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پست‌های کانال
I've updated chapter 6 to reflect a more complex understanding of disease, which will then flow through into different later
I've updated chapter 6 to reflect a more complex understanding of disease, which will then flow through into different later sections of the textbook, e.g. the meningitis preventing vaccines. https://sabhlok.open-ph.org/Docs/Textbook-SPH-draft_Part1.pdf

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This is fine - I've gone through the report in WSJ and it ensures that if the Iran regime fails to perform, the USA can resum
This is fine - I've gone through the report in WSJ and it ensures that if the Iran regime fails to perform, the USA can resume the blockade, sanctions and the bombings. It does seem that this new Iran regime is less fanatical than the previous one. That's because of its focus on rational things like money. People who want money are typically less interested in destroying the world. Politically, Iran can do NOTHING about the USA, which can - at a moment's notice - revert to war if Iran misbehaves. The US retains even more clout with this agreement (since Iran is lusting for money!) - and if Iran starts shooting its people, Trump can reimpose everything and stop the flow of money. That will hopefully control these maniacs. The main thing for Trump is to somehow cross the mid-terms. After that he has 2 more years to fix the Iran issue in case these people don't behave. And at that stage, I don't expect any mercy to be shown. USA should also massively improve its war technology in the next 6 months.
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Disease definition seems to depend mainly on salience and uniqueness of symptoms. Diseases which can be readily recognised (a
Disease definition seems to depend mainly on salience and uniqueness of symptoms. Diseases which can be readily recognised (and distinguished from other diseases) without any lab tests have a greater likelihood of being recognised consistently in the literature for hundreds of years. Diseases which can be caused by multiple pathogens or which are difficult to distinguish without lab tests tend to fall into the hazy category. In such cases, long term data is typically difficult to interpret since definitions have gone through multiple changes over the period.
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This issue of disease nomenclature is important since it goes to the heart of data integrity with long-term comparisons. There is a spectrum here: from accurate disease classification to a big muddle. Further, as ChatGPT informs me, very few people have studied this issue carefully - https://chatgpt.com/share/6a31b752-27d8-83ec-b1fe-53d5c299d3ae This issue is crucial for some diseases: for example with covid. We had MASSIVE OVER-COUNTING of deaths from covid because anyone "with" covid was also counted - even if the virus had long become irrelevant to the person, or never even caused any symptom. When PH "experts" act as if the death certificate is God's own word, then they go wrong and can cause needless panic. I will re-do chapter 6 by adding the following. NEW CHAPTER TITLE: Mortality data are accurate; cause of death is often subjective What is disease? Cause of death certificate problems: - Often based on main symptom or lab test reports - Problem with multiple comorbidities - Death "with" a pathogen and "from" a pathogen - Role of host factors and the immune system rarely recognised #1 One pathogen one disease (Koch's germ theory) - smallpox - plague - measles - Ebola #2 One pathogen can cause multiple diseases - TB bacteria - GAS bacteria - Pneumonia bacteria #3 Multiple pathogens can cause the same major symptom - meningitis - acute flaccid paralysis #4 Co-infections might be needed for disease #5 A pathobiome (multiple factors)
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This issue of disease nomenclature is important since it goes to the heart of data integrity with long-term comparisons. Ther
This issue of disease nomenclature is important since it goes to the heart of data integrity with long-term comparisons. There is a spectrum here: from accurate disease classification to a big muddle. Further, as ChatGPT informs me, very few people have studied this issue carefully - https://chatgpt.com/share/6a31b752-27d8-83ec-b1fe-53d5c299d3ae This issue is crucial for some diseases: for example with covid. We had MASSIVE OVER-COUNTING of deaths from covid because anyone "with" covid was also counted - even if the virus had long become irrelevant to the person, or never even caused any symptom. When PH "experts" act as if the death certificate is God's own word, then they go wrong and can cause needless panic. I will re-do chapter 6 by adding the following. NEW CHAPTER TITLE: Mortality data are accurate; cause of death is often subjective What is disease? Cause of death certificate problems: - Often based on main symptom or lab test reports - Problem with multiple comorbidities - Death "with" a pathoge
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The nomenclature issue with diseases is even more complicated. That's because not only can the same "disease" be caused by a
The nomenclature issue with diseases is even more complicated. That's because not only can the same "disease" be caused by a wide range of microbes (or other things), the same microbe can cause multiple diseases. The relationship is one-to-many and many-to-one AT THE SAME TIME. A royal jumble. E.g. scarlet fever is caused by Group A Streptococcus (GAS) but that bacteria also cause a wide range of other diseases. As a result, data on the cause of death gets really ugly. Doctors pick the most prominent one (e.g. meningitis) for the death certificate but that disease might have have been caused by the pneumonia bacteria or TB bacteria - or by any of the other microbes or causes. Things are clearer these days due to lab tests, but in the past this was a complete muddle.
