现已上线！2025 年 Telegram 研究 — 年度关键洞察 
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频道帖子
If 59k btc hold lowest for this bear market mean 4 year cycle broken ?
https://redd.it/1u0wvk1
@r_bitcoin
| 2 | Does Bitcoin actually deliver financial sovereignty if the exit is still controlled?
The whole point of Bitcoin was to step outside the traditional financial system. Permissionless, censorship resistant, no middlemen. That holds up well on the transaction side.
But the exit tells a different story. The moment you need real spendable cash the same gatekeepers show up bank approvals, identity verification, withdrawal limits, accounts frozen for moving your own money. The freedom promised on the way in disappears completely on the way out.
Physical cash keeps coming up as the only endpoint that actually closes the loop.
Does that actually complete the sovereignty argument or does the delivery address just become the new weak point? Where does the community stand on this?
https://redd.it/1u0wnaq
@r_bitcoin | 13 |
| 3 |  Message to every bitcoiner
https://redd.it/1u0rifj
@r_bitcoin | 25 |
| 4 | Did we just time travel?!?
The last time BTC was at $62,000 or so was back in 2021.
In Oct. 2025, I would've done anything to go back in time and buy BTC at that price.
Now, we are at that price point! So, isn't it a good time to buy?
https://redd.it/1u0qlzq
@r_bitcoin | 32 |
| 5 | Just a heads up. I’m the guy who has never had a successful trading year and bought Bitcoin 5 times and it dropped all 5 times. I’m about to buy more. You were warned.
I’m going to buy some and it always drops when I do.
https://redd.it/1u0pg9u
@r_bitcoin | 27 |
| 6 |  +1没有文字... | 29 |
| 7 | "The 4-year cycle trick doesn't work" Ok my friend I bought the low of last cycle in 2022! So...
https://redd.it/1u0oyo1
@r_bitcoin | 27 |
| 8 | Patience.
We’re down about 50% from the October highs, and my feed is packed with fear, doom, and “Bitcoin is dead” posts. So let’s zoom out for a second.
Bitcoin is not going to zero.
Why? Because as long as even one person somewhere in the world values it, they’ll trade something for it. Something that was worth pennies 16 years ago is sitting around $60,000 today… after being cut in half. Name another asset that can drop 50% and still be up that much over its lifetime.
This is what Bitcoin does.
It doesn’t move in a straight line. It climbs in violent, gut-wrenching waves with brutal pullbacks in between. Every major correction has felt like the end of the world while it was happening. Every single one. And yet here we are.
The part critics never seem to address is this: Bitcoin’s supply gets tighter over time, while the supply of dollars keeps expanding.
Every four years, Bitcoin’s issuance gets cut in half on a predetermined schedule, all the way toward its hard cap of 21 million coins. Fiat currencies work the opposite way. More gets created whenever policymakers decide it’s necessary. That’s not a conspiracy; it’s simply how the system is designed.
Over time, assets with limited supply tend to rise relative to currencies that are continually being expanded. We’ve seen that play out in real estate, stocks, and many other scarce assets for decades.
So no, the daily price action isn’t the story.
Short-term markets are driven by emotions, headlines, liquidity, and uncertainty. Sometimes that sends prices higher. Sometimes it sends them lower. That’s the noise.
The bigger picture is much simpler: a scarce asset, growing adoption over time, and a currency system that continues to expand.
Zoom out. The long-term trend is what matters.
https://redd.it/1u0kcp7
@r_bitcoin | 24 |
| 9 |  Sold the AP to buy the dip, got a nicer one instead
https://redd.it/1u0ggox
@r_bitcoin | 27 |
| 10 | Patience.
We’re down about 50% from the October highs, and my feed is packed with fear, doom, and “Bitcoin is dead” posts. So let’s zoom out for a second.
Bitcoin is not going to zero.
Why? Because as long as even one person somewhere in the world values it, they’ll trade something for it. Something that was worth pennies 16 years ago is sitting around $60,000 today… after being cut in half. Name another asset that can drop 50% and still be up that much over its lifetime.
This is what Bitcoin does.
It doesn’t move in a straight line. It climbs in violent, gut-wrenching waves with brutal pullbacks in between. Every major correction has felt like the end of the world while it was happening. Every single one. And yet here we are.
The part critics never seem to address is this: Bitcoin’s supply gets tighter over time, while the supply of dollars keeps expanding.
