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Key reasons behind todayβs rally:
1οΈβ£ Crude oil slipped near 2-month lows, easing inflation and import pressure for India.
2οΈβ£ US-Iran peace hopes reduced geopolitical tension and improved global sentiment.
3οΈβ£ Banking and heavyweight stocks like HDFC Bank, Bajaj Finance, L&T and Titan supported the rally.
4οΈβ£ Technical setup remained positive, with Nifty breaking key resistance levels.
β
India Fiscal Deficit Update
β
India may allow its fiscal deficit to widen to 4.8% of GDP this year, against the earlier target of 4.3%, as per Bloomberg report.
β
Higher crude oil prices and Iran war-related supply disruptions are putting pressure on government finances.
β
India imports nearly 90% of its oil, making it highly vulnerable to prolonged energy price shocks.
β
Fuel subsidy pressure and a possible 20% rise in fertiliser subsidy may increase government spending.
β
Government may review the fiscal outlook later and could consider spending cuts across ministries to control the deficit.
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