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پستهای کانال
#EURGBP #tradingtips #forextrading #marketanalysis #MarketNews
EUR/GBP
EUR/GBP is showing signs of recovery after forming a bullish harami pattern on the daily timeframe. If market participants are disappointed by today’s Bank of England decision, the pair could extend its advance towards 0.8600–0.8620. The bullish scenario would be invalidated after a decisive break below the 0.8540–0.8560 support area.
Key events for EUR/GBP:
▪️Today at 08:30 (GMT+3): France GDP;
▪️Today at 11:00 (GMT+3): Germany GDP;
▪️Today at 15:00 (GMT+3): Germany Consumer Price Index (CPI).
Overall, the near-term direction of sterling will depend primarily on the Bank of England’s decision, the Monetary Policy Committee’s vote split and Andrew Bailey’s comments on the future outlook for interest rates. For the euro, inflation and GDP releases from the eurozone’s largest economies will remain important, as they could influence expectations for the European Central Bank’s next policy steps. With the market impact of the Fed meeting now fading, European economic data and signals from the Bank of England could become the main drivers of GBP/USD and EUR/GBP through the end of the week.
| 2 | #GBPUSD #EURGBP #forextrading #tradingtips #marketanalysis #MarketNews
GBP/USD and EUR/GBP Await Key Bank of England Decision
The pound strengthened following the outcome of the US Federal Reserve meeting, where the central bank, as expected, kept interest rates unchanged. However, the Fed did not provide the market with clear signals of an imminent shift towards rate cuts, maintaining a cautious approach to future monetary policy. Despite the Fed’s cautious tone, the dollar failed to gain fresh momentum, allowing the British currency to partially recover its recent losses.
Market attention is now almost entirely focused on the Bank of England meeting, as its decision is expected to be the main driver for sterling through the end of the week. Investors also do not expect a change in interest rates, but the key factors will be the Monetary Policy Committee’s vote split, the accompanying statement and comments from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey. Any signals regarding the timing of potential monetary policy easing could trigger notable volatility in the pound.
For the euro, today will also bring a number of important macroeconomic releases. Markets will focus on preliminary inflation and GDP data from Germany, as well as GDP and inflation figures from Spain. These reports will help investors assess the resilience of the eurozone economy and adjust expectations regarding the European Central Bank’s future actions. Stronger data could support the euro, while weaker figures may reinforce expectations of further ECB policy easing.
GBP/USD
Following yesterday’s Fed meeting, GBP/USD moved towards the 1.3400 area. A rebound from the 1.3270 support level and a sharp daily rally allowed buyers to form a bullish engulfing pattern. Technical analysis of GBP/USD points to the possibility of further gains towards 1.3440–1.3480 if the 1.3270–1.3300 range becomes established as support. A decisive move below yesterday’s low could trigger a renewed decline towards 1.3180–1.3220.
Key events for GBP/USD:
▪️Today at 14:00 (GMT+3): Bank of England interest rate decision;
▪️Today at 14:30 (GMT+3): speech by Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey;
▪️Today at 15:30 (GMT+3): US initial jobless claims. | 9 |
| 3 | #MSFT #stockmarket #stocktrading #marketanalysis #MarketNews
Microsoft Analysis: Earnings Beat Expectations
On 29 July 2026, Microsoft reported its results for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026. Revenue reached $90 billion, up 18% year-on-year, while adjusted earnings per share came in at $4.74, comfortably ahead of analysts' expectations of $4.24. The company exceeded consensus forecasts for both revenue and its cloud business, reflecting continued strong demand for AI infrastructure. The earnings release came after months of pressure on the stock, driven by investor concerns over the scale of capital expenditure required to expand Microsoft's cloud and AI capabilities.
Technical Analysis of Microsoft
Since the beginning of June, the MSFT chart has developed a clear short-term downtrend. After peaking near $465, the stock declined sharply along a descending trendline before finding support around $350 on 25 June. An unusually large bullish trading volume was recorded during the rebound from this area.
Since then, the stock has entered a recovery phase and is now trading between the POC (Point of Control) at $389.5 and the upper boundary of the current market profile at $400.5. The $405 resistance level sits just above the profile boundary and could reinforce resistance in this area.
Below the current price, two nearby support levels stand out: the lower boundary of the profile at $373.5 and the support level at $367. The RSI + MAs indicator currently shows readings of 50, 49 and 50, with all three values positioned in the middle of the neutral zone. Such a configuration is typically associated with a period of consolidation before the market develops its next directional move.
