اکنون در دسترس! پژوهش تلگرام ۲۰۲۵ — مهمترین بینشهای سال 
Hidden Multibagger Stocks by Devendra (RA: INH000026488)
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Disclaimer: I am a SEBI Registered Research Analyst (RA: INH000026488). All stocks, market updates, and investment-related information shared in this channel are strictly for educational and informational purposes only.
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" Transrail lighting " posted very good Q3 result...
Our stocks are delivering strong results, but the market is not rewarding them because we are currently in a bear phase.
FII selling has declined after the U.S. 10-year bond yield dropped from 4.7% to 4.4%. However, the bigger concern is DII activity, as they are buying only small quantities. Previously, DIIs used to absorb FII selling, but now they are unable to do so. It seems even DIIs are anticipating a further market decline in this bear phase. Now, after four months of a continuous bear market, retail investors have also started panicking as their losses continue to grow daily.
Last week, I predicted that the market would decline from current levels, yet many people remained bullish. I expect further declines in the small and midcap indices due to their high valuations compared to Nifty.
In every YouTube video, I have explained the bear phase and the necessary precautions investors should take. Currently, 100% of mutual fund houses and PMS services are in losses, despite having highly skilled teams. Those who followed our advice and booked profits in November-December 2024 are now sitting on cash, ready to deploy funds when the bull market begins. Meanwhile, those who did not book profits have lost all their gains and are now in losses. This situation arises when one does not understand the dynamics of bull and bear markets.
We have developed a successful strategy that ensures consistent profits every year, regardless of whether the market is in a bull or bear phase.However, in a bear phase, it is impossible to predict the exact timeline for recovery.
Those who predicted a bull market after the budget, RBI policy, and BJP’s victory in Delhi are now acknowledging the bear phase—only after retail investors have suffered heavy losses.
Watching our YouTube videos can help investors make informed decisions to protect their capital.
Investors participating in systematic investment plans (SIPs) focused on small-cap mutual funds have experienced significant losses since the Nifty index peaked in September 2024. An analysis of 29 small-cap schemes revealed negative extended internal rates of return (XIRR) of up to 46%. For instance, the Mahindra Manulife Small Cap Fund reported a negative XIRR of approximately 45.52%, meaning a cumulative SIP investment of ₹5,000 since October 2024 would now be valued at ₹4,473.
This is why understanding bull and bear market cycles is crucial for exiting the market at the right time. Even major mutual fund houses, despite having highly educated MBA and CA experts on their teams, often fail to anticipate these cycles.
Market outlook..
In a bear market, bottom formation takes a long time. If Nifty breaks the 23,000 level again, we could see the next leg of selling in small and midcap stocks. Many investors assume that the market forms a bottom immediately, but unlike in a bull market, the bottom in a bear market does not form quickly.
Retail investors who were expecting the market to recover, may become frustrated. This could lead to panic selling in small and midcap stocks. Currently, the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of the small and midcap index remains high, leaving room for further correction.
In the coming days, while Nifty may not see a significant decline, small and midcap stocks could experience a deeper correction. Therefore, it is important to remain cautious in this bear market. Avoid making premature assumptions about the start of a new bull run.
We will provide updates if a short-term market rally is expected. For a detailed analysis of the bear market, we encourage you to watch our YouTube videos, where we share valuable insights and guidance.
Our priority is to protect capital first. In a bull market, there are significant opportunities to generate wealth, but only if you have capital available.
It is crucial not to invest all your capital during a bear phase, as doing so could result in your money being trapped for an extended period. No one can predict exactly how long a bear market will last.
By managing risk wisely and preserving capital, you will be better positioned to take advantage of future opportunities when the market turns bullish.
"BLUE JET HEALTHCARE" steady despite the market fall...🚀🚀
" Tanfac Industries " steady despite the market fall...🚀🚀
On the 6th Feb , I clearly stated that the market would decline from its current level. Those who strictly follow our guidance during this bear phase are successfully protecting their capital. On the other hand, those who believe the market is in a bull phase and acting accordingly are incurring significant losses.
For the past 3 to 4 months, I have repeatedly emphasized that the bear phase is the most challenging period in the stock market. The only way to avoid such pain is to book profits before the bear phase begins.
Since November 2024, we have released multiple YouTube videos guiding our members on how to navigate this bear phase effectively.
We are currently in a bear market phase, where patience is crucial. A bear market follows its own course of price and time correction. Do not get excited by positive events such as a good budget, favorable RBI policies, or a BJP win in Delhi—none of these can override the natural cycle of a bear market.
The market will complete its price and time correction, as I have been emphasizing for the past three months. For now, just wait and watch for small pullback rallies, where we can take short-term positions for potential gains.
Develop the habit of patience and keep your expectations low during a bear phase. No one else provides such clear guidance on navigating a bear market. Once we successfully endure this painful phase, we will make significant profits in the next bull market.
Two days ago, I mentioned that FII selling would reduce as the U.S. 10-year bond yield had started falling from 4.7% to 4.4%, and we are now seeing a decline in FII selling. However, DIIs are not buying aggressively enough to lift the market. The slowdown in DII buying suggests that they anticipate one more downturn before the market stabilizes.
FIIs will start buying only when the U.S. 10-year bond yield falls below 4.3%. Even if FII selling has significantly decreased, the market can only recover if DIIs initiate strong buying. Currently, we are in a bear phase, and during such periods, market movements tend to be slow. I was expecting strong buying from DIIs today, as FII selling is now almost negligible.
A small pullback rally in the coming days is possible if DIIs start heavy buying. However, if DIIs fail to buy aggressively in the coming days, the downside risk in the market will increase.
Watch my latest YouTube video, where I explain why it is crucial to book profits before the start of a bear phase. In a bear market, the market declines continuously, forming new bottoms and leaving no opportunity to exit at a good price.
In this video, I also discuss how to identify the top and bottom of the stock market using bull and bear market trends. This is one of the most successful strategies in the stock market.
The key is to invest a large amount of capital at the beginning of a bull run and exit at the start of a bear phase. During a bear market, new stocks should be bought with a smaller capital allocation for quick swing trading profits, as stocks generally do not deliver significant returns in this phase.
Proper money allocation at the right time and timely exits are the foundation of this highly successful strategy.👇
💥Pl study " Aarti Pharmalabs Limited" at CMP : 706 Rs.💥
It (APL) formerly known as Aarti Organics was established in 1984 as a WOS of Aarti Industries Limited. Got demerged in Oct,22 into a separately listed entity.
Co. is an internationally recognized manufacturer of generic API & Intermediates, Xanthine derivatives and offers CDMO/CMO services. Company has 6 manufacturing plants and 3 R&D centres.
Its not buy or sell call...consult your financial advisor before taking any decisions
" Transrail lighting " Power Transmission sector stock slow & steady recovery..🚀
A 25-basis-point rate cut was already factored into the market, as it was widely expected. As a result, the market's reaction has been negative as i told in the morning..
We are currently in a bear phase, where even small positive news is interpreted negatively. A bear market acts like slow poison, gradually eroding portfolios if proper precautions are not taken.
It is important to stay cautious during this period and avoid overconfidence. Those who treat a bear market like a bull market often face heavy losses, as bear markets typically punish such behavior.
