Elliott Wave TheGM (Independent Research)
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频道帖子
Annoucement
To all my former and new students who wish to receive updates on the Malaysian stock market and stocks under my monitoring, you may contact me directly.
This page was originally intended particularly for my students. Due to recent circumstances, I have decided to privatise the channel and limit the detailed updates shared here.
The page may no longer be actively updated. Non-students who wish to continue receiving my latest market updates may also contact me directly.
I recently encountered a situation that made me uncomfortable and, for certain reasons, I am unable to explain the details publicly. As a precaution, the person involved has been blocked, and I will avoid similar situations going forward.
The KLCI Index update will be the final detailed analysis published on this channel. Moving forward, this channel will only be used to highlight new market updates without the detailed analysis provided previously.
Thank you for your understanding and continued support.
TheGM MSTA CEWA
31 August 2026
| 2 |  The class will start at the end of September. If you're interested, make sure to register before the class begins! | 297 |
| 3 |  Update - KLCI Index "Wave (ii)" in Progress
The recent sharp decline in the KLCI Index reflects shifting investor psychology, evident in the evolving Elliott Wave structure.
We have revised our wave count to align with current price action.
We view the recent sell-off as a wave (ii) correction, serving as necessary consolidation before the anticipated wave (iii) rally.
This remains valid despite the negative sentiment surrounding the ZETRIX limit-down sell-off.
If wave (ii) is nearing completion, the KLCI could soon reverse higher and initiate wave (iii), targeting 1,817 from the current wave (ii) low.
However, the critical level of 1,697 poses a risk. A decisive break below this level, especially under the 200-day moving average, could further weaken sentiment and heighten concerns among FMPs.
We expect the wave (ii) correction to remain contained, though the exact low cannot yet be confirmed. We will closely monitor the structure for signs of a potential reversal and the start of wave (iii). | 293 |
| 4 | Cinta Tak Bersyarat
Cinta tak bersyarat adalah wujud kasih sayang tertinggi yang diberikan secara tulus tanpa mengharapkan imbalan.
Konsep ini didasarkan pada penerimaan total terhadap pasangan, baik kelebihan maupun kekurangannya.
Dalam hubungan nyata, cinta ini berfokus pada kebahagiaan orang yang dicintai.
Seseorang yang mencintai tanpa syarat akan tetap bertahan dalam suka dan duka, bahkan rela melepaskan jika itu demi kebaikan bersama.
Keikhlasan inilah yang menjadi kekuatan utama.
Namun, cinta tak bersyarat bukan berarti mengorbankan diri secara buta.
Cinta yang sejati tetap memerlukan batasan diri agar tidak dimanfaatkan.
Pada akhirnya, cinta tak bersyarat adalah tentang kedewasaan emosional yang mendatangkan kedamaian batin bagi kedua belah pihak. | 279 |
| 5 |  ZETRIX – Technical Update from Elliott Wave Perspective
Whether ZETRIX can rebound or break below RM0.275 remains uncertain at this stage.
A decisive break below RM0.275 could open the door for further downside, with the next potential support level currently difficult to determine.
However, given the extent of the recent decline, ZETRIX may be approaching a potential bottoming phase.
Therefore, any attempt to initiate a long position at current levels should still be approached cautiously, with risk management remaining important as the bottom has yet to be confirmed. | 195 |
| 6 | ZETRIX: Impact on KLCI and Malaysian Market Sentiment
The recent collapse of ZETRIX occurred during a challenging time for the Malaysian market. On August 28, the FBM KLCI fell by 15.84 points (0.91%), closing at 1,725.88. Market breadth was notably weak, with 917 decliners compared to only 405 gainers, and trading volume surged to RM6.51 billion.
While ZETRIX's drop certainly contributed to the KLCI's decline, it is important to note that the sell-off was broad-based, particularly affecting utilities, financials, and other major sectors. ZETRIX, formerly known as MYEG, plummeted by 30 sen (50.4%) to RM0.295, losing nearly RM2.4 billion in market capitalization.
The stock was the most actively traded on Bursa Malaysia that day, with over one billion shares exchanged. In response, Bursa Malaysia issued an Unusual Market Activity (UMA) query and suspended intraday short selling.
The trigger for ZETRIX's limit down appears to be market rumors linking the company to corruption charges against former Human Resources Minister Datuk Seri M. Saravanan, who was charged on the same day regarding foreign-worker quotas. ZETRIX has denied any connection to Saravanan and stated that it was unaware of any other explanations for the unusual trading activity.
For foreign financial market participants (FMPs), corruption allegations create discomfort. Therefore, this uncertainty, if true, can affect Malaysia’s market valuation, despite its strong economic fundamentals and high-quality companies.
Our View
While we remain cautious, we are not overly pessimistic about Malaysia due to the ZETRIX incident. However, this situation serves as a reminder that corruption-related concerns are significant for foreign investors.
