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Посты канала
#AMZN #Amazon #stocktrading #stockmarket #MarketNews #AI
Amazon: New Bond Issuance to Fund AI Infrastructure
On 7 July, Amazon announced an eight-tranche bond offering worth at least $25 billion, with the proceeds expected to finance the construction of data centres and the expansion of its artificial intelligence infrastructure. Investor demand peaked at $62 billion, highlighting strong appetite for debt issued by major technology companies. Amazon has planned $200 billion in capital expenditure for 2026, up from $131 billion in 2025, with the majority of spending allocated to data centres, AI chips, and related infrastructure.
Technical Outlook
Following its May high near $278, AMZN shares (H4 timeframe) spent the next two months trading in a short-term downtrend, eventually falling to a low around $226. From that level, the stock reversed on strong volume, broke above the descending trendline, and recovered to current levels, signalling a shift in market sentiment.
However, after the breakout, the price consolidated within the current Market Profile, between the Point of Control (POC) at $241 and the profile's upper boundary at $246.50. If the breakout continues to develop, the resistance area around $256 could become the next significant hurdle for buyers.
Should the price move lower and break below the lower edge of the profile at $235.50, support could emerge near the $226 level. The RSI + MAs indicator currently shows readings of 54, 54, and 48, all within neutral territory and without a clear directional bias. Although the moving averages remain green, the RSI continues to move sideways, reflecting a lack of strong momentum.
Summary
The recovery from the June low, supported by rising trading volume and a break above the trendline, has so far failed to push beyond the current Market Profile range. With the RSI + MAs remaining in neutral territory, the overall technical picture remains mixed. The stock's next move may depend on whether investors remain confident that Amazon's substantial AI investments will generate sufficient returns to offset its rising debt burden.
| 2 | #USDCAD #forextrading #MarketVolatility #marketanalysis
USD/CAD: One Trendline Away From Deciding the Next Move
After several strongly positive weeks, USD/CAD has stalled over the past few sessions, entering a phase of uncertainty.
On the dollar side, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has struck a firm tone, reaffirming the 2% inflation target and pushing back against political pressure to cut rates, while sticky PCE inflation near 4% keeps hike odds alive for September. Yet June payrolls came in softer and speculative USD positioning looks stretched, raising doubts on how much further the rally can extend. Markets will also watch upcoming US CPI and PPI releases closely, as either gauge could reinforce the Fed hike case or, if softer, cap dollar strength.
The loonie's story is similarly mixed. Canada's June jobs report beat expectations, reducing the odds of a BoC cut, yet the currency remains capped by falling oil prices, subdued inflation, and unresolved CUSMA trade uncertainty. Two currencies face both genuine support and headwinds, leaving USD/CAD hostage to this week's BoC decision and incoming US data—a backdrop that aligns well with what the chart itself is showing.
USD/CAD Technical analysis
As the 4H chart shows, USD/CAD has traded within a well-defined ascending channel since May's lows, and is now consolidating just below recent swing highs. The Fibonacci retracement drawn from that low to the July high offers a useful reference for the levels ahead.
Bullish Scenario
As long as price holds above the ascending trendline and defends the former resistance, now turned support, in the 1.4100 area, the broader uptrend structure remains firmly intact, and this pause looks far more like healthy consolidation than an early reversal signal. A confirmed bounce off the trendline, followed by a decisive push back above the recent swing high near the 1.4250 area, would validate continued bullish control and open the way for USD/CAD to extend its rally into fresh highs for the move, keeping the dollar's medium-term strength against the loonie firmly in place.
Bearish Scenario
A clean, sustained break below the ascending trendline would mark the first real technical warning sign, shifting near-term momentum decisively lower. In that case, the 0.382 and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement levels would become the first meaningful support tests, coinciding with the psychological 1.3900-1.4000 range. Losing these levels could expose a deeper slide towards the 0.618 retracement—an area that would confirm a genuine correction of the entire May-to-July rally rather than a simple pullback, and would put the pair's medium-term bullish structure into serious question.
