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Elliott Wave TheGM (Independent Research)

Elliott Wave TheGM (Independent Research)

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Azizul Hakimin (TheGM CEWA MSTA)

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02 ژوئیه+1
01 ژوئیه+1
پست‌های کانال
Disclaimer: All of our analysis and market discussions are intended strictly for educational and informational purposes only. Our Elliott Wave (EW) assessments are used primarily to study and track investor psychology through market structure and price behavior. As markets are probabilistic in nature, some of our projections may play out successfully while others may fail. Therefore, we do not encourage, recommend, or permit any individual to make trading or investment decisions solely based on our views, analysis, or wave counts. The purpose of our work is merely to demonstrate how Elliott Wave analysis may help in assessing potential market direction from a probabilistic perspective, and not as a guarantee of future outcomes. Market conditions can change unexpectedly, and all trading and investment activities involve risk. TheGM MSTA CEWA 01 July 2026

2
MNHLDGS -A Healthy and Bullish Outlook Yesterday, MNHLDGS reached a new intraday record high of RM2.90. As highlighted in our previous updates, we continue to believe that MNHLDGS has the potential to be a multi-bagger, with further upside expected over the medium to long term. In our view, the ongoing strength in the share price is supported by improving fundamentals and attractive valuation rather than speculative trading activity. Despite the recent weakness in the KLCI index, MNHLDGS has remained relatively resilient, demonstrating defensive price behaviour that is often associated with fundamentally strong companies. Furthermore, the stock's gradual and orderly advance, rather than the sharp price swings commonly seen in speculative counters, may suggest steady accumulation by longer-term investors, including institutional funds or professional asset managers. From a technical perspective, trending indicators such as R-squared and linear regression continue to support the prevailing bullish trend, indicating that the upward momentum remains intact. Going forward, we will continue to monitor the accumulated excess volume closely to assess whether buying interest remains supportive of the stock's positive outlook.
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3
We have revised our wave count for PWRWELL but maintain a bullish outlook. We are introducing the possibility of a triangle f
We have revised our wave count for PWRWELL but maintain a bullish outlook. We are introducing the possibility of a triangle formation for the new wave count, which could be unfolding. If this scenario plays out, any downside risk will be mitigated, allowing prices to stabilize around current levels before making a thrust above the all-time high of RM0.895. Notably, at RM0.89, wave Ⓑ aligns with the length of wave ⓘ, reinforcing this bullish potential scenario. The recent sideways movement has been accompanied by rising volume, suggesting bullish momentum. As such, we anticipate that prices will continue their upward trajectory towards our new target of RM1.06, where the length of wave (v) is expected to equal the length of wave (iii).
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4
My class is now open for registration. I will focus specifically on FCPO trading and the broader derivatives market and also
My class is now open for registration. I will focus specifically on FCPO trading and the broader derivatives market and also stock market.
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5
The Accumulated AV (access volume) since the initial listing reflects a positive trend, with total access accumulation reachi
The Accumulated AV (access volume) since the initial listing reflects a positive trend, with total access accumulation reaching 11.06 million shares as of yesterday. The recent price drop from RM1.05 to RM0.99 between points 22 and 24 has been accompanied by a rise in positive access volume, indicating a potential divergence between price and volume. This suggests that prices may be on the verge of a rebound, supported by increasing buying activity. We will continue to observe this situation closely for EMPIRE.
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6
The Accumulated AV (access volume) since the initial listing reflects a positive trend, with total access accumulation reachi
The Accumulated AV (access volume) since the initial listing reflects a positive trend, with total access accumulation reaching 11.06 million shares as of yesterday. The recent price drop from RM1.05 to RM0.99 between points 22 and 24 has been accompanied by a rise in positive access volume, indicating a potential divergence between price and volume. This suggests that prices may be on the verge of a rebound, supported by increasing buying activity. We will continue to observe this situation closely for EMPIRE.
1
7
The selling down for EMPIRE seems curbed. It is possible that the recent decline possibly forming wave ((ii)) down. If true,
The selling down for EMPIRE seems curbed. It is possible that the recent decline possibly forming wave ((ii)) down. If true, prices may continue it's way up and stage a rebound. The risk of this view is, as written in our last update; if prices push below RM0.905 this wave count will be void and further downside can be expected.
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8
In The Mirror - Loudness (featuring Mike Vescera)
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9
Our weekly interval chart tracking access volume from March 9, 2026, to June 30, 2026, reveals a notable improvement characte
Our weekly interval chart tracking access volume from March 9, 2026, to June 30, 2026, reveals a notable improvement characterized by an increase in access buying volume, which aligns with the rising prices. Ultimately, the access buying volume registered at 10.58 million shares after accounting for the access selling volume of -8.24 million shares. This positive net volume indicates a strong bullish sentiment for PEKAT.
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10
PEKAT continues to show impressive resilience and a defensive nature, closing at RM1.72, which signals a potential strengthen
