Finance with Viru Bhai πβΉ
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Your daily pulse on the markets insights, trends & simplified learning. π Open IIFL Account: https://iiflcs.in/IILLTD/R7fAF Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not SEBI registered. No investment advice. Do your own research. Admin not responsi
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Channel Posts
| 2 | *View on the Market?*
I currently see two major negatives for the market:
1. *Crude oil is moving higher*, which is also pushing USD/INR higher. Both are headwinds for Indian equities.
2. *Monsoon deficit concerns.*
However, there are positives developing as well.
*Brent Crude is now approaching a very important resistance zone*. Any positive geopolitical commentary or easing of tensions over the weekend could reverse crude prices, which would be supportive for Indian markets.
Rainfall deficit was the biggest concern until yesterday, with headlines indicating a 19% deficit. But the emergence of a *10,000 km-long rain cloud stretching from India to South Korea could significantly improve the monsoon situation.* Heavy rainfall is expected across large parts of India over the next 2β3 days, which may substantially reduce the deficit.
*My Market View:*
I believe 23,650β23,850 is an important support/base zone. *One small False Breakdown possible*
If these levels continue to hold and macro concerns ease, the market could witness a strong move towards 24,800β25,200 during August.
*Approach remains unchanged:*
*Focus on stock-specific opportunities* rather than broad market calls.
*Below 23,700β23,800 (closing basis):* I would turn extremely cautious with positioning.
Above 24,300β24,400: The probability of a move towards 24,800β25,200 increases meaningfully.
*The next 2β3 trading sessions will be crucial. Watching closely.* | 306 |
| 3 | UJJIVAN GUIDANCE UPGRADE | 375 |
| 4 |  No text... | 380 |
| 5 | Buy M&M 28 July 2026 CE 3240 near 25-30
SL 19
TGT 40-58
1 Week Trade
UPDATE
39+++ππ, TGT 1 almost Done | 517 |
| 6 | Buy M&M 28 July 2026 CE 3240 near 25-30
SL 19
TGT 40-58
1 Week Trade | 528 |
| 7 | Buy INDUSINDBK 28 Jul 2026 CE 1030 near 23-25
SL 19
TGT 30-37
1 Week Trade
UPDATE
38+++ππ, TGT 2 Hit
All Yours Now!! | 691 |
| 8 | BUY MOTHERSON near 140-144
SL 137
TGT 152-156-163
1 week Trade | 703 |
| 9 | Buy INDUSINDBK 28 Jul 2026 CE 1030 near 23-25
SL 19
TGT 30-37
1 Week Trade
UPDATE
32+++, TGT 1 Hit
Safe Players may start gradually book
REMAINING TSL to COST | 714 |
| 10 | Market View: Cautiously Constructive
Brent Crude is now around $90 and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have increased. Surprisingly, markets are still holding up well. That itself shows underlying strength. However, this is a time to be slightly more cautious on macros while remaining constructive on equities.
Negative Factors
1. Rising Crude & Middle East Tensions
Brent moving towards $90 is definitely a concern.
Higher crude impacts inflation, India's import bill and fiscal outlook.
Geopolitical headlines can create short-term volatility.
That said, 70-80% of these headlines end up being noise or political negotiations (especially involving Trump). Hence, avoid reacting emotionally to every news headline.
2. Mid & Small Caps Are Expensive
Valuations are certainly on the higher side.
But valuation alone has not been a reason for markets to correct over the last two years.
If a company delivers strong earnings and guidance, quality stocks can continue to outperform despite expensive valuations.
Therefore, I will continue to follow Earnings β Price Trend β Strict Trailing Stop Loss (TSL) rather than simply avoiding the entire space.
Positive Factors
1. Anti-AI Trade / FII Positioning
Initial signs of FII short covering are visible.
Not yet enough to become aggressively bullish, but it is an encouraging development.
More importantly, the intensity of FII selling has reduced significantly compared to earlier months.
Trading Plan & Action
At this stage, the objective is not to own more stocks, but to own better stocks.
Focus only on high-conviction ideas.
Increase allocation only where conviction is strong.
Keep strict trailing stop losses.
Exit positions where conviction is low or where the original investment thesis is no longer valid.
Avoid HOS (Hope-based) trades and positions where information or visibility is incomplete.
Keep the portfolio concentrated rather than spreading capital across too many names.
Market Observation
During April and May, many stocks rallied simply because of liquidity and institutional buying ("isne liya, usne liya" kind of market).
Since June, that strategy has stopped working consistently.
Going forward, earnings will become the biggest differentiator.
Companies delivering:
Strong quarterly numbers,
Better-than-expected guidance,
Healthy order books,
Margin expansion,
are likely to continue outperforming, while weaker businesses may struggle.
Portfolio Positioning
Current preference remains:
Pharma β Maintain meaningful exposure.
Private Banks β Especially ICICI Bank.
Select NBFCs.
Exposure to the broader market through quality businesses with strong earnings visibility.
Final View
Overall, I remain constructive on the market, but with higher respect for macro risks.
This is not the phase to chase every breakout.
The best strategy is:
Manage risk aggressively.
Hold fewer but higher-conviction positions.
Allocate meaningful capital to your best ideas.
Let winners run with strict trailing stop losses.
Allow earnings not liquidity to drive portfolio returns. | 800 |
| 11 | Buy CIEINDIA near 475-477
SL 468
TGT 485-492
3 Days Trade | 743 |
| 12 | Buy GABREIL near 1130-1145
SL 1080
TGT 1200-1250+++
1350-1400 possible
UPDATE
1400++ππ
Given on 18th June 2026 at βΉ1130π
Today on 20th July, stock touched βΉ1400π
Gain of around 23.89% in 1 month | 748 |
| 13 | Strongly Recommended
Buy ICICIBANK near 1280-1320
SL 1220
TGT 1444/1488/1555/1622/1666++++
1 year view
UPDATE
1447++, TGT 1 Hit | 711 |
| 14 | Buy LLOYDSME near 1830-1838
SL 1800
TGT 1850-1880-1900
3 Days Trade
UPDATE
1884++ππ, TGT 2 Hit | 690 |
| 15 | PAID SERVICES
1οΈβ£ Premium Services
Includes : Stock FNO, Index FNO, Stock Delivery
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2οΈβ£*Wealth Creation Services
Stock prices are at a MEGA Discount, and Iβm bringing you Wealth Creation Services at the same unbeatable value! ππ°
https://cosmofeed.com/vig/67b44199bde1050013418597 | 578 |
| 16 |  π Premium Group Trade Update
On 13th July, we shared a BUY recommendation for SUMICHEM at βΉ515ββΉ520 in our Premium Group.
On 15th July, the stock touched βΉ540, delivering up to 4.9% return in just 2 days. ππ₯
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Target Achieved
β
Research-Backed Recommendation
β
Profitable Short-Term Trade
Join our Premium Group for timely, high-conviction stock recommendations. | 572 |
| 17 | π Become a HELLO TRADER Partner!
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Ph : 877 955 5818 | 622 |
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| 19 | π Become a HELLO TRADER Partner!
Looking to build a profitable business in the financial markets?
Join HELLO TRADER as a Partner and earn recurring brokerage income by referring traders and building your own partner network.
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Ph : 8779555818 | 12 |
| 20 | Buy INDUSINDBK 28 Jul 2026 CE 1030 near 23-25
SL 19
TGT 30-37
1 Week Trade | 934 |
