NATO war in Ukraine v Russia

when the rest of the world's media was lying about the nationalists of poland. i travelled there to tell the truth.

❗The Sudanese authorities have approved a deal to create a naval base of the Russian Navy in Port Sudan. As a result of the bidding, Russia agreed to revise a number of parameters of the deal that the Sudanese insisted on in order to give the agreement a go. As a result, despite the resistance of the Americans, there will be a deal. And in the medium term, Russia will have its first base in Africa since the Soviet era.

📆#thisday February 12 is Red Hand Day, International Day Against the Use of Child Soldiers.

🇺🇦🇪🇺 In an interview with a German magazine, Zelensky said he never planned to honor ceasefire agreements signed with Russia in 2014 and 2015. If that’s true, he’s basically admitted to wanting this war from the start, presumably to bait a NATO intervention. The Washington Post reported on Feb. 23, 2022, that France and Germany, in particular, “pressed for implementation” of the “Minsk peace accords as the best chance for a diplomatic solution” in a last-ditch effort to avoid war. Zelensky has suggested he sabotaged that effort. He could be lying. Or it could be true. Either undermines the narrative built by the West that places blame on the shoulders of Russia. 📎 Pedro Gonzales

The ARC Integrity ro-ro ship arrived in the German port of Bremerhaven, where it unloaded the M2A2 Bradley ODS-SA infantry fighting vehicles, the AN / TWQ-1 Avenger short-range air defense system and the M88A2 Hercules ARVs transported for the Ukrainian army. @milinfolive

Give

"Many of us have closely followed the act of sabotage. Many European capitals put their finger on Russia and said: "It was Russia that blew up its own pipeline", which did not make sense, but many did. When asked in recent months, I always said, well, there are a lot of suspects in the room. And I didn't know... I just had some indication, like the announcement by President Biden in January. One thing was clear to me since 2018, that the United States was determined to make sure that this pipeline system never became operational. I wouldn't have expected them to blow it up. But I said it publicly in 2018-2019, when I was still a minister, I said, my impression is that even if they can't prevent its completion in terms of construction, they tried as much as they could, but it was finally completed and then we had the whole certification process."

All the philosophy is of the world cannot condolence the loss for those who lost #Syria 🇸🇾💔😞

💥 Russian Special Forces soldiers were able to spot the tank by the flash of a gun. A missile was immediately fired at it, hitting the enemy vehicle.1 Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters. https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh #source @Slavyangrad Join SLG 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community

Thirteen-year-old Sasha from the front-line village of Zaitsevo near Gorlovka is now the main man in the family, supporting his mother and younger brother. Journalist : What is your name? Do you live in the village of Zaitsevo? How old are you? Sasha: "Yes, my name is Sasha." thirteen years old. Journalist : So when the war started, you were very young? You had no childhood. What do you mean by "complicated"? Sasha: "Well, it's unpleasant, yes." My brother Kirill was born when the war started. Journalist : There are a lot of restrictions: not going outside, not stepping on grass, hiding in the basement; it's not like a normal childhood.  Sasha : Well, now it's a little easier, and I mostly walk in Nikitovka with my friends. Journalist : Last time we visited your mother and brother, you weren't at home; you were at church. What are you doing there? Sasha: I conduct religious services with the Priest Journalist : At that age, why did you decide to go there? Have you always been religious? Sasha: I like it there; it's quiet, it's good, the priests help, and you do good things there. I've always been there.  Journalist: "I know you lost your father." Sasha: It was very painful; he went to the store and didn't come back. Half an hour later, we got a call that he was gone.  Journalist: "Sasha, how can you go through all this at that age?" You took on the responsibility to protect your mother and brother.  Sasha : I have to do everything; I have to help, chop wood, and so on.  Journalist: Can you handle it? Sasha: Yes, I can. Journalist: "What is peace?" Sasha: "Peace is silence," when everyone is friends, when no one quarrels, and a good life. Journalist: When will that life come? Sasha: "I think it will soon." Translated by : Миша, Slavyangrad https://t.me/maryananaumova/899 Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters. https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh @Slavyangrad Join SLG 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community

