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Hidden Multibagger Stocks by Devendra (RA: INH000026488)
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Disclaimer: I am a SEBI Registered Research Analyst (RA: INH000026488). All stocks, market updates, and investment-related information shared in this channel are strictly for educational and informational purposes only.
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" "Transrail Lighting" is the only stock in green during this market crash, demonstrating its strength.🚀🚀
A similar market decline occurred during the bear phase in 2022, leaving my portfolio deep in the red. However, when the bull run began in 2023, my portfolio turned green within just three months of the bull cycle.
This experience made me more cautious this time, which is why I withdrew 60% of my capital from the market and alerted my followers in advance. This proves that if you have at least a one-year investment horizon, you can generate significant profits once the bull cycle begins. While short-term pain is inevitable, long-term investors can achieve substantial gains—provided their stock selection is strong.
Additionally, if you have capital available, it should be deployed during a bull market. That’s why I always emphasize protecting your capital first. If our stock selection is solid, we can expect a swift recovery in our portfolio once the market rebounds.
Do not be disheartened by this market crash. Think of your investment as a fixed deposit and be prepared to wait at least a year. When the next bull run begins, our stocks will be the first to surge, leading to a rapid recovery.
Avoid buying or averaging stocks at this stage. Let the market settle after the panic selling. There will be significant opportunities ahead to make substantial profits.
The market is experiencing a sharp decline, with Nifty falling below the 23,000 level and panic selling taking place among retail investors in the small and midcap indices. At this stage, the best approach is to simply hold your stocks.
Currently, 100% of investors are facing losses due to this market downturn. Portfolio recovery will begin once the market reaches its bottom and a rebound starts. We will provide updates when the bottom is formed. However, I believe this is the final phase of selling in the small and midcap indices.
Message from one of our members: Please remember that in the stock market, we are among the few who provide insights into what may happen during a bear phase. However, the decision to act on this information is entirely up to you.
Predicting market movements is never easy, but our forecast about the bear phase has proven to be accurate. Even top analysts in the stock market were unable to predict it correctly.
💥Understanding Bear & Bull phase.💥.
In a bear phase, you will never get a perfect opportunity to exit stocks. It is crucial to make quick decisions when a bull market ends and a bear market begins—typically within 2 to 3 months. If you fail to exit stocks at a good profit during this period, you may find yourself forced to exit in panic later, as stocks continue to decline throughout the bear phase. Those who did not book profits will have to wait a long time to recover their losses, as recovery is only possible once the next bull run begins.
A bull run presents an opportunity to multiply wealth in the stock market by strategically investing capital in multibagger stocks. In contrast, a bear phase is solely about protecting capital. In a bear market, a long-term approach does not work effectively, as stocks tend to decline again after every small pullback rally. Instead, it is essential to book regular profits. However, in a bull market, a long-term approach is the best strategy for generating significant wealth by investing substantial capital in high-growth stocks.
We have repeatedly emphasized that a bear phase is the most challenging period in the market, often resembling slow poison. Many new investors entered the market with overconfidence, having only experienced a one-way rally and never considering the possibility of a downturn. However, our channel has consistently warned about the risks of a bear phase since November 2024.
Some members left our channel due to our continuous caution and bearish outlook. These individuals refused to accept market realities, believing that stocks only go up. As a result, they are now trapped, investing large amounts of capital into every market bounce, hoping for a quick bull run. Many self-proclaimed experts have prematurely declared market bottoms, but we have not mentioned a bull run in the past three months. Our stance has remained negative, based on our experience with previous bear markets in 2018–19 and 2022–23.
My goal has always been to educate all members about the risks of a bear market, which is why I created multiple YouTube videos over the past 3 to 4 months, warning about the dangers involved. Even large mutual fund houses and seasoned market experts failed to alert retail investors about this bear market in advance. Now, after most of the damage has already been done, these experts are finally issuing warnings.
Many believe that no one can predict market tops and bottoms. While 100% accuracy is impossible, understanding bull and bear market cycles allows us to estimate turning points to some extent. This helps in making informed entry and exit decisions. Data-driven market predictions are far more reliable than relying solely on chart patterns.
We will once again predict when the next bull market will begin. However, at this moment, the market is undergoing a price and time correction phase. During this period, the best strategy is to wait and observe.
Market outlook
Many people have repeatedly claimed that the market bottom has been formed at various stages over the past two months. However, We have consistently stated that in a bear phase, bottom formation is a long process that takes several months.
Investors who booked profits in November–December 2024, following our repeated reminders, are now in a strong position to deploy capital when the actual bull run begins. In a bear phase, only 30–40% of capital should be invested, and only in fundamentally strong stocks that did not participate in the previous bull run.
At this point, we still cannot say for certain that the market will recover, as the major pain is concentrated in small and midcap stocks, where valuations remain high. I have always emphasized that during a bear phase, one must completely change their strategy 360 degree—exit all stocks before the downturn, hold cash, wait patiently, and deploy only 30–40% of capital into stocks that missed the last bull run. While these stocks may still decline during the bear phase, they have the potential to recover quickly when the market rebounds.