The crucial question now is whether the ZETRIX issue will remain isolated or develop into a broader confidence problem for Malaysian equities.
We will keep a close watch on ZETRIX, foreign fund flows, the Ringgit, and KLCI price movements. A decline in foreign participation or further weakness in major stocks could signal a spreading negative sentiment. Conversely, if ZETRIX stabilizes and the KLCI recovers, it would indicate that the market is moving past the immediate panic.
TheGM MSTA CEWA
29 Aug 2026 | 228 |
| 7 | Quick Update - Impact of FKLI August Month-End Close on KLCI Index
It is possible that the recent sharp decline in the KLCI Index may be influenced by the upcoming month-end close of the FKLI August contract.
While this volatility is notable, in our view it could be temporary and not indicative of a major sell-off.
Market sentiment can often fluctuate during contract rollovers, and we are monitoring the situation closely. We advise investors to remain cautious but to consider this decline in the context of typical market behavior around contract expirations.
FYI | 164 |
| 8 |  MNHLDG - Bullish Outlook in Bigger Picture
We started monitoring MNHLDG in April 2024 at RM0.645. Recently, the price reached around RM3.80, delivering approximately +489% capital gain — already demonstrating clear multibagger characteristics.
More importantly, the price appreciation has been supported by stronger revenue and improving quarterly net profit.
This makes MNHLDG increasingly a growth company, with its business, earnings and order book expanding.
The outlook remains encouraging, supported by growing demand from power infrastructure, data centres and related projects.
We remain bullish. MNHLDG could potentially develop into another ITMAX/KGB-type capital-gain story, provided earnings continue to compound strongly.
The first multibagger phase has happened. The next phase depends on whether earnings can continue to grow and justify higher valuations. | 323 |
| 9 |  MNHLDG - Bullish Outllok in Bigger Picture
We started monitoring MNHLDG in April 2024 at RM0.645. Recently, the price reached around RM3.80, delivering approximately +489% capital gain — already demonstrating clear multibagger characteristics.
More importantly, the price appreciation has been supported by stronger revenue and improving quarterly net profit.
This makes MNHLDG increasingly a growth company, with its business, earnings and order book expanding.
The outlook remains encouraging, supported by growing demand from power infrastructure, data centres and related projects.
We remain bullish. MNHLDG could potentially develop into another ITMAX/KGB-type capital-gain story, provided earnings continue to compound strongly.
The first multibagger phase has happened. The next phase depends on whether earnings can continue to grow and justify higher valuations. | 1 |
| 10 |  Quick Update - AMBEST "A Cautious Stance at Current Levels"
AMBEST reached a new all-time high of RM1.23 this morning.
Prices have rallied almost 29% above the 50MA, while the regression slope of 0.95 continues to support the bullish trend.
However, momentum has weakened sharply, falling from 44 to 5.41, suggesting that buying momentum has temporarily slowed despite the new high.
If a minor wedge or diagonal is confirmed, a short-term reversal or profit-taking could occur, potentially negating our RM1.30 target.
Nevertheless, if AMBEST remains defensive, any pullback could be limited and may hold above the 50MA.
For now, we maintain a 50/50 outlook. If overall market sentiment weakens further, AMBEST could also experience a temporary pullback.
We remain cautious but not bearish.
The key is whether prices can stay above the 50MA while momentum stabilises. | 278 |
| 11 |  'Wave (iii)' up should have ended at RM1.42, invalidating our projection target of RM1.46 that we mentioned a few days ago.
We believe the recent decline could mark the beginning of 'Wave (iv)' correction, which we have labelled as 'Wave a'.
If the MTTSL upside remains intact, any sell-down should be relatively limited or contained.
We are monitoring the situation closely and continue to remain bullish, with targets at RM1.46 and potentially higher towards RM1.58 in the near future.
The main risk to our bullish view is that continued deterioration in overall market sentiment could limit MTTSL's upside potential.
However, to reiterate, if MTTSL's underlying valuation is higher than its current market price, the stock should remain relatively defensive and resilient despite uncertain market conditions.
We will continue to monitor the price action closely and provide updates accordingly. | 280 |
| 12 | Gering - Terra Rossa
Lagu "Gering" oleh Terra Rossa adalah sebuah karya rock balada yang menggambarkan penderitaan emosi dan keretakan sebuah hubungan cinta yang sudah tidak dapat diselamatkan lagi.
Pada pengakhirannya, lagu "Gering" membawa mesej tentang pasrah dan berserah kepada takdir. Apabila segala usaha memujuk tidak lagi membuahkan hasil, watak utama memilih untuk melepaskan hubungannya yang tenat itu kepada "sang bayu" bersama doa, dengan harapan agar ada keajaiban yang mampu menjadi penawar kepada kelukaan hatinya. | 360 |
| 13 |  Quick Update - AMBEST "Bullish Outlook"
AMBEST continues to hold well, with a strong regression slope of 0.95 supporting the underlying bullish trend.
