The 3rd Wave
Closed channel
DISCLAIMER :- I'm not a SEBI registered analyst, all my views and charts are only for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for any kind of Loss or I have no share in your Profits. Before taking any position consult your financial advisor.
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Nifty Daily Chart
MAK View
The Daily chart is giving us an early warning signal, not yet a confirmed reversal.
The interesting combination is:
Price Higher Low + RSI Lower Low + Price at Rising Trendline Support + RSI near Oversold
This is the setup I would monitor closely.
If Nifty holds 23,250–23,350 and reclaims 23,893, the bullish divergence gets its first confirmation.
A move above 24,344 would strengthen the setup further, while 24,772 would be the major confirmation level.
So, yes — the Daily chart is showing a potential Hidden Bullish Divergence. Now we need PRICE to confirm what the INDICATORS are suggesting.
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POSITIONAL SWING STOCKS
CONFIPETRO CMP 92
STRICT SL 85
TGT OPEN TILL 180
GANDHAR CMP 276
STRICT SL 257
TGT OPEN TILL 900
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MAK Capital Weekly Summary
View: Bearish / Corrective
CMP: ~23,346
Market Structure: Recovery → Consolidation → Lower High → Breakdown | Short-Term Structure Bearish
Candlestick Pattern: Bearish Candle – Nifty has continued its decline and closed below the important 23,893 support, confirming increased selling pressure.
RSI (Weekly): 39.55 – Below 40, indicating weak momentum. It is approaching the oversold zone but has not reached it yet.
MACD (Weekly): -101.95 vs Signal -17.64 – Bearish. MACD is below the signal line and below zero, confirming weakening medium-term momentum.
Accumulation Zone: 22,200–23,200, but preferably only after signs of stabilization
Weekly Stop Loss: 22,184 on closing basis
Resistance: 23,893 → 24,772
Support: 23,173 → 22,248 → 22,184 → 21,696
Recovery Targets:
Short Term: 23,893
Medium Term: 24,772
Long Term: 25,200–25,823
Strategy
The character of the market has changed.
Earlier, the 23,893 level was support. It has now been broken and should be treated as the first major resistance until reclaimed.
The immediate battle is around 23,173. If this zone holds and a bullish reversal candle develops, we could see a technical bounce towards 23,893.
However, a decisive weekly close below 23,173 would open the way towards the 22,248–22,184 support zone.
For investors, this is a phase for patience and selective accumulation rather than aggressive buying. Quality stocks can be accumulated gradually near major supports, but confirmation of a market-wide momentum reversal would be preferable before increasing overall exposure.
MAK View: Don't confuse a bounce with a trend reversal. The index needs to reclaim 23,893 first, and 24,772 thereafter, to materially improve the weekly structure.
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POSITIONAL SWING STOCKS
SONACOMS CMP 808
STRICT SL 762
TGT 876-1165-1576
BHEL CMP 439
STRICT SL 407
TGT - OPEN
ALIVUS CMP 1431
STRICT SL 1340
TGT 1535-1886-2467
EBGNG CMP 703
STRICT SL 644
TGT 755-1135-1934
SANSERA CMP 4260
STRICT SL 3861
TGT 4438-4711-5635
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🎯 MAK MASTER VIEW
What I find important is that the three counts disagree about the path, but not necessarily about the larger structural possibility.
The common denominator is:
23,000–23,200 = CRITICAL ZONE
As long as this area holds on a closing/structural basis, the larger bullish Elliott interpretations remain viable.
Then:
23,600
First sign of strength.
24,000
Major confirmation zone.
24,500–24,800
Breakout from the current corrective structure.
25,500
Important Fibonacci extension zone.
26,200
Major previous high/resistance region.
27,000+
Longer-term Elliott objective shown by the bullish counts.
🚦 MAK Scenario Matrix
🟢 Scenario A — Bullish Impulse
23,100–23,200 holds
⬇️
23,600 reclaimed
⬇️
24,000 breakout
⬇️
24,800
⬇️
25,500
⬇️
26,200
⬇️
27,000+
🟡 Scenario B — Extended Correction
23,000–23,600 continues to act as a broad range.
Multiple W-X-Y structures develop.
Nifty may repeatedly confuse both bulls and bears before the larger trend resumes.
Time correction rather than immediate price correction.
🔴 Scenario C — Structural Failure
A decisive break of the 23,000–23,100 area would weaken the immediate bullish counts.
Then the market could revisit lower supports, with the 22,000–22,200 region becoming the major long-term structural reference.
A break of that area would require a complete reassessment of the larger Elliott count, rather than simply calling it another minor correction.
MAK Bottom Line
My reading of the three charts:
The market is at an important Elliott decision point—not necessarily at the end of the larger bullish structure.
The 23,000–23,200 zone is the battlefield.
Above this zone, the three counts continue to provide pathways toward 24,000, 24,800, 25,500, 26,200 and eventually 27,000+.
The key trigger is 24,000.
Until that happens, I would treat the market as being in a corrective/consolidation phase rather than assuming that the next major impulse has already started.
And importantly, Elliott Wave is a scenario framework, not a certainty. The count should be continuously adjusted as price invalidates or confirms specific wave structures.
MAK Elliott Wave View:
Long-term structure: Bullish bias
Intermediate structure: Corrective / transition phase
23,000–23,200: Critical support
24,000: Major confirmation
24,800: Breakout confirmation
25,500 / 26,200 / 27,000+: Bullish extension zones
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RR KABEL: From ₹3,000 to ₹2,400 — a correction of almost 20%.
Corrections are part of the journey, especially when you are investing for the long term.
The key is not to panic every time the price falls. The trend matters more than the noise.
This is where MAK Trending Impulse can make a difference — helping you identify whether the underlying trend remains intact and giving you the confidence to stay invested during normal market corrections.
Price may correct. The trend may still survive.
Stay focused. Stay disciplined. Let the trend guide you. 📈
758
High Growth and momentum Stocks hammered today.. microcap 250 RSI which was above 85.... it's now below 60.
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