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Trade volatility with 100% uptime on gold.π€π¨βπ»
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Friday's easing of Middle East tensions already put the dollar on the back foot, easing oil prices and cooling inflation fears. That's the backdrop heading into the most important 48 hours of the month for GBPUSD. π¬π§πΊπΈ
Wednesday brings the Fed's first decision under new Chair Kevin Warsh at 18:00 GMT. A hold at 3.50β3.75% is almost certain, but all eyes will be on his tone at 18:30 GMT. How he frames the path ahead could move markets on its own.
Thursday the Bank of England follows at 11:00 GMT, with the press conference at 11:30 GMT. After April's 8-1 vote, sterling has something to say too.
The framework points to cable getting volatile, but nothing is guaranteed in a week like this. Keep the cable plugged in. π
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Big news week for traders π
This week brings three major events that could move the markets:
π Wednesday, June 17 β Fed rate decision
Time: 8:00 PM CEST
What to watch: USD pairs, Gold, US indices.
Any signal about future rate cuts or a more hawkish tone could bring strong volatility.
π Thursday, June 18 β UK by-election
What to watch: GBP pairs and UK-related assets.
Political surprises can quickly affect market sentiment, especially around the pound.
π Friday, June 19 β US-Iran interim peace deal
What to watch: Oil, Gold, USD pairs and global indices.
If the deal moves forward, traders may react to lower geopolitical risk and shifts in safe-haven demand.
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HYPE is everywhere.
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π US30 printed a record high before easing slightly below the previous peak. The index continues to hold its uptrend, supported by higher swing structure and bullish EMAs that suggest further upside may be on the way.
Should US30 hold above 51700, the 100% Fibonacci Extension near 52440 could come into play. A move back below that level, however, may see the index drift into consolidation between 50500 and 51700.
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π
°π π‘π
β‘π₯β‘ Gold rebounds as traders weigh peace hopes and Fed signals
Gold recovered after recent weakness. But is this recovery strong enough to last? Find out in our report π
πͺ Key takeaways
β’ Events. Gold bounced back sharply from multi-month lows near $4,000, with spot XAUUSD rising 2.3% to $4,317.32 on Monday π Brent oil fell more than 4%, and the U.S. Dollar Index slipped slightly. β’ Background. Gold's move followed news of a possible interim peace agreement between the U.S. and Iran. The truce could ease tensions, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and reduce pressure on oil prices. A weaker dollar and lower expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike also supported gold. β’ Possible outcome. XAUUSD may stay near the $4,300β4,340 area for now π₯ However, if the Fed delays rate cuts or sounds more aggressive, gold could come under pressure again. Some analysts have warned of a possible move back towards $3,850β4,000.πͺ Tip for traders Watch how gold reacts around the $4,300β4,340 range rather than chasing the move. Monitor Fed meetings, the U.S. dollar, and oil prices, as these can quickly shift the mood in gold markets. Sign Up Now π₯ https://bit.ly/attocta
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Markets started the week with a sharp move higher after news of a potential final US-Iran ceasefire β but is this the start of a new bull run? π
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π Top gainers:
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Vaulta (OTC) +3.8%
McDonaldβs Corporation (OTC) +3.04%
Natural Gas (OTC) +2.81%
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π Top losers:
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Snap Inc. (OTC) -9.07%
TRON/USD (OTC) -4.83%
Formula One Group (OTC) -0.43%
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β‘ Highest profitability right now:
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US 500 (OTC) 90%
BTC/USD (OTC) 88%
XAUUSD (OTC) 88%
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The week ahead is packed with events that may bring higher volatility β including Fed, BOE and BOJ rate decisions, UK CPI and US retail sales.
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Which asset are you watching first?
Available now! Telegram Research 2025 β the year's key insights 