Every four years, Bitcoin’s issuance gets cut in half on a predetermined schedule, all the way toward its hard cap of 21 million coins. Fiat currencies work the opposite way. More gets created whenever policymakers decide it’s necessary. That’s not a conspiracy; it’s simply how the system is designed.
Over time, assets with limited supply tend to rise relative to currencies that are continually being expanded. We’ve seen that play out in real estate, stocks, and many other scarce assets for decades.
So no, the daily price action isn’t the story.
Short-term markets are driven by emotions, headlines, liquidity, and uncertainty. Sometimes that sends prices higher. Sometimes it sends them lower. That’s the noise.
The bigger picture is much simpler: a scarce asset, growing adoption over time, and a currency system that continues to expand.
Zoom out. The long-term trend is what matters.
https://redd.it/1u0kdo5
@r_bitcoin | 27 |
| 11 | Does anyone else feel like 100k is the new average or new normal?
We first reached $100k in late 2024, a year and a half ago. Since then we spent a total of 260 days above $100k which is close to 9 months.
Now we are back below $100k and have been below $100k for around 7 months.
Humans love round numbers and now that we have spent time both above and below $100k it is starting to feel like a magnet. Almost like $100k is not expensive but its also not cheap, it is just about right in terms of fair value.
Who knows, maybe we bounce above and below $100k for a long time to come given that the higher bitcoins market cap gets the slower it moves.
https://redd.it/1u0h2h2
@r_bitcoin | 29 |
| 12 | BTC dip hit different this time and I think I know why
As we all noticed, BTC is down pretty hard the last few days and I'm just sitting here not really bothered by it. That's new for me lol.
Usually a dip like this would have sent me into full panic mode, constantly refreshing prices and seriously considering selling part of my stack just to feel like I'm doing something. Done it before and regretted it every single time, classic buy high sell low situation.
Only difference lately is I've had another option when I needed cash, been borrowing against my stack instead of selling it, Nexo in my case, but I hear that there are other options out there for this too. So when the dip initially hit, the usual "should I sell before it drops more" thought just... didn't really come. Didn't need to.
Weird how much of panic selling is just not having another option in the moment. When selling feels like the only move you make it. When it doesn't, you don't.
https://redd.it/1u04fpb
@r_bitcoin | 41 |
| 13 |  Got a new tool cart from another electrician who owns 8 btc. Its a sign for me to start buying!
https://redd.it/1u0eew3
@r_bitcoin | 51 |
| 14 | Anyone still here for better money and to change the crooked system?
Just asking.
https://redd.it/1u0cb9s
@r_bitcoin | 52 |
| 15 |  Bitcoin is dead again...
https://redd.it/1u0bcoy
@r_bitcoin | 51 |
| 16 |  Bitcoin bear market, stress management and in my case growing vegetables.
https://redd.it/1u07a5p
@r_bitcoin | 55 |
| 17 |  The bitcoin 4 year cycle trick
https://redd.it/1u02g0r
@r_bitcoin | 55 |
| 18 | I just bought a little more BTC, plan for a bigger dip!
Hey team orange, I just threw some disposable money into BTC, I think we can all now safely plan on the dip going down to 30K. You're welcome.
https://redd.it/1u079z0
@r_bitcoin | 54 |
| 19 | I hit my first goal of 0.01!
After about 6 months of investing monthly, I hit my first goal of 0.01 BTC, on to the next one!
One day I'll reach 0.1 and, God willing, 1 BTC!
https://preview.redd.it/4uos6pz9y16h1.png?width=650&format=png&auto=webp&s=befc7afacdb02ae15a1765de3e9729c1cba44d8e
https://redd.it/1u06fqh
@r_bitcoin | 58 |
| 20 | Posted that I regret buying BCH a few years ago, BCH mods removed immediately... Seems unreasonable, can't we question?
I posted the below earlier today, the post was quickly removed by the BCH mods. Have held BCH for several years and would like it to succeed, surely a post like this isn't out of order?
At least I bought some BTC and ETH at the same time, my portfolio would be worth a crazy amount more if I had just stuck to BTC. Guess I learned the hard way.
Posted...
I bought into BCH a few years ago, biggest mistake I made.
Bought 33 BCH a few years ago, what a mistake. Worth holding on? Just accept defeat and sell? Looks like everyone else is...
So depressing looking at how other coins have done.
https://redd.it/1u02ce0
@r_bitcoin | 54 |
