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Key reasons behind today’s rally:
1️⃣ Crude oil slipped near 2-month lows, easing inflation and import pressure for India.
2️⃣ US-Iran peace hopes reduced geopolitical tension and improved global sentiment.
3️⃣ Banking and heavyweight stocks like HDFC Bank, Bajaj Finance, L&T and Titan supported the rally.
4️⃣ Technical setup remained positive, with Nifty breaking key resistance levels.
✅ India Fiscal Deficit Update
✅ India may allow its fiscal deficit to widen to 4.8% of GDP this year, against the earlier target of 4.3%, as per Bloomberg report.
✅ Higher crude oil prices and Iran war-related supply disruptions are putting pressure on government finances.
✅ India imports nearly 90% of its oil, making it highly vulnerable to prolonged energy price shocks.
✅ Fuel subsidy pressure and a possible 20% rise in fertiliser subsidy may increase government spending.
✅ Government may review the fiscal outlook later and could consider spending cuts across ministries to control the deficit.
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