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I'm now getting used to asking AI when I reach a kind of dead-end, and ChatGPT has performed brilliantly in identifying key issues and leads in this case. THIS IS REAL INTELLIGENCE - Such a response would ordinarily take a graduate student at least 2-3 days of research to generate. And now-a-days I don't worry about hallucinations either - there are very few of them (of course I finally check everything myself). One good thing I've learnt from ChatGPT's analysis - that the Meningococcal vaccine is a small part of the vaccines that are designed to reduce that disease. https://chatgpt.com/share/6a310d78-72d4-83ec-be86-a4fe359a32f2
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This is BEYOND ABSURD. Clearly Robert Kennedy Jr would have vigorously supported lockdowns during covid. https://www.wsj.com/
This is BEYOND ABSURD. Clearly Robert Kennedy Jr would have vigorously supported lockdowns during covid. https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/rfk-jr-orders-american-exposed-to-hantavirus-to-stay-quarantined-against-medical-advice-a6f5b5f2?mod=hp_lead_pos10
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Huge claims are being made by GAVI about lives saved by meningitis vaccines. https://www.gavi.org/vaccineswork/five-ways-meni
Huge claims are being made by GAVI about lives saved by meningitis vaccines. https://www.gavi.org/vaccineswork/five-ways-meningitis-vaccines-are-saving-lives But from this chart (taken from this 2024 paper), it doesn't seem to me that the vaccine even works. https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/epdf/10.1080/14760584.2024.2329618?needAccess=true
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Here's a schematic diagram to illustrate the great problem with disease identification (hence assessment of life expectancy i
Here's a schematic diagram to illustrate the great problem with disease identification (hence assessment of life expectancy impacts of different interventions). Definitions keep on changing as we get a better understanding of disease.
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As I look into the Meningococcal vaccine and Hib vaccine (Haemophilus influenzae type b) it is important to get the basics ri
As I look into the Meningococcal vaccine and Hib vaccine (Haemophilus influenzae type b) it is important to get the basics right. Meningitis is a SYMPTOM of many diseases. Just as many diseases cause convulsions, flaccid paralysis and fever, MANY microbes or other factors can lead to meningitis. I will introduce a section somewhere in the beginning of the textbook to discuss the DISEASE NOMENCLATURE PROBLEM. We tend to think of a one-one relationship between cause and disease, but there is, in fact, a "many to one" relationship for many "diseases". Getting long term data on such diseases is literally impossible since all kinds of convulsions, flaccid paralysis, fever, and meningitis are bundled together into a multiplicity of diseases from which getting long term trends is impossible. Anyway, I've attempted to discuss meningitis which seems to have been largely reduced by medical factors - antibiotics and vaccines. https://sanjeev.sabhlokcity.com/Misc/Textbook-SPH-draft_Part2.pdf
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Here's a schematic chart for the first chapter - to show the DIFFERENCE IN PERSPECTIVE between medicine and economics, and wh
Here's a schematic chart for the first chapter - to show the DIFFERENCE IN PERSPECTIVE between medicine and economics, and why public health requires mainly a Big Picture perspective while also being broadly (at a high level) aware of the details. Clearly, not all economists are fit to lead PH. People like Stiglitz (Nobel!) are TOTALLY UNFIT. Only those with training and deep life-long interest in biology and a careful empirical approach (not those who hand-wave "externalities" and "free riding" to justify totalitarianism). This greatly restricts the field of potential economists to lead PH. Nevertheless, the main training needed for PH is still economics, not medicine. The first step is to create a Centre for Scientific Public Health led by an economist who qualifies (strong awareness of wellbeing, strong interest in biology).
