Observer Research Foundation
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Non-partisan, independent analysis on security, strategy, economy, development, energy & global governance.
Ko'proq ko'rsatish📈 Telegram kanali Observer Research Foundation analitikasi
Observer Research Foundation (@orftg) Ingliz til segmentidagi kanali faol ishtirokchi. Hozirda hamjamiyat 17 428 obunachidan iborat bo'lib, Siyosat toifasida 3 212-o'rinni va AQSH mintaqasida 2 151-o'rinni egallagan.
📊 Auditoriya ko‘rsatkichlari va dinamika
невідомо sanasidan buyon loyiha tez o‘sib, 17 428 obunachiga ega bo‘ldi.
02 Oktabr, 2026 dagi oxirgi ma’lumotlarga ko‘ra kanal barqaror faollikka ega. Oxirgi 30 kunda obunachilar soni -7 ga, so‘nggi 24 soatda esa -2 ga o‘zgardi va umumiy qamrov yuqori darajada qolmoqda.
- Tasdiqlash holati: Tasdiqlangan (Telegram tomonidan rasmiy tasdiq)
- Jalb etish (ER): Auditoriya o‘rtacha 3.86% darajada jalb etiladi. Nashrdan keyingi dastlabki 24 soatda kontent odatda umumiy obunachilar sonining 2.09% ini tashkil etuvchi reaksiyalarni to‘playdi.
- Post qamrovi: Har bir post o‘rtacha 672 marta ko‘riladi; birinchi sutkada odatda 365 ta ko‘rish yig‘iladi.
- Reaksiyalar va o‘zaro ta’sir: Auditoriya faol: har bir postga o‘rtacha 1 ta reaksiya keladi.
- Tematik yo‘nalishlar: Kontent iran, policy, governance, hormuz, resilience kabi asosiy mavzularga jamlangan.
📝 Tavsif va kontent siyosati
Muallif resursni shaxsiy fikrni ifoda etish maydoni sifatida ta’riflaydi:
“Non-partisan, independent analysis on security, strategy, economy, development, energy & global governance.”
Yuqori yangilanish chastotasi (oxirgi ma’lumot 03 Oktabr, 2026 da olingan) sababli kanal doimo dolzarb va katta qamrovli bo‘lib qoladi. Analitika auditoriya kontent bilan faol hamkorlik qilishini, uni Siyosat toifasidagi muhim ta’sir nuqtasiga aylantirishini ko‘rsatadi.
17 428
Obunachilar
-224 soatlar
-37 kun
-730 kun
Ma'lumot yuklanmoqda...
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| Sana | Obunachilarni jalb qilish | Esdaliklar | Kanallar | |
| 03 Oktabr | 0 | |||
| 02 Oktabr | +2 | |||
| 01 Oktabr | +1 |
Kanal postlari
For the first time, women make up a majority of the declared candidates for UN Secretary-General. But there is another question at play: is this a glass ceiling being broken or a glass cliff?
The next Secretary-General will inherit an organisation facing geopolitical polarisation, institutional reform and a crisis of confidence in multilateralism.
The “glass cliff” theory suggests that women are more likely to be elevated to leadership when institutions are already facing crisis, making the risks of failure particularly high.
This brief examines the candidates, the politics of the selection process, and what this race could mean for the UN’s future: https://www.orfonline.org/research/glass-ceiling-or-glass-cliff-the-race-for-the-un-s-top-job
| 2 | What does a more stable US–China relationship mean for Japan?
Japan faces a difficult balancing act: it wants greater stability between Washington and Beijing, but also needs to ensure that decisions made between the two powers do not leave its security and economic interests exposed.
This brief examines how Tokyo is navigating an uncertain phase in US–China competition and why Japan is seeking greater room to shape the regional balance rather than simply adapt to it.
Read Part 3 of the Series: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/japan-navigates-an-uncertain-phase-in-us-china-competition | 292 |
| 3 | The Trump-Xi meeting may steady US-China ties. But for countries in the Western Pacific, it also raises a bigger question: what happens to the regional order?
As Washington and Beijing navigate a changing relationship, US allies and partners are weighing what greater strategic stability between the two powers could mean for their own security and economic interests.
This brief examines how the Trump-Xi meeting is reshaping the strategic calculations of Western Pacific allies and partners, and what it could mean for the future of the region.
Read Part 2 of the Series: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/trump-xi-meet-and-the-uncertainty-facing-the-western-pacific | 306 |
| 4 | The US and China appear to be moving towards greater strategic stability, even as their technology rivalry, particularly over AI, continues.