Summary
The near-term performance of Microsoft shares is likely to depend more on how investors reassess the company's recently reported operating results than on the reaction to individual technical levels. For now, the debate surrounding capital expenditure on AI infrastructure remains the dominant fundamental theme shaping market sentiment. | 11 |
| 4 | #EURUSD #forextrading #tradingtips #marketanalysis
EUR/USD: All Eyes on the Fed as the Range Reaches Its Breaking Point
The dollar's next move hinges on tonight's Fed decision, and this time markets genuinely don't know what to expect. While economists still lean toward a hold—with CME FedWatch odds sitting near 68.5% for no change—Kevin Warsh's hawkish rhetoric on having "no tolerance" for inflation, paired with growing internal FOMC support for a hike, has pushed hike odds up sharply from just 18% two weeks ago to over 30% today. Complicating things further, Warsh has deliberately scaled back forward guidance, meaning tonight's press conference may offer fewer clues than usual.
The euro, meanwhile, has already had its say: the ECB held rates steady at 2.25% last Thursday, as expected, with Lagarde reaffirming the 2% target while flagging that energy-driven inflation risks from the Middle East conflict have yet to fully play out. Eurozone inflation cooled to 2.8% in June, but sticky services inflation near 3.5–4% keeps the door only cautiously open for a September move in either direction.
With EUR/USD trading near 1.1408, tonight's Fed decision—not the ECB—is what will likely determine the pair's next major direction.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
As the EUR/USD chart shows, the pair has been consolidating within a defined range since late June, squeezed between an ascending trendline and a descending trendline, both converging around the current price near 1.1400. The 200-period EMA continues to slope lower above price, reinforcing a cautious backdrop ahead of tonight's Fed decision.
Bullish Scenario
Should the dollar weaken on a dovish Fed outcome, price would need to break above the converging trendlines and reclaim the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement near 1.1420, with the 200-period EMA just above acting as the next key test. A confirmed break above the EMA would open the path towards the 0.5 and 0.618 retracements near 1.1480–1.1500, where stronger resistance has capped rallies since late June.
Bearish Scenario
Conversely, a hawkish surprise—or even a hike—could send the euro sharply lower, breaking both the ascending trendline and the psychological 1.1360 support level. A confirmed break here would expose the 1.1320 zone, the 0.0 Fibonacci level marking the origin of the entire recovery move, with further downside risk towards fresh multi-week lows if selling pressure accelerates.
With price coiled right at the intersection of both trendlines and the Fed decision just hours away, EUR/USD looks primed for a decisive move. Will the dollar reassert its dominance, or will the euro finally break free of this range? | 15 |
| 5 | #EURUSD #forextrading #tradingtips #marketanalysis
EUR/USD: All Eyes on the Fed as the Range Reaches Its Breaking Point
The dollar's next move hinges on tonight's Fed decision, and this time markets genuinely don't know what to expect. While economists still lean toward a hold—with CME FedWatch odds sitting near 68.5% for no change—Kevin Warsh's hawkish rhetoric on having "no tolerance" for inflation, paired with growing internal FOMC support for a hike, has pushed hike odds up sharply from just 18% two weeks ago to over 30% today. Complicating things further, Warsh has deliberately scaled back forward guidance, meaning tonight's press conference may offer fewer clues than usual.
The euro, meanwhile, has already had its say: the ECB held rates steady at 2.25% last Thursday, as expected, with Lagarde reaffirming the 2% target while flagging that energy-driven inflation risks from the Middle East conflict have yet to fully play out. Eurozone inflation cooled to 2.8% in June, but sticky services inflation near 3.5–4% keeps the door only cautiously open for a September move in either direction.
With EUR/USD trading near 1.1408, tonight's Fed decision—not the ECB—is what will likely determine the pair's next major direction.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
As the EUR/USD chart shows, the pair has been consolidating within a defined range since late June, squeezed between an ascending trendline and a descending trendline, both converging around the current price near 1.1400. The 200-period EMA continues to slope lower above price, reinforcing a cautious backdrop ahead of tonight's Fed decision.
Bullish Scenario
Should the dollar weaken on a dovish Fed outcome, price would need to break above the converging trendlines and reclaim the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement near 1.1420, with the 200-period EMA just above acting as the next key test. A confirmed break above the EMA would open the path towards the 0.5 and 0.618 retracements near 1.1480–1.1500, where stronger resistance has capped rallies since late June.