With price sitting right on the ascending trendline, the coming sessions could prove decisive in determining where USD/CAD heads next. | 10 |
| 3 | #Forex #Trading #USD #FederalReserve #Inflation #GBPUSD #EarningsSeason #StockMarket
Weekly Market Insights with Gary Thomson: US Inflation, UK GDP, Chair Warsh Testimony, and Earnings
In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events and market trends, shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for insights into financial markets to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in!
In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the most critical events driving global markets.
👉 Key topics covered in this episode:
🔸US Inflation Rate — 14 July, 3:30 PM GMT+3
Investors are closely watching the latest US inflation report, as it could influence expectations for the Federal Reserve’s next policy decisions. A stronger-than-expected reading may revive expectations of tighter monetary policy and support the US dollar, while softer data could reinforce expectations that rates will remain unchanged for longer.
🔸 Fed Chair Warsh Testimony — 14–15 July
Market attention is turning to Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s first congressional testimony, where investors will look for fresh signals on interest rates, inflation and the economic outlook. Any shift in tone or unexpected comments could drive volatility across currencies, gold and US equities.
🔸 UK GDP Data — 16 July, 9:00 AM GMT+3
The latest UK GDP figures will provide insight into the strength of the British economy and could affect expectations for future Bank of England policy. With sterling already under pressure against the US dollar, any surprise in economic growth data may trigger increased volatility across GBP pairs.
🔸 US Earnings Season
The start of the US earnings season will offer an early look at corporate performance, with major banks reporting results. Investor focus will be on credit demand, consumer activity and the overall health of the US economy, with financial sector results potentially setting the tone for broader equity markets.
Gain insights to strengthen your trading knowledge.
https://cutt.ly/mywcmq3V
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. You can find the full disclaimer here: www.fxopen.com.
⚠️
This video represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice. | 21 |
| 4 | #AUD #forextrading #tradingtips #marketanalysis #MarketNews
Australian Dollar Holds Above the Current Market Profile
The minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) June meeting, released on 30 June, suggested that policymakers are not yet ready to rule out further policy tightening. Board members noted persistent excess demand and broad-based inflationary pressures across the economy, leaving the door open for another interest rate increase if required. Against this backdrop, the interest rate differential between Australia and the United States continues to support the Australian dollar, particularly as markets have scaled back expectations for further tightening by the Fed in the coming months. This combination of a relatively hawkish RBA and a more cautious Fed has helped underpin demand for the Australian dollar, although further macroeconomic data from both economies will likely be needed to reinforce this trend.
Technical Picture
On the 4-hour chart, AUD/USD recovered after declining from the 0.7080 area to June lows near 0.6865. During the rebound, the pair broke above its descending trendline, which some market participants may interpret as a sign that the previous downtrend has come to an end.
The pair is currently trading above the upper boundary of the current market profile at 0.6930 and is approaching the local high around 0.6960. Below the current price lies the Point of Control (POC) at approximately 0.6896, followed by the lower boundary of the market profile at 0.6887. This area could be viewed by buyers as a potential support zone.
Beneath this range sits the green support level 0.6865, representing the next significant reference point should a deeper correction develop. The RSI + MAs indicator remains close to the equilibrium zone, with readings of 55, 51, and 53. The moving averages are broadly flat, suggesting a lack of strong momentum and indicating that the market may be pausing before choosing its next direction.
Summary
The pair's position above the market profile and the break of the descending trendline may be viewed as supportive for buyers. However, the approach towards the 0.6960 resistance area could limit further gains unless additional fundamental catalysts emerge. | 15 |
| 5 | #EURUSD #GBPUSD #forextrading #tradingtips #marketanalysis
GBP/USD
GBP/USD continues to outperform, extending its recovery after rebounding from the 1.3160–1.3200 support zone. Sterling has regained ground towards 1.3400, reflecting continued short-term buying interest. A sustained move above 1.3400 could pave the way for further gains towards 1.3460–1.3500. Conversely, a decisive break below 1.3320 would invalidate the current bullish outlook.
