Observer Research Foundation
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Non-partisan, independent analysis on security, strategy, economy, development, energy & global governance.
Show more📈 Analytical overview of Telegram channel Observer Research Foundation
Channel Observer Research Foundation (@orftg) in the English language segment is an active participant. Currently, the community unites 17 488 subscribers, ranking 3 246 in the Politics category and 2 191 in the USA region.
📊 Audience metrics and dynamics
Since its creation on невідомо, the project has demonstrated rapid growth, gathering an audience of 17 488 subscribers.
According to the latest data from 09 July, 2026, the channel demonstrates stable activity. Although there has been a change in the number of participants by -40 over the last 30 days and by -10 over the last 24 hours, overall reach remains high.
- Verification status: Verified (Officially confirmed by Telegram)
- Engagement rate (ER): The average audience engagement rate is 3.43%. Within the first 24 hours after publication, content typically collects 2.00% reactions from the total number of subscribers.
- Post reach: On average, each post receives 600 views. Within the first day, a publication typically gains 349 views.
- Reactions and interaction: The audience actively supports content: the average number of reactions per post is 1.
- Thematic interests: Content is focused on key topics such as iran, policy, governance, hormuz, resilience.
📝 Description and content policy
The author describes the resource as a platform for expressing subjective opinions:
“Non-partisan, independent analysis on security, strategy, economy, development, energy & global governance.”
Thanks to the high frequency of updates (latest data received on 10 July, 2026), the channel maintains relevance and a high level of publication reach. Analytics show that the audience actively interacts with content, making it an important point of influence in the Politics category.
17 488
Subscribers
-1024 hours
-157 days
-4030 days
Data loading in progress...
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Channel Posts
#ORFevents
ORF is hosting a panel discussion titled ‘Statecraft, Strategy, and Security: New Energy Pathways to Viksit Bharat’.
Introducing the panelists:
Pankaj Saran, Convenor, NatStrat
Indrani Bagchi, CEO, Ananta Aspen Centre
Amitabh Kant, Former G20 Sherpa-India
Sarah Ladislaw, Founding Director, New Energy Industrial Strategy, (NEIS) Centre
Moderator: Samir Saran, President, ORF
The panel will examine the links between new technologies and energy security, between strategic investment and growth, and between India’s new- energy leadership and its geopolitical aspirations. It will deliberate on how a clear vision for India’s place in the world tomorrow implies decisive action today.
🗓️ 13 July |📍Delhi | By Registration-Only
Register Now 🔗 https://or-f.org/39464
| 2 |  #ORFNewsletter
The oceans are shaping the future of trade, security, climate action, and global cooperation.
Introducing the first issue of Oceans Digest—ORF's monthly newsletter bringing together our latest research, expert analysis, and conversations on the ideas and policies shaping the maritime domain.
Join the conversation.
Subscribe to stay informed on the issues defining our ocean future here: https://www.linkedin.com/newsletters/orf-oceans-digest-7473732146780590080
#ORF #OceansDigest | 192 |
| 3 | #ORFNewsletter
The oceans are shaping the future of trade, security, climate action, and global cooperation.
Introducing the first issue of Oceans Digest—ORF's monthly newsletter bringing together our latest research, expert analysis, and conversations on the ideas and policies shaping the maritime domain.
Join the conversation.
Subscribe to stay informed on the issues defining our ocean future here: https://www.linkedin.com/newsletters/orf-oceans-digest-7473732146780590080
#ORF #OceansDigest | 2 |
| 4 | On 1 July, Ireland assumed the six-month rotating presidency of the Council of the European Union (EU).
The Irish presidency comes at a critical moment for the EU, as it faces numerous internal and external pressures, including ongoing wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, high energy prices, trade fragmentation, ruptured transatlantic ties, and the evolution of new security threats demanding recalibrated security and defence policies.
This brief explains- from defence to digital policy, Ireland's presidency will test its reputation as Europe's honest broker: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/ireland-at-the-eu-s-helm | 220 |
| 5 | As access to frontier AI becomes a matter of great power competition, the US emerges as a new digital thalassocracy — capable of mediating access to the digital chokepoints that underpin economic and strategic power.
This brief argues that reaching a consensus on shared standards and security risks through multilateral mechanisms is likely to become increasingly difficult, as states prefer to hedge against emerging security risks, foreign policy dilemmas, and geopolitical uncertainties: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/ai-access-controls-and-the-rise-of-a-digital-thalassocracy | 235 |
| 6 | Between NATO and the Indo-Pacific, defence priorities are gradually being realigned, with the Ankara summit potentially marking a key moment for India to translate growing political convergence into more tangible industrial partnerships.