PEKAT continues to show impressive resilience and a defensive nature, closing at RM1.72, which signals a potential strengthening in prices. While it's still uncertain whether wave (iv) has concluded at RM1.11, we see any movement above RM1.72 as indicative of 'wave Ⓒ of b'. Despite the declining KLCI index and overall market sentiment, PEKAT's prices have remained robust, reaching a new high of RM1.72. This could represent a pivotal moment for the stock. We remain optimistic about PEKAT's trajectory, expecting 'wave Ⓒ of b' to target RM1.90 despite we acknowledge the possibility that our analysis may not be entirely accurate.
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11
We will look at PEKAT later..
358
12
My class is now open for registration. I will focus specifically on FCPO trading and the broader derivatives market and also
My class is now open for registration. I will focus specifically on FCPO trading and the broader derivatives market and also stock market.
369
13
Excess selling volume declined to -3,412 shares at Point 9 before reversing sharply to +16,937 shares in excess buying volume
Excess selling volume declined to -3,412 shares at Point 9 before reversing sharply to +16,937 shares in excess buying volume at Point 11. This signalled a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. Since then, excess buying volume has remained positive and stable while prices continued to trend higher. After prices recently reached RM0.865, excess buying volume began to ease, suggesting that Financial Market Participants (FMPs) may have started taking profits. This created an excess volume divergence, where buying momentum weakened despite prices continuing to rise. Nevertheless, from 6 March 2026 until last Friday, cumulative excess buying volume remained strong at 21,472,400 million shares. This indicates that overall buying interest in AMBEST is still intact and continues to support our bullish view towards RM1.00–RM1.13 target.
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14
If AMBEST is currently unfolding in wave (iv), prices may continue to move sideways and should hold above RM0.745. If a sidew
If AMBEST is currently unfolding in wave (iv), prices may continue to move sideways and should hold above RM0.745. If a sideways triangle develops, it could signal that prices are preparing for another move higher. Therefore, a break above RM0.94 is crucial, as it would invalidate the bearish outlook
364
15
We will look at AMBEST next. Stay tuned.
398
16
We have been tracking excess volume (buy volume minus sell volume) since 20 May 2026 to gauge the underlying buying and selli
We have been tracking excess volume (buy volume minus sell volume) since 20 May 2026 to gauge the underlying buying and selling pressure in SLVEST. From Point 1 to Point 7, excess selling increased from 503.9 to 3,857.9 even as prices continued to rise, indicating stronger selling into the rally. From Point 7 onwards, selling pressure gradually eased, with excess selling falling to 1,187.41 by Point 10 and further to 920.81 at Point 11. By Point 12, excess volume had turned positive at +1,389, signalling that buyers had regained control around RM3.01 level Since Point 15, buying interest has remained consistently positive, increasing further to 1,476.3 by Point 24, suggesting sustained accumulation. Overall, from 20 May 2026 until last Friday, cumulative excess buying reached 1,294,100 shares. After offsetting total buy and sell volume, net buying exceeded net selling by 1,294,100 shares, indicating that buying interest continues to dominate SLVEST and supports our constructive outlook.
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17
It is worth mentioning that SLVEST staged a sharp rebound last Friday, closing higher, rejecting the bearish scenario. The st
It is worth mentioning that SLVEST staged a sharp rebound last Friday, closing higher, rejecting the bearish scenario. The stock now appears to be holding firmly around or above RM3.01, showing signs of resilience. Despite the weakness in the KLCI Index, SLVEST has remained relatively defensive, suggesting that broader market weakness has failed to drag the stock lower. The increase in trading volume last Friday provides further evidence of renewed buying interest, which is helping to support prices at current levels. As highlighted in our previous report, we continue to maintain a bullish outlook for SLVEST, with an upside target of RM3.47 or potentially higher, provided the current support remains intact.
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18
My class is now open for registration. I will focus specifically on FCPO trading and the broader derivatives market. In this
My class is now open for registration. I will focus specifically on FCPO trading and the broader derivatives market. In this upcoming class, I will guide participants on understanding different types of volatility, position sizing techniques, and their application in risk management. We will also cover the concept of Risk of Ruin and how proper money management can help traders survive and grow over the long term. This class aims to provide practical knowledge that can be applied directly to the market.
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19
KJTS appears fragile and has been negatively affected by the recent weakening market sentiment. A break below RM0.72 could dr
KJTS appears fragile and has been negatively affected by the recent weakening market sentiment. A break below RM0.72 could drag prices towards RM0.66 and potentially open the door for a new low. Should this scenario unfold, we may cease coverage on KJTS, as the recent rally appears to be largely speculative in nature and lacks the fundamental strength or valuation support needed to justify a sustained upside move. For now, we remain cautious and will monitor the RM0.72 level closely.
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20
MNHLDGS has rejected the recent bearish scenario despite weakening overall market sentiment. The sharp rebound yesterday sugg
MNHLDGS has rejected the recent bearish scenario despite weakening overall market sentiment. The sharp rebound yesterday suggests that buyers are stepping in and regaining control of the trend. This positive price action indicates that MNHLDGS may be preparing for another advance towards the RM3.00 to RM3.20 region. A break above the recent all-time high of RM2.82 would likely strengthen the bullish case and open the door for further upside. For now, we remain upbeat on MNHLDGS. The strong rebound serves as an early warning that a meaningful rally could be developing, particularly if buying momentum continues to improve in the coming sessions.
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