Key events for GBP/USD:
▪️Today, 13:00 (GMT+3): UK Thomson Reuters/Ipsos Primary Consumer Sentiment Index (PCSI)
▪️Today, 16:00 (GMT+3): Speech by FOMC member John Williams
▪️Today, 20:30 (GMT+3): Speech by Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan
Key Takeaways
European currencies are attempting to regain stability after their recent decline, but the technical outlook remains mixed. EUR/USD is holding above key support near 1.1390, although the risk of renewed downside persists. By contrast, GBP/USD continues to recover and is now testing significant resistance around 1.3400. The next directional move will largely depend on developments in the Middle East, further guidance from the Federal Reserve, and whether buyers can secure sustained breaks above key technical levels. | 19 |
| 6 | #EURUSD #GBPUSD #forextrading #marketanalysis #MarketNews
European Currencies Seek Stability Amid Rising Geopolitical Tensions
European currencies are showing mixed performance as they attempt to stabilise following their recent decline and the release of the Federal Reserve's latest meeting minutes. The minutes revealed growing concern over persistent inflationary pressures, with several policymakers supporting the possibility of an immediate interest rate increase, while the majority maintained a more cautious approach to further monetary tightening. Overall, the document highlighted ongoing divisions within the Fed over the future path of interest rates but maintained a broadly hawkish backdrop for the US dollar, as further rate hikes have not been ruled out should inflation remain elevated.
Fresh uncertainty has also emerged from renewed tensions in the Middle East. Following the latest escalation between the United States and Iran, investors have once again shifted their focus to the risk of a broader regional conflict and the potential disruption of energy supplies through key shipping routes. Rising geopolitical tensions continue to support demand for safe-haven assets while increasing concerns that higher energy prices could fuel another wave of inflation, further complicating the Federal Reserve's prospects for policy easing. Against this backdrop, European currencies are attempting to stabilise, although persistent uncertainty continues to limit the scope for a sustained recovery.
EUR/USD
Following its recent decline, EUR/USD has once again tested support around 1.1390 before attempting to stabilise. Buyers have so far managed to keep the pair above its June lows, although the broader technical picture remains fragile. Technical indicators suggest the pair could recover towards the 1.1450–1.1470 region, supported by several bullish reversal patterns on the daily chart. However, if the pair is rejected from that resistance area and fails to establish a foothold above it, downside pressure could return, exposing 1.1330–1.1350 as the next support zone.
Key events for EUR/USD:
▪️Today, 09:00 (GMT+3): Germany Trade Balance
▪️Today, 13:00 (GMT+3): Spain Thomson Reuters/Ipsos Primary Consumer Sentiment Index (PCSI)
▪️Today, 15:30 (GMT+3): US Initial Jobless Claims | 12 |
| 7 | #NFLX #stockmarket #stocktrading #MarketNews
Netflix: Attempting to Break the Short-Term Downtrend
Netflix is preparing to release its financial results for the second quarter of 2026. According to the company's official press release published on 15 June, the earnings report will be released on 16 July, followed by a video interview with management for investors. Back in April, when reporting its first-quarter results, the company warned that content spending would likely peak during the second quarter before moderating in the second half of the year. Investors are now looking to the July earnings release as the first opportunity to assess that forecast, as well as the pace of subscriber and advertising revenue growth.
Technical Analysis
On the four-hour chart, Netflix (NFLX on FXOpen) has been trading within a short-term downtrend since April. The decline accelerated in June, reaching a volume climax on 22 June before the price rebounded from the $71.00 area a few days later. The recovery established a local low, marked on the chart by the green support line.
At the beginning of July, the price attempted to break above the descending trendline, but the bullish breakout candle was completely engulfed by the following bearish candles. As a result of the failed breakout, a local swing high was formed, defining the red resistance level at $78.50, before the price retreated to the upper boundary of the current market profile at $76.10.
The Point of Control (POC) near $72.70 is the nearest significant support level should the pullback continue. Just below it lie the lower boundary of the market profile at $71.65 and the green support zone, which could once again attract buying interest if tested.
The RSI + MAs indicator is currently reading 48, 47 and 40. All three lines remain without a clear directional bias, highlighting the current market indecision.
