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📊 Gold rises as the U.S. dollar weakened after Trump's inauguration Gold (XAU) price rose by 0.24% on Monday, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar (USD), as markets evaluated the possible economic impact of U.S. President Donald Trump's policies after his inauguration. 👉 Possible effects for traders 'I believe Donald Trump (presidency) will result in higher market volatility. This should continue to support safe-haven assets like gold', UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said. At the same time, Trump's policies also may put a bearish pressure on metals. His new trade tariffs and immigration policy might stimulate inflation, prompting the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep rates higher for longer and reducing the appeal of non-yielding gold. Trump considers 10% tariffs on global imports, 60% on Chinese goods, and 25% import surcharge on Canadian and Mexican products. If implemented, these tariffs will increase import prices, pushing the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) higher. Currently, the market expects the Fed to deliver only one or two rate cuts in 2025 due to inflation risk. XAUUSD was rising strongly during the Asian and early European trading sessions as the U.S. dollar weakened. There has been growing speculation that Trump would impose new tariffs on the first day of his presidency. Today's drop in USD is likely due to a relief that Trump hasn't focused on tariffs thus far. The formal macroeconomic calendar is rather uneventful today, but traders should continue monitoring the development in Washington as Trump signs more executive orders. 'Spot gold may break resistance at $2,728 per ounce and rise into the $2,738 to $2,754 range', said Reuters analyst Wang Tao. Sign Up Now ➡️https://bit.ly/attocta Partner Code ➡️ 3788810

📊 Euro remains under bearish pressure The euro (EUR) jumped by 1.39% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Monday after it became clear that Donald Trump's administration won't immediately impose trade tariffs. This prompted a rally in some U.S. trade partners' currencies, including the eurozone. 👉 Possible effects for traders Market participants had been expecting Trump to announce trade tariffs via executive orders right after his inauguration. Such a move would have increased U.S. inflation expectations, prompting the Federal Reserve (Fed) to slow or even pause its rate-cutting campaign. However, no new tariffs were announced, and the U.S. dollar immediately plunged, following a 'buy the rumours, sell the news' dynamic. 'There is a relief rally in foreign currencies right now. Even though Trump didn't specify, it's very clear that when he says that the U.S. is going to be a big auto manufacturer, he's talking about tariffs. So whether he imposes them on Day 1, or Day 5, or Day 10, I'm not sure it makes that much of a difference', said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex. Talking to reporters on Monday, Trump said he would remedy the trade imbalance between the U.S. and the eurozone either through tariffs or by Europe buying more U.S. oil and natural gas. EURUSD was falling during the Asian and early European trading sessions. The strategy of selling the rallies in EURUSD, which has been in place since early November, appears to work well. Fundamentally, the eurozone economy continues to face challenges such as high energy costs and deindustrialisation, while the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to pursue a more dovish monetary policy in 2025 compared to the Fed. The macroeconomic calendar is rather uneventful today, but traders should pay attention to the development in Washington as Trump signs more executive orders. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.04470 and support at 1.03550. Sign Up Now ➡️https://bit.ly/attocta Partner Code ➡️ 3788810

📊 USDCAD seems to find support The Canadian dollar (CAD) gained 1.22% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Monday as the greenback weakened after it became clear that Donald Trump's new administration won't immediately impose trade tariffs. 👉 Possible effects for traders USDCAD declined yesterday due to what traders call a 'relief rally'. The market has been widely expecting Trump to announce new trade tariffs as soon as he takes office. He didn't, and the bull bets on the U.S. dollar were immediately closed, prompting a rally in other currencies. Still, CAD continues to face devaluation risks. On Monday, Donald Trump said he was thinking of imposing 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico because 'they were allowing many people to cross the border as well as fentanyl'. Indeed, according to Goldman Sachs, the oil market is already pricing in a nearly 40% probability of 25% U.S. tariff on Canadian goods, including oil. If implemented, tariffs will almost certainly have a bullish impact on USDCAD. At the same time, because the pair is already near its new multi-year highs, it's relatively risky to expect a further rise. USDCAD was rising during the Asian and early European trading sessions and almost recovered all yesterday’s losses. Today, traders should continue monitoring Washington's development and more executive orders Trump signs. In addition, Canadian inflation data will come out at 1:30 p.m. UTC. Higher-than-expected figures may trigger another bearish correction in USDCAD. Conversely, lower-than-expected results may pull the pair towards a new multi-year high. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.45410 and support at 1.43600. Sign Up Now ➡️https://bit.ly/attocta Partner Code ➡️ 3788810

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#economic_calendar These events may affect the market on 21 January.