Scattered deadly 🇩🇪 German and 🇫🇷 French mines. They shoot 3 pieces in a tube, then they scatter and descend by parachute. They stand on their legs, the parachute comes unfastened and the antenna about 60 cm remains in sight. Works on movement and vibration. @rustroyka1945 Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters https://t.me/+Voj2ZQ49JLliM2Ex #source @Slavyangrad Join SLG 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community

The 6P67 assault rifle was frozen in ice at -66 ° C and then they tried to open fire from it - the weapon successfully passed this ordeal. Such an experiment to test the reliability of the machine was proposed by the journalists of the Military Acceptance program. 6P67 is a 5.45mm balanced submachine gun. It also exists in execution for the caliber 7.62 mm - 6P68. This weapon differs from conventional assault rifles in the presence of a special balancing system, which almost completely dampens recoil when firing. Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters. https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh #source @Slavyangrad Join SLG 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community

Ukrainian reports that everything is bad with him north of Artyomovsk: 1. Russian troops took Krasnaya Gora. 2. There is an attack on Paraskovievka. 3. Musicians and army men are active in establishing physical control over the M-03 Bakhmut-Slavyansk highway. Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters. https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh #source @Slavyangrad Join SLG 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community

A Ukrainian soldier asks his commanders to withdraw the Ukrainian troops from Bakhmut. You bastards, the Ukrainian command, take the guys out of Bakhmut! It will be a repeat of Azovstal! Take the guys out; how many video appeals have we already recorded? Why don't you hear bitches? Do you like it when our guys die, you bastards? Take your son or wife and take them to Bakhmut, and let them stand there!  And you fucking deputies sit in a chair and shout glory to Ukraine? You are not patriots; you are murderers; you are beasts; you are devils! We don't ask for much: withdraw from Bakhmut; issue an order to withdraw troops from Bakhmut! Whatever the cost, it will be the right decision.  I'll tell you another thing for sure: when the war is over, one hundred percent, there will be a sweep of our deputies for whom our heroes, our soldiers, died! Glory to Ukraine Translated by : Миша, Slavyangrad #source Join Slavyangrad @Slavyangrad Join SLG 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community

Ugledar. A guided missile hit the highest point of the city, where visible and thermal imaging surveillance systems were installed, as well as a counter-battery radar system. It is noteworthy that our artillerymen from the 155th Marine Brigade had previously hit this pipe with a conventional uncorrected 152mm projectile, but the explosive power was not enough then Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters. https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh #source @Slavyangrad Join SLG 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community

The Ukrainian war criminal Sergey Makarenko , who killed Russian prisoners of war continues to record videos and has promised to kill more Russian prisoners. First video: Makarenko: I have killed you, I'm killing you, and I will continue to kill you, and you have no idea how much I have killed you. What you write on the Internet about me is: "We'll find him and kill him, and if we don't kill him, he'll die anyway." You fuckheads, I'll live forever! Second video:  Makarenko: When we take Donbass, Lugansk, and Crimea, I want to kill more than half of the locals there. Translated by : Миша , Slavyangrad Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters. https://t.me/+PUg0rQrZdiw4YWFh @Slavyangrad Join SLG 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community

