The 3rd Wave
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DISCLAIMER :- I'm not a SEBI registered analyst, all my views and charts are only for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for any kind of Loss or I have no share in your Profits. Before taking any position consult your financial advisor.
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پستهای کانال
POSITIONAL WEEKLY SWING STOCKS :
Fresh Start
ENTRY :
1. ATHERENERG
2. KAPSTON
3. RPTECH
PORTFOLIO :
1. ATHERENERG
2. KAPSTON
3. RPTECH
NEXT REBALANCING ON 10-08-2026
| 2 | The Top 3 ETFs for the coming week.
EXIT : MOCAPITAL
ENTRY : HEALTHIETF
3 ETFs for the coming week.
HEALTHIETF
PHARMABEES
AUTOBEES | 85 |
| 3 | Nifty 50 – Weekly Chart Analysis ( 31 July 2026 )
This week's candle has improved the technical picture. The market continues to consolidate, but buyers have regained some control after defending support.
Overall View
Bias: Neutral to Bullish
The larger structure remains constructive. After several weeks of sideways movement, the latest candle suggests that buyers are attempting to build a base for the next move higher.
Candlestick Analysis
The latest weekly candle has formed a bullish recovery candle with a long lower shadow.
Buyers successfully defended the 23,700–23,900 support zone.
Although Nifty is still below the key resistance at 24,277–24,350, the rejection from lower levels is a positive sign.
Price Structure
Nifty has been consolidating in a tight range for nearly seven weeks.
The sequence of higher lows remains intact, indicating gradual accumulation.
Volatility has contracted, which often precedes a strong directional move.
Trendline Analysis
Price continues to hold above the long-term rising trendline (green), preserving the broader bullish trend.
The falling trendline from the recent high is still acting as resistance.
A breakout above 24,350, followed by 24,770, would confirm the next leg of the uptrend.
RSI
Weekly RSI has moved back above 50 (around 52).
This indicates that momentum has shifted back in favour of the bulls.
RSI is neither overbought nor oversold, leaving room for further upside.
MACD
MACD remains above the signal line and is gradually improving.
Momentum is positive, although not yet strong enough to confirm a powerful breakout.
Key Levels
Resistance
24,277–24,350 (Immediate)
24,770 (Major breakout level)
25,835–26,170 (Long-term targets)
Support
23,900
23,700
23,400
22,250 (Major structural support)
Probable Scenarios :
Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability)
Weekly close above 24,350 confirms strength.
Sustained move above 24,770 can trigger a rally toward:
25,200
25,835
26,170–26,370
Bearish Scenario
Failure to hold 23,700 may lead to a retest of 23,400.
A weekly close below 23,400 would weaken the medium-term outlook. | 117 |
| 4 |  Nifty Weekly | 107 |
| 5 | 📊 MAK CAPITAL — Growing Wealth Together
Morning Desk Research
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📅 31 July 2026 | EOD Data (Previous Session: 30 Jul)
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💰 FII & DII Cash Activity
🔹 FII Cash: ₹ +3,623.51 Cr 🟢
🔹 DII Cash: ₹ −1,864.03 Cr 🔴
A notable divergence today — FIIs stayed strong buyers for the 2nd straight session (+₹3,624 Cr), but DIIs turned net sellers, likely booking profits after the recent rally. On F&O, FIIs remain net short on index futures (1,86,612 contracts) while adding to both call and put shorts — a hedged, cautious posture layered on top of aggressive cash buying. This FII-led, DII-light combination is unusual and worth watching.
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📈 Market Snapshot
🔸 NIFTY: 24,317.15 🟢 +67 (+0.28%)
🔸 SENSEX: 77,928.15 🟢 +273 (+0.35%)
🔸 INDIA VIX: 12.03 🟡 flat, range-bound
Fifth straight session of gains, but a much smaller move than Wednesday's rally — banking names saw profit booking (Bank Nifty flat at 57,147.50) even as IT extended its winning streak. VIX holding near 12 keeps volatility expectations muted.
