HM Intelligence Updates

Ukrainian intelligence released a video showing the destruction of multiple high-value Russian military targets in occupied Crimea, reportedly carried out by long-range drones, possibly launched from USVs in the Black Sea. The strikes targeted advanced radar systems, including Podlyot, Niobiy-SV, Kasta 2E2, Imbir, Nyebo-SV, S-300VM, Nyebo-M, Protivnik-GE, and Mys. Additionally, an S-300SV launcher, command posts of the ST-68 and Kasta 2E2 radars, three Pantsir-S1 air defense systems, a transport and tugboat (Project S4236), the universal tug "Fedor Uryupin," and a Russian Mi-8 helicopter were also destroyed. #HM #HMIntelligence

In todays brief we cover the above story about the arson attack in Lithuania, nightclub fire in North Macedonia and Israel strikes in Gaza. https://open.spotify.com/episode/2jFXpwhqzjpmw9TgbOKEAg?si=YwwMRawaSPSx7tuR6Wn_IA

Lithuanian prosecutors have accused two Ukrainian nationals, one of whom is a minor, of carrying out an arson attack on an IKEA store in Vilnius last year on behalf of Russian military intelligence. The attack, which was planned over several months, involved an incendiary device with a time fuse. Authorities believe the suspects were following instructions from a terrorist network that communicated via social media and encrypted channels. Investigators suggest that both the suspects and their intermediaries may also be connected to criminal activities in Poland. Officials claim that Russia orchestrated the attack through its military intelligence and security forces. Lithuania and Poland, both NATO and EU members, have been strong supporters of Ukraine and share a border with Russia’s Kaliningrad enclave. The incident highlights growing concerns over potential Russian-backed operations in the region amid heightened geopolitical tensions. Source: Reuters, AP, AFP So what The use of terror groups and criminal elements by state-based actors is not new, but there has likely been an increase in kinetic attacks carried out by these groups. Several factors contribute to their effectiveness as agents for such operations: their willingness, access, and disposability. It is often easier for an operative in a hostile state to hire a criminal in the target country to conduct low-level operations, like arson. This approach is generally safer (operationally) and probably cheaper than sending an agent from its own country. Unfortunately, this trend is likely to continue and will be very difficult to stop. One potential solution might be to impose harsher penalties on criminals who act on behalf of a foreign state, which could deter such actions in the future. #HMIntelligence #HM #Lithuania #NATO #GreyZone #Europe

A federal judge ruled that Musk and DOGE’s efforts to shut down USAID were unconstitutional, ordering DOGE officials to restore nearly all of its operations. #HM #HMIntelligence

An evacuation has been announced in the Krasnoyaruzhsky district of Russia's Belgorod region. While local authorities have not issued official statements, Z-channels are spreading panic about a possible Ukrainian forces breakthrough. #HM #HMIntelligence

Our new video looks at three key border regions that could be where a new world war starts 🤙 https://youtu.be/SGSJ85wi458?si=lgljNQxwYm8NwENO

A van has collided with a group of people at King’s College in Aldwych, WC2, central London, resulting in multiple injuries. The number of fatalities, if any, remains unknown. #HM #HMIntelligence

Azerbaijan reported that its positions along the western border with Armenia were subjected to small arms fire on March 17 between 17:25 and 21:45. However, Armenian authorities dismissed the claim, calling it misinformation. #HM #HMIntelligence

The Russian Armed Forces' latest mobile anti-aircraft system 😂 #HM #HMIntelligence

Zelenskyy visited Lviv and paid tribute to Ukraine's fallen defenders at Lychakiv Cemetery, honoring their sacrifice for the country's freedom and future. He emphasized remembering those who gave their lives, stating, "Eternal memory to the heroes." #HM #HMIntelligence

Lithuania, Poland, Latvia, and Estonia have declared their decision to withdraw from the Ottawa Convention on Anti-Personnel Mines. #HM #HMIntelligence

Today's brief is about Rwanda and Belgium political fall out, Serbian Government deny using audio weapon, and trump vows to strike Yemen. https://open.spotify.com/episode/4L4mtvmaed3kxineKA2nzx?si=uKIWynTzRb2z6Qs4z0x-Ng

Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic has denied allegations that his police forces used a banned sonic weapon, known as a Long Range Acoustic Device (LRAD), to disperse protesters in Belgrade. He dismissed the accusations as a “vile lie” and stated that while he has seen such a weapon used abroad, no such sound was heard in Belgrade. Despite denying the claims, Vucic announced an investigation into the matter but also suggested that those spreading the allegations should be prosecuted. Eyewitnesses reported a sudden piercing noise during a moment of silence at the protest, which military analyst Aleksandar Radic claimed was characteristic of an LRAD. The Belgrade Center for Security Policy condemned the alleged use of the weapon, calling it an attempt to incite chaos and delegitimize the protests, while also pointing out that its use is illegal under Serbian law. The protests in Belgrade are the largest in Serbia’s history, with attendance estimates ranging from 100,000 to over 500,000 people. The demonstrations, led by students, were initially triggered by the deaths of 15 people in Novi Sad due to a train station roof collapse but have since grown into a broader movement against President Vucic’s government. Protesters are demanding accountability and raising concerns over corruption, nepotism, voter fraud, media control, and government mismanagement. In response to the unrest, Serbian Prime Minister Milos Vucevic and Novi Sad Mayor Milan Djuric have resigned, but tensions remain high as calls for further government accountability continue. Source: AP, DW So what There are several clear videos demonstrating the use of a weapon that caused thousands of people to flee down a specific street during a 15-minute period of silence. Additionally, the videos show police leaving the area just moments before the weapon was deployed. While it's possible that the weapon did not utilize sound to disperse the protesters, it seems highly likely that something was used against the crowd. #HMIntelligence #HM #Bulkans #Serbia #Politics #Protests

Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic has denied allegations that his police forces used a banned sonic weapon, known as a Long Range Acoustic Device (LRAD), to disperse protesters in Belgrade. He dismissed the accusations as a “vile lie” and stated that while he has seen such a weapon used abroad, no such sound was heard in Belgrade. Despite denying the claims, Vucic announced an investigation into the matter but also suggested that those spreading the allegations should be prosecuted. Eyewitnesses reported a sudden piercing noise during a moment of silence at the protest, which military analyst Aleksandar Radic claimed was characteristic of an LRAD. The Belgrade Center for Security Policy condemned the alleged use of the weapon, calling it an attempt to incite chaos and delegitimize the protests, while also pointing out that its use is illegal under Serbian law. The protests in Belgrade are the largest in Serbia’s history, with attendance estimates ranging from 100,000 to over 500,000 people. The demonstrations, led by students, were initially triggered by the deaths of 15 people in Novi Sad due to a train station roof collapse but have since grown into a broader movement against President Vucic’s government. Protesters are demanding accountability and raising concerns over corruption, nepotism, voter fraud, media control, and government mismanagement. In response to the unrest, Serbian Prime Minister Milos Vucevic and Novi Sad Mayor Milan Djuric have resigned, but tensions remain high as calls for further government accountability continue. Source: AP, DW So what There are several clear videos demonstrating the use of a weapon that caused thousands of people to flee down a specific street during a 15-minute period of silence. Additionally, the videos show police leaving the area just moments before the weapon was deployed. While it's possible that the weapon did not utilize sound to disperse the protesters, it seems highly likely that something was used against the crowd. #HMIntelligence #HM #Bulkans #Serbia #Politics #Protests

Lebanese army headed to the Syrian border to fight Jolani’s people #HM #HMIntelligence

Lithuanian prosecutors have presented evidence linking Russia’s military intelligence service, the GRU, to arson attacks in Lithuania, Latvia, and Poland, including fires at an IKEA store in Vilnius and a shopping mall in Warsaw. Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk confirmed that Poland shares this assessment. New video idea? Fire emoji if you agree. #HM #HMIntelligence

China’s J-36, a suspected 6th-generation stealth fighter, has completed its second test flight, though official details remain limited. Its tailless, double-delta wing design suggests enhanced stealth, while a unique three-engine configuration indicates potential for high speed and long range. Experts believe it may use modified WS-10 or WS-15 engines, but China has not confirmed any key specifications. #HM #HMIntelligence

Ukrainian soldiers described their retreat from Russia’s Kursk region as "catastrophic" due to relentless drone attacks and destroyed military columns. They lost control of Sudzha, the largest town they held in the region, under heavy fire. Analysts estimate that two-thirds of Ukraine’s initial gains in Kursk have now been lost, raising concerns about the operation's overall cost. In our video abotthe offensive we described this outcome as the worst case scenario. Watch the video here: #HM #HMIntelligence https://youtu.be/NJVA51cM6o4?si=woDWq32rk6CQOHiC

Russia's largest refinery has been hit, putting 50% of Moscow's fuel supply at risk following a drone strike. #HM #HMIntelligence

The Houthis have claimed they launched an attack on the US aircraft carrier USS Harry Truman using 18 ballistic missiles and drones. However, there is no independent confirmation of their claim, and it remains unclear whether the attack was successful. They also stated that they would not hesitate to target all US warships in the Red Sea and the Arabian Sea. #HM #HMIntelligence