Key Takeaways
The rebound from the $71.00 area has encountered resistance around $78.50, and without support from fundamental catalysts, it is still too early to conclude that the short-term downtrend has ended. Netflix's second-quarter earnings release on 16 July could become the key catalyst for the stock's next significant move. | 11 |
| 8 | #DAX #stocktrading #stockmarket #MarketNews #marketanalysis
DAX 40: Can the Index Print Fresh Record Highs Once Again?
The DAX 40 has shed more than 2% over the past several sessions, breaking a rally that had pushed the index to record highs on the back of Germany's fiscal pivot toward defence, infrastructure and climate spending. The pullback raises a legitimate question: is this a healthy pause within an intact uptrend, or the start of a deeper correction?
On the macro front, the picture remains mixed but constructive. German durable goods orders surprised meaningfully to the upside, hinting that domestic industry may finally be turning a corner. That said, a portion of this year's projected GDP growth stems from calendar effects rather than genuine demand recovery.
Monetary policy offers the clearest explanation for the recent weakness. The ECB delivered its first hike since 2023 in June, and the shift in tone alone unsettled rate-sensitive DAX sectors like Financials and real estate, while a firmer euro added pressure on export-driven industrials.
Technical Analysis
As the chart shows, DAX 40 (GDAXI on FXOpen) has climbed steadily from April's lows along a well-respected ascending trendline, recently pushing to new record highs near 26,000 before the sharp two-session pullback that triggered this correction. Price has now retraced heading to that same trendline, which converges with the 24,500-24,600 support zone—making this an important decision point for the index.
Bullish Scenario
If buyers step back in and defend the trendline together with the 24,500-24,600 zone, the broader uptrend structure remains intact. In this case, the recent drop would look more like a routine shakeout than a genuine reversal. From there, a renewed push back above the 25,400-25,550 resistance area—where the index broke down during the pullback—would be the first sign that momentum is returning. A clean break above that zone would put fresh record highs firmly back on the table, extending the rally that has defined the DAX since April.
Bearish Scenario
On the other hand, a decisive daily close below the trendline and the 24,500-24,600 support would be a meaningful technical signal, suggesting the correction has more room to run. Losing this zone would likely trigger further selling, as it has acted as a springboard for the rally since spring. In that scenario, the index would probably drift toward the 24,000 area first, with 23,000-23,200—the last major support tested back in April—becoming the key downside target if selling pressure intensifies.
With price now sitting exactly on this critical trendline, the coming sessions look set to decide whether the DAX's record-breaking run continues, or whether this correction has only just begun. | 21 |
| 9 | #USDCAD #forextrading #forex #MarketVolatility
USD/CAD
USD/CAD continues to trade sideways within the 1.4140–1.4250 range, suggesting the market is building momentum for a potential breakout. A sustained move above 1.4250 would open the door for further gains towards 1.4300–1.4400. Conversely, a break below 1.4140 could trigger a deeper correction towards the 1.4020–1.4080 region.
Key events for USD/CAD:
▪️Today, 17:30 (GMT+3): US Crude Oil Inventories
▪️Tomorrow, 15:30 (GMT+3): US Initial Jobless Claims
▪️Tomorrow, 17:00 (GMT+3): US Existing Home Sales
The US dollar remains in a holding pattern ahead of the release of the FOMC minutes, which could become the key catalyst for its next move. If the document confirms that Fed officials remain concerned about persistent inflation and continue to favour a hawkish policy stance, the dollar could receive renewed support. On the other hand, a more cautious assessment of the economy and the monetary policy outlook may encourage profit-taking on long dollar positions and lead to a broader corrective move. | 18 |
| 10 | #USDJPY #USDCAD #forextrading #tradingtips #marketanalysis
US Dollar Consolidates Ahead of FOMC Minutes Release
The US dollar has entered a period of consolidation following last week's sharp price swings, as market participants turn their attention to the release of the Federal Reserve's latest meeting minutes. Investors are looking for additional guidance on the future path of interest rates and whether support for a hawkish monetary policy stance remains widespread within the Fed.
Further uncertainty was created by last week's mixed US labour market data, which raised concerns about the resilience of the US economy but did not trigger a significant reassessment of Federal Reserve policy expectations. Attention has now shifted to the FOMC minutes, with traders focusing on the Fed's assessment of inflation risks and its outlook for future interest rate decisions. Confirmation of a hawkish stance could provide fresh support for the US dollar, while a more cautious assessment of economic conditions may strengthen expectations of future policy easing.
