Technical My Tips

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🅰🔠🔡🆎 ➡💲➡Dollar holds near 158.19 yen. Two scenarios after Japan's trade figures USDJPY trades near 158.19 on Wednesday, below resistance at 160.300. Weekly resistance stands at 163.970, while support sits at 153.000. Use the scenarios below to weigh Japan's policy signals against U.S. bond demand. 🪙 Key takeaways

• Events. Japan's September trade deficit was 536.6 billion yen, exceeding the forecast shortfall of 181 billion yen. It narrowed from roughly 1.1 trillion yen in August. The country still faced costly energy imports, which put pressure on its external finances. • Background. Bank of Japan (BoJ) Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino said today that underlying inflation was close to the 2% target. He warned that delaying policy changes could increase inflation risks. This supports the case for higher Japanese rates, potentially helping the yen. • Potential triggers. The U.S. 20-year Treasury bond auction takes place at 5:00 p.m. UTC. Strong demand could lower yields and weaken the dollar's interest-rate advantage over the yen. Weak demand could push yields higher, supporting USDJPY despite expectations of further BoJ tightening.

🪙 Tip for traders If U.S. yields rise and USDJPY breaks above 160.300, it may climb towards weekly resistance at 163.970. The bullish view fails if the pair returns below 160.300. If yields ease and a rebound fails at 160.300, USDJPY may fall towards 153.000. The bearish view fails if the price holds above 160.300.

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This Dussehra, conquer the demons that can get in the way of better trading. 🏹🔥​ ​ FOMO, overtrading, emotional decisions, excessive leverage and more; recognizing these habits is the first step towards managing your risk and staying disciplined.​ ​ Which trading habit are you leaving behind this Dussehra?​ ​ #XM #Trading #Dussehra2026

This Dussehra, conquer the demons that can get in the way of better trading. 🏹🔥​ ​ FOMO, overtrading, emotional decisions, excessive leverage and more; recognizing these habits is the first step towards managing your risk and staying disciplined.​ ​ Which trading habit are you leaving behind this Dussehra?​ ​ #XM #Trading #Dussehra2026

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