The positive slope indicates that prices are maintaining a healthy upward trajectory, suggesting that buying interest remains supportive.
If the current momentum persists, AMBEST could continue to strengthen and potentially close higher over the coming sessions above RM1.20.
A sustained move higher would further reinforce the bullish structure.
We maintain a bullish outlook with RM1.30 as the next target, based on the 1.618 Fibonacci expansion.
Any short-term consolidation or pullback should be monitored as long as the broader upward structure remains intact. | 324 |
| 14 |  Quick Update - IJM "Potential Bullish Outlook Ahead"
IJM is attempting to break above the RM2.89 resistance.
A sustained move higher could invalidate the current wave c of (d) triangle structure and strengthen the bullish scenario towards RM3.02.
A close above RM2.89, particularly around RM2.95, would provide stronger confirmation that the triangle structure has been negated and that further upside could follow.
If this scenario materialises, we will revise the Elliott Wave count and provide an updated outlook with a more bullish projection. | 278 |
| 15 |  The Bursa Construction Index rose this morning, supporting IJM, which gained RM0.03 to RM2.89.
As highlighted in our previous update, the strengthening Construction Index could continue to provide a positive catalyst for the Malaysian equity market, helping to sustain the current upbeat sentiment.
The continued strength in construction stocks, including IJM, supports our view that the sector could play an important role in driving the broader market higher. | 671 |
| 16 |  JTGROUP - Bullish Outlook
JTGROUP maintains a strong bullish outlook, demonstrating significant momentum as the regression slope and R² rise to 8.24.
This indicates that the underlying uptrend is strengthening.
Currently, prices are on the verge of breaking above the RM1.00 psychological resistance.
A decisive break and close above RM1.00 could pave the way towards our next target at RM1.10.
The improving regression slope and R² further affirm the ongoing momentum, suggesting that the current advance is well established.
If buying interest persists, JTGROUP could extend its rally to higher levels.
Overall, we sustain a bullish outlook on JTGROUP, with RM1.10 identified as the immediate upside target. | 350 |
| 17 |  Quick Update - MTTSL
Rising volatility and momentum continue to support MTTSL, which reached a new record high of RM1.42 yesterday.
MTTSL remains bullish and has surpassed the 1.618 Fibonacci expansion level.
Moving forward, it is not impossible for MTTSL to rally towards RM1.46 or higher for minor wave (iii) up.
The rally in MTTSL also aligns with the new high of the Bursa Transportation Index, which has broken above the February high of 2026.
MTTSL could be readjusting its fair valuation, aligning with our expectations for a potential multibagger company that could unfold two to three times from the current level. | 314 |
| 18 |  We continue to be optimistic and bullish on OXB.
We expect prices may soon push above the recent all-time high of RM0.51 and register new highs again, towards RM0.60.
A push and break above RM0.51 could further lift prices higher.
Rising volatility and momentum at higher levels currently may support the bullish view on OXB.
That said, we acknowledge that our analysis could be incorrect.
However, we remain bullish as long as prices hold above RM0.40 or above the trendline. | 324 |
| 19 |  KLCI Index and MYR Update
Foreign clients may be increasing their exposure to Malaysian equities following the recent strengthening of the MYR.
The chart above shows a positive correlation between MYR and KLCI, suggesting that a stronger Ringgit could further support the index.
Foreign institutional funds can benefit from both stock gains and currency gains.
If Malaysian equities rise while the MYR strengthens against the USD, foreign investors can potentially earn from both markets.
Therefore, continued MYR strength could encourage further foreign interest in Malaysian equities.
However, MYR strength alone does not confirm foreign buying, as currency movements are also affected by interest rates, USD movements and global market conditions.
As we remain bullish on the KLCI, a stronger MYR could provide additional support.
A break above the recent 1,771 resistance could further strengthen the bullish outlook and potentially extend the projected wave iii higher. | 355 |
| 20 |  KJTS experienced a decline due to profit-taking activity after reaching a high of RM1.16 last week.
On August 20, 2026, KJTS reported a revenue of MYR 55.906 million and a profit of MYR 4.434 million for the quarter ending March 31, 2026, which should be regarded positively.
From an Elliott Wave (EW) perspective, the recent sell-off could represent a wave ((iv)) correction.
If this is true, the downside should be contained above RM0.935.
Should prices consolidate in a sideways movement or form a triangle, a rally may occur once the correction ends.
Since the wave ((iii)) high at RM1.16 is less than the theoretical projection of the 1.618 Fibonacci expansion, we expect wave ((v)) to extend, with targets of RM1.29 or higher.
The consolidation phase for wave ((iv)) will likely take time, and we anticipate prices will be trapped in a sideways range for a period.
However, if prices fall below RM0.935, the bullish outlook will be challenged, potentially altering the overall bullish projection for KJTS. | 326 |