USD/JPY
Against this backdrop, USD/JPY is consolidating after retreating sharply from multi-year highs. The yen remains under pressure due to the wide interest rate differential between the United States and Japan. However, with the pair trading close to multi-year highs, concerns over possible intervention by the Japanese authorities continue to limit further upside.
From a technical perspective, USD/JPY may retest the 162.60–162.90 area after forming a Piercing Line candlestick pattern on the daily chart following the recent pullback. A deeper correction would become more likely if the pair closes decisively below 160.50.
Key events for USD/JPY:
▪️Today, 14:00 (GMT+3): MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications (US)
▪️Today, 21:00 (GMT+3): FOMC meeting minutes
▪️Tomorrow, 02:50 (GMT+3): Japan Foreign Bond Investment | 14 |
| 11 | #EURUSD #forextrading #tradingtips #marketanalysis
EUR/USD Analysis: Who Is in Control?
Two central banks, two hawkish tones — but only one dollar just took a hit. The ECB delivered a 25bp hike in June, its first since 2023, lifting the deposit rate to 2.25% as Middle East-driven energy costs pushed headline inflation to 3.2% in May before easing to 2.8% in June, with growth downgraded to 0.8% amid weaker confidence.
The Fed, under new Chair Kevin Warsh, held rates at 3.50%-3.75% for a fourth straight meeting, with a hawkish dot-plot shift initially fueling hike expectations. However, the June employment report—released on July 3rd—showed nonfarm payrolls rising by just 57K against 110K expected, the weakest reading in four months, while the unemployment rate dipped to 4.2% only due to a labor force participation rate falling to 61.5%, its lowest level in five years.
The result: both central banks' communications currently lean hawkish, but with the Fed's data now sending mixed signals. Which side ultimately prevails could well set the tone for EUR/USD's trend into year-end.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
EUR/USD has spent roughly the past year confined within a broad consolidation range, as the chart illustrates, with price repeatedly oscillating between well-defined boundaries and no decisive breakout sustained in either direction.
Bullish Scenario
After briefly breaking below the range's base support, price snapped back quickly, reclaiming the range almost as fast as it left it. For renewed bullish momentum to take hold, EUR/USD first needs to hold above the 1.1420-1.1460 support zone. The next, more decisive test lies with the descending trendline originating from January's highs, which has been respected consistently throughout the year. This same area also converges with the 200-period EMA and the long-term ascending trendline broken to the downside in June. This confluence makes 1.1500-1.1550 the pivotal zone: a clean break above it would open the door for the euro to regain sustained strength against the dollar.
Bearish Scenario
The alternative reading is that price is currently only retesting the previously broken key support at 1.1420-1.1460. A decisive break below the low formed near 1.1320-1.1350 would confirm renewed downside momentum, clearing the path to resume the broader medium-term downtrend, where the next significant support comes into play around 1.1100-1.1150.
Either scenario will likely require confluence between technical structure and fundamentals, with central bank rhetoric and action remaining the key driver. ECB or Fed — which one becomes the catalyst for EUR/USD's next major trend? | 20 |
| 12 | #XAUUSD #goldprices #commodities #marketanalysis #MarketNews
Gold Resumes Its Advance Following the US Labour Market Report
Gold is attempting to break its medium-term trend, with the latest US labour market data acting as the main catalyst. The US employment report released on 2 July came in noticeably weaker than expected, with the pace of hiring slowing to its lowest level in several months. This may have dampened expectations of a near-term Federal Reserve rate hike, while the minutes of the Fed's June meeting, due to be released on 8 July, could provide further insight into how long this pause in the central bank's rhetoric is likely to last. For now, markets are pricing in a more dovish scenario, supporting safe-haven assets such as gold.
Technical Analysis
On the four-hour chart, XAU/USD declined from the $4,221 area in late June to around $3,942, where a recovery began. The decline formed a descending wedge, with its lower boundary attracting strong buying interest. This resulted in a sharp rebound, accompanied by a decisive breakout above both the pattern and the current market profile.