Bearish Scenario
Conversely, a hawkish surprise—or even a hike—could send the euro sharply lower, breaking both the ascending trendline and the psychological 1.1360 support level. A confirmed break here would expose the 1.1320 zone, the 0.0 Fibonacci level marking the origin of the entire recovery move, with further downside risk towards fresh multi-week lows if selling pressure accelerates.
With price coiled right at the intersection of both trendlines and the Fed decision just hours away, EUR/USD looks primed for a decisive move. Will the dollar reassert its dominance, or will the euro finally break free of this range? | 1 |
| 6 | #USDCAD #forextrading #marketanalysis
USD/CAD
USD/CAD's recovery following the formation of a bullish engulfing pattern has stalled near resistance at 1.4130. The pair is currently consolidating within the 1.4060–1.4130 range. A decisive break above the upper boundary of this range could pave the way for further gains towards 1.4160–1.4200. Conversely, a move below 1.4060 could lead to a retest of the recent low near 1.4000.
Key events for USD/CAD:
Today at 17:30 (GMT+3): US crude oil inventories;
Today at 20:30 (GMT+3): Bank of Canada Summary of Deliberations;
Tomorrow at 15:30 (GMT+3): US GDP data.
Overall, the near-term direction of both USD/JPY and USD/CAD will depend primarily on the Federal Reserve's decision and its guidance on the future path of interest rates. A more hawkish stance could support a breakout above nearby resistance levels and reinforce the US dollar's strength. Conversely, a more dovish message could trigger a correction in the greenback, particularly against the Japanese yen, where the proximity of multi-year highs increases the likelihood of renewed warnings from Japanese officials. For USD/CAD, oil price movements and the Bank of Canada's Summary of Deliberations will remain important additional drivers. | 14 |
| 7 | #USDJPY #USDCAD #forextrading #tradingtips #marketanalysis #MarketNews
USD/JPY and USD/CAD Test Resistance Ahead of Fresh Fed Signals
The US dollar continues to hold the upper hand against most major currencies ahead of the outcome of the latest Federal Reserve meeting. While the base-case scenario remains for interest rates to stay unchanged, markets are also pricing in the possibility of a rate hike. The Fed's decision, together with its comments on inflation, economic conditions and the future path of monetary policy, could determine the direction of the US dollar over the coming weeks.
Another factor supporting the dollar is the ongoing geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East. Despite the temporary suspension of US strikes on Iran and renewed diplomatic efforts, the risk of further military escalation remains, prompting investors to remain cautious ahead of this week's key events. Geopolitical uncertainty continues to underpin demand for the US dollar as a safe-haven asset. At the same time, USD/JPY's approach towards multi-year highs has increased expectations of fresh warnings from Japanese authorities and raised the risk of currency intervention. For USD/CAD, oil prices remain another important driver: weaker crude prices continue to limit support for the Canadian dollar and help preserve the pair's bullish potential.
USD/JPY
USD/JPY tested another multi-year high near 164.00 last week. Following the strong rally, the pair has entered a modest pullback. However, if the Federal Reserve delivers a more hawkish outcome or maintains its hawkish tone, the pair could extend its advance towards 165.00–165.50. A decisive move below 163.30 could trigger a deeper correction towards the 162.00–162.60 support area.
Key events for USD/JPY:
▪️Today at 21:00 (GMT+3): US Federal Reserve interest rate decision;
▪️Today at 21:30 (GMT+3): Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) press conference;
▪️Tomorrow at 15:30 (GMT+3): US Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index. | 12 |
| 8 | #AMZN #stockmarket #stocks #marketanalysis #MarketNews
Amazon Earnings: Does the Chart Already Know Something the Numbers Don't?
All eyes are on July 30, when Amazon reports Q2 2026 earnings, with Wall Street increasingly convinced the bar has been set too low. Consensus sees EPS near $1.82-$2.26 on roughly $197 billion in revenue, but the real story is AWS: after posting its fastest growth in 15 quarters at 28% in Q1, several major banks—including Bank of America—now expect acceleration toward 32-33%, fueled by surging AI demand and Bedrock workloads tied to Anthropic and OpenAI.
That optimism comes with a catch. Amazon's $200 billion AI capex plan has already squeezed free cash flow to just $1.2 billion, and investors will be watching closely for any further guidance hike, following similar moves from Alphabet. Options markets are pricing a 6.3% swing on earnings day, above the stock's typical 5.4% post-earnings move, signaling traders expect this report to matter more than usual.