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🎯 OI-Based Support & Resistance (04 Aug expiry)
🟢 Support: 24,000 (Highest Put OI)
🔴 Resistance: 24,600 (Highest Call OI)
📍 PCR: 1.29
⚡ Key Flag: Resistance has now shifted decisively higher — from 24,200 last week to 24,600 today — as call writers keep rolling up rather than defending. PCR at 1.29 shows put writers firmly in control, reinforcing 24,000 as a strong floor. Wide 600-point range gives room for continuation without technical overhead nearby.
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🎯 Bottom Line
Five consecutive up-days with FIIs buying for a second straight session is a strong structural signal, even though today's DII selling (−₹1,864 Cr) and the smaller point gain suggest the pace of the rally is cooling. The OI resistance climbing to 24,600 (from 24,200 just two sessions ago) confirms option writers are chasing price higher, not fighting it — a healthy trait in an uptrend. Watch 24,000 as the key support to hold; a break would flag the first real crack in this five-day run. Bias: Bullish, but pace moderating — global cues (crude above $90, USD/INR near 95.6) are the swing factors to track into the weekend.
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⚠️ For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Please consult your financial advisor.
Mandarr A Kashikar
MAK Capital — Growing Wealth Together | 120 |
| 6 | No point fighting with this kind of market. | 120 |
| 7 | The market will turn weak again below 23231. | 130 |
| 8 | Nifty strong above 24301 | 134 |
| 9 | Nifty weak below 24221 | 139 |
| 10 |  Nifty Wave Counts.... | 156 |
| 11 | 🇮🇳 NIFTY 50 — ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS
📅 29 July 2026 | 📍 24,250.20
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🌊 WHERE ARE WE?
Wave ④ correction completed near 21,600 in April 2026. Since then, Wave (1) rallied to ~24,500, and Wave (2) has now completed its correction. We are at the start of the powerful Wave (3) rally toward fresh highs.
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📍 PRIMARY COUNT
Wave (2) has completed its correction. Wave (3) — the strongest wave in the sequence — is now underway from current levels, targeting 25,067–25,969.
🔄 SECONDARY COUNT (Red Curve)
An alternate possibility exists where price rolls over into a rounding-top decline (red curve) before Wave (3) truly begins — essentially a delayed/extended Wave (2) still playing out via a slow grind lower, eventually finding support in the 23,100–23,628 zone before the real Wave (3) rally starts.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🚨 LINE IN THE SAND
➡️ 22,727 must hold
❌ Break below = deeper Wave ④ retest
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🎯 KEY LEVELS
🔴 Support (if secondary plays out): 23,100–23,628
🟡 Confirmation: Close above 24,500
📈 Target 1: 25,067 (Wave 3=1 equality)
🚀 Target 2: 25,969 (Wave 3 extended)
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📊 SCENARIOS
✅ Primary (60%) — Wave (2) done, Wave (3) launches straight from here → 25,067–25,969
🟡 Secondary/Red Curve (25%) — Rounding-top drift lower first → support at 23,100–23,628 → then Wave (3) begins
⚠️ Risk Case (15%) — Break below 22,727 → deeper retest of Wave ④ low
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💡 BOTTOM LINE
Primary count says Wave (2) is over and Wave (3) is starting now — targeting 25,000–26,000. Keep an eye on price action; a rounding-top drift lower would confirm the secondary path instead. As long as 22,727 holds, the bigger bullish picture stays intact. 🙏
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⚠️ For educational purposes only. Not investment advice. Consult your SEBI-registered advisor before investing.
Mandarr A Kashikar
📊 MAK Capital — Growing Wealth Together | 158 |
| 12 | Here onwards if I post any nifty swing update, kindly consider it for the day only. Nothing works in gap-up and gap- down. | 152 |
| 13 | Markets are up and stable but portfolios are bleeding. | 180 |
| 14 | POSITIONAL SWING STOCKS
NH CMP 2054
STRICT SL 1943
TGT 2210-2300-2420
GRWRHITECH CMP 7160
STRICT SL 6674
TGT 7800-10140
SKYGOLD CMP 672
STRICT SL 644
TGT 725-930-1195 | 209 |
| 15 | Laurus Lab 1700+ | 195 |
| 16 | 🇮🇳 NIFTY 50 — ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS
📅 25 July 2026 | 📍 23,767.45
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🌊 WHERE ARE WE?
