascending trendline and break decisively above the 0.382 retracement, the path would open toward a retest of the 220–228 highs from mid-August, with a stronger earnings reaction potentially targeting the 236.31 level, the origin of the entire pullback. Bearish Scenario Conversely, a break below the ascending trendline and the 0.382 level would expose the 0.5 retracement near 200.38, with a deeper slide risking a retest of the 0.618 level around 191.90 if the earnings reaction disappoints. With price coiled right at the apex of this five-month triangle, sitting exactly on the 0.382 confluence just one day before earnings, Nvidia looks primed for one of its most decisive moves of the year. Will Wednesday's report finally resolve months of consolidation, or extend the standoff into September?
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​#WTI #oilprices #commodities #MarketNews #marketanalysis WTI Analysis: Attempted Uptrend Breakout Without Momentum Confirmation WTI crude fell more than 2% on Monday, 24 August, as market participants took profits amid expectations that the US could announce a new round of sanctions against Iran. Additional pressure came from a warning by the Iranian authority responsible for the Persian Gulf and Strait of Hormuz, which said vessels violating transit rules could face fines or detention. At the same time, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA), in its 11 August forecast, expects the average Brent price to remain around $85 per barrel in the third quarter. Persistently low commercial crude inventories in the US could also help limit the downside and prevent a deeper decline. Technical Analysis of WTI On the four-hour XTI/USD chart, prices had been moving within a short-term uptrend since the beginning of August. The trendline repeatedly acted as support during previous pullbacks, but the price is now attempting to break below it while also moving beneath the lower boundary of the current market profile at $86.05. If the downside move gains traction, the next potential support area is around $84.40. A false breakout followed by a renewed advance would bring several technical levels into focus. The first is the Point of Control (POC) at $87.20, followed by the upper profile boundary at $87.95. The overall depth of the market profile is also worth monitoring: the narrower the profile, the less buying pressure may be required to overcome it. Above the main concentration of trading activity lies the red resistance zone at $91.30. The RSI + MAs indicator currently shows readings of 48, 57 and 57. RSI has returned to the neutral area following the pullback, but notably remained below the overbought zone throughout virtually the entire uptrend. At the same time, both moving averages remain positive and are holding above the neutral threshold. Key Takeaways The break below the ascending trendline has yet to receive confirmation from the momentum indicators. The moving averages remaining above the neutral zone cast some doubt on the sustainability of the current decline. The next move could depend heavily on the scale and severity of any new US sanctions against Iran. A stronger-than-expected sanctions package could increase pressure on oil prices, while more limited measures may allow the market to refocus on tight US inventories and provide support for WTI.
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​#EURUSD #forextrading #tradingtips #marketanalysis #MarketNews EUR/USD Analysis: Is the Dollar Rally Really Over? EUR/USD has regained ground in recent sessions, with the pair trading near 1.17 as broad-based weakness in the US dollar continues to dominate the foreign-exchange market. The main driver remains the changing monetary-policy outlook, with investors focused on whether the Federal Reserve can maintain a restrictive stance while the US economy shows signs of slowing. The dollar faces a key test this week as Fed Chair Kevin Warsh prepares to deliver his first speech at Jackson Hole on Friday. Persistent inflation and rising long-term Treasury yields could encourage a hawkish tone, particularly if Warsh signals that rate cuts in September are far from guaranteed. Conversely, weaker US growth or softer inflation data would reinforce expectations of easier monetary policy and could extend the dollar's decline. In Europe, euro-area inflation rose to 2.9% in July, keeping price pressures above the ECB's 2% target. The ECB has kept interest rates unchanged since June, but higher energy prices and renewed inflation risks could limit the scope for further easing. With EUR/USD trading near multi-month highs, the Jackson Hole symposium and upcoming US PCE inflation data could determine whether the euro can extend its advance or whether a hawkish Fed response triggers a renewed recovery in the dollar. Technical Analysis of EUR/USD As the daily EUR/USD