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5 045
Repost from N/a
Cappers started picking up some action on the under. Given that public is on the over, and under would be a preferred outcome for the book, might be worth a shot!
5 045
Repost from N/a
A great read by The Sharp Plays
Washington/Michigan Public Money Splits
I don't use that fucking bullshit ticket and money percentages to derive these numbers or use the same methodology of those bullshit providers.
I go into the market for the same at two global sportsbooks I work with. I sort all the bettors rated as public by the book who are involved in the market. I then get a graphic that shows me of the money in the market I am analyzing...here is the percentage of the money placed by public rated bettors on one side versus the other (side and total).
All those fucking idiots out there who do the....58% of tickets are on Michigan and 61% of money is on Washington....HOW DOES THAT HELP?!?! It doesn't. Do you know if those tickets or that money is mostly public or sharp? You can't assume because DraftKings or MGM put out the numbers that those are all squares. Sharps use beards all the time and well at domestic books to get action down. Beards are square (losing) bettors who will put down action for someone else and that action gets masked because overall the bettor placing it is a loser.
With that said, here are the public dollar percentages averaged at two global offshore books on the wagers shown...
Spread: Washington 60% (This morning Michigan was 54%)
Huge public money came in and swung to Washington this afternoon.
Moneyline: Washington 53%
Because Washington is plus money, the impact would be greater than the 53% might illustrate on a Washington outright win.
Total: OVER 64%
The best outcome changed from this morning and now it is a Michigan win and cover...but the UNDER remains the key on the total for the book. Sharp money leans small to UNDER, but at 56.5...very tiny at current 56 price. Sharp money is mixed/flat on the side. Not enough to offset the Washington public money in terms of book need level.
Remember, just because the book wants something to hit does not mean it will hit.
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NEWCOMER CAPPERS
ICEBOXPICKS:
Washington +5 2u
JRB:
January 8th
NCAAF 3U Parlay 🚨
Michigan ML
Over 46.5
NBA
Thunder -10(2 units)
NCAAF Props(All 1U)
1Q over 12.5
Penix over 4.5 rushing yards
Michigan winning margin 1-13(+190)
NBAONEBET:
JORDAN POOLE OV 14.5 PTS
FRED VANVLEET OV 16.5 PTS
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Repost from N/a
#benderwins
EARLY NFL
(1 UNIT) LAR +145
(1 UNIT GB/DAL OVER 49.5
CFB
(HALF UNIT) WAS/MICH UNDER 56.5
NBA
(1 UNIT) OKC/WAS OVER 246.5
(1 UNIT) CHI/CHA OVER 216
(HALF UNIT) IND +4
(QUARTER UNIT) OKC -11
NBA PROPS
(QUARTER UNIT) BAM ADEBAYO (MIA) ASSISTS UNDER 4.5 -140 (DK)
(QUARTER UNIT) TYRESE HALIBURTON (IND) ASSISTS OVER 11.5 - 110 (MGM)
NHL
(1 UNIT) COL -122
(HALF UNIT) PIT -119
(HALF UNIT) BOS/COL UNDER 6.5 -115
(HALF UNIT) NYR -145
(HALF UNIT) VAN/NYR OVER 6.5
(QUARTER UNIT DAL -135
PARLAY (NHL)
1. (QUARTER UNIT) PIT ML/COL ML +234
CBB
(QUARTER UNIT) NC CENTRAL -1
(QUARTER UNIT) NORFOLK STATE/NC CENTRAL OVER 138.5
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#platinumlocks
Platinum VIP- Daily Card
VIP PLAYS
Michigan -4.5 (5u)
Parlay: Mich -4.5/ Monmouth -2.5 (ncaab) (1.5u)
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Most cappers cannot skip this game, so let's see what cappers are on what sides today!
TEAM MICHIGAN:
Midwest Mike
RunMyBets
SharpPicks
DeadPresPicks
AnalyticsCapper
Smart Money Sports
Rhino
Five
TEAM WASHINGTON:
Duck Investments
Cody Covers
Parlay Safari
Pardon My Pick (5U MAX)
IceBox
Who you taking today? I personally feel like skipping this game and finding something in NBA or NCAAB.
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Pardon My Pick
5U CFB MAX WHALEPLAY
WASHINGTON +5
1U ON EACH
NBA PACERS +3
NBA ROCKETS +4
NHL PENGUINS ML
#PMP
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SUNDAY RECAP
Last day of NFL regular season! I'll miss it! Everyone was on Bears for some reason - not even close! But overall it was a decent day for cappers.
National Championship! Everyone will be focused on that game, because it is hype! But it's not obligatory to bet that game, you know. Might skip it or make a live bet. Gonna be looking for plays in the NBA or CBB.
Tier 1 plays went 1-0-1 for +0.83 units. Daily Report channel recap: t.me/+13oxTzxvA7JjMDhi
DM me @realdeal666 with any questions.
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🚨 CAPPERS CONSENSUS:
NFL: BEARS +3
Tailing?
Consensus is 99-82-4 overall since we started tracking it:
NFL: 7-11-1
NCAAB: 13-12
NBA: 22-11-1
NCAAF: 9-7-2
MLB: 51-36
NHL: 4-7
BOXING/UFC: 1-4
Cappers consensus performance dropped down to 54%. Given the odds most of the times are juiced.
Good luck if you tail or fade!
#cc
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#midwestmike
BEARS +3 -125
7 UNIT
🏈 PLAY OF THE DAY
7-PT TEASER
BENGALS -1.5
RAMS @ 49ERS UNDER 48
5 UNIT
🏈 PLAY OF THE DAY
BILLS -2.5 -120
5 UNIT
🏈 PLAY OF THE DAY
PANTHERS +4.5 -120
5 UNIT
🏈 PLAY OF THE DAY
7-PT TEASER
FALCONS +10
PANTHERS +11
5 UNIT
🏈 PLAY OF THE DAY
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#codycovers NFL primetime play
NFL 01/07
Bills ML
18-8-1 on Monday Night Football
13-7 on Thursday Night Football
7-11 on Sunday Night Football
👍 — Tailing
👎 — Fading / skipping
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The Pick Don #TPD
NFL SUNDAY PICKS 🏈
Vikings/Lions O47
1 unit (1:00 EST)
Panthers +4.5
1 unit (1:00 EST)
Seahawks -3
1 unit (4:25 EST)
Rams/49ers U41*
1 unit (4:25 EST)
Chargers -3
1 unit (4:25 EST)
Take each play straight. Bet to win 3-5% of your betting bankroll.
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#parlaysafari (20-16 | +18.5% ROI)
CBB
2pm St Peter's -1.5 -110 (1u)
Vs Mt St Mary's
730pm Michigan St -3 -110 (1u)
Vs Northwestern
NBA
6pm Magic +2 -110 (1u)
Vs Hawks
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PardonMyPick
5U NFL MAX WHALEPLAY
BUCS -4
3U NFL POD
BILLS ML
1U ON EACH NFL
SAINTS -3
GIANTS +5
PACKERS ML
#PMP