Nifty is inside the powerful Wave III of the larger bull cycle. Wave ④ correction completed near 21,600–22,700 in March 2026. From there, sub-wave (1) rallied, and we're now in sub-wave (2) — a healthy pullback before the next big push (sub-wave 3) toward the final Wave ⑤ of III.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🚨 LINE IN THE SAND
➡️ 22,727 must hold
❌ Break below 21,600 = Wave ④ count fails
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🎯 KEY LEVELS
🔴 Support: 23,106–23,392 (Wave 2 zone)
🟡 Confirmation: Close above 23,972
📈 Target 1: 25,000–26,000
🚀 Long Term: 28,000+ (Wave ⑤ of III)
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📊 SCENARIOS
✅ Bull (65%) — Wave (2) bottoms near 23,100–23,400 → breakout above 23,972 launches sub-wave (3) → 25,000–26,000 → eventually 28,000+
⚠️ Bear (20%) — Break of 22,727 reopens deeper test toward 21,600
⏳ Sideways (15%) — Range 23,100–24,300 before resolving up
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💡 BOTTOM LINE
Wave (2) is nearing completion. As long as 22,727 holds, the path favors a fresh rally toward 25,000–26,000, with 28,000+ firmly in sight for Wave III. 🙏
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⚠️ For educational purposes only. Not investment advice. Consult your SEBI-registered advisor before investing.
Mandarr A Kashikar
📊 MAK Capital — Growing Wealth Together | 254 |
| 17 |  +1Nifty Wave Counts : | 207 |
| 18 | Nifty 50 – Weekly Chart Analysis.
The latest weekly candle has shifted the short-term bias slightly in favor of the bears, but the larger trend is still one of consolidation rather than a confirmed downtrend.
Overall View
Bias: Neutral to Slightly Bearish (Short Term)
Primary Trend: Long-term Bullish structure remains intact.
Candlestick Analysis.
The latest weekly candle is a strong bearish candle, closing near the week's low.
Sellers defended the 24,277–24,350 resistance zone once again.
This marks another rejection from the upper end of the consolidation range, indicating that buyers are still struggling to regain momentum.
Price Structure
The index has been moving sideways for nearly 6–7 weeks, forming a rectangle/congestion pattern.
Multiple rejections near 24,300–24,350.
Buyers continue to defend the 23,700–23,900 area.
This indicates a market waiting for a trigger before making its next major move.
Trendline Analysis
Nifty is still trading above the major rising trendline (green), which keeps the broader bullish structure intact.
However, it remains below the falling resistance trendline, so the breakout has been delayed.
Until one of these levels is decisively broken, expect range-bound movement.
RSI
Weekly RSI has slipped to around 44.6.
This shows weakening momentum but is not oversold.
Momentum has cooled rather than collapsed.
MACD
MACD remains close to the signal line.
Momentum is flattening, reflecting the lack of a clear trend.
A bearish crossover would increase the probability of further weakness.
Key Levels
Resistance
24,277–24,350 (Immediate)
24,770 (Major)
25,800 (Next major target after breakout)
Support
23,700–23,900 (Immediate)
23,400 (Strong)
22,250 (Major structural support)
Probable Scenarios
Bullish Case (40%)
Weekly close above 24,350.
Follow-through above 24,770.
Targets: 25,200 → 25,800 → 26,150+.
Bearish Case (60%)
Sustained trade below 23,700.
Targets: 23,400, followed by 22,250 if selling intensifies.
MAK Capital Weekly Summary
View: Neutral to Slightly Bearish
CMP: ~23,767
Accumulation Zone: 23,500–23,800
Weekly Stop Loss: 23,400 (closing basis)
Resistance: 24,277 → 24,350 → 24,770
Support: 23,700 → 23,400 → 22,250
Strategy: The market remains in a consolidation phase. Avoid chasing breakouts before confirmation. Continue accumulating fundamentally strong stocks in tranches on declines. A decisive weekly close above 24,350 would improve the outlook significantly, while a close below 23,400 would warrant a more defensive stance. | 241 |
| 19 |  Nifty Weekly | 178 |
| 20 | Nifty took support on exactly 61.8 fib retracement as posted with a chart in the morning. Nifty rebounded and trimmed the morning losses. While the bank nifty close positively. | 209 |