With shares up roughly 18% year-to-date and trading at a below-average forward multiple, the setup favors strength—but only if AWS growth and margin guidance clear an already demanding bar.
Technical Analysis of Amazon
As the chart shows, Amazon stock has pulled back from April's highs near $280 within a broader ascending channel, with price now testing the confluence of the rising trendline and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement near $225-$230—precisely where Thursday's earnings could prove decisive.
Bullish Scenario
Should Amazon deliver on the AWS acceleration Wall Street is now pricing in, a strong earnings beat could fuel a bounce off this trendline-Fibonacci confluence. A confirmed reclaim of the 0.5 retracement near $240, followed by a push back above the 0.382 level around $248, would put the broader uptrend firmly back in play, opening the door toward a retest of the channel's upper boundary and the April highs.
Bearish Scenario
Conversely, a disappointing report—particularly around capex guidance or AWS margins—could send price breaking below both the ascending trendline and the 0.618 retracement. That would expose the deeper 0.786 level near $215, with a more severe reaction potentially dragging price back toward the $200 psychological support that has held since April.
With earnings landing squarely on this technical crossroads, AMZN stock’s next move could be one of the most consequential of the summer—will AWS's AI story be enough to reignite the rally, or does the chart already know something the numbers don't? | 20 |
| 9 | #oilprices #commodities #marketanalysis #MarketNews #WTI
WTI Analysis: Gap Breaks Short-Term Trend as Price Remains Trapped Between the POC and Profile Boundary
WTI crude oil plunged by more than 7% on 27 July 2026 after the US suspended a series of strikes against Iran over the weekend, raising hopes of a diplomatic solution and the reopening of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, according to CNBC. Brent crude also fell below $90 per barrel. Meanwhile, Bloomberg reported that Yemen's Houthi movement had claimed attacks on Saudi Aramco facilities in Jizan and Yanbu, suggesting that the conflict remains far from resolved.
WTI Technical Analysis
Since the beginning of July, XTIUSD had been developing a short-term uptrend. A rebound from the $68 area on 2 July evolved into a sustained rally, supported by an ascending trendline. This trendline held until the market peaked near $94.2, but it was broken on 27 July following a sharp gap lower. Since then, the price has been attempting to move through two key levels within the current market profile: the POC at $84.7 and the lower profile boundary at $82.7. If this area fails to hold and the decline continues, the green support level at $80.5 could become increasingly important. Notably, the gap occurred on relatively modest trading volume considering the scale of the price move.
Above current levels lies the upper boundary of the market profile at $90.3, which could become the next upside target if the market reverses. Beyond that, traders will be watching the red resistance level at $94.2. The RSI + MAs indicator currently reads 36, 55 and 60, suggesting that the market remains unbalanced and is still searching for equilibrium.
Summary
The relatively low trading volume accompanying the gap suggests that the sell-off may have been driven largely by emotion, leaving room for buyers to return if the geopolitical risk premium begins to rebuild. For now, oil prices remain confined to a narrow range between the POC and the lower boundary of the market profile, where momentum for the next significant move may be building. | 17 |
| 10 | #DXY #stockmarket #stocks #marketanalysis #MarketNews
US Dollar Index: A Defining Week for the King of the Markets
The dollar heads into a pivotal week trading near 101.80, just off a 15-month high, with the Fed's July 29 meeting standing as the clear focal point. Markets currently price roughly a 65% chance of a hold, though renewed Middle East escalation has kept a hike back on the table for later this year. Energy remains the wildcard: the collapse of the Iran ceasefire and blockades affecting Persian Gulf shipping lanes have pushed oil higher, reigniting inflation concerns that could complicate the Fed's messaging.
Adding to the uncertainty, private-sector hiring has slowed for a fourth straight week according to ADP data, even as jobless claims fell to a two-month low, painting a genuinely mixed labor picture. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's Congressional testimony offered little directional clarity, reaffirming a commitment to price stability without tipping the committee's hand.
With the ECB decision now behind markets and flash PMI data already digested, all eyes turn to Wednesday's Fed decision as the week's true catalyst, one capable of resolving—or extending—the dollar's recent indecision.
Technical Analysis of the DXY
The coming week carries real technical weight, with the DXY caught in a hotly contested zone between 100.00 and 102.00. The Fed's rate decision, and the volatility it brings, could well define the dollar's path over the near to medium term.
