Choice Commodity Research
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Crude Oil Update
Iran says talks with Oman over the Strait of Hormuz have entered their final stage.
Negative for crude oil.
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Crude Oil Update
OPEC+ is expected to keep October oil output policy unchanged, as members must first agree on new quotas and 2027 production baselines. Capacity reviews may occur later in 2026, potentially delaying further production increases into the fourth quarter.
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Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Book Profit @ 419.60...Buy in Commodity ZINC|30SEP26 @ 419.10 SL 418.30 TGT 420.70
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk:Sell GUARSEED10|16OCT26 in Commodity @ 6874.00 SL 6902.00 TGT 6818.00
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk:Buy NATURALGAS|25SEP26 in Commodity @ 278.80 SL 276.80 TGT 282.80
Geopolitical Update
Following the latest U.S. jobs report and rising trade deficits, President Trump threatened potential embargoes on trading partners. Posting on Truth Social, he urged the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates or face halts in trade with deficit-causing nations.
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Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk:Buy ZINC|30SEP26 in Commodity @ 419.10 SL 418.30 TGT 420.70
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Exit @ 10.40...Buy in Commodity NATURALGAS|23SEP26 CE 280.00 @ 10.00 SL 8.40 TGT 13.20
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Target Achieved @ 348.65...Buy in Commodity ALUMINIUM|30SEP26 @ 347.40 SL 346.80 TGT 348.60
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk:Buy SILVERMIC|30NOV26 in Commodity @ 239584.00 SL 237778.00 TGT 243196.00
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Book Part Profit @ 348.00...Buy in Commodity ALUMINIUM|30SEP26 @ 347.40 SL 346.80 TGT 348.60
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk:Buy ALUMINIUM|30SEP26 in Commodity @ 347.40 SL 346.80 TGT 348.60
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk:Buy CRUDEOILM|17SEP26 CE 8800.00 in Commodity @ 263.10 SL 211.50 TGT 366.30
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk:Buy NATURALGAS|23SEP26 CE 280.00 in Commodity @ 10.00 SL 8.40 TGT 13.20
Copper Update
Copper futures slipped as strong US jobs data boosted Fed rate-hike bets, denting demand outlook. However, prices may cap downside limited as tight supply—Congo's export ban, weak Chile/Peru output, and El Nino disruptions while tariff uncertainty pushed Comex inventories to record levels.
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Rupee Update
The Indian rupee reached a two-month high of 94.4 per dollar, bolstered by RBI intervention and foreign inflows. Strong US jobs data and surging crude prices ($97/barrel) capped further momentum.
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Global Market Heatmap
Global markets were mixed, with U.S. equities largely subdued as the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.13%, while the Dow fell 0.27% and the S&P 500 slipped 0.03%. Asian markets performed better, led by the Nikkei 225, which rose 0.93%.
In commodities, crude oil, gasoline, and heating oil gained, while natural gas declined sharply.
In Metals, Gold fell 0.29%, whereas silver and palladium edged higher. Base metals were mostly weak, with copper and aluminum declining, while the U.S. dollar index edged higher.
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Update on Book Part Profit : Exit at cost in NATURALGAS|25SEP26
