MAPPING CONFLICT(Modi Arc)

📝If trts are following a known and preempted trail , still escaping consistently , 🙂 ,things arent as palatablr as shown.

⚠️Local Terrain for you!

⛰️Terrain 📍32.5622046, 75.5015006

‼️Contact established! Juthana, Kathua

Observation 1- 🔰25 Dec 2015 - PM Modi visits Nawaj Shareef indicating thaw in India Pak tensed relationship. And within a week- 📎2nd Jan 2016 - Attack on Pathankot 📎3rd Jan 2016 - Attack on Indian consulate in Afganistan And many more examples in past . Lesson- ?

Yearly Trends in Incidents and Casualties (2000-2024)

📔Analysis 📌0 kills in pir panjal, despite of frequent ops ,means trts are deciding contact in this place , as trts have settled their roots in this region since 2021 with robust ogw networks ,hideouts, logistics and vicinity with LoC,Civillian populations under threat, SFs can improve Ambush drills , evade contact , increase security but they cant provide personal security to everyone , livelihoods under threat

Cold winters lead to hot summers🍁 - a wise man

Sub-region wise KIAs, 1.Chenab(Doda,Kishtwar,Ramban,parts of Reasi) -High hills and significant kashmiri muslim demography 2.Jammu(Jammu,Kathua,Samba,Udhampur,parts of Reasi) Low hills or plains 3.Pir panjal(Rajouri,Poonch,parts of Reasi) Gujjar pahari population, blend of high and medium hills

🔰〽️Jin hathon se brainrot reals like krte ho, unhi hathun se ye posts bhi like krdena mittae 😄

Source like abhool gya

Counter Argument;Moving towards IB may be suicidal , they have moved towards the interiors