Bullish Scenario
After a rough start to 2026, the DXY rebounded sharply from January's 96-97 support, gaining roughly 6% since then. Having recently broken and held above the psychological 100.00 level, price now sits supported by both an ascending trendline and the 50-period EMA. A confirmed break above 102.00 would open the path toward 103-104, and eventually 106-107.
Bearish Scenario
The index is currently struggling at the 102.00 resistance. A rejection here, breaking the ascending trendline while respecting the longer-term descending trendline from 2025's highs, would send price back to retest the critical 100.00 zone—and potentially, on a deeper break, all the way back to the 96-97 support.
With the Fed's decision now just days away, the dollar finds itself standing exactly where it needs to: at the edge of a decision. Whether the DXY breaks free toward fresh highs or slips back into its earlier struggles, this week's outcome won't just move the greenback—it will set the tone for every asset priced against it heading into autumn. | 19 |
| 11 | #DXY #stockmarket #stocks #marketanalysis #MarketNews
US Dollar Index: A Defining Week for the King of the Markets
The dollar heads into a pivotal week trading near 101.80, just off a 15-month high, with the Fed's July 29 meeting standing as the clear focal point. Markets currently price roughly a 65% chance of a hold, though renewed Middle East escalation has kept a hike back on the table for later this year. Energy remains the wildcard: the collapse of the Iran ceasefire and blockades affecting Persian Gulf shipping lanes have pushed oil higher, reigniting inflation concerns that could complicate the Fed's messaging.
Adding to the uncertainty, private-sector hiring has slowed for a fourth straight week according to ADP data, even as jobless claims fell to a two-month low, painting a genuinely mixed labor picture. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's Congressional testimony offered little directional clarity, reaffirming a commitment to price stability without tipping the committee's hand.
With the ECB decision now behind markets and flash PMI data already digested, all eyes turn to Wednesday's Fed decision as the week's true catalyst, one capable of resolving—or extending—the dollar's recent indecision.
Technical Analysis of the DXY
The coming week carries real technical weight, with the DXY caught in a hotly contested zone between 100.00 and 102.00. The Fed's rate decision, and the volatility it brings, could well define the dollar's path over the near to medium term.
Bullish Scenario
After a rough start to 2026, the DXY rebounded sharply from January's 96-97 support, gaining roughly 6% since then. Having recently broken and held above the psychological 100.00 level, price now sits supported by both an ascending trendline and the 50-period EMA. A confirmed break above 102.00 would open the path toward 103-104, and eventually 106-107.
Bearish Scenario
The index is currently struggling at the 102.00 resistance. A rejection here, breaking the ascending trendline while respecting the longer-term descending trendline from 2025's highs, would send price back to retest the critical 100.00 zone—and potentially, on a deeper break, all the way back to the 96-97 support.
With the Fed's decision now just days away, the dollar finds itself standing exactly where it needs to: at the edge of a decision. Whether the DXY breaks free toward fresh highs or slips back into its earlier struggles, this week's outcome won't just move the greenback—it will set the tone for every asset priced against it heading into autumn. | 2 |
| 12 | #NZDUSD #forextrading #tradingforex #marketanalysis #MarketNews
NZD/USD: Inflation Surge Meets Strong US Dollar Pressure
On 21 July, Stats NZ reported an acceleration in inflation: the Consumer Price Index rose 1.5% in the second quarter, while the annual inflation rate climbed to 4.1%, its highest level in more than two years and slightly above analysts' consensus forecast of 4.0%. The increase was driven primarily by higher fuel prices amid tensions in the Middle East. The data was released after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised the official cash rate to 2.50% on 8 July, reinforcing expectations of further monetary tightening in September. However, the impact proved short-lived, as escalating tensions between the US and Iran boosted demand for the US dollar as a safe-haven asset, causing the New Zealand dollar to surrender part of its recent gains during the second half of the week.
Technical Outlook
On the four-hour chart, NZD/USD has been developing a short-term uptrend since 26 June, with a trendline forming as the pair advanced towards 0.5870, where resistance emerged. The pair subsequently broke below the trendline, fell beneath the lower boundary of the current market profile and declined to the 0.5765 area, where the green support level is now located. Following a rebound from this zone, the pair moved on to test the lower boundary of the market profile at 0.5810. If this level holds and the price turns lower, the green support at 0.5765 could provide support. Should the pair continue to rise, attention may return to the POC area at 0.5840.