This brief argues Ankara is not just about NATO’s internal cohesion, it is also a bellwether for how the broader Euro-Atlantic defence industrial ecosystem will realign – and India, through the SDP with the EU, has positioned itself well to benefit from that realignment: https://www.orfonline.org/research/why-the-indo-pacific-should-care-about-the-nato-summit | 277 |
| 7 | Compute sovereignty is a nation’s ability to access, govern, and scale critical computational resources without excessive external dependence.
This brief argues India's success in AI will hinge not on building frontier models, but on securing the compute infrastructure that determines real power and strategic independence: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/india-in-the-ai-race-why-compute-will-decide-power | 315 |
| 8 | The recent MoU signed between the US and Iran has paused military hostilities in the Middle East for now. From oil shocks to critical trade waterways being choked, none of the predictions about the repercussions of this conflict are new. The only measurable shock, so to speak, was the direction and actions of American foreign policy.
This brief argues that the US-Israel conflict with Iran has shown that other major powers, including those in Europe, have next to no capacity or political intent to get embroiled in the Middle East’s intertwined regional dynamics, with countries like China taking it as an opportunity to build parallel systems to those controlled by the West: https://www.orfonline.org/research/reading-the-future-of-defence-strategies-in-the-middle-east | 457 |
| 9 | On 7 and 8 July, the 32 members of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO) convene in Ankara, Türkiye, for the annual leaders' summit with one thought in mind: how can the 77-year-old alliance avoid disintegration?
This brief explains with Trump's commitment to NATO in question yet again, this year's summit tests whether Europe's push for self-reliance can hold the alliance together: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/the-nato-ankara-summit-make-or-break-again | 449 |
| 10 | PM Modi is travelling to Jakarta, Auckland and Melbourne, undertaking a sequence of visits that may define New Delhi’s approach to the Indo-Pacific in the coming decades.
India envisions a new geometry of collaboration, one not dependent on axioms outlined in Washington or Beijing, but drawn up by those who live here and thus have the most to gain or lose.
This brief explains that the geographical centre of the Indo-Pacific is resetting and redrawing an emerging order, so that those who share this oceanic domain write the rules instead of just inheriting them: https://www.orfonline.org/research/pm-modi-s-new-arc-of-trust-will-hold-indo-pacific-together | 464 |
| 11 | https://youtu.be/E-F5XJ2jJ1k?si=55Yznoj1hxJ7eUOM | 423 |
| 12 | #ORFevents
ORF is hosting a panel discussion titled ‘Statecraft, Strategy, and Security: New Energy Pathways to Viksit Bharat’.
Introducing the panelists:
Pankaj Saran, Convenor, NatStrat
Indrani Bagchi, CEO, Ananta Aspen Centre
Amitabh Kant, Former G20 Sherpa-India
Sarah Ladislaw, Founding Director, New Energy Industrial Strategy, (NEIS) Centre
Moderator: Samir Saran, President, ORF
The panel will examine the links between new technologies and energy security, between strategic investment and growth, and between India’s new- energy leadership and its geopolitical aspirations. It will deliberate on how a clear vision for India’s place in the world tomorrow implies decisive action today.
🗓️ 13 July |📍Delhi | By Registration-Only
Register Now 🔗 https://or-f.org/39464 | 470 |
| 13 | ASEAN and Russia held their commemorative summit for their 35th anniversary in Kazan, Russia, on 18 June 2026. The summit underscored the growing importance of Eurasian connectivity and ASEAN's commitment to strategic autonomy.
This brief explains that although thirty-five years on, ASEAN and Russia have deepened ties on energy, security, and connectivity — but the economic substance still lags the political ambition: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/asean-and-russia-at-35-symbolism-strategy-and-the-limits-of-partnership | 421 |
| 14 | Through increasing frequency of patrols, surveys, and oil rig deployments, China is turning Taiwan's remote Pratas Islands into a testing ground for calibrated grey-zone coercion, strategic signalling and contingency testing.
This brief argues that the tempo and persistence of Beijing's pressure underscore that Pratas is no longer a peripheral outpost; it is instead a test case for China's evolving coercive strategy against Taiwan’s outlying islands: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/china-s-grey-zone-coercion-at-taiwan-s-pratas-islands | 429 |
| 15 | Xi’s visit to Pyongyang on 8–9 June and its timing were intentional, aimed at sending a clear signal to the US and its allies: first, China’s relationship with North Korea is here to stay and will continue to progress; and second, irrespective of disagreements, North Korea remains China’s closest partner—a relationship as close as lips and teeth.