On 2 July, price closed above the upper boundary of the market profile at $4,091 and, if the rally continues, could target the base of the wedge. Should the market reverse, price is likely to retest the profile's high-volume area, while the Point of Control (POC) at $4,030 and the lower profile boundary at $3,971 could provide support for buyers.
The RSI + MAs indicator currently stands at 62, 65 and 55. All three lines remain above the neutral level and continue to point higher, while the moving averages are still signalling bullish momentum. However, it is worth noting that the RSI has already entered overbought territory, suggesting that expectations for a substantial continuation of the rally should remain cautious.
Key Takeaways
The breakout from the descending wedge may have been interpreted by market participants as the beginning of a local trend reversal. However, a move towards the red resistance zone and a test of that area remain highly uncertain, particularly ahead of the release of the Federal Reserve's June meeting minutes, which could significantly reshape market expectations. | 20 |
| 13 | Daily Market News with FXOpen - 06 July 2026
🔸Oil Drifts Down After OPEC+ Agrees to Raise Output Targets;
🔸US Stock Futures Climb After Record-Setting Week;
🔸Yen Pinned Near 40-Year Lows as Intervention Risks Mount.
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. You can find the full disclaimer here: www.fxopen.com.
#Forex #Trading #Investing #StockMarket #Oil #CrudeOil #OPEC #USDJPY #MarketNews | 25 |
| 14 | #NZDCHF #tradingtips #forextrading #marketanalysis #MarketVolatility
NZD/CHF Analysis: Which Currency Breaks the Consolidation First?
NZD/CHF remains locked in a tight range as traders await the next monetary policy catalyst.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand heads into Wednesday's meeting on shaky ground. After May's 3-3 split was resolved by a casting vote, the committee still lifted its rate path sharply, eyeing a 3.28% terminal rate by 2029. But the oil slide following the US-Iran truce has cut hike odds from over 80% to around 66-70%, splitting major banks between a hold and a further move.
Meanwhile, the Swiss National Bank holds firm at 0% for a fourth straight meeting. Switzerland's challenge mirrors New Zealand's in reverse: subdued inflation rather than overheating, leaving little room—or need—for tightening. The franc's strength stems more from so-called safe-haven flows than rate differentials.
The result: NZDCHF caught between short-term RBNZ uncertainty and near-static Swiss policy, with direction hinging on Wednesday's decision.
Technical Analysis of NZD/CHF
NZD/CHF remains locked in a broader consolidation on higher timeframes, trapped between resistance at 0.4660-0.4690 and support at 0.4540-0.4560. Price is now compressing into a tighter triangle just below the 100-period EMA, which continues to cap upside as dynamic resistance.
Bullish Scenario
Fundamentally, a hawkish RBNZ surprise on Wednesday—hiking despite the oil-driven pullback in tightening expectations—would give the kiwi a strong tailwind. Technically, buyers first need to break the descending trendline capping price since late May, already rejected on several attempts. Once cleared, the decisive test becomes the 0.4660-0.4690 resistance zone. A genuine breakout would likely require both a strong NZD fundamental catalyst and confirming technical momentum.
Bearish Scenario
Conversely, a dovish hold—as several major banks now expect—could reignite downside pressure. Technically, sellers first need to break the ascending trendline price has leaned on in recent sessions, then push through the more significant 0.4540-0.4560 support. Notably, the 100-period EMA continues to act as reliable dynamic resistance, keeping price capped beneath it and reinforcing the bearish structure until proven otherwise.
Two central banks, two opposite stories: RBNZ still weighing when to tighten, SNB content to sit still. Wednesday's decision could finally break this narrowing range — will the kiwi's rate case win out, or does the franc's quiet resilience hold firm? | 20 |
| 15 | #SP500 #stockmarket #stocktrading #marketanalysis #MarketVolatility
S&P 500: Index Narrows Its Range as the Labour Market Cools
The broad US market index, the S&P 500, has entered July against a backdrop of mixed signals from the labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics report released on 2 July showed that just 57,000 jobs were added in June, well below market expectations, while the unemployment rate stood at 4.2%. Following the release, markets scaled back expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike in September, although the possibility of an October increase remains. At the same time, the current 10% global tariff is due to expire at the end of July, and markets are gradually pricing in uncertainty surrounding future trade policy decisions.