It is worth noting the close proximity of the upper boundary of the market profile at 0.5860 and the red resistance zone at 0.5870, making this a potentially strong resistance area. The RSI + MAs indicator currently reads 46, 37 and 46. It is also worth noting that the slower moving average has yet to leave the neutral zone, while the RSI briefly entered oversold territory before returning to neutral, casting doubt on the strength of the current breakout.
Summary
The pair's near-term direction will likely depend on whether sellers can defend the lower boundary of the market profile. From a fundamental perspective, interest in the pair will hinge on whether the support provided by the stronger US dollar amid tensions in the Middle East proves more durable than the positive impact of New Zealand's unexpectedly strong inflation data. | 24 |
| 13 | #Forex #Stocks #FinancialMarkets #Fed #Inflation
Weekly Market Insights with Gary Thomson: The Week of Central Banks and Earnings
In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events and market trends, shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for insights into financial markets to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the most critical events driving global markets.
👉 Key topics covered in this episode:
🔸Fed Interest Rate Decision — 29 July, 09:00 PM GMT+3
The Federal Reserve is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged. Investors will be watching Kevin Warsh's comments for fresh clues on inflation, the labour market and the outlook for monetary policy. Could the Fed's guidance have a greater impact than the rate decision itself?
🔸 Bank of England Interest Rate Decision — 30 July, 02:00 PM GMT+3
Markets also expect the Bank of England to keep rates on hold. With inflation easing but oil prices creating fresh uncertainty, markets will focus on the MPC's voting split and any signals about future interest rate decisions.
🔸 US PCE Price Index — 30 July, 03:30 PM GMT+3
The Fed's preferred inflation gauge could reshape expectations for interest rates, despite being released after the Fed meeting. Will inflation continue to cool, or could an upside surprise revive expectations of tighter monetary policy?
🔸 Microsoft, Meta, Apple & Amazon Earnings
Big Tech earnings will test whether record AI spending is beginning to translate into stronger business performance. Investors will be looking beyond headline results for signs that AI investments are delivering measurable returns.
The combination of central bank decisions, inflation data and Big Tech earnings could drive significant moves across currencies, equity indices and technology stocks as markets head into August.
In this environment, traders closely monitor incoming data, being flexible and getting ready for short-term volatility.
Gain insights to strengthen your trading knowledge.
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This video represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice. | 39 |
| 14 | #intel #stockmarket #stocktrading #marketanalysis #MarketNews
Intel at a Crossroads: Earnings Beat Meets Technical Resistance
Intel has just delivered its strongest quarter in over fifteen years, and the market reaction says it all. Q2 2026 revenue surged 25% year-over-year to $16.1 billion, crushing the consensus estimate of $14.42 billion, while adjusted EPS of $0.42 nearly doubled the expected $0.21. The stock rallied over 12% in after-hours trading following the release.
The engine behind the beat was unmistakably AI: Intel's Data Center and AI segment jumped 59% year-over-year to $6.3 billion, with the company saying demand is now outpacing what its factories can supply. CEO Lip-Bu Tan pointed to faster production cycles and improved yields as key drivers behind the upside, while CFO Dave Zinsner said the company exceeded its guidance thanks to stronger execution.
There was a notable asterisk, however: Intel posted a GAAP net loss of $11 billion, driven by a $12.5 billion mark-to-market charge tied to its CHIPS Act agreement—a technical, non-operational hit that markets largely looked past. Looking ahead, Intel raised its Q3 guidance to a $16.3 billion midpoint, reinforcing confidence that this AI-driven turnaround has real momentum behind it.
Intel Technical Analysis
As the INTC stock chart shows, the explosive rally from March's lows near $40 to July's highs above $140 has since cooled into a broad falling wedge, with price now consolidating around the $100 level, sitting right between the 0.382 and 0.5 Fibonacci retracements of the entire move.
Bullish Scenario
Following yesterday's blowout earnings, price is testing the confluence of the descending trendline from the July highs and the 0.382 retracement near $108. A confirmed breakout above this zone would suggest buyers are back in control, opening the path toward a retest of the wedge highs near $130-$140 as fresh momentum builds following the earnings catalyst.
Bearish Scenario
Conversely, a rejection at this same trendline-Fibonacci confluence would keep the price capped within the wedge, increasing the odds of a deeper pullback toward the 0.5 retracement near $94, or even the rising trendline support closer to $85-$90 if selling pressure intensifies and the earnings pop fades.