Avoid the temptation to call a bottom at every stage, as it is often a trap in a bear market. The market will not recover unless FIIs return, and currently, DIIs are not buying aggressively, while retail investors are in panic-selling mode. This is the defining characteristic of a bear market.
" Transrail lighting " Strong move in weak market after very good Q3 result..🚀
Every rise and every small pullback in a bear market is a trap for retail investors. For the past three months, we have consistently advised investors to simply wait and watch. On February 6th, I mentioned that the market would decline from the 23,700 level, and yesterday’s sudden drop confirmed this prediction.
The small and midcap indices are overvalued, and further correction is expected.
In a bear phase, both price and time corrections are normal occurrences. This has nothing to do with Trump's tariffs or any other negative news.
Index-wise drawdown in the market .This is a bear market, as we predicted in November 2024.
" Transrail lighting " posted very good Q3 result...
Our stocks are delivering strong results, but the market is not rewarding them because we are currently in a bear phase.
FII selling has declined after the U.S. 10-year bond yield dropped from 4.7% to 4.4%. However, the bigger concern is DII activity, as they are buying only small quantities. Previously, DIIs used to absorb FII selling, but now they are unable to do so. It seems even DIIs are anticipating a further market decline in this bear phase. Now, after four months of a continuous bear market, retail investors have also started panicking as their losses continue to grow daily.
Last week, I predicted that the market would decline from current levels, yet many people remained bullish. I expect further declines in the small and midcap indices due to their high valuations compared to Nifty.
In every YouTube video, I have explained the bear phase and the necessary precautions investors should take. Currently, 100% of mutual fund houses and PMS services are in losses, despite having highly skilled teams. Those who followed our advice and booked profits in November-December 2024 are now sitting on cash, ready to deploy funds when the bull market begins. Meanwhile, those who did not book profits have lost all their gains and are now in losses. This situation arises when one does not understand the dynamics of bull and bear markets.
We have developed a successful strategy that ensures consistent profits every year, regardless of whether the market is in a bull or bear phase.However, in a bear phase, it is impossible to predict the exact timeline for recovery.
Those who predicted a bull market after the budget, RBI policy, and BJP’s victory in Delhi are now acknowledging the bear phase—only after retail investors have suffered heavy losses.
Watching our YouTube videos can help investors make informed decisions to protect their capital.
Investors participating in systematic investment plans (SIPs) focused on small-cap mutual funds have experienced significant losses since the Nifty index peaked in September 2024. An analysis of 29 small-cap schemes revealed negative extended internal rates of return (XIRR) of up to 46%. For instance, the Mahindra Manulife Small Cap Fund reported a negative XIRR of approximately 45.52%, meaning a cumulative SIP investment of ₹5,000 since October 2024 would now be valued at ₹4,473.
This is why understanding bull and bear market cycles is crucial for exiting the market at the right time. Even major mutual fund houses, despite having highly educated MBA and CA experts on their teams, often fail to anticipate these cycles.
Market outlook..
In a bear market, bottom formation takes a long time. If Nifty breaks the 23,000 level again, we could see the next leg of selling in small and midcap stocks. Many investors assume that the market forms a bottom immediately, but unlike in a bull market, the bottom in a bear market does not form quickly.
Retail investors who were expecting the market to recover, may become frustrated. This could lead to panic selling in small and midcap stocks. Currently, the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of the small and midcap index remains high, leaving room for further correction.
In the coming days, while Nifty may not see a significant decline, small and midcap stocks could experience a deeper correction. Therefore, it is important to remain cautious in this bear market. Avoid making premature assumptions about the start of a new bull run.
We will provide updates if a short-term market rally is expected. For a detailed analysis of the bear market, we encourage you to watch our YouTube videos, where we share valuable insights and guidance.
Our priority is to protect capital first. In a bull market, there are significant opportunities to generate wealth, but only if you have capital available.
It is crucial not to invest all your capital during a bear phase, as doing so could result in your money being trapped for an extended period. No one can predict exactly how long a bear market will last.
By managing risk wisely and preserving capital, you will be better positioned to take advantage of future opportunities when the market turns bullish.
"BLUE JET HEALTHCARE" steady despite the market fall...🚀🚀
" Tanfac Industries " steady despite the market fall...🚀🚀
On the 6th Feb , I clearly stated that the market would decline from its current level. Those who strictly follow our guidance during this bear phase are successfully protecting their capital. On the other hand, those who believe the market is in a bull phase and acting accordingly are incurring significant losses.
For the past 3 to 4 months, I have repeatedly emphasized that the bear phase is the most challenging period in the stock market. The only way to avoid such pain is to book profits before the bear phase begins.
Since November 2024, we have released multiple YouTube videos guiding our members on how to navigate this bear phase effectively.
We are currently in a bear market phase, where patience is crucial. A bear market follows its own course of price and time correction. Do not get excited by positive events such as a good budget, favorable RBI policies, or a BJP win in Delhi—none of these can override the natural cycle of a bear market.
The market will complete its price and time correction, as I have been emphasizing for the past three months. For now, just wait and watch for small pullback rallies, where we can take short-term positions for potential gains.
Develop the habit of patience and keep your expectations low during a bear phase. No one else provides such clear guidance on navigating a bear market. Once we successfully endure this painful phase, we will make significant profits in the next bull market.