This brief argues that Xi's visit reveals how far Beijing's thinking has shifted: North Korea is no longer a strategic burden but an asset in China's contest with the US — though limits remain: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/from-burden-to-asset-china-s-recalibration-of-north-korea | 428 |
| 16 | The dark web, much like any other part of the internet, originated as a function of intelligence sharing but, due to its traits of anonymity and privacy, quickly evolved into a marketplace for illicit activity. Weapons and weapons-grade materials have often circulated on the dark web, increasing the risk of unregulated access and the subsequent dangers.
With this in mind, and given the focus on weapons of mass destruction, specifically biochemical weapons, the dark web is an interesting arena to analyse. However, due to the nature of biochemical weapons and their reliance on commonly used biological and chemical agents, the traceability of such sales remains unevidenced.
In this paper, the authors instead use cases involving narcotics and precursor chemicals—often used in the production of biochemical weapons, as well as in criminal activities with similar supply chains and financing—to explore the risk of access to biochemical weapons on the dark web.
The paper explores these risks, identifies relevant cases, and culminates in a discussion of the need to expand policy, specifically in India, to address these concerns. It also discusses the need to strengthen cyber forensics and harmonise existing legal reforms, particularly under the purview of the Indian Cybercrime Coordination Centre (I4C).
Finally, the paper addresses the private sector's responsibility, beyond governance, to expand public-private partnerships, enhance risk-assessment training, and increase external audits to ensure compliance.
Read the paper 🔗 https://www.orfonline.org/research/the-dark-web-as-a-biosecurity-risk-enabler-and-how-to-counteract-it | 443 |
| 17 | #ORFevents
ORF is hosting a panel discussion titled ‘Statecraft, Strategy, and Security: New Energy Pathways to Viksit Bharat’.
Introducing the panelists:
Pankaj Saran, Convenor, NatStrat
Indrani Bagchi, CEO, Ananta Aspen Centre
Amitabh Kant, Former G20 Sherpa-India
Sarah Ladislaw, Founding Director, New Energy Industrial Strategy, (NEIS) Centre
Moderator: Samir Saran, President, ORF
The panel will examine the links between new technologies and energy security, between strategic investment and growth, and between India’s new- energy leadership and its geopolitical aspirations. It will deliberate on how a clear vision for India’s place in the world tomorrow implies decisive action today.
🗓️ 13 July |📍Delhi | By Registration-Only
Register Now 🔗 https://or-f.org/39464 | 541 |
| 18 |  We are looking for a Communications Intern (Forums) who will support the planning and execution of communications for ORF's conferences. Responsibilities include creating social media content, drafting communication collateral, coordinating with design and video teams, assisting with live event coverage, and supporting pre- and post-event communications.
Candidates should have strong writing skills, an interest in public policy and international affairs, and familiarity with social media platforms and digital communication tools.
3 months | New Delhi 📍
Interested candidates can apply by reaching out to pragya.sharma@orfonline.org along with a CV. | 482 |
| 19 | On 22 June 2026, China's Ministry of Commerce added ten US companies to its export-control list. The listing matters less for its immediate commercial impact than for what it exposes, namely that the US’s effort to break China’s grip on rare earths remains structurally incomplete.
Removing China from the mining stage of a supply chain does not remove dependence on China from the supply chain itself.
This brief explains the lesson for policymakers is direct: funding mines and magnet plants is necessary, however it is not sufficient. Until the middle of the supply chain is genuinely domestic, federal funding can buy progress, not independence: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/the-midstream-gap-china-s-rare-earth-signal-to-the-us | 482 |
| 20 | The Strait of Hormuz, now vulnerable to heightened geopolitical tensions and maritime risks, serves as a vital route for India's imports of urea, ammonia, and liquefied natural gas (LNG).
India is the world's second-largest consumer of fertilisers, and third largest producer globally. The country also relies heavily on imports of phosphatic fertilisers and remains almost entirely dependent on external sources for potash, making it particularly vulnerable to global supply disturbances.
This brief argues that building stronger domestic capabilities, diversifying supply chains, and improving resource efficiency will be essential to protecting Indian agriculture from future global shocks: https://www.orfonline.org/research/how-the-middle-east-conflict-is-reshaping-indian-agriculture | 459 |
