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🅰🔠🔡🆎 ➡🥇➡ Gold remains under pressure as $4,080 caps recovery. Buy or sell? XAUUSD is trading around $4,060–$4,070 after three days of declines. The key $4,080 level has become the nearest resistance after the price failed to hold above it. Our analysts outlined the key gold trading scenarios 💙 🪙 Key takeaways

• Events. Gold remains below $4,080, keeping the short-term chart structure weak 🥇 The nearest downside reference is $4,020, where XAUUSD previously attempted to rebound. If pressure extends, $4,000 becomes the next psychological level to watch. • Background. The main catalyst is the June FOMC minutes. Federal Reserve (Fed) officials were divided on rates, with some considering a hike and several supporting further tightening if inflation stays high. Oil, inflation concerns, and dollar strength add pressure, while Middle East tensions provide some safe-haven support. • Possible outcome. Expectations of a September rate hike continue to weigh on non-yielding gold. If the Fed stays pro-hike and the dollar holds firm, XAUUSD could struggle to regain momentum unless it moves decisively back above $4,080.

🪙 Tip for traders The sell scenario remains the priority as long as gold trades below $4,080, with $4,020 and $4,000 as near-term levels. XAU might keep falling towards $3,854 and $3,700 if the Fed policy, rising oil prices, and dollar strength persist. Upside becomes relevant only after a hold above $4,080, opening the way towards $4,200 and $4,450.

GBPJPY bounced off the ascending trendline and broke above both EMAs and the 216.50 level. The pair is forming broader higher swings, with diverging bullish EMAs reinforcing the potential for an uptrend extension. If GBPJPY holds above 216.50, the price may climb toward the 127.2% Fibonacci Extension at 218.80. A break below 216.50, however, could see the pair retreat toward the next support at 214.20. Would you buy or sell?

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🅰🔠🔡🆎 ➡➡ Yen's next move depends on these key levels—details below USDJPY is trading around 162.35–162.46, close to four-decade highs for the dollar and lows for the yen. Intervention risk is rising as the pair nears extreme territory. Here's how you could trade this pair in such uncertain times 💙 🪙 Key takeaways

• Events. The pair has risen for several sessions in a row, supported by strong dollar demand and continued yen weakness. As long as USDJPY holds above 161.960, the short-term structure remains positive, but 162.800 is the next major test. • Background. The main pressure on the yen comes from the wide U.S.–Japan rate gap. The Bank of Japan's rate is at 1%, while the Federal Reserve (Fed) range is 3.5–3.75%. This gap supports carry trades against the yen. Geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz are also helping the dollar, as oil supply risks could raise inflation expectations 💲 • Possible outcome. Traders will watch the Fed minutes, China inflation data, Japanese policy signals, and possible intervention. A further rise may increase pressure on Japanese authorities to act, while softer Fed signals could ease dollar strength.

🪙 Tip for traders The buy scenario might hold while USDJPY stays above 161.960, with 162.800 in focus. A break above 162.800 could extend gains but raise intervention risk. The sell scenario strengthens if USDJPY rejects 162.800 or falls below 161.960, bringing 160.650 into focus.

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