As I said. I want to be honest, I think, and this is only my assumption… It is too late for triggering WW3: The Ukrainian human potential is almost gone. And soon it WILL BE GONE. The Europeans have been demilitarized. And they will be demilitarized further until this is over. There is not much which could be used to actually fight the Russians. The Americans would withdraw its equipment to America or Asia. This is an important region. Europe lost its significance, and with it, the obligation to NATO. Article 5 says that the allies should consult on whether and how to support the member under attack. The decision of the single member states could be to send medical equipment or simply to do nothing. This applies to America as well. America wouldn’t do much for Eastern European states. And it certainly would NOT fight Russia over them. I’m not yet sure, about central and west Europe, since America will need them, for reindustrializing over their resources and industries. Until this war is over, NATO will only be four letters on a piece of paper. To be honest, I didn’t expect it that way. I will point out my assumption, how NATO could be dismembered, in the “strategic outlook” chapter. But as it turns out, the NATO military branch will soon be done and gone. Left will be a club of people, that are meeting regularly to issue some threats out of a parallel universe in the direction of Russia. As I said, I’ll go deeper into this later. I want you all to keep in mind, what the ultimate goal of Russia is. Russia’s ultimate goal is to secure its strategic security in the western direction, by forcing the West to accept the new draft treaty for European security. Either voluntarily or by force. Force can be military, economic or revolutionary. Don’t forget that part. In case of failure, we all are simply going to die. As I pointed out in the quoted article, who is cheering for Russia to lose, is cheering for his own death. The lynchpin – Odessa The strategic lynchpin, whether there will be a Ukraine, going forward, or not, is Odessa. With Odessa, Ukraine could sustain some kind of economy, by accessing the Black Sea. Probably it would be enough, to continue an existence as a classic American failed state, like Libya and some others that I won’t name so as to not insult the people living there. If Russia takes Odessa, or defeats the Ukrainian army somewhere else, so that Odessa could no longer be defended, then the war is over. Odessa is more important to Ukraine than Kiev itself. Odessa is also one of the strategic goals, named by President Vladimir Putin, before he started the SMO.  One of these goals is to bring justice to what happened in Odessa in 2014, when some fifty Russians were burned to death by Ukrainian nationalists. It is a personal goal of Vladimir Putin to take the city and seek justice for these deaths. Here are more reasons: It is a strategic city. Without it, there could never be something like “Ukraine” again. It wouldn’t be economically sustainable. It would give Russia the control of a big part of the Black Sea. In fact, Russia’s dominance in the Black Sea couldn’t be contested anymore. Not only not from the Sea, but also not from the land or air. Russia would have a deep outpost within the east flank of NATO, which is crucial. Think of radars, air bases, air defences, missile bases, fleet bases, marshalling grounds, etc. Odessa is a Russian city. Not just any Russian city. It is a highly important Russian city. It was built by a very popular Russian emperor, Katherine the Great. Moreover, it is a hero city. (See WW2 hero cities). Ukraine and the West will never accept peace with Russia as long as Russia holds territory that the West claims as well, such as Kherson, Crimea, etc. If the Russians would leave Odessa to Ukraine, under some kind of treaty, there would always be the danger that Ukraine rearms and uses Odessa and its access to the Black Sea to harm Russia. As we all know, and Russia knows even more, the West breaks ALL treaties that it signs.

But still, the world will survive. It is up to Russia and the other civilized people to handle the rage of this wounded animal and contain it, so we won’t need to use nuclear weapons or kick-off WW3. That’s why Russia is taking many hard punches, without responding. Challenge The challenge is for Russia to win the war in Ukraine without escalating too much, to not trigger any reactions from the West, that could still trigger WW3, over Ukraine. Currently there is no potential for such an escalation if we consider only the Ukrainian and the Russian army. The Ukrainian Army is soon (by the end of the summer 2023) gone. But the Americans could decide to sacrifice the European armies against Russia as another proxy force. Without American involvement. It is not impossible, even though I think that the probability is very low. Think of Polish and other European countries sending own troops to defend Western Ukraine, Odessa or Kiev. People don’t want it? There is not such a mood? There are no weapons? Who cares? Create enough false flag operations within the EU and NATO, activate a large media campaign and you will have fanatical Europeans cheering for war and volunteering to march on Moscow. Such a scenario needs to be avoided. It is called “escalation management”. Why did I write that Americans would use the Europeans as a proxy force? Well, Europe is no longer interesting for America. They are pivoting to the new hot spot for trade, Asia. Europe is done. It can be used like a used condom, to further weaken Russia. Throwing old stuff and human waves against the Russians is creating losses for Russia. Both, in people and economically. Learn about opportunity costs. These are costs or revenues, that you did not achieve since you chose to do something less favourable. Hence, Russia could prosper by developing trade and relationships with the “New World”. But instead, it would need to fully mobilize and put a huge part of its resources, money and welfare into the military and war. While other market actors are exploiting the absence of Russia on the world markets. Horror scenario? Yes, but I don’t believe that it will materialize. Indicators But we need to discuss it. We are talking about a wounded wild animal. Its actions are totally unpredictable. And it is always doubling down. So, nothing can be excluded. We should be aware of it. And that’s why I decided to write down some important indicators, which would indicate, that a threshold has been crossed, where there is no return. Overt or covert mobilisation efforts within the big European countries. Overt or covert transition to a wartime economy/production within the big European countries. If the number of mobilized troops of Russia exceeds more than one and a half million men. I’m talking only about the mobilized. Not about the already standing conscript and professional peacetime army. Calmness of Vladimir Putin is gone for a longer time. In fact, he would be visually very angry and his rhetoric would reach levels, never seen before. See his behaviour from November 2021 until February 2022, for a small version of what we would see. Active and official participation of NATO troops in hostilities against Russia. Officially breaking off relations between Russia and major NATO countries. Withdrawing of diplomatic missions and personnel, etc. Total severing of all economic relations. Russia withdrawing from many not-crucial markets without visible reasons. Russia withdrawing from Syria. Overt or covert full mobilisation in Russia. Withdrawal of the Americans from important and major regions without a clear reason. Say, a sudden withdrawal of the Americans from the Middle East, including its navy. The Americans would try to bring as much equipment and as many troops as possible out of harm’s way before the Russian barrages start to hit American bases worldwide. Thank you for reading Black Mountain Analysis. This post is public so feel free to share it. Important factors

