Technical My Tips

🅰🔠🔡🆎 ➡🪙➡Bitcoin retreats towards $80,250 as fund demand weakens Bitcoin trades near $81,600 on Friday, above support at $80,250. Resistance stands at $87,100, with further support at $76,500. Review the scenarios below as fund withdrawals test buyers' confidence. 🪙 Key takeaways

• Events. Bitcoin fell alongside technology shares after the Nasdaq Composite lost 2.6% on Thursday. CryptoTicker reported forced closures of leveraged long positions across crypto markets. Such closures can add selling pressure when traders lack enough collateral to keep their positions open. • Background. U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded $635.6 million in net outflows on Thursday, according to Farside Investors. The withdrawals ended three consecutive sessions of inflows. Weaker fund demand leaves Bitcoin more exposed to selling elsewhere in financial markets. • Potential triggers. Today's preliminary U.S. services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) from S&P Global is due at 1:45 p.m. UTC. Forecast: 58.0 points / Previous: 58.8 points. Moderately softer activity could lower Treasury yields and help Bitcoin. A sharp slowdown could increase risk aversion. Stronger inflation signals could raise rate expectations and pressure Bitcoin.

🪙 Tip for traders If risk appetite improves and Bitcoin holds above $80,250, it may recover towards $87,100. The bullish view fails if the price falls below $80,250. If selling continues and Bitcoin breaks below $80,250, it could retreat towards $76,500. The bearish scenario fails if the price recovers above $80,250.

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🅰🔠🔡🆎 ➡💲➡Dollar holds near 158.19 yen. Two scenarios after Japan's trade figures USDJPY trades near 158.19 on Wednesday, below resistance at 160.300. Weekly resistance stands at 163.970, while support sits at 153.000. Use the scenarios below to weigh Japan's policy signals against U.S. bond demand. 🪙 Key takeaways

• Events. Japan's September trade deficit was 536.6 billion yen, exceeding the forecast shortfall of 181 billion yen. It narrowed from roughly 1.1 trillion yen in August. The country still faced costly energy imports, which put pressure on its external finances. • Background. Bank of Japan (BoJ) Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino said today that underlying inflation was close to the 2% target. He warned that delaying policy changes could increase inflation risks. This supports the case for higher Japanese rates, potentially helping the yen. • Potential triggers. The U.S. 20-year Treasury bond auction takes place at 5:00 p.m. UTC. Strong demand could lower yields and weaken the dollar's interest-rate advantage over the yen. Weak demand could push yields higher, supporting USDJPY despite expectations of further BoJ tightening.

🪙 Tip for traders If U.S. yields rise and USDJPY breaks above 160.300, it may climb towards weekly resistance at 163.970. The bullish view fails if the pair returns below 160.300. If yields ease and a rebound fails at 160.300, USDJPY may fall towards 153.000. The bearish view fails if the price holds above 160.300.

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This Dussehra, conquer the demons that can get in the way of better trading. 🏹🔥​ ​ FOMO, overtrading, emotional decisions, excessive leverage and more; recognizing these habits is the first step towards managing your risk and staying disciplined.​ ​ Which trading habit are you leaving behind this Dussehra?​ ​ #XM #Trading #Dussehra2026

This Dussehra, conquer the demons that can get in the way of better trading. 🏹🔥​ ​ FOMO, overtrading, emotional decisions, excessive leverage and more; recognizing these habits is the first step towards managing your risk and staying disciplined.​ ​ Which trading habit are you leaving behind this Dussehra?​ ​ #XM #Trading #Dussehra2026

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