chart shows, the pair has broken decisively above the descending trendline that had capped price action since the February highs, marking a significant shift in the medium-term structure. The pair is now trading around 1.1665, comfortably above both the 100-period EMA at 1.1546 and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement at 1.1579. The breakout has also lifted EUR/USD away from the 1.1537–1.1495 support area, leaving the 1.1714 Fibonacci resistance level as the next major test. Bullish Scenario If buyers can maintain control above the 1.1579 Fibonacci level and the 100-period EMA, the bullish structure remains intact. A break above 1.1714 would open the way towards the 1.1775–1.1800 resistance zone, where previous price action has repeatedly stalled. A sustained move above this area would strengthen the case for a broader recovery and suggest that the longer-term downtrend may have been decisively reversed. Bearish Scenario Conversely, a rejection at 1.1714 followed by a break below 1.1579 would weaken the current setup and expose the 100-period EMA around 1.1546, which is closely aligned with the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 1.1537. A deeper decline through this confluence would bring the 0.618 retracement at 1.1495 into focus, followed by 1.1435 and the 0.786 Fibonacci level as the next downside references. With EUR/USD testing major Fibonacci resistance after breaking above its descending trendline, the key question is whether buyers can turn the breakout into a sustained advance towards 1.1800, or whether resistance will once again send the pair back towards its key support zone.
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#EURUSD #forextrading #tradingtips #marketanalysis #MarketNews EUR/USD Analysis: Is the Dollar Rally Really Over? EUR/USD has regained ground in recent sessions, with the pair trading near 1.17 as broad-based weakness in the US dollar continues to dominate the foreign-exchange market. The main driver remains the changing monetary-policy outlook, with investors focused on whether the Federal Reserve can maintain a restrictive stance while the US economy shows signs of slowing. The dollar faces a key test this week as Fed Chair Kevin Warsh prepares to deliver his first speech at Jackson Hole on Friday. Persistent inflation and rising long-term Treasury yields could encourage a hawkish tone, particularly if Warsh signals that rate cuts in September are far from guaranteed. Conversely, weaker US growth or softer inflation data would reinforce expectations of easier monetary policy and could extend the dollar's decline. In Europe, euro-area inflation rose to 2.9% in July, keeping price pressures above the ECB's 2% target. The ECB has kept interest rates unchanged since June, but higher energy prices and renewed inflation risks could limit the scope for further easing. With EUR/USD trading near multi-month highs, the Jackson Hole symposium and upcoming US PCE inflation data could determine whether the euro can extend its advance or whether a hawkish Fed response triggers a renewed recovery in the dollar. Technical Analysis of EUR/USD As the daily EUR/USD chart shows, the pair has broken decisively above the descending trendline that had capped price action since the February highs, marking a significant shift in the medium-term structure. The pair is now trading around 1.1665, comfortably above both the 100-period EMA at 1.1546 and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement at 1.1579. The breakout has also lifted EUR/USD away from the 1.1537–1.1495 support area, leaving the 1.1714 Fibonacci resistance level as the next major test. Bullish Scenario If buyers can maintain control above the 1.1579 Fibonacci level and the 100-period EMA, the bullish structure remains intact. A break above 1.1714 would open the way towards the 1.1775–1.1800 resistance zone, where previous price action has repeatedly stalled. A sustained move above this area would strengthen the case for a broader recovery and suggest that the longer-term downtrend may have been decisively reversed. Bearish Scenario Conversely, a rejection at 1.1714 followed by a break below 1.1579 would weaken the current setup and expose the 100-period EMA around 1.1546, which is closely aligned with the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 1.1537. A deeper decline through this confluence would bring the 0.618 retracement at 1.1495 into focus, followed by 1.1435 and the 0.786 Fibonacci level as the next downside references. With EUR/USD testing major Fibonacci resistance after breaking above its descending trendline, the key question is whether buyers can turn the breakout into a sustained advance towards 1.1800, or whether resistance will once again send the pair back towards its key support zone.
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