With price wedged directly between trendline resistance and key Fibonacci support, Intel's next move looks set to be decisive. Will the earnings beat be enough to reignite the rally, or does the broader correction still have room to run? | 33 |
| 15 | #tsla #stockmarket #stocks #MarketNews #marketanalysis
Tesla: Complex Range Structure Breaks Down Following Quarterly Earnings
Tesla released its Q2 2026 results after the market closed on 22 July. Revenue increased 26% year-on-year to $28.24 billion, while vehicle deliveries reached a record 480,126 units. However, operating margin fell sharply to 1.4%, down from 4.1% a year earlier, and operating income declined 57% to $398 million. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $0.33, missing analysts' consensus estimates. Free cash flow also turned negative as capital expenditure surged, driven by investment in AI, Robotaxi, and Optimus projects.
Technical Analysis
On the 4-hour chart of TSLA, the price has formed a complex sideways trading structure following this year's short-term uptrend. On 23 July, the market reacted sharply to the earnings release, with the stock opening significantly lower in a high-volume gap down, breaking below the lower boundary of the current trading range. The price is now moving lower towards the important $300 support level.
The chart also shows that the price has fallen below the current market profile, which consists of the following levels: the lower boundary at $389, the Point of Control (POC) at $395, and the upper boundary at $431. These levels could attract renewed market interest should the trend reverse. Above the profile, resistance is located at $452, which could become the next significant barrier if the price recovers above the profile.
The RSI + MAs indicator currently shows readings of 20, 36, and 41. The gap between the moving averages remains significant, the averages are coloured red and have moved out of the uncertainty zone, indicating persistent bearish momentum. At the same time, the RSI has entered oversold territory.
Key Takeaways
Tesla's quarterly results highlighted a sharp contrast between record revenue and a significant deterioration in profitability, shifting investors' focus from sales growth to weakening margins. From a technical perspective, the stock has broken below its established trading range, while the RSI remains in oversold territory without yet showing clear signs of a reversal. | 26 |
| 16 | #GOOGL #stockmarket #stocktrading #MarketNews #marketanalysis
Alphabet: Record Profit as Markets Await Their Verdict
On 22 July, Alphabet reported its Q2 2026 results, with revenue rising 24% year-on-year to $119.8 billion. Google Cloud revenue surged 82% to $24.77 billion, comfortably exceeding analysts' expectations. Search advertising generated $63.3 billion in revenue (+17%), while YouTube revenue increased 13% to $11.06 billion. Net income nearly quadrupled to $112.11 billion. However, according to the company's financial statements, almost all of the increase was driven by unrealised revaluation gains on its private investments in Anthropic and SpaceX rather than by underlying operating performance. Meanwhile, quarterly capital expenditure doubled from a year earlier to $44.9 billion, reflecting continued investment in AI data centre infrastructure.
Technical Analysis
On the 4-hour chart of Alphabet (GOOGL Class A on FXOpen), a short-term bearish structure developed after the price reached the $404 area on 18 May. The decline lost momentum near $334. Following the reversal, the price attempted to break the trendline on 6 July but failed to move beyond the current market profile range. After another rejection from the upper boundary of the profile around $372, the stock turned lower and is now trading between the Point of Control (POC) at $355 and the lower edge of the profile near $337.
The red resistance zone around $391 could limit any recovery attempt, while continued selling pressure may shift attention towards the green support area near $329. The RSI + Moving Averages indicator currently shows readings of 39, 48, and 47. Although the RSI remains below the moving averages, the averages themselves are still coloured green and positioned in the middle of the neutral zone, suggesting that momentum remains inconclusive. Vertical volume has been relatively moderate since the price broke below the trendline, reinforcing the current lack of directional conviction.
Key Takeaways
Despite reporting a sharp increase in net income, Alphabet's share price reaction has been relatively muted. Strong performances from Google Cloud and Search were partly offset by the fact that most of the profit growth came from a one-off investment revaluation rather than core operations. As a result, fundamental developments may continue to have a greater influence on the stock than the current technical picture in the near term. | 30 |
| 17 | #GBPUSD #forextrading #tradingtips #marketanalysis
GBP/USD
GBP/USD is undergoing a bearish pullback after buyers failed to establish a foothold above 1.3500. A bearish harami pattern has also formed on the daily chart, increasing the likelihood of another test of the nearby support zone at 1.3320–1.3340. The bearish scenario would only be invalidated by a decisive close above 1.3400.