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Here's a preliminary sketch of the special topic on vaccine safety. I'll fill in more details as I revert to it later. https:
Here's a preliminary sketch of the special topic on vaccine safety. I'll fill in more details as I revert to it later. https://sabhlok.open-ph.org/Docs/Textbook-SPH-draft_Part2.pdf The textbook is now over 750 pages long (around 350,000 words) - and will probably need to get even longer since many topics have not yet been adequately covered. (And that excludes the many refinements needed as the book develops into its first edition, and additional words needed to specific each reference formally.). I've decided that it is OK for such a long textbook since it will only be available as PDF and its purpose is to act as a comprehensive GENERAL textbook on PH. Specialist textbooks will, of course, need to be written, later, each probably over 500 pages in length (e.g. a textbook on quarantine). Basically, we are now RE-DISCOVERING PUBLIC HEALTH AS IT SHOULD BE - a discipline which has been made into a dog's breakfast by "doctors". Doctors CAN be part of NEW public health, but only as SECONDARY PLAYERS. They c
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Here's my discussion of covid vaccine harms. While some harms have been proven, these harms were rare, overall. The reason we
Here's my discussion of covid vaccine harms. While some harms have been proven, these harms were rare, overall. The reason we know covid vaccines didn't cause enormous harm is data from Sweden, which acts as a control between lockdowns and vaccines. BUT!! Covid vaccines prove the DEADLY HARMS CAUSED BY VACCINE MANDATE POLICIES. Honest provision of information, not forcing/ panicking those who had little chance of covid harm to take vaccines, ensuring informed consent - all these would have retained the credibilty of the medical profession. As it now stands, this reputation is GONE FOREVER. NO SENSIBLE PERSON WILL EVER TRUST DOCTORS AGAIN on matters of public health. We CAN trust doctors who are highly focused on something specific (such as surgeons) but cannot trust any "doctor" who deals with public health. FOR PUBLIC HEALTH, ECONOMISTS MUST LEAD - ELSE MEDICAL TERRORISM WILL CONTINUE UNABATED. DOCTORS SIMPLY DON'T UNDERSTAND PUBLIC HEALTH AND CAN NEVER DO SO. #AbolishPublicHealth
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I've prepared a table for the PH book summarising the vaccines for which harms have been proven/ suspected. I'll add a short
I've prepared a table for the PH book summarising the vaccines for which harms have been proven/ suspected. I'll add a short para on the covid vaccine, noting the various controversies (I do not agree with most such controversies, since Sweden's data doesn't reflect any noticeable vaccine harms). There has never been a vaccine that caused thalidomide level harms. The early smallpox vaccine might have caused some serious harms, but its overall benefits persuaded most people to take it.
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I'm now listing in the PH textbook the well accepted cases in which vaccines caused harms. To speed up the process, I've asked ChatGPT. Here is its response. Any others that I should know of? https://chatgpt.com/share/6a2f61f4-4dc8-83ec-8b55-4e1b801e5384
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I don't think I need to spend more time on this issue of financial incentives, until I'm shown any proof of direct payment by
I don't think I need to spend more time on this issue of financial incentives, until I'm shown any proof of direct payment by pharma industry to doctors to promote vaccines. Basically, is a NON-ISSUE as far as vaccines are concerned. The main issue with vaccines is the need for honest information being provided to society, informed consent, and abolition of vaccine mandates. I DON'T BELIEVE THAT @CDCgov PROVIDES HONEST INFORMATION REGARDING VACCINES. Each time I've had a chance to review its literature, I find that they HIDE important facts. That's why we need public health textbooks by ECONOMISTS who have absolutely zero stake in either drugs or vaccines. All I care for is the TRUTH - and nothing but the truth.
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It appears that there are two separate types of payments doctors receive in relation to drugs. 1) Directly from pharma compan
It appears that there are two separate types of payments doctors receive in relation to drugs. 1) Directly from pharma companies - but these are for drugs (not vaccines) 2) From private insurance/ government for increased vaccine uptake The first type of payment involves a serious conflict of interest since it motivates doctors to prescribe second-best drugs. These types of payments should be stopped. The second type of payment is of two kinds: a) Private insurance companies: These companies (I have known one such company very closely) are constantly running the most complex actuarial models with as much data as they can muster, to identify and refine policies that REDUCE COSTS. With new diseases or vaccines like covid, they are likely to use guesstimates but for proven long standing vaccines they have extensive data. When such companies provide incentives to doctors to increase vaccination rates, they are not being perverse in any way. They have ROCK-SOLID DATA to prove that vaccines save them future il
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My prediction that LOCKDOWNS ARE NOW PART OF MANKIND'S FUTURE - is coming true in hundreds of ways. 1) NO ONE is organising a
My prediction that LOCKDOWNS ARE NOW PART OF MANKIND'S FUTURE - is coming true in hundreds of ways. 1) NO ONE is organising a global conference to discuss quarantine failures and recommend abolition of ALL forms of quarantine. 2) Only ONE doctor has signed my call for abolition of quarantine (https://sabhlok.open-ph.org/call-for-abolition-of-quarantine/). 3) MORONS (aka "health experts") continue to promote quarantine in their textbooks and in the media. https://www.nine.com.au/australia-news/experts-are-almost-certain-there-s-another-global-pandemic-on-the-horizon-20260527-p6014e.html We can be 100% sure that ALL terrorist actions during covid will be MULTIPLIED in the coming years.
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Here's the MMR-autism summary. The measles vaccine provides a clear positive benefit to parents and society, and any concerns
Here's the MMR-autism summary. The measles vaccine provides a clear positive benefit to parents and society, and any concerns that it "causes" autism are completely misplaced.
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