Cappers' Intel
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Highest public concentrations...
🏈 Tampa Bay & KC/LAC OVER
🏀 Minnesota & MIN/DAL OVER
🏀 Memphis & Mich St/NW OVER
🏒 Calgary & DET/ANA UNDER
⚠️These are not designed as fades...just showing where there is likely no value due to large levels of public betting.
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Cappers will be screaming "MUST WIN MUST WIN" today. We've seen this before, we see this now. The problem for casual gamblers is that they approach the “must win” teams as though books are unaware of these scenarios and have not already screwed the odds on the “must win” angles (spreads and moneylines). Of course, when public rushes to blind bet all those must win angles, books adjust and set zero or negative value on these angles.
Be careful betting on the “must win” teams because “must win” doesn’t mean “will cover" or “will win”.
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Smart Money Sports (14-16 | -0.5% ROI)
NCAAB
Michigan Wolverines -3.5 -110 (1u, 12:00e)
NFL
Atlanta Falcons +3 -110 (2u, 1:00e)
Dallas Cowboys -13 -110 (2u, 4:00e)
Philadelphia Eagles -5 -110 (2u, 4:00e)
Green Bay Packers ML -150 (1u, 4:00e)
Miami Dolphins +3 -110 (2u, 8:00e)
Falcons ML +140 for 1u
Dolphins ML +140 for 1u
2 Team Parlay (3u to win 3.85u) (Michigan is tomorrow night)
Jaguars ML -205
Michigan -190
#SMS
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#benderwins
EARLY NFL
(1 UNIT) GB/CHI UNDER 44.5
NFL (SUNDAY)
1. (2 UNITS) CHI +3
2. (1 UNIT) DEN +3 -107
3. (1 UNIT) ATL/NO OVER 41.5
4. (HALF UNIT) DAL/WAS UNDER 47
5. (HALF UNIT) CLE/CIN UNDER 37.5
6. (HALF UNIT) MIA+3 -120 (BETUS BEST LINE)
7. (HALF UNIT) MIN/DET OVER 45.5
8. (QUARTER UNIT) MIN +3.5
9. (QUARTER UNIT) TB/CAR UNDER 37.5
10. (QUARTER UNIT) TB TEAM TOTAL UNDER 21.5 -115 (DK BEST LINE)
11. (QUARTER UNIT) CAR +4.5
12. (QUARTER UNIT) WAS-13-114
13. (QUARTER UNIT) LAC ML-185
14. (QUARTER UNT) TEN +35
15. (QUARTER UNIT) ATL +3
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NFL PLAYOFF CONTENTION
Let's see what scenarios suit each team before the final gameday.
Who has already clinched Playoffs:
AFC (4/7): Baltimore, Miami, Kansas City, Cleveland.
NFC (5/7): San Francisco, Dallas, Detroit, Philadelphia, LA Rams
What every team in the AFC needs to make the playoffs:
BUFFALO
A win over Miami OR a Jacksonville loss.
JACKSONVILLE
A win over Tennessee OR a Denver loss.
What every team in the NFC needs to make the playoffs:
TAMPA BAY
A win over Carolina.
NEW ORLEANS.
A win over Atlanta AND a Tampa Bay loss
A win over Atlanta AND simultaneous Seattle and Green Bay losses
ATLANTA
A win over New Orleans AND Tampa Bay loss.
GREEN BAY
A win over Chicago
Without a win over Chicago, they need both Minnesota and Seattle as well as either Tampa or New Orleans to lose.
SEATTLE
A win over Arizona AND a Green Bay loss.
MINNESOTA
A win over Detroit AND simultaneous Green Bay, Seattle and one of the Tampa Bay/New Orleans losses.
The championship titles in the South Divisions will be decided by playoff contention, and separately, the champions in the East Divisions will still be determined.
BUFFALO vs MIAMI
The winner of this game will win the AFC East division.
DALLAS or PHILADELPHIA
Dallas will win the NFC East if they beat Washington. If Dallas loses, then the odds favor Philadelphia, who will play the NY Giants
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SATURDAY RECAP
The tables have turned — losing cappers won, winning cappers lost. Except for #fivestar — their CBB is trash as always.