Technical Outlook
On the four-hour chart, the S&P 500 (SPXm on FXOpen) remains in a consolidation phase following the uptrend that began on 31 March. After peaking near 7,600, the index declined to around 7,250 before forming a symmetrical triangle, with the descending upper trendline and the ascending lower trendline gradually converging. Since the beginning of July, the price has remained above the upper boundary of the current market profile at 7,460, repeatedly testing the triangle's descending trendline but failing to break above it. Resistance is located around 7,580.
The narrowing range has been accompanied by declining volume, with the latest wave of the triangle noticeably quieter than the previous one, a typical feature of a maturing consolidation pattern. The highest concentration of horizontal volume (POC) is located near 7,394, while the lower boundary of the current profile sits around 7,300. Should the index move lower, these areas could provide support before any attempt to break below the ascending side of the triangle and potentially reach the 7,260 support level. The RSI + MAs indicator currently reads 59, 57 and 55. Although all three values remain above the neutral zone, they do not yet indicate a clear directional bias.
Summary
The POC zone remains the key reference point if the rejection from the triangle boundary develops into a broader decline. Meanwhile, the RSI + MAs indicator continues to hold above neutral without showing a strong trend. Looking ahead, tariff-related uncertainty may become the more significant driver for the index over the coming weeks, as the expiry of the current 10% global tariff at the end of July could trigger a shift in market sentiment. | 18 |
| 16 | #SP500 #stockmarket #stocktrading #marketanalysis #MarketVolatility
S&P 500: Index Narrows Its Range as the Labour Market Cools
The broad US market index, the S&P 500, has entered July against a backdrop of mixed signals from the labour market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics report released on 2 July showed that just 57,000 jobs were added in June, well below market expectations, while the unemployment rate stood at 4.2%. Following the release, markets scaled back expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike in September, although the possibility of an October increase remains. At the same time, the current 10% global tariff is due to expire at the end of July, and markets are gradually pricing in uncertainty surrounding future trade policy decisions.
Technical Outlook
On the four-hour chart, the S&P 500 (SPXm on FXOpen) remains in a consolidation phase following the uptrend that began on 31 March. After peaking near 7,600, the index declined to around 7,250 before forming a symmetrical triangle, with the descending upper trendline and the ascending lower trendline gradually converging. Since the beginning of July, the price has remained above the upper boundary of the current market profile at 7,460, repeatedly testing the triangle's descending trendline but failing to break above it. Resistance is located around 7,580.
The narrowing range has been accompanied by declining volume, with the latest wave of the triangle noticeably quieter than the previous one, a typical feature of a maturing consolidation pattern. The highest concentration of horizontal volume (POC) is located near 7,394, while the lower boundary of the current profile sits around 7,300. Should the index move lower, these areas could provide support before any attempt to break below the ascending side of the triangle and potentially reach the 7,260 support level. The RSI + MAs indicator currently reads 59, 57 and 55. Although all three values remain above the neutral zone, they do not yet indicate a clear directional bias.
Summary
The POC zone remains the key reference point if the rejection from the triangle boundary develops into a broader decline. Meanwhile, the RSI + MAs indicator continues to hold above neutral without showing a strong trend. Looking ahead, tariff-related uncertainty may become the more significant driver for the index over the coming weeks, as the expiry of the current 10% global tariff at the end of July could trigger a shift in market sentiment. | 1 |
| 17 | Daily Market News with FXOpen - 02 July 2026
🔸Tesla Slips Overnight as Rumours of a Model Y L Intensify Ahead of Q2 Delivery Data
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#TSLA #TeslaStock #StockMarket #MarketNews #Trading #Forex #USDJPY #OilPrices | 42 |
| 18 | #NZDUSD #forextrading #marketanalysis #MarketVolatility
NZD/USD
NZD/USD is showing a similar technical picture. After falling to 0.5630, buyers formed a V-shaped reversal pattern, which could support further gains. A break below the base of this formation may lead to a decline towards the 0.5570–0.5600 area.