For the rest of the world, the bigger question is what this means for multilateralism.
As great powers pursue their own interests, middle powers have a growing role to play in preserving and sustaining the multilateral order.
This brief examines what the emerging US–China modus vivendi means for the multilateral order.
Read Part 1 of the Series: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/the-us-china-modus-vivendi-and-the-future-of-multilateralism | 323 |
| 5 | What does Russia’s drone experience teach India about modern warfare?
Building drone capability is not just about producing more. Russia’s experience shows that scaling too quickly can create a bottleneck: skilled personnel.
For India’s Integrated Battle Groups, this brief argues that the lesson is that effective drone operations will depend on both the quantity of unmanned systems and the quality and scale of the people operating, integrating and sustaining them: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/india-s-ibgs-why-quality-matters-as-much-as-quantity | 417 |
| 6 | What happens when AI fabricates the law?
Indian courts are seeing AI-generated citations and non-existent judgments in judicial proceedings.
Recent cases show that human oversight may not be enough to catch fabricated material.
This brief argues that courts may need systematic verification at the point of filing, using technology to check whether cited cases exist.
The lesson is not simply how India can use AI to assist judicial work, but how it can use AI to protect the integrity of the judicial record: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/fake-citations-real-consequences-ai-hallucinations-in-indian-courts | 406 |
| 7 | India appeared only once in the EU's State of the Union address, folded into a list of trade partners.
But the speech's substance matters more than its mentions. From a new critical raw materials body to the Middle Corridor, much of it carries important implications for the EU-India relationship.
This brief examines the signals New Delhi should track, and where India should engage more actively as Brussels reshapes its global partnerships: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/what-the-eu-s-state-of-the-union-signals-for-india | 387 |
| 8 | What does “America First” mean for the international order?
Trump’s UN address offered a clear picture of a foreign-policy approach centred on American strength, bilateral bargaining and strategic leverage, rather than institutional consensus.
For the rest of the world, the important takeaway is what this means for alliances, multilateral institutions and the rules governing global affairs, as Washington places greater emphasis on sovereignty and freedom of action.
This brief examines the worldview behind Trump’s UN address and what a more transactional approach to global order could mean for the international system: https://www.orfonline.org/research/trump-at-the-un-a-transactional-conception-of-global-order | 411 |
| 9 | Not too big, not too small: micro-satellites are India's Goldilocks Zone in space.
India's real economic value in space lies downstream, not in launch services alone. But that market depends on India deploying its own constellations, and micro-satellites are the size class that makes them commercially work.
This brief looks at how India's small launchers and satellite makers can build those constellations before the mid-2030s to become a comprehensive leader in the global space economy: https://www.orfonline.org/research/micro-satellites-the-goldilocks-zone-for-india-s-space-economy | 490 |
| 10 | India’s carbon market can’t offset CBAM on its own. So what can?
With the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) raising costs for carbon-intensive Indian exports, India faces a new challenge and a potential opportunity: to accelerate industrial decarbonisation.
This brief examines how export diversification, transition finance and deeper EU cooperation could help India turn CBAM from a challenge into a lever for a cleaner industry: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/can-india-turn-the-cbam-challenge-into-an-opportunity | 475 |
| 11 | From INR 70 billion to INR 314 trillion: UPI is changing how India pays.
Ten years ago, paying a street vendor in India meant finding cash and exact change. Today, a QR code connects the same vendor to hundreds of banks and payment apps.
UPI's first decade made it economically important. The second makes it strategically important.
This brief examines what India needs to do to turn UPI's scale into resilient, trusted and strategic infrastructure: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/upi-s-second-decade-from-scale-to-strategic-infrastructure | 452 |
| 12 | A route on the map is not a route in a crisis: India's IMEC challenge is operational redundancy.
Attacks on shipping in the Red Sea showed that an alternative route may exist on a map but not be operational when it is most needed. Diverting around the Cape of Good Hope added 10 days or more to average delivery times.
This brief argues why India should propose an IMEC trade continuity exercise, beginning with the India-UAE maritime leg, to test which alternatives can work under pressure: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/stress-testing-imec-india-and-the-challenge-of-trade-continuity | 518 |
| 13 |  ORF and GIS, in partnership with the Office of the Principal Scientific Advisor to the Government of India, present ‘𝗧𝗲𝗰𝗵𝗻𝗼𝗹𝗼𝗴𝘆 𝗗𝗶𝗮𝗹𝗼𝗴𝘂𝗲 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲: 𝗖𝗵𝗮𝗿𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗧𝗲𝗰𝗵𝗻𝗼𝗹𝗼𝗴𝗶𝗰𝗮𝗹 𝗖𝗼𝗻𝘃𝗲𝗿𝗴𝗲𝗻𝗰𝗲’
The key pillars of 2026 edition are as follows:
▶️ AI × Quantum: Shaping the Future of Computational Intelligence
▶️ Beyond Cybersecurity: What does it take to secure the critical systems?
