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#BTC 107K #ETH 3863$

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We started the new trading week with a hiccup. Bitcoin has already shown growth above its range. As always, starting Monday with a hiccup is a bad sign. After all, Mondays often become days of false growth.

BTC has broken out of the descending wedge upwards, a bullish signal. The immediate target is $115,000–$118,000, after which a correction to $105,000–$102,000 is likely. The RSI shows that the market is already slightly overheated. BTC.D will likely rise on the subsequent BTC correction.

BTC can rise to 110 thousandπŸ”Ί and fall to 100 thousand 98 thousandπŸ”»!

Key Triggers of the Week (October 20–24, 2025) πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Monday – China GDP and Base Rate Expectation: Moderate GDP growth β‰ˆ 4.5–4.7%. Risks: A weak figure will hit the stock and commodity markets β†’ puts pressure on BTC and altcoins. Positive: If GDP is > 5%, the "risk-on" will intensify – short-term growth in TOTAL and ETH. πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Tuesday – Lagarde (ECB) The ECB will likely confirm a rate pause. Soft signals β†’ rising EUR/USD β†’ weakening DXY β†’ support for BTC. Harsh statements β†’ pressure on the crypto market. πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Wednesday – UK CPI and Oil Inventories A rise in the UK CPI could heighten inflation fears β†’ markets are cautious. Oil inventories ↑ β†’ cooling US inflation β†’ positive for markets. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Thursday – Benefits and the Fed Balance Sheet Rising job applications β†’ cooling labor market β†’ greater chance of a Fed rate cut β†’ positive for BTC. Fed Balance Sheet: if it increases, liquidity is returning β†’ asset growth. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Friday – US CPI + PMI (EU/US) The main day of the week. CPI below forecast β†’ the market is pricing in a rate cut soon β†’ BTC and ETH are rising. Higher CPI β†’ stronger dollar β†’ crypto correction. PMI below 50 β†’ signs of recession, investors flee to hard assets (BTC, gold). πŸ“Š Likely scenarios: ScenarioCPI / macro dataMarket reactionBTC target 🟒 OptimisticCPI < forecast, weak bids, dovish Fed statementsLiquidity growth, BTC/ETH recovering$112k–$115k 🟠 NeutralCPI as forecast, no surprisesConsolidation$105k–$110k πŸ”΄ NegativeCPI higher, Fed tough talkDXY strengthening, altcoins falling$97k–$100k

BTC 114k-117kπŸ”Ί
BTC 114k-117kπŸ”Ί

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A cup-and-handle pattern is forming, indicating a possible upward breakout and increased Bitcoin market share. If the price consolidates above 60.5–61%, a rise to 63% is likely, signaling a correction in altcoins and a shift in liquidity into BTC. If the dominance drops below 58.5%, the scenario changesβ€”the alt season will begin.

ETH
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ETH

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A major player begins to suppress the price with a large order of 1000 BTC. The immediate breakout target is 110k, falling to
A major player begins to suppress the price with a large order of 1000 BTC. The immediate breakout target is 110k, falling to 108k and then 105k. I believe this scenario will play out in the next 1-3 days.

Bitcoin Realized Price 54900 If the market were to go down for one year, would you buy your entire deposit at 54900? πŸ”₯ = YES
Bitcoin Realized Price 54900 If the market were to go down for one year, would you buy your entire deposit at 54900? πŸ”₯ = YES! πŸ‘ = NO, I'd buy even lower!

ETH 1-limit order for spot at $3,300 2-limit order for spot at $2,800
ETH 1-limit order for spot at $3,300 2-limit order for spot at $2,800

The US is considering imposing a 500% tariff on China for purchasing Russian oil. According to US Treasury Secretary Bessent, 85 out of 100 senators support Trump's initiative.

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Bitcoin is trading at a high price! Only available on COINBASE. Binance looks like it's ready to dive down
Bitcoin is trading at a high price! Only available on COINBASE. Binance looks like it's ready to dive down

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Due to the shutdown in America, today's news on inflation data has been cancelled.