Key events for GBP/USD:
▪️Today at 13:00 (GMT+3): UK CBI Industrial Trends Orders
▪️Today at 15:30 (GMT+3): US Initial Jobless Claims
▪️Tomorrow at 11:30 (GMT+3): UK Flash Manufacturing PMI
Summary
Sterling remains under pressure following softer UK inflation data, while the euro continues to consolidate as traders await fresh economic signals from the eurozone. Over the coming days, the preliminary PMI releases are likely to be the main catalysts for European currencies, as they could reshape expectations for future policy decisions by both the European Central Bank and the Bank of England. US macroeconomic data and developments in the Middle East are also expected to remain important drivers of market sentiment. | 23 |
| 18 | #EURUSD #GBPUSD #forextrading #tradingtips #marketanalysis #MarketNews
Pound Weakens After Soft UK Inflation Data as Euro Awaits Fresh Market Signals
The pound remains under pressure following the release of weaker-than-expected UK inflation data. The slowdown in inflation has strengthened expectations that the Bank of England could adopt a more accommodative policy stance in the coming months, weighing on sterling. Meanwhile, the euro continues to trade within a relatively narrow range as investors await fresh signals from the eurozone economy.
Market participants also remain cautious due to the ongoing escalation of tensions in the Middle East. The United States continues to carry out strikes on targets in Iran, supporting demand for traditional refuge assets, including the US dollar, and limiting the recovery potential of European currencies.
Attention in the coming days will focus on the preliminary Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) releases from Germany, France, the United Kingdom, and the eurozone, which will provide an early assessment of economic conditions at the start of the third quarter. The data are particularly important for the euro, as they could influence expectations for the European Central Bank's next policy moves. Stronger-than-expected figures may support the single currency, while weaker readings could reinforce expectations of further ECB policy easing. In addition, the weekly US initial jobless claims report will provide another update on the health of the US labour market.
EUR/USD
EUR/USD has entered a consolidation phase after failing to test the key resistance level at 1.1500. Technical analysis suggests the pair could decline towards the 1.1330–1.1370 area, as a bearish harami pattern has formed on the daily timeframe. A renewed upward correction may become more likely only after a decisive break and close above 1.1500.
Key events for EUR/USD:
▪️Today at 09:45 (GMT+3): France Flash PMI
▪️Today at 10:20 (GMT+3): Speech by Bundesbank Executive Board member Sabine Mauderer
▪️Tomorrow at 10:00 (GMT+3): Germany GfK Consumer Climate Index | 21 |
| 19 |  بدون متن... | 38 |
| 20 | #NZDUSD #forextrading #tradingtips #marketanalysis #MarketNews
NZD/USD Analysis: A Tug-of-War at the Critical Level
The kiwi has strengthened meaningfully against most peers this month. However, against the US dollar specifically, NZD/USD remains well below its 2026 highs, trading in the mid-0.58 area versus January's peak near 0.6075.
New Zealand's Q2 inflation data, released this week, blew past expectations: annual CPI accelerated to 4.1%, above both forecasts and the RBNZ's own 3.9% projection, reinforcing the case for further tightening after the central bank's surprise hike to 2.50% earlier in July—its first in over three years.
The dollar side of the equation remains the real wildcard. June's payrolls report badly missed expectations, coming in at just 57,000, with prior months revised sharply lower, undercutting the Fed's near-term tightening case despite still-sticky core inflation near 2.9%. Markets currently assign roughly even odds to a September hike, leaving NZD/USD's next move hostage to next week's Fed decision and any further escalation in Middle East tensions.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
As the 4-hour chart shows, NZD/USD has arrived at a genuinely pivotal zone around 0.5850, a level that has repeatedly flipped between support and resistance throughout the year. Currently acting as resistance, this area has become the focal point of a tug-of-war that has now played out for several sessions.
Bullish Scenario
After bouncing from the medium-term support at 0.5600–0.5650, price staged a decisive recovery, breaking above the 200-period EMA and successfully retesting it as new support, all while forming a clear pattern of higher highs and higher lows. This strength has been reinforced by supportive central bank rhetoric and macro data favoring the kiwi. A confirmed break above 0.5850, coinciding with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the late-June decline, would open the path toward the next resistance and psychological level at 0.6000.
Bearish Scenario
A rejection at this critical zone, however, would hand momentum back to sellers, sending price first toward a retest of the 200-period EMA near 0.5781. A break below that level would expose the well-defended 0.5600 support once again.
With the Fed decision looming and price sitting at such a decisive technical juncture, NZD/USD looks set for a significant move next week. Can the kiwi withstand the coming dollar volatility? | 33 |