Key events for NZD/USD:
▪️Today at 15:30 (GMT+3): US Average Hourly Earnings;
▪️Today at 15:30 (GMT+3): US Initial Jobless Claims;
▪️Today at 17:00 (GMT+3): US Factory Orders.
Overall, today's Nonfarm Payrolls report will be the week's key event for the currency market. Employment growth, the unemployment rate and wage data are expected to determine market expectations for future Federal Reserve policy. Until the figures are | 36 |
| 19 | #AUDUSD #NZDUSD #forextrading #MarketVolatility #marketanalysis
The Dollar Awaits the Week’s Key Report: AUD/USD and NZD/USD at Crucial Technical Levels
Following mixed performance by the US dollar earlier this week, investors are now fully focused on the June Nonfarm Payrolls report, which will be released on Thursday rather than Friday. The schedule has been brought forward as US financial markets will be closed on Friday to mark the 250th anniversary of the signing of the Declaration of Independence. Today's report is expected to shape expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and set the direction for the US dollar through the remainder of the week.
Market participants will closely watch the unemployment rate, average hourly earnings and initial jobless claims, all of which will be released alongside the headline payrolls data. Following weaker-than-expected ADP employment figures, investors will be looking for confirmation that the US labour market remains resilient. Strong data could reinforce expectations that the Fed will maintain its hawkish stance, supporting the US dollar, while weaker figures may trigger profit-taking on long USD positions.
AUD/USD
AUD/USD found support at 0.6860 at the start of the week, forming a bullish engulfing pattern after rebounding from this level. Technical analysis suggests the pair could advance towards 0.6980–0.7000 if 0.6930 turns into support. A break below 0.6860 could pave the way for a decline towards 0.6800–0.6830.
Key events for AUD/USD:
▪️Today at 15:30 (GMT+3): US Nonfarm Payrolls;
▪️Tomorrow at 02:00 (GMT+3): Australia Manufacturing and Services PMI;
▪️Tomorrow at 02:00 (GMT+3): Australia Services PMI. | 23 |
| 20 | #FTSE #stocktrading #stockmarket #marketanalysis #MarketVolatility
FTSE 100: Attempting a Breakout from the Triangle
On 30 June, Prime Minister Keir Starmer unveiled the Defence Investment Plan, which includes a £15 billion increase in defence spending as part of a nearly £300 billion four-year budget. The market reacted quickly: on 1 July, shares of Babcock, BAE Systems and Rolls-Royce gained between 1.1% and 5.2%, providing support for the FTSE 100 during the session. Offsetting this strength, healthcare and energy stocks came under pressure, with AstraZeneca and GSK falling 1.7% and 2.5%, while Shell and BP lost more than 2% as oil prices declined. As a result, the index closed the day 0.2% lower. Over a longer-term horizon, investors remain focused on the Bank of England's meeting on 30 July. The central bank has kept the base rate at 3.75%, while inflation risks remain elevated amid energy price dynamics and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
Technical Outlook
On the daily chart, the FTSE 100 (UK100 on FXOpen) has formed a symmetrical triangle, with price fluctuations narrowing between the February high and the March low. In recent sessions, the index has attempted to break above the pattern, but the move has so far been capped by the upper boundary of the current market profile at 10,520, making it too early to confirm a breakout. The key resistance level is located around 10,700, while major support lies near 9,900.
Should the index decline from current levels, the nearest support could come from the POC zone at 10,340 and the lower boundary of the market profile at 10,160. It is worth noting that trading volume remains firm, suggesting the current range may continue to develop. The RSI + MAs indicator currently reads 53, 53 and 51. All three values remain in neutral territory, confirming the current lack of directional conviction.
Summary
The narrowing price range within the symmetrical triangle points to declining volatility in the index amid a mixed fundamental backdrop. Geopolitical uncertainty surrounding US-Iran negotiations is coinciding with expectations ahead of the Bank of England's upcoming meeting. The POC zone remains a key reference point within the current market structure. | 20 |