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📊 Gold holds not far from the all-time high Gold (XAU) price dropped by 0.45% on Friday as the U.S. dollar (USD) and Treasury yields increased. However, the bullion still managed to show a positive trend last week as uncertainties around Donald Trump's policies and renewed chances of further Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts lifted XAUUSD above the critical $2,700 level. 👉 Possible effects for traders Despite a slight dip on Friday, the gold price was only $66 away from an all-time high last week. This was mostly because weaker-than-expected U.S. core inflation data fuelled speculation of multiple rate cuts by the Fed later this year. According to Reuters, traders are already pricing in two rate cuts by the end of 2025, especially after Christopher Waller, Fed Governor, hinted at the possibility of additional cuts if economic data weaken further. Gold doesn't generate income through interest or dividends as a non-yielding asset. Consequently, lower interest rates create a more favourable environment for gold, and XAUUSD tends to rise when the probability of more rate cuts in the U.S. increases. XAUUSD was rising strongly during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today's macroeconomic calendar is rather uneventful, so XAUUSD may continue to trade within an established $2,700–$2,720 range. Most U.S. markets will be closed in observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day, further reducing volatility. At the same time, markets nervously await Trump's inauguration on 20 January. His broad trade tariffs are expected to ignite inflation and trigger trade wars, potentially increasing bullion's safe-haven appeal. 'There are question marks about the state of tariffs, how they'll be implemented. Many investors are looking to gold as a way of hedging some of the downside risks, should these new policies be damaging to growth', said Nitesh Shah, commodity strategist at WisdomTree. 'Spot gold may retest support at $2,691 per ounce, a break below which could open the way towards $2,670', said Reuters analyst Wang Tao. Sign Up Now ➡️https://bit.ly/attocta Partner Code ➡️ 3788810

📊 Euro remains under bearish pressure The euro (EUR) lost 0.26% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Friday as the greenback strengthened partly due to solid real estate and construction data. 👉 Possible effects for traders U.S. Census Bureau's report revealed U.S. single-family homebuilding hit a 10-month high in December, a positive sign for the housing market. However, rising mortgage rates and excess inventory pose a risk to continued recovery. Still, the report, combined with Friday's news of a surge in manufacturing output, driven partly by a recovery in Boeing’s production, suggests that the U.S. economy remained robust in Q4. Meanwhile, a recent survey by Bloomberg showed that the euro area will deliver only 1% growth this year, slightly above the 0.8% estimated for 2024 and below the long-term average of 1.4%. The weak economic outlook increases the likelihood of faster interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB). The market continues to expect three or four 25-basis-point rate cuts by the ECB in 2025 compared with one or two reductions by the Federal Reserve (Fed) over the same period. In these circumstances, it is hard to expect EURUSD to rebound substantially from its recent lows. EURUSD was rising during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today's macroeconomic calendar is rather light, so EURUSD may continue to move within the established 1.02500–1.03200 range. In addition, most U.S. markets will be closed due to Martin Luther King Jr. Day, which should further reduce volatility. Sign Up Now ➡️https://bit.ly/attocta Partner Code ➡️ 3788810

📊 Weak U.K. economic data pushes the British pound down The British pound (GBP) lost 0.62% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Friday as the greenback recovered, while U.K. retail sales data came out weaker than expected. 👉 Possible effects for traders Contrary to expectations, U.K. retail sales declined in December, highlighting concerns about a potential economic contraction in Q4. 'The Bank of England (BOE) have a window of opportunity to cut rates in February, which we expect them to take', said Elliott Jordan-Doak, senior U.K. economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics. Retail sales added to last week's run of weak economic data, which indicated a drop in November gross domestic product (GDP) and prompted investors to expect more rate cuts from the BOE later this year. Traders currently price in no less than two 50 basis points (bps) worth of rate cuts in 2025, with a 76% chance of a first 25-bps reduction on 6 February. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to leave its rates unchanged until June, putting downward pressure on GBPUSD. GBPUSD was rising during the Asian and early European trading sessions. There are no important macroeconomic events today, so GBPUSD may continue to trade within the established 1.21800–1.22200 range. In addition, most U.S. markets will be closed in observance of Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. Day, which should reduce volatility even further. Sign Up Now ➡️https://bit.ly/attocta Partner Code ➡️ 3788810

AUDUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart AUDUSD formed a bullish Hammer pattern 👉General outlook AUDUSD has been trading in a sideways market for the last couple of hours. Now, the price displays a bullish Hammer pattern. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 0.62080. Set your stop loss at 0.61950 below the previous low ($1.30 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 0.62210 ($1.30 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period.

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