Exactly this scenario. America becomes a “normal” multipolar power at the table with others. A single new world system emerges, which is controlled by an organisation and not by states. Either a new kind of UN/League of Nations, or a fundamental reconstruction of the UN and purge of “Western” “influence” and “Influencer”. Hence, the “De-Westernification” of the world. America could decide, to stay an “opposite-pole”, against the multipolar world order. Then we would have two systems at the same time, competing against each other. The rest of the West and the BRICS/SCO states, competing and struggling for the contested bloc-free markets, until there is no bloc-free nation left. Unfortunately, I assume, that option two will prevail. Which is the worse option for the world and humankind. What are the goals of such an America (The West)? Completely draining power from all its colonies and making them completely dependent on themselves. To secure markets and territory, for the future struggle against the powers of the Heartland. At the same time weakening the Heartland, since Europe is an integral part of it, with a huge potential, if managed correctly. The depletion of the weapon stocks of Europe has the positive side effect that all these weapons will need to be replenished. Since the industrial production costs rose sky-high, for example, because of the blowing up of the gas pipelines (what a coincidence) and many other self-defeating reasons, Europe will struggle to reproduce these stocks themselves. The rationale is, that they will come to America and beg for “cheap” weapons. In fact, America is raping Europe and is forcing them to come back to them and beg for more. Perversion. Or how does Scott Ritter say? Odious! Wounded animal Most likely the West didn’t expect that the war would develop as it did. I wrote several times about it. First, they expected that Ukraine would fall within days and then they would organize a guerrilla war. Then, after they saw that Russia was not waging a strategic doctrinal offensive but a SMO, they thought, the West will win. But none of it is true. Neither did Russia win within days, nor will it lose. In fact, it is defeating the West, its armies and economies in Ukraine. Who would have thought that? America knows very well what its new role will be, so they are preparing for it by making Europe totally dependent on them, deindustrializing it and draining it for the next decade. Not only Europe, but all other colonies as well, including Canada, Australia, Japan, South Korea, etc. Here is the problem. Since America is well aware of its impending downfall from a superpower to a normal but powerful nation, it struggles with a certain syndrome. When everything is well, all are happy and are competing to claim the success for themselves. When things go south, then the opposite applies. Everyone tries to blame the other. Which is currently the case in America. I will write a separate article about America. So, I’ll go here quickly over it. There is not one single power that is determining the course of the United States. The ruling oligarchy (the politicians are only “sponsored executioners” of the oligarchy) doesn’t know exactly which way to go. There are powers that want to choose option 1, away from the empire and towards multipolarity and there are also powers who don’t want to go down without a fight. Unfortunately, the majority of the establishment or oligarchy are supporters of the second option. And here we are. America is acting exactly as a wounded wild animal. It is biting, fighting and scratching everyone around it. Which is extremely dangerous for humankind. One mistake, and everyone dies. This is what we see in Ukraine. Now, everything short of nuclear weapons will be delivered, what could be handled by the few capable Ukrainians left. And it would be idiotic by Russia to make a big deal out of it. It will be managed. Escalation management. Yes, a few thousand Russians more will die. Or if you count the Ukrainians as Russians, a few tens or hundreds of thousands more.