YDC bounced back with a sweep, PMP cashed a Max play, Stonecold went 3-0, Bender cashed his 2U play, all in all there was plenty of opportunities. As well as some big Ls (there were some big plays from cappers on Colts).
Tier 1 plays went 0-2 for -2 units. We had Flyers/Flames over 5.5 and Colts +1.5. Shoulda left both for live bets! Oh well, moving on. Focused on the NFL today. Seeing some action on Bears +3.5 already 👀
DM me @realdeal666 with any questions.
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#JRB
Saturday 1/6
NFL 4U SLAM SPOT🚨🚨
RAVENS +3.5
NFL 2U Bets
Steelers-Ravens under 36
Texans -1
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Repost from N/a
#BENDERWINS
NHL (SAT)
1. (2 UNITS) TOR/SJ UNDER 6.5 -115
2. (1 UNIT) COL -135
3. (HALF UNIT) NYR -212
4. (HALF UNIT) BOS -154
5. (QUARTER UNIT) NYI +135
6. (QUARTER UNIT) STL +160
7. (QUARTER UNIT) CGY -105
EARLY NFL (GIVEN OUT OUT EARLIER, DO NOT REBET)
1. (1 UNIT) GB/CHI UNDER 44.5
2. (1 UNIT) PIT/BAL UNDER 36.5
3. (QUARTER UNIT) BAL TEAM TOTAL UNDER 17.5 -155 (DK)
NFL (SAT)
1. (QUARTER UNIT) HOU/IND UNDER 47.5
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Smart Money Sports
Clemson Tigers -3.5 -105 (1u, 12:00e)
Kentucky Wildcats Over 168.5 -110 (2u, 12:30e)
Houston Cougars -21 -110 (1u, 2:00e)
Creighton Bluejays -11 -110 (2u, 2:00e)
Wake Forest Demon Deacons -4 -105 (1u, 2:00e)
USC Trojans -5 -110 (1u, 4:00e)
Pittsburgh Steelers Over 34.5 -110 (2u, 4:30e)
Tennessee Volunteers -11.5 -110 (1u, 6:00e)
Indianapolis Colts +2 -110 (1u, 8:00e)
#SMS
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PardonMyPick
5U NBA MAX WHALEPLAY
KNICKS -8
3U NFL POD
TEXANS ML
1U NHL
GOLDEN KNIGHTS ML
1 UNFL 7 POINT TEASER
RAVENS+10
OVER 28
#PMP
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#parlaysafari
230pm Florida -3 -110 (1u) vs Kentucky
2pm Providence +11.5 -110 (2u) vs Creighton
2pm North Texas -5 -110 (2u) vs Tulane
2pm Auburn -2.5 -110 (1u) vs Arkansas
3pm James Madison -7 -110 (1u) vs Southern Miss
4pm San Diego St -8.5 -110 (2u) vs UNLV
6pm Tennessee -11.5 -110 (1u) vs Ole Miss
7pm Nevada -6 -110 (1u) vs Fresno
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#duckinvestments (14-10 | +8.8% ROI)
Guaranteed Picks
Marquette Golden Eagles -5
Straight Picks
Missouri Tigers ML
Florida Gators ML
Iowa Hawkeyes -6.5
Parlay
Marquette Golden Eagles -5
Missouri Tigers ML
Parlay
Florida Gators ML
Iowa Hawkeyes -6.5
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🤠Highest public concentrations...
🏈Houston & HOU/IND OVER
🏀NY Knicks & MIL/HOU OVER
🏀Kansas & Providence/Creighton OVER
🏒Boston & VAN/NJ OVER
⚠️These are not designed as fades...just showing where there is likely no value due to large levels of public betting.⚠️
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FRIDAY RECAP
Nothing interesting here, cappers didn't shine, except for #platnumlocks, let's move on.
Tier 1 plays went 0-1 for -1U. Had Akron/Bowling Green Under 142.5 Daily Report channel recap: t.me/+13oxTzxvA7JjMDhi
Want to join us? DM me @realdeal666 with any questions.
Let's see what today brings us! Good luck in your action! 🍀