▶️ Frontier Technologies Unlocking the Bioeconomy Century
▶️ The Brain, the Next Frontier: Neurotechnology Augmenting Human Potential?
▶️ What and Who Will Determine Semiconductor Competitiveness in the Coming Decades?
▶️ Space 2050: Advancing Tech Frontiers for the Great Convergence
▶️ Deep Tech Innovation Ecosystem
▶️ Security Tech Advancements
▶️ AI x BioTech Convergence
Express your interest for participation now! 🔗 https://technologydialogue.in
Last date to apply: 15 October 2026
🗓️ 30 Nov 2026 - 2 Dec 2026
📍 Indian Institute of Science (IISc), Bengaluru
📌 Invite-Only | 496 |
| 14 | Uranium and UPI: How Central Asia is becoming increasingly important to India.
Prime Minister Modi's visit to Uzbekistan and the SCO summit in Kyrgyzstan signal a push to strengthen India’s position in a region where China and Russia remain major players.
This brief examines the strategic logic behind India’s Central Asia outreach and what New Delhi needs to do to turn growing engagement into long-term strategic gains: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/beyond-the-sco-summit-the-strategic-logic-of-modi-s-central-asia-outreach | 448 |
| 15 | India is fencing its Myanmar border. But 171 km of it isn't even demarcated yet.
Meanwhile, a reported government document has fuelled speculation over a land swap although no transfer has been confirmed or approved.
This brief traces how the end of the Free Movement Regime and rising security concerns are making demarcation more urgent, and what a land swap would actually require, from constitutional amendment to compensating affected communities: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/drawing-the-line-india-and-myanmar-s-unfinished-border | 535 |
| 16 | India has a rare earth strategy. What it needs now is a stockpile, a supplier, and a single ministry in charge.
India's usable stockpile of defence-critical rare earth magnets stands at just two to three weeks, with China supplying over 90% of imports.
This brief argues for three fixes: a defence-only stockpile, a signed Quad supply contract, and one institution accountable for the risk: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/india-s-rare-earth-vulnerability-building-a-strategic-defence-reserve | 623 |
| 17 | The real question isn't whether AI can think for us but whether we'll let it.
A recent study found lower cognitive engagement among participants who used AI tools for essay-writing, compared to those using a search engine or no tool at all, raising questions about how routine AI use can shape memory, learning, and reasoning over time.
This brief unpacks a 3R framework - results, responsibility, response - for staying critically engaged with AI rather than defaulting to it: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/preserving-human-thinking-in-the-age-of-genai | 553 |
| 18 | Denmark keeps Greenland, Washington gets everything else?
The formal status of Greenland may be unchanged, but the strategic balance around the island has clearly shifted.
The new U.S.-Denmark-Greenland security agreement expands the American military and investment-screening role in Greenland without altering the island's formal constitutional status or transferring sovereignty.
Non-NATO states — most obviously Russia and China — would be barred from establishing military bases or maintaining a military presence in Greenland, while sensitive investments would require U.S. approval.
Denmark retains sovereignty and Greenland retains its constitutional and self-determination framework: https://www.orfonline.org/research/greenland-trump-and-the-new-arctic-security-bargain | 526 |
| 19 | Ethiopia is becoming Pakistan's entry point into Africa.
As Pakistan builds out trade, connectivity, and political ties with Ethiopia, it's positioning the country as more than a bilateral partner but a gateway into African markets and institutions, including the African Union itself.
Read this brief to see how this partnership could reshape the contest for influence across South Asia, the Horn of Africa, and the Indian Ocean: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/pakistan-s-ethiopia-play-a-test-for-india-s-africa-advantage | 574 |
| 20 | Only a handful of Ethiopia's women's groups graduated to cooperative status. Most still need support.
Whereas, India's Deen Dayal–National Rural Livelihoods Mission offers a useful reference: it federates self-help groups into village organisations and cluster-level federations that facilitate market access and financial literacy.
This brief argues that livelihood programmes work best when they combine collective organisation, financial literacy, market linkages and climate resilience and that India and Ethiopia have much to learn from each other: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/women-s-livelihoods-and-resilience-lessons-from-ethiopia-and-india | 708 |
