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On July 4, the streets of Iran were filled with millions of people watching the funeral ceremony for Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei—either live or recorded—a crowd that was every bit as impressive as the Independence Day celebrations taking place in the U.S. The funeral ceremonies represent a clear show of strength by the Iranian people, who have become even more united after months of continuous aggression by the U.S. and Israel. A picture is worth a thousand words: the operation to overthrow the Iranian political regime and destroy the country has failed.🇮🇷

Meanwhile, tribes allied with Sana’a have responded with a general mobilization to counter what could become a serious military offensive by the Aden government—the first such offensive since 2022.

This comes at the same time that tribes from Jawf, Marib, and Hadramaut announced a significant mobilization of their forces toward the northern front against Ansarallah, leading to sporadic clashes along the front.

Yemen is preparing for the resumption of the war. 🇾🇪 Since the April 2, 2022, ceasefire between Ansarallah and Saudi Arabia/the UAE, Yemen has been in a state of low-intensity conflict, even after the official end of the ceasefire in October of that year. Over the next four years, the conflict centered on the Saudi Arabia/UAE sphere of influence, with a struggle between the two nations waged through their proxies, which ultimately resulted in Riyadh’s victory over Abu Dhabi in January 2026. With the Saudis as the sole influential power and following the outbreak of the regional war between the U.S./Israel and Iran, Riyadh has resumed its provocations against Sanaa, seeing this as an opportune moment to tip the balance of the Yemeni situation in its favor. On July 3, Ansarallah had to respond to a violation of its airspace by the Saudi Air Force, warning that any violation of Yemeni territory would be met with a forceful response.

On 3 July, the funeral ceremony for the late Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei began in Iran, set to last for six days. The scale of the funeral was evident from the very first day, when 32 delegations from various countries, as well as delegations representing regional and allied groups, arrived on Iranian soil. Countries from different regions, religions and cultures came together to pay their respects to a historic figure such as the Supreme Leader, but also to reinforce the idea that Iran was not alone on the international stage; rather, it had a greater presence than previously thought, having consolidated its victory over the US in the regional conflict, the definitive outcome of which remains in doubt for the time being. 🇮🇷

Despite logistical problems on the ground, the FAMa/Afrika Corps continue to provide military and humanitarian support to the besieged troops through the air and have inflicted significant losses on JNIM/FLA militants over the last four days since the fighting began. Numerous terrorist attacks were also repelled in Aguelhok, where the besieged troops reinforced their defences around the town, which remains under full government control. 🇷🇺🇲🇱🏳️ Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=19IxdgUFhNYyUIXEkYmQgmaYHz6OTMEk&ll=19.460265358750682%2C0.8575680667733199&z=14 ]

The convoy reached Anefis, albeit with heavy losses following an ambush by JNIM/FLA (possibly with French intelligence support) near Tabankort. 🇷🇺🇲🇱🏳️

A new battle for Anefis has begun. 🇷🇺🇲🇱 🏳️ On Saturday 4 July, the JNIM/FLA coalition launched a series of attacks against the FAMa/Afrika Corps troops besieged in Anefis. The attack was repelled, with heavy losses among the militants. Fighting continued on 5 July, with government and Russian reinforcements advancing northwards from Gao. Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=19IxdgUFhNYyUIXEkYmQgmaYHz6OTMEk&ll=17.56179527274689%2C0.10695723837365168&z=9 ]

On 6 June, the FAM and the Afrika Corps carried out further patrols east of Douentza, entering localities such as Pétaka, where they received a warm welcome from the inhabitants following the defeat of the terrorists in the area. The decline in JNIM’s strength over the past month has enabled supply operations to government bases in Boni, where the ‘siege’ is now in doubt following months of operations against the militants. 🇲🇱🇷🇺 Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=19IxdgUFhNYyUIXEkYmQgmaYHz6OTMEk&ll=15.076344194635494%2C-2.6214447258473728&z=10 ]

BTW take a look to the next update of Kupiansk. The methodical work carried out by the Russians in this area over the last three months is bearing fruit, without any haste or pressure from military-political figures seeking easy medals through virtual victories.

There are pro-Ukrainian or pro-Russian fanatics (like the man with the nickname Olga) who think I get depressed when I share a development that favors the “opposing” side, when in reality I love watching these idiots crying every time their simplistic narrative crumbles in the face of reality with every new publication.

Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1585-1591: 🇺🇦🇷🇺 Situation on Huliaipole & Orikhiv fronts: During the last week, Ukrainian army has made slight advances south of Kosivtseve. Meanwhile, Russian army has regained the initiative and stepped up its attacks on Vozdvyzhivka and Verkhnya Tersa, reaching the outskirts of Lisne, Rivne and Kopani. Russian forces also advanced west of Staroukrainka, re-entering Hirke, and began clearing out Ukrainian forces west of Zaliznychne. In Novoselivka and Huliaipilske, Ukrainian forces are working to drive out Russian forces whilst heavy shelling is taking place to the north of both towns. Furthermore, over the past three weeks, Russian troops have made further advances north of Luhivske and south of Charivne. Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=47.655312622573604%2C36.025376924290136&z=11 ]

Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1585-1591: 🇺🇦🇷🇺 Situation on Pokrovskaya & Novomykolaivka fronts: During the last week, Russian army has continued to expand the Kill Zone south of the Vovcha River, advancing into Oleksandrivka. As with Bohodarivka, Pysantsi & Novoskelyuvate, Russian incursions did not result in the capture and consolidation of these localities, but they highlight a difficult situation for Ukrainian army, which does not have firm control of the area either. The porous nature of the front line makes it difficult to establish a clear dividing line, whilst small Ukrainian & Russian units continue to infiltrate several kilometres into enemy positions. Meanwhile, the situation in Radisne, which is also in a grey zone, with no clear control, was clarified. Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=47.898278663609105%2C36.32973302522487&z=11 ]

Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1585-1591: 🇺🇦🇷🇺 Situation on Velikomikhailovskaya, Komarskaya fronts: The no-man’s-land between Vovcha and Mokri Yaly. Fighting between the Ukrainian and Russian armies continued during the last week at various positions, supported by a large number of drones and artillery fire. The fighting in Iskra, Yanvarske, Voskresenka, Tolstoi and Piddubne suggests a fluid and diffuse front line (similar to that in the Pokrovskaya sector), with the fighting approaching Komark. Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.020609512539956%2C36.625736115093126&z=11 ]

Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1585-1591: 🇺🇦🇷🇺 Situation on Dobropillya, Krivorozhskaya, Pokrovsk & Udachnenskaya fronts: During the last week, Russian army has begun advancing towards Serhiivka following two months of positional fighting and heavy shelling along the M-30 road and the railway line. Advances are also being made a few kilometres west of Hryshyne and south of Myrne. Furthermore, Russian forces advanced north of Novooleksandrivka and consolidated a series of positions in the grey zone north of Pokrovsk, whilst infiltration operations were launched in Shevchenko. Further north, after three months of fighting, the Russians have managed to gain the upper hand over Ukrainian army in Novyi Donbas, and DRG's have begun operating on the eastern outskirts of Dobropillya town, near the wastewater treatment plant. Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.36847505742779%2C37.036350128765&z=11 ]

Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1585-1591: 🇺🇦🇷🇺 Situation on Chasov Yar, Ilyinovskaya, Konstantinovskaya & Druzhkovskaya fronts: After taking control of Markove in mid-June, during the last three weeks Russian army managed to take control of the trench systems to the north of the locality. Meanwhile, during the last week, Russian forces have begun to exert intense pressure on Ukrainian positions in Mykolaivka & Chervone, both linked to Chasov Yar. Furthermore, in the city of Kostiantynivka, Russian forces advanced into the Chervonyi & Novoselivka districts & the OJSC ‘Weighting Plant’, whilst combing operations continue in the rest of the city, 90–95% of which is under Russian control. In addition, after three weeks of fighting, Russian troops began to enter the locality of Torske, north of Pryyut. Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.572859327579074%2C37.6683641608092&z=11 ]

Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1585-1591: 🇺🇦🇷🇺 Situation on Siversk, Mykolaivka & Soledar fronts: During the last week, Russian army has made significant advances along the Donets River, taking control of the village of Pyskunivka (it should be noted that Russian DRGs entered the area in early May after crossing the river) following the capture of Mala Pyskunivka. This has enabled to launch infiltration attacks on the outskirts of Starodubivka & the town of Mykolaivka, an important Ukrainian stronghold near the city of Sloviansk. Furthermore, Russians eliminated Ukrainian presence north of Riznykivka & Kalenyky and continued to advance in Rai-Oleksandrivka towards the water canal. Moreover, on the other side of the canal, Russian forces consolidated their positions in the eastern half of Malynivka & on the eastern outskirts of Tykhonivka, whilst also securing the section of the canal to the west of Minkivka. Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=48.77688 ]

Half of Lyman under Russian control? Way too early to say (again). Does the Ukrainian army have the situation under control? No way.

Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1585-1591: 🇺🇦🇷🇺 Situation north of Donetsk & Lyman fronts: During the last week, the situation in Stavky has remained difficult for the Russians due to the extension of the incursions by Ukrainian forces into the locality’s rear. Russian forces are attempting to relieve the pressure through new operations in the gray zones of Ukrainian infiltration to the east and west of Stavky, where they have managed to retake positions adjacent to Zarichne and in Drobysheve. Meanwhile, in Lyman, Russian army is beginning to gain the upper hand over Ukrainian army after consolidating its positions in the Masliakivka district and the Lisovyi neighborhood, as well as in the central microdistrict, creating footholds from which to continue penetrating deeper into the town, while Ukrainian forces attempt to maintain stability along the railroad line. Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=49.03443625821276%2C37.80710204047043&z=11 ]

Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1585-1591: 🇺🇦🇷🇺 Situation on Kupiansk front: During the last week, Russian Army has cleared the forest and the northern part of Kupyansk-Vuzlovyi after a month and a half of fighting, pushing the front line toward the silicate plant. Meanwhile, Russian forces continue to advance in Novoosynove and south of Hlushkivka. Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1V8NzjQkzMOhpuLhkktbiKgodOQ27X6IV&ll=49.66406416745835%2C37.62